Opinion Poll by Respons Analyse for VG, 4–9 January 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 30.1% | 28.3–32.0% | 27.7–32.5% | 27.3–33.0% | 26.4–33.9% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 19.2% | 17.6–20.9% | 17.2–21.3% | 16.9–21.7% | 16.2–22.6% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 13.1% | 11.8–14.6% | 11.4–15.0% | 11.1–15.3% | 10.5–16.0% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.6–9.9% | 7.3–10.3% | 7.1–10.6% | 6.6–11.2% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.6% | 5.1–9.2% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9–6.9% | 4.7–7.2% | 4.5–7.4% | 4.1–8.0% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0–5.8% | 3.8–6.1% | 3.6–6.3% | 3.3–6.8% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 1.9–4.0% | 1.7–4.4% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 53 | 50–58 | 49–60 | 48–60 | 47–63 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 36 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 33–42 | 32–44 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 23 | 20–27 | 20–28 | 19–29 | 18–30 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 16 | 13–18 | 12–19 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 13 | 11–14 | 10–15 | 10–16 | 9–17 |
| Rødt | 8 | 10 | 9–12 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 7–14 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 7–10 | 3–11 | 3–11 | 2–13 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 3 | 1–8 | 1–9 | 1–9 | 1–10 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 49 | 4% | 96% | |
| 50 | 11% | 92% | |
| 51 | 11% | 81% | |
| 52 | 11% | 70% | |
| 53 | 9% | 59% | Median |
| 54 | 11% | 50% | |
| 55 | 7% | 39% | |
| 56 | 7% | 31% | |
| 57 | 7% | 24% | |
| 58 | 9% | 17% | |
| 59 | 3% | 8% | |
| 60 | 3% | 5% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 33 | 8% | 98.7% | |
| 34 | 24% | 91% | |
| 35 | 11% | 67% | |
| 36 | 15% | 55% | Median |
| 37 | 7% | 40% | |
| 38 | 9% | 33% | |
| 39 | 6% | 24% | |
| 40 | 8% | 18% | |
| 41 | 4% | 10% | |
| 42 | 3% | 6% | |
| 43 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 18 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 20 | 7% | 97% | |
| 21 | 7% | 90% | Last Result |
| 22 | 18% | 82% | |
| 23 | 18% | 65% | Median |
| 24 | 12% | 47% | |
| 25 | 10% | 35% | |
| 26 | 10% | 24% | |
| 27 | 9% | 14% | |
| 28 | 3% | 6% | |
| 29 | 2% | 3% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 5% | 99.1% | |
| 13 | 9% | 94% | Last Result |
| 14 | 12% | 86% | |
| 15 | 19% | 74% | |
| 16 | 27% | 55% | Median |
| 17 | 16% | 29% | |
| 18 | 7% | 13% | |
| 19 | 4% | 6% | |
| 20 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 10 | 6% | 98% | |
| 11 | 20% | 92% | |
| 12 | 14% | 72% | |
| 13 | 31% | 58% | Median |
| 14 | 17% | 27% | |
| 15 | 6% | 10% | |
| 16 | 3% | 4% | |
| 17 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 7% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 9 | 24% | 92% | |
| 10 | 21% | 68% | Median |
| 11 | 21% | 47% | |
| 12 | 17% | 26% | |
| 13 | 8% | 10% | |
| 14 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 7% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 91% | |
| 5 | 0% | 91% | |
| 6 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 7 | 8% | 91% | |
| 8 | 35% | 83% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 24% | 48% | |
| 10 | 15% | 24% | |
| 11 | 7% | 10% | |
| 12 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 13 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10% | 100% | |
| 2 | 27% | 90% | |
| 3 | 18% | 63% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 44% | |
| 5 | 0% | 44% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 44% | |
| 7 | 16% | 44% | |
| 8 | 20% | 28% | |
| 9 | 7% | 9% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11% | 100% | |
| 1 | 7% | 89% | |
| 2 | 65% | 82% | Median |
