Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse, 3–9 January 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 33.5% | 31.6–35.5% | 31.1–36.0% | 30.6–36.5% | 29.8–37.4% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 18.5% | 17.0–20.1% | 16.6–20.6% | 16.2–21.0% | 15.5–21.8% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.1–13.8% | 10.8–14.2% | 10.5–14.6% | 9.9–15.3% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6–8.8% | 6.3–9.1% | 6.1–9.4% | 5.7–10.0% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 7.1% | 6.2–8.3% | 5.9–8.6% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.2–9.4% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.6% | 4.9–7.9% | 4.5–8.4% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.3–5.4% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.1–3.4% | 1.9–3.6% | 1.8–3.8% | 1.6–4.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 59 | 56–64 | 54–65 | 53–67 | 52–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 36 | 33–38 | 32–39 | 32–41 | 30–43 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 21 | 18–24 | 18–26 | 18–27 | 17–28 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 13 | 10–15 | 10–16 | 9–16 | 9–17 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 13 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 9–16 | 8–17 |
| Rødt | 8 | 10 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 7–13 | 7–14 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 2–7 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 0–9 |
| Venstre | 8 | 2 | 2–7 | 2–7 | 2–7 | 1–8 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 0–7 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 98.6% | |
| 54 | 3% | 97% | |
| 55 | 4% | 94% | |
| 56 | 9% | 90% | |
| 57 | 20% | 81% | |
| 58 | 5% | 61% | |
| 59 | 9% | 56% | Median |
| 60 | 10% | 48% | |
| 61 | 7% | 38% | |
| 62 | 12% | 32% | |
| 63 | 5% | 19% | |
| 64 | 5% | 14% | |
| 65 | 4% | 9% | |
| 66 | 2% | 4% | |
| 67 | 2% | 3% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 32 | 5% | 98.9% | |
| 33 | 16% | 93% | |
| 34 | 13% | 78% | |
| 35 | 11% | 64% | |
| 36 | 32% | 54% | Median |
| 37 | 7% | 22% | |
| 38 | 8% | 15% | |
| 39 | 3% | 7% | |
| 40 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 18 | 17% | 98.6% | |
| 19 | 11% | 82% | |
| 20 | 13% | 70% | |
| 21 | 16% | 57% | Last Result, Median |
| 22 | 11% | 42% | |
| 23 | 17% | 30% | |
| 24 | 6% | 14% | |
| 25 | 2% | 8% | |
| 26 | 2% | 6% | |
| 27 | 2% | 4% | |
| 28 | 2% | 2% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 9 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 11% | 97% | |
| 11 | 18% | 86% | |
| 12 | 15% | 68% | |
| 13 | 23% | 53% | Last Result, Median |
| 14 | 11% | 30% | |
| 15 | 13% | 20% | |
| 16 | 5% | 7% | |
| 17 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 10 | 5% | 96% | |
| 11 | 10% | 90% | |
| 12 | 24% | 80% | |
| 13 | 35% | 56% | Median |
| 14 | 10% | 21% | |
| 15 | 7% | 11% | |
| 16 | 3% | 4% | |
| 17 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 7% | 97% | Last Result |
| 9 | 17% | 90% | |
| 10 | 32% | 73% | Median |
| 11 | 21% | 40% | |
| 12 | 12% | 19% | |
| 13 | 6% | 7% | |
| 14 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 1 | 6% | 99.5% | |
| 2 | 15% | 93% | |
| 3 | 47% | 78% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 30% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 30% | |
| 6 | 15% | 30% | |
| 7 | 12% | 15% | |
| 8 | 2% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 49% | 98% | Median |
| 3 | 32% | 49% | |
| 4 | 0% | 17% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 17% | |
| 6 | 5% | 17% | |
| 7 | 10% | 11% | |
| 8 | 1.2% | 1.4% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 1 | 72% | 99.0% | Median |
| 2 | 23% | 27% | |
