Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for ABC Nyheter, 3–4 January 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre |
20.4% |
31.0% |
29.2–33.0% |
28.6–33.5% |
28.2–34.0% |
27.3–35.0% |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
17.7% |
16.2–19.3% |
15.8–19.8% |
15.4–20.2% |
14.7–21.0% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
13.2% |
11.9–14.7% |
11.6–15.2% |
11.2–15.5% |
10.6–16.3% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
9.5% |
8.4–10.8% |
8.1–11.2% |
7.8–11.5% |
7.3–12.2% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
6.9% |
6.0–8.1% |
5.7–8.4% |
5.5–8.7% |
5.1–9.3% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
6.3% |
5.4–7.4% |
5.2–7.7% |
4.9–8.0% |
4.5–8.6% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
4.1% |
3.4–5.1% |
3.2–5.3% |
3.0–5.6% |
2.7–6.1% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
4.0% |
3.3–5.0% |
3.1–5.2% |
3.0–5.5% |
2.7–6.0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
2.4% |
1.9–3.1% |
1.7–3.4% |
1.6–3.6% |
1.4–3.9% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet |
0.3% |
1.4% |
1.1–2.1% |
0.9–2.3% |
0.9–2.4% |
0.7–2.8% |
Liberalistene |
0.2% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.1–0.8% |
0.1–0.9% |
0.1–1.1% |
Konservativt |
0.4% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.1–0.8% |
0.1–0.9% |
0.1–1.1% |
Pensjonistpartiet |
0.6% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.1–0.8% |
0.1–0.9% |
0.1–1.1% |
Helsepartiet |
0.2% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.1–0.8% |
0.1–0.9% |
0.1–1.1% |
Folkets parti |
0.1% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.0–1.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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
Confidence Intervals
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.3% |
99.2% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
98.9% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
98.9% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
98.7% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
98.7% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
98.6% |
|
53 |
46% |
98% |
|
54 |
6% |
53% |
Median |
55 |
6% |
47% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
41% |
|
57 |
5% |
41% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
36% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
36% |
|
60 |
34% |
35% |
|
61 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
62 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
31 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
32 |
0.7% |
98.5% |
|
33 |
40% |
98% |
|
34 |
50% |
58% |
Median |
35 |
0.4% |
8% |
|
36 |
1.4% |
7% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
6% |
|
38 |
5% |
6% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
19 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
20 |
5% |
99.6% |
|
21 |
0.6% |
95% |
Last Result |
22 |
35% |
94% |
|
23 |
2% |
59% |
|
24 |
46% |
57% |
Median |
25 |
5% |
11% |
|
26 |
0.7% |
6% |
|
27 |
5% |
6% |
|
28 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
29 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
30 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
14 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
15 |
1.5% |
99.3% |
|
16 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
17 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
18 |
50% |
96% |
Median |
19 |
5% |
47% |
|
20 |
40% |
41% |
|
21 |
1.1% |
1.3% |
|
22 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
11 |
44% |
99.4% |
|
12 |
6% |
56% |
Median |
13 |
45% |
49% |
|
14 |
2% |
4% |
|
15 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
16 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
17 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
9 |
5% |
99.8% |
|
10 |
0.5% |
94% |
|
11 |
40% |
94% |
|
12 |
2% |
54% |
|
13 |
3% |
52% |
Median |
14 |
49% |
50% |
|
15 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
16 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
2 |
12% |
99.0% |
|
3 |
0.5% |
87% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
87% |
|
5 |
0% |
87% |
|
6 |
0% |
87% |
|
7 |
0.2% |
87% |
|
8 |
40% |
87% |
Median |
9 |
46% |
46% |
|
10 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
11 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
81% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
5% |
19% |
|
4 |
0% |
14% |
|
5 |
0% |
14% |
|
6 |
0% |
14% |
|
7 |
2% |
14% |
|
8 |
6% |
13% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.8% |
6% |
|
10 |
5% |
6% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
14% |
100% |
|
1 |
79% |
86% |
Median |
2 |
2% |
8% |
|
3 |
4% |
5% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
0.8% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.8% |
|
6 |
0% |
