Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 3–6 January 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 30.4% | 28.6–32.3% | 28.1–32.9% | 27.6–33.3% | 26.7–34.3% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 19.5% | 18.0–21.2% | 17.5–21.7% | 17.1–22.1% | 16.4–22.9% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 13.8% | 12.5–15.3% | 12.1–15.8% | 11.8–16.1% | 11.2–16.9% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.6–9.9% | 7.3–10.3% | 7.1–10.6% | 6.6–11.2% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.4–7.4% | 5.1–7.7% | 4.9–8.0% | 4.5–8.5% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.0–7.6% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.4–8.4% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.8% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.1–6.5% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6–4.1% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.0–5.0% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.2–1.6% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.3–1.1% | 0.2–1.2% | 0.2–1.4% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.3–1.1% | 0.2–1.2% | 0.2–1.4% |
| Folkets parti | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.6% | 0.0–0.8% |
| Liberalistene | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.6% | 0.0–0.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 58 | 55–58 | 53–58 | 51–58 | 49–60 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 38 | 37–40 | 35–40 | 34–40 | 33–42 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 25 | 20–26 | 20–30 | 20–30 | 18–30 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 13 | 13–19 | 13–19 | 13–19 | 12–20 |
| Rødt | 8 | 10 | 10–12 | 9–12 | 8–12 | 8–13 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 7 | 7–13 | 7–13 | 7–15 | 1–15 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 3–10 | 3–10 | 3–10 | 3–10 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 7 | 1–7 | 1–7 | 1–7 | 1–7 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–8 | 0–8 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–7 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Folkets parti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liberalistene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 51 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 52 | 2% | 97% | |
| 53 | 3% | 95% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 55 | 17% | 92% | |
| 56 | 14% | 75% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 61% | |
| 58 | 60% | 60% | Median |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 35 | 3% | 97% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 37 | 15% | 95% | |
| 38 | 60% | 80% | Median |
| 39 | 4% | 20% | |
| 40 | 16% | 17% | |
| 41 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 20 | 14% | 98.6% | |
| 21 | 0% | 85% | Last Result |
| 22 | 1.1% | 85% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 84% | |
| 24 | 14% | 83% | |
| 25 | 60% | 70% | Median |
| 26 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 27 | 2% | 9% | |
| 28 | 2% | 7% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 30 | 5% | 6% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 13 | 65% | 99.3% | Last Result, Median |
| 14 | 2% | 34% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 32% | |
| 16 | 1.1% | 32% | |
| 17 | 15% | 31% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 16% | |
| 19 | 15% | 16% | |
| 20 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 2% | 96% | |
| 10 | 62% | 95% | Median |
| 11 | 16% | 32% | |
| 12 | 16% | 17% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 59% | 98% | Median |
| 8 | 0.6% | 39% | |
| 9 | 15% | 38% | |
| 10 | 5% | 23% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 19% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 18% | |
| 13 | 14% | 18% | |
| 14 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 15 | 3% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 14% | 99.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 86% | |
| 5 | 0% | 86% | |
| 6 | 0% | 86% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 86% | |
| 8 | 67% | 86% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 4% | 19% | |
| 10 | 15% | 15% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34% | 100% | |
| 2 | 5% | 66% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 61% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 60% | |
| 5 | 0% | 60% | |
| 6 | 0% | 60% | |
| 7 | 60% | 60% | Median |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 1 | 60% | 99.0% | Median |
| 2 | 36% | 39% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 4% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 8 | 2% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 60% | 94% | Median |
| 2 | 32% | 34% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 2% | |
| 7 | 2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Folkets parti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Folkets parti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 99 | 100% | 94–100 | 94–103 | 94–105 | 94–107 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 99 | 99.9% | 86–99 | 86–99 | 86–99 | 86–102 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 92 | 98.8% | 85–92 | 85–95 | 85–95 | 80–100 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 91 | 82% | 83–91 | 83–92 | 83–93 | 78–93 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 83 | 4% | 75–83 | 75–83 | 75–85 | 70–85 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 75 | 1.0% | 75–81 | 71–81 | 71–81 | 68–88 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 68 | 0.1% | 68–80 | 68–80 | 68–80 | 66–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 68 | 0% | 66–72 | 61–72 | 61–72 | 60–74 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 66 | 0% | 66–71 | 65–71 | 65–71 | 64–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 65 | 0% | 65–69 | 63–69 | 63–69 | 56–77 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 67 | 0% | 61–67 | 61–67 | 61–68 | 59–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 58 | 0% | 58–68 | 58–68 | 58–68 | 54–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 51 | 0% | 51–59 | 51–59 | 50–59 | 48–59 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 53 | 0% | 52–53 | 52–54 | 49–58 | 45–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 46 | 0% | 46–52 | 46–52 | 46–55 | 43–58 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 45 | 0% | 45–50 | 45–50 | 44–50 | 35–56 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 16 | 0% | 14–25 | 14–25 | 14–25 | 14–27 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 14% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 86% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 85% | Last Result |
| 97 | 0.1% | 85% | |
| 98 | 1.0% | 85% | |
| 99 | 60% | 84% | Median |
| 100 | 15% | 25% | |
| 101 | 4% | 10% | |
| 102 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 103 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 105 | 4% | 5% | |
| 106 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 107 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 14% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.9% | 86% | |
| 88 | 16% | 85% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 69% | |