| 3 | 15% | 17% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 7 | 2% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 75% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 7% | 25% | |
| 2 | 16% | 18% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 100 | 100% | 95–106 | 94–106 | 92–107 | 90–109 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 92 | 99.3% | 89–96 | 88–97 | 86–98 | 84–101 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 88 | 79% | 83–93 | 81–93 | 80–95 | 79–96 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 85 | 60% | 81–91 | 80–91 | 79–93 | 77–94 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 80 | 8% | 75–84 | 74–86 | 73–87 | 71–89 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 77 | 3% | 73–82 | 72–83 | 71–85 | 69–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 75 | 0.2% | 72–79 | 70–80 | 69–80 | 67–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 71 | 0% | 67–76 | 65–78 | 65–78 | 63–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 69 | 0% | 65–74 | 64–76 | 63–77 | 61–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 67 | 0% | 62–73 | 61–74 | 60–75 | 59–77 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 64 | 0% | 60–69 | 58–69 | 57–71 | 55–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 65 | 0% | 61–68 | 60–69 | 59–70 | 57–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 55 | 0% | 51–62 | 50–63 | 49–63 | 47–66 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 52 | 0% | 49–56 | 48–58 | 47–58 | 46–59 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 51 | 0% | 48–55 | 47–56 | 46–57 | 44–60 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 49 | 0% | 46–53 | 45–54 | 44–54 | 43–57 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 23 | 0% | 19–26 | 18–27 | 17–28 | 15–29 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 91 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 92 | 1.2% | 98.5% | |
| 93 | 2% | 97% | |
| 94 | 2% | 96% | |
| 95 | 7% | 93% | |
| 96 | 6% | 87% | Last Result |
| 97 | 4% | 80% | |
| 98 | 10% | 77% | |
| 99 | 12% | 66% | Median |
| 100 | 7% | 55% | |
| 101 | 8% | 48% | |
| 102 | 6% | 40% | |
| 103 | 10% | 34% | |
| 104 | 6% | 23% | |
| 105 | 5% | 17% | |
| 106 | 7% | 12% | |
| 107 | 3% | 4% | |
| 108 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 109 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 99.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.3% | 98.5% | |
| 87 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 88 | 3% | 96% | |
| 89 | 11% | 93% | Median |
| 90 | 7% | 81% | |
| 91 | 14% | 74% | |
| 92 | 10% | 60% | |
| 93 | 13% | 50% | |
| 94 | 12% | 36% | |
| 95 | 11% | 24% | |
| 96 | 6% | 13% | |
| 97 | 2% | 7% | |
| 98 | 2% | 5% | |
| 99 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 80 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 81 | 3% | 97% | |
| 82 | 2% | 95% | |
| 83 | 4% | 93% | |
| 84 | 10% | 89% | |
| 85 | 10% | 79% | Majority |
| 86 | 9% | 69% | Median |
| 87 | 7% | 60% | |
| 88 | 13% | 53% | |
| 89 | 10% | 40% | |
| 90 | 5% | 30% | |
| 91 | 8% | 25% | |
| 92 | 5% | 17% | |
| 93 | 9% | 13% | |
| 94 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 95 | 2% | 3% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 79 | 2% | 98% | |
| 80 | 2% | 95% | |
| 81 | 5% | 93% | |
| 82 | 9% | 88% | |
| 83 | 10% | 80% | |
| 84 | 10% | 70% | Median |
| 85 | 10% | 60% | Majority |
| 86 | 8% | 50% | |
| 87 | 11% | 42% | |
| 88 | 6% | 31% | |
| 89 | 6% | 25% | |
| 90 | 9% | 19% | |
| 91 | 6% | 10% | |
| 92 | 2% | 5% | |
| 93 | 2% | 3% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 73 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 74 | 2% | 96% | |
| 75 | 12% | 94% | |
| 76 | 3% | 82% | |
| 77 | 8% | 79% | |
| 78 | 5% | 72% | Median |
| 79 | 13% | 66% | |
| 80 | 10% | 53% | |
| 81 | 12% | 43% | |
| 82 | 9% | 31% | |
| 83 | 6% | 22% | |
| 84 | 8% | 16% | |
| 85 | 3% | 8% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 87 | 2% | 4% | |