0.8% |
|
7 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.5% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
2 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Helsepartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Helsepartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Folkets parti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Folkets parti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
96 |
96 |
100% |
94–97 |
94–103 |
94–103 |
93–104 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
71 |
89 |
99.9% |
89–93 |
89–94 |
89–94 |
87–95 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
68 |
83 |
47% |
80–87 |
80–92 |
80–92 |
80–92 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
65 |
83 |
13% |
79–87 |
79–89 |
79–89 |
75–92 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
100 |
85 |
52% |
81–88 |
76–88 |
76–88 |
76–88 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
57 |
77 |
1.1% |
77–82 |
75–84 |
75–84 |
68–85 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet |
97 |
79 |
0% |
75–79 |
74–79 |
74–79 |
73–81 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
95 |
74 |
0% |
69–76 |
68–76 |
66–76 |
61–77 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
74 |
0% |
69–75 |
65–75 |
65–75 |
61–75 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
72 |
72 |
0% |
71–74 |
65–74 |
65–74 |
64–75 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet |
89 |
66 |
0% |
64–66 |
63–67 |
62–67 |
59–67 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
47 |
60 |
0% |
56–63 |
56–67 |
56–67 |
56–69 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
52 |
0% |
52–53 |
52–58 |
51–58 |
46–58 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
82 |
55 |
0% |
50–58 |
49–58 |
49–58 |
43–61 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
48 |
0% |
45–49 |
45–49 |
45–49 |
41–53 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
47 |
0% |
44–48 |
44–48 |
44–48 |
41–49 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
39 |
17 |
0% |
14–22 |
12–24 |
12–24 |
12–27 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
90 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
93 |
1.2% |
99.5% |
|
94 |
45% |
98% |
Median |
95 |
0.9% |
53% |
|
96 |
39% |
53% |
Last Result |
97 |
5% |
13% |
|
98 |
0.5% |
8% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
8% |
|
100 |
0.5% |
8% |
|
101 |
2% |
7% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
103 |
4% |
5% |
|
104 |
0.7% |
1.2% |
|
105 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
106 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
107 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
108 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
109 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
99.9% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
87 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
89 |
50% |
99.1% |
Median |
90 |
3% |
49% |
|
91 |
5% |
46% |
|
92 |
0.7% |
41% |
|
93 |
34% |
40% |
|
94 |
5% |
6% |
|
95 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
97 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
98 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
101 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
102 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
103 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
45% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
55% |
Median |
82 |
2% |
55% |
|
83 |
5% |
53% |
|
84 |
0.5% |
48% |
|
85 |
34% |
47% |
Majority |
86 |
0.6% |
14% |
|
87 |
5% |
13% |
|
88 |
1.3% |
8% |
|
89 |
0.4% |
6% |
|
90 |
0.5% |
6% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
92 |
5% |
5% |
|
93 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
94 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
98 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
99.2% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
78 |
0% |
99.1% |
|
79 |
45% |
99.1% |
|
80 |
1.1% |
55% |
Median |
81 |
0.7% |
53% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
53% |
|
83 |
5% |
52% |
|
84 |
34% |
48% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
13% |
Majority |
86 |
0.6% |
13% |
|
87 |
6% |
13% |
|
88 |
1.4% |
7% |
|
89 |
4% |
6% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
91 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
92 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
93 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
94 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
5% |
99.5% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
95% |
|
78 |
0.5% |
95% |
|
79 |
0.4% |
94% |
|
80 |
1.4% |
94% |
|
81 |
5% |
92% |
|
82 |
0.6% |
87% |
|
83 |
34% |
86% |
|
84 |
0.5% |
52% |
|
85 |
5% |
52% |
Median, Majority |
86 |
2% |
47% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