| 90 | 0.9% | 69% | |
| 91 | 0.9% | 68% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 67% | |
| 93 | 1.0% | 67% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 66% | |
| 95 | 0% | 66% | |
| 96 | 4% | 66% | |
| 97 | 0.7% | 62% | |
| 98 | 0% | 61% | |
| 99 | 59% | 61% | Median |
| 100 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 101 | 0% | 2% | |
| 102 | 2% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 85 | 14% | 98.8% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 85% | |
| 87 | 14% | 83% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 69% | |
| 89 | 0.9% | 69% | |
| 90 | 0.9% | 68% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 67% | |
| 92 | 60% | 67% | Median |
| 93 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 94 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 95 | 4% | 6% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0% | 2% | |
| 100 | 2% | 2% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 83 | 14% | 98% | |
| 84 | 2% | 84% | |
| 85 | 14% | 82% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 68% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 68% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 68% | |
| 89 | 1.0% | 67% | |
| 90 | 1.0% | 66% | |
| 91 | 59% | 65% | Median |
| 92 | 2% | 6% | |
| 93 | 4% | 4% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 75 | 14% | 98% | |
| 76 | 2% | 84% | |
| 77 | 0% | 82% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 82% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 82% | |
| 80 | 14% | 81% | |
| 81 | 1.1% | 67% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 66% | |
| 83 | 61% | 65% | Median |
| 84 | 0% | 4% | |
| 85 | 4% | 4% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0% | 98% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 71 | 4% | 98% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 94% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 94% | |
| 75 | 62% | 93% | Median |
| 76 | 0.9% | 32% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 31% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 31% | |
| 79 | 15% | 30% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 15% | |
| 81 | 14% | 15% | |
| 82 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 84 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 1.0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0% | 98% | |
| 68 | 59% | 98% | Median |
| 69 | 0.1% | 39% | |
| 70 | 4% | 39% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 34% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 34% | |
| 73 | 2% | 34% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 32% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 32% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 31% | |
| 77 | 0.9% | 30% | |
| 78 | 15% | 29% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 15% | |
| 80 | 14% | 15% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 4% | 98% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 66 | 14% | 92% | |
| 67 | 2% | 78% | |
| 68 | 60% | 76% | Median |
| 69 | 0.2% | 16% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 16% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 15% | |
| 72 | 14% | 15% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 4% | 98% | |
| 66 | 60% | 94% | Median |
| 67 | 3% | 34% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 31% | |
| 69 | 0.9% | 31% | |
| 70 | 14% | 30% | |
| 71 | 14% | 16% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0% | 98% | |
| 58 | 0% | 98% | |
| 59 | 0% | 98% | |
| 60 | 0% | 98% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 62 | 0% | 98% | |
| 63 | 4% | 98% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 65 | 62% | 93% | Median |
| 66 | 0.1% | 31% | |
| 67 | 2% | 31% | |
| 68 | 14% | 29% | |
| 69 | 13% | 15% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 71 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 72 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 61 | 15% | 98% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 83% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 82% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 82% | |
| 65 | 4% | 81% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 77% | |
| 67 | 73% | 77% | Median |
| 68 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 70 | 2% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0% | 98% | |
| 56 | 0% | 98% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 58 | 59% | 98% | Median |
| 59 | 0.1% | 39% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 39% | |
| 61 | 1.1% | 38% | |
| 62 | 4% | 37% | |
| 63 | 2% | 34% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 31% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 31% | |
| 66 | 3% | 31% | |
| 67 | 14% | 29% | |
| 68 | 14% | 15% | |
| 69 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 51 | 60% | 97% | Median |
| 52 | 4% | 37% | |
| 53 | 2% | 33% | |
| 54 | 14% | 30% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 16% | |
| 56 | 2% | 16% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 15% | |
| 58 | 0% | 14% | |
| 59 | 13% | 14% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 0% | 98% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 48 | 0% | 98% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 50 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 52 | 17% | 96% | |
| 53 | 73% | 79% | Median |
| 54 | 2% | 6% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 56 | 0% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0% | 3% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 59 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 0% | 98% | |
| 45 | 0% | 98% | |
| 46 | 59% | 98% | Median |
| 47 | 0.1% | 38% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 38% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 38% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 37% | |
| 51 | 17% | 36% | |
| 52 | 16% | 19% | |
| 53 | 0% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 2% | |
| 58 | 2% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 2% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 37 | 0% | 98% | |
| 38 | 0% | 98% | |
| 39 | 0% | 98% | |
| 40 | 0% | 98% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 42 | 0% | 98% | |
| 43 | 0% | 98% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 45 | 59% | 97% | Median |
| 46 | 0.2% | 38% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 38% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 38% | |
| 49 | 18% | 37% | |
| 50 | 17% | 19% | |
| 51 | 0% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 14 | 14% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 86% | |
| 16 | 60% | 86% | Median |
| 17 | 0.1% | 27% | |
| 18 | 2% | 26% | |
| 19 | 0% | 24% | |
| 20 | 4% | 24% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 20% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 20% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 20% | |
| 24 | 2% | 20% | |
| 25 | 16% | 18% | |
| 26 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar TNS
- Commissioner(s): TV2
- Fieldwork period: 3–6 January 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 990
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.62%