| 3 | 3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 6 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 7 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 96 | 100 | 100% | 96–105 | 95–107 | 93–108 | 91–110 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 89 | 92% | 85–94 | 83–95 | 82–97 | 80–98 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 68 | 87 | 77% | 84–93 | 82–94 | 81–95 | 79–97 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 83 | 38% | 80–89 | 79–90 | 78–90 | 75–94 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 80 | 11% | 77–85 | 75–86 | 75–88 | 73–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 72 | 0% | 68–76 | 66–78 | 66–79 | 64–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 71 | 0% | 66–75 | 65–76 | 64–77 | 63–80 |
| Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 47 | 66 | 0% | 61–72 | 60–74 | 59–75 | 57–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 66 | 0% | 62–69 | 60–71 | 60–72 | 58–74 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 62 | 0% | 58–65 | 57–67 | 56–68 | 54–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 61 | 0% | 56–64 | 55–65 | 55–66 | 53–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 60 | 0% | 56–64 | 54–64 | 53–66 | 52–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 53 | 0% | 49–57 | 48–59 | 47–59 | 46–62 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 52 | 0% | 48–56 | 47–57 | 46–58 | 44–61 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 48 | 0% | 45–50 | 44–52 | 44–54 | 42–56 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 48 | 0% | 44–51 | 44–52 | 43–53 | 41–56 |
| Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 39 | 19 | 0% | 16–23 | 15–24 | 14–26 | 13–28 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 92 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 93 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 94 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 95 | 3% | 95% | |
| 96 | 7% | 93% | Last Result |
| 97 | 9% | 85% | |
| 98 | 13% | 76% | Median |
| 99 | 11% | 63% | |
| 100 | 11% | 52% | |
| 101 | 9% | 41% | |
| 102 | 11% | 33% | |
| 103 | 4% | 22% | |
| 104 | 5% | 18% | |
| 105 | 3% | 12% | |
| 106 | 3% | 10% | |
| 107 | 3% | 6% | |
| 108 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 109 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 110 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 82 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 83 | 3% | 97% | |
| 84 | 2% | 94% | |
| 85 | 10% | 92% | Majority |
| 86 | 18% | 81% | Median |
| 87 | 5% | 64% | |
| 88 | 6% | 59% | |
| 89 | 12% | 53% | |
| 90 | 6% | 40% | |
| 91 | 10% | 35% | |
| 92 | 6% | 25% | |
| 93 | 5% | 19% | |
| 94 | 4% | 13% | |
| 95 | 4% | 9% | |
| 96 | 2% | 4% | |
| 97 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 98 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 80 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 81 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 82 | 4% | 96% | |
| 83 | 2% | 93% | |
| 84 | 13% | 90% | |
| 85 | 14% | 77% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 62% | |
| 87 | 7% | 57% | |
| 88 | 11% | 50% | |
| 89 | 10% | 39% | |
| 90 | 9% | 29% | |
| 91 | 5% | 20% | |
| 92 | 3% | 15% | |
| 93 | 6% | 12% | |
| 94 | 3% | 7% | |
| 95 | 2% | 4% | |
| 96 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 97 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 77 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 78 | 2% | 98% | |
| 79 | 4% | 96% | |
| 80 | 4% | 92% | |
| 81 | 13% | 88% | |
| 82 | 23% | 76% | Median |
| 83 | 8% | 52% | |
| 84 | 7% | 45% | |
| 85 | 9% | 38% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 29% | |
| 87 | 8% | 23% | |
| 88 | 5% | 15% | |
| 89 | 3% | 10% | |
| 90 | 5% | 7% | |
| 91 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 94 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 74 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 75 | 3% | 98% | |
| 76 | 4% | 95% | |
| 77 | 3% | 91% | |
| 78 | 12% | 88% | |
| 79 | 11% | 76% | |
| 80 | 23% | 65% | Median |
| 81 | 5% | 42% | |
| 82 | 11% | 37% | |
| 83 | 8% | 26% | |
| 84 | 7% | 19% | |
| 85 | 5% | 11% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 87 | 2% | 5% | |
| 88 | 2% | 3% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 1.5% | 99.2% | |
| 66 | 3% | 98% | |
| 67 | 2% | 95% | |
| 68 | 8% | 93% | |
| 69 | 6% | 85% | |