45% |
|
88 |
44% |
45% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
99.2% |
|
70 |
0% |
99.2% |
|
71 |
0% |
99.2% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
99.0% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
98.6% |
|
75 |
5% |
98% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
93% |
|
77 |
44% |
93% |
|
78 |
3% |
49% |
Median |
79 |
5% |
46% |
|
80 |
0.6% |
42% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
41% |
|
82 |
34% |
41% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
7% |
|
84 |
6% |
7% |
|
85 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
70 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
74 |
5% |
99.1% |
|
75 |
34% |
94% |
|
76 |
0.7% |
60% |
|
77 |
6% |
59% |
Median |
78 |
3% |
53% |
|
79 |
50% |
50% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
81 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.0% |
|
64 |
0% |
99.0% |
|
65 |
0.9% |
99.0% |
|
66 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
68 |
4% |
97% |
|
69 |
5% |
92% |
|
70 |
0.5% |
87% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
87% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
86% |
|
73 |
34% |
86% |
|
74 |
5% |
52% |
Median |
75 |
0.5% |
47% |
|
76 |
46% |
46% |
|
77 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
98.9% |
|
65 |
5% |
98% |
|
66 |
1.5% |
94% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
92% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
92% |
|
69 |
5% |
92% |
|
70 |
0.8% |
87% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
86% |
|
72 |
34% |
85% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
51% |
Median |
74 |
6% |
51% |
|
75 |
45% |
45% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
64 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
65 |
4% |
98.8% |
|
66 |
0% |
95% |
|
67 |
2% |
95% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
93% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
92% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
92% |
|
71 |
5% |
92% |
|
72 |
39% |
87% |
Last Result, Median |
73 |
1.2% |
47% |
|
74 |
45% |
46% |
|
75 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
99.0% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
98.7% |
|
62 |
1.3% |
98.5% |
|
63 |
5% |
97% |
|
64 |
36% |
92% |
|
65 |
0.5% |
56% |
Median |
66 |
50% |
56% |
|
67 |
5% |
6% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
44% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
1.4% |
56% |
Median |
58 |
0.4% |
54% |
|
59 |
0% |
54% |
|
60 |
6% |
54% |
|
61 |
0.5% |
48% |
|
62 |
0.6% |
47% |
|
63 |
39% |
47% |
|
64 |
2% |
8% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
6% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
67 |
4% |
6% |
|
68 |
0% |
1.4% |
|
69 |
1.1% |
1.4% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
47 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
98.8% |
|
49 |
1.1% |
98.8% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
51 |
2% |
98% |
|
52 |
55% |
96% |
Median |
53 |
34% |
41% |
|
54 |
0.5% |
7% |
|
55 |
1.0% |
6% |
|
56 |
0% |
5% |
|
57 |
0% |
5% |
|
58 |
5% |
5% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
60 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
46 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
47 |
0.6% |
98.8% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
49 |
5% |
98% |
|
50 |
4% |
93% |
|
51 |
2% |
88% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
87% |
|
53 |
34% |
87% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
53% |
|
55 |
6% |
53% |
|
56 |
0.5% |
46% |
Median |
57 |
0.1% |
46% |
|
58 |
44% |
46% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
|
61 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0% |
99.2% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
44 |
0.6% |
99.0% |
|
45 |
34% |
98% |
|
46 |
2% |
64% |
|
47 |
11% |
63% |
|
48 |
5% |
52% |
Median |
49 |
46% |
47% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
53 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
|
43 |
0.5% |
99.0% |
|
44 |
35% |
98.5% |
|
45 |
6% |
64% |
|
46 |
2% |
58% |
|
47 |
10% |
56% |
Median |
48 |
44% |
46% |
|
49 |
2% |
2% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
5% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
95% |
|
14 |
34% |
95% |
|
15 |
1.2% |
60% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
59% |
Median |
17 |
45% |
59% |
|
18 |
0.5% |
14% |
|
19 |
0.8% |
14% |
|
20 |
0.3% |
13% |
|
21 |
1.1% |
13% |
|
22 |
5% |
12% |
|
23 |
2% |
7% |
|
24 |
4% |
5% |
|
25 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0.8% |
|
27 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): ABC Nyheter
- Fieldwork period: 3–4 January 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 967
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.12%