| 70 | 6% | 79% | |
| 71 | 10% | 73% | |
| 72 | 15% | 63% | |
| 73 | 14% | 48% | Median |
| 74 | 11% | 34% | |
| 75 | 8% | 23% | |
| 76 | 7% | 15% | |
| 77 | 4% | 9% | |
| 78 | 2% | 5% | |
| 79 | 2% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 65 | 2% | 96% | |
| 66 | 6% | 94% | |
| 67 | 6% | 88% | |
| 68 | 7% | 83% | |
| 69 | 4% | 76% | |
| 70 | 15% | 72% | |
| 71 | 12% | 57% | |
| 72 | 14% | 45% | Median |
| 73 | 10% | 31% | |
| 74 | 9% | 21% | |
| 75 | 5% | 12% | |
| 76 | 4% | 7% | |
| 77 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 78 | 2% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 59 | 2% | 98% | |
| 60 | 2% | 96% | |
| 61 | 5% | 93% | |
| 62 | 13% | 88% | |
| 63 | 10% | 76% | |
| 64 | 5% | 66% | Median |
| 65 | 5% | 60% | |
| 66 | 7% | 56% | |
| 67 | 4% | 49% | |
| 68 | 7% | 44% | |
| 69 | 9% | 37% | |
| 70 | 12% | 28% | |
| 71 | 3% | 16% | |
| 72 | 5% | 13% | |
| 73 | 3% | 8% | |
| 74 | 2% | 5% | |
| 75 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 60 | 6% | 98% | |
| 61 | 3% | 93% | |
| 62 | 4% | 90% | |
| 63 | 12% | 86% | |
| 64 | 7% | 74% | |
| 65 | 10% | 67% | |
| 66 | 14% | 57% | Median |
| 67 | 12% | 43% | |
| 68 | 15% | 31% | |
| 69 | 6% | 16% | |
| 70 | 5% | 10% | |
| 71 | 2% | 5% | |
| 72 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 56 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 57 | 6% | 97% | |
| 58 | 5% | 91% | |
| 59 | 6% | 86% | |
| 60 | 11% | 81% | |
| 61 | 8% | 70% | |
| 62 | 15% | 62% | |
| 63 | 19% | 47% | Median |
| 64 | 10% | 28% | |
| 65 | 9% | 17% | |
| 66 | 3% | 8% | |
| 67 | 2% | 5% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 55 | 5% | 98.7% | |
| 56 | 5% | 94% | |
| 57 | 4% | 89% | |
| 58 | 6% | 85% | |
| 59 | 12% | 78% | |
| 60 | 11% | 66% | |
| 61 | 13% | 56% | |
| 62 | 20% | 43% | Median |
| 63 | 8% | 23% | |
| 64 | 9% | 15% | |
| 65 | 2% | 6% | |
| 66 | 2% | 4% | |
| 67 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 1.5% | 99.5% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98% | |
| 54 | 2% | 96% | |
| 55 | 4% | 94% | |
| 56 | 6% | 91% | |
| 57 | 7% | 85% | |
| 58 | 9% | 78% | |
| 59 | 15% | 70% | |
| 60 | 20% | 54% | Median |
| 61 | 9% | 34% | |
| 62 | 7% | 25% | |
| 63 | 7% | 18% | |
| 64 | 6% | 11% | |
| 65 | 2% | 5% | |
| 66 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 47 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 48 | 2% | 97% | |
| 49 | 7% | 95% | |
| 50 | 10% | 88% | |
| 51 | 8% | 78% | |
| 52 | 12% | 70% | |
| 53 | 22% | 58% | Median |
| 54 | 7% | 36% | |
| 55 | 5% | 29% | |
| 56 | 6% | 24% | |
| 57 | 8% | 18% | |
| 58 | 4% | 10% | |
| 59 | 4% | 6% | |
| 60 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 46 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 47 | 5% | 97% | |
| 48 | 5% | 92% | |
| 49 | 12% | 86% | |
| 50 | 7% | 74% | |
| 51 | 15% | 68% | |
| 52 | 20% | 53% | Median |
| 53 | 6% | 33% | |
| 54 | 7% | 27% | |
| 55 | 4% | 20% | |
| 56 | 8% | 16% | |
| 57 | 5% | 8% | |
| 58 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 43 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 44 | 5% | 98% | |
| 45 | 7% | 92% | |
| 46 | 13% | 86% | |
| 47 | 13% | 72% | |
| 48 | 14% | 59% | |
| 49 | 22% | 45% | Median |
| 50 | 14% | 24% | |
| 51 | 4% | 10% | |
| 52 | 2% | 6% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 54 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 43 | 2% | 98% | |
| 44 | 6% | 95% | |
| 45 | 6% | 89% | |
| 46 | 9% | 83% | |
| 47 | 9% | 73% | |
| 48 | 16% | 64% | |
| 49 | 23% | 48% | Median |
| 50 | 11% | 25% | |
| 51 | 6% | 14% | |
| 52 | 3% | 8% | |
| 53 | 2% | 4% | |
| 54 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 15 | 5% | 97% | |
| 16 | 5% | 92% | |
| 17 | 14% | 87% | |
| 18 | 17% | 73% | Median |
| 19 | 10% | 56% | |
| 20 | 10% | 46% | |
| 21 | 9% | 36% | |
| 22 | 10% | 27% | |
| 23 | 9% | 17% | |
| 24 | 3% | 8% | |
| 25 | 2% | 5% | |
| 26 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 27 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
- Fieldwork period: 3–9 January 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.77%