| 88 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 71 | 2% | 98% | |
| 72 | 3% | 95% | |
| 73 | 4% | 92% | |
| 74 | 8% | 88% | |
| 75 | 10% | 80% | |
| 76 | 14% | 70% | Median |
| 77 | 14% | 56% | |
| 78 | 7% | 42% | |
| 79 | 7% | 35% | |
| 80 | 6% | 28% | |
| 81 | 6% | 22% | |
| 82 | 10% | 16% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 84 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 85 | 2% | 3% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 68 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 69 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 70 | 3% | 97% | |
| 71 | 3% | 94% | |
| 72 | 8% | 91% | |
| 73 | 18% | 83% | |
| 74 | 12% | 65% | |
| 75 | 7% | 52% | Median |
| 76 | 10% | 45% | |
| 77 | 14% | 36% | |
| 78 | 7% | 21% | |
| 79 | 8% | 14% | |
| 80 | 3% | 6% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 65 | 5% | 98.5% | |
| 66 | 4% | 94% | |
| 67 | 3% | 90% | |
| 68 | 7% | 87% | |
| 69 | 15% | 79% | |
| 70 | 9% | 64% | Median |
| 71 | 11% | 54% | |
| 72 | 3% | 43% | |
| 73 | 11% | 40% | |
| 74 | 4% | 29% | |
| 75 | 12% | 25% | |
| 76 | 5% | 13% | |
| 77 | 2% | 8% | |
| 78 | 3% | 6% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 63 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 64 | 3% | 95% | |
| 65 | 5% | 92% | |
| 66 | 12% | 88% | |
| 67 | 11% | 75% | |
| 68 | 8% | 64% | Median |
| 69 | 12% | 56% | |
| 70 | 5% | 44% | |
| 71 | 12% | 40% | |
| 72 | 4% | 28% | |
| 73 | 11% | 23% | |
| 74 | 5% | 12% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 76 | 3% | 6% | |
| 77 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 78 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 61 | 3% | 96% | |
| 62 | 7% | 93% | |
| 63 | 6% | 86% | |
| 64 | 7% | 81% | |
| 65 | 11% | 74% | Median |
| 66 | 9% | 63% | |
| 67 | 6% | 54% | |
| 68 | 14% | 49% | |
| 69 | 9% | 35% | |
| 70 | 6% | 26% | |
| 71 | 3% | 20% | |
| 72 | 6% | 17% | Last Result |
| 73 | 6% | 11% | |
| 74 | 2% | 5% | |
| 75 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 57 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 58 | 3% | 97% | |
| 59 | 3% | 94% | |
| 60 | 4% | 91% | |
| 61 | 11% | 88% | |
| 62 | 17% | 77% | |
| 63 | 6% | 60% | Median |
| 64 | 10% | 54% | |
| 65 | 7% | 44% | |
| 66 | 11% | 37% | |
| 67 | 9% | 25% | |
| 68 | 4% | 17% | |
| 69 | 8% | 12% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 71 | 2% | 4% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 59 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 60 | 5% | 97% | |
| 61 | 4% | 92% | |
| 62 | 4% | 88% | |
| 63 | 16% | 84% | |
| 64 | 15% | 69% | |
| 65 | 18% | 54% | Median |
| 66 | 16% | 36% | |
| 67 | 6% | 20% | |
| 68 | 6% | 14% | |
| 69 | 4% | 7% | |
| 70 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 49 | 2% | 98% | |
| 50 | 5% | 96% | |
| 51 | 5% | 91% | |
| 52 | 12% | 86% | |
| 53 | 7% | 74% | |
| 54 | 9% | 67% | Median |
| 55 | 9% | 58% | |
| 56 | 7% | 49% | |
| 57 | 9% | 42% | |
| 58 | 7% | 33% | |
| 59 | 8% | 26% | |
| 60 | 4% | 18% | |
| 61 | 2% | 14% | |
| 62 | 3% | 12% | |
| 63 | 6% | 8% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 2% | 98% | |
| 48 | 5% | 96% | |
| 49 | 7% | 91% | |
| 50 | 15% | 84% | |
| 51 | 18% | 68% | |
| 52 | 13% | 51% | Median |
| 53 | 9% | 38% | |
| 54 | 7% | 29% | |
| 55 | 12% | 22% | |
| 56 | 3% | 11% | |
| 57 | 3% | 8% | |
| 58 | 4% | 5% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 46 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 47 | 5% | 97% | |
| 48 | 7% | 92% | |
| 49 | 14% | 85% | |
| 50 | 15% | 71% | |
| 51 | 16% | 56% | Median |
| 52 | 15% | 40% | |
| 53 | 7% | 26% | |
| 54 | 7% | 19% | |
| 55 | 6% | 12% | |
| 56 | 2% | 6% | |
| 57 | 2% | 3% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 45 | 4% | 97% | |
| 46 | 6% | 93% | |
| 47 | 16% | 86% | |
| 48 | 15% | 70% | |
| 49 | 13% | 55% | Median |
| 50 | 17% | 43% | |
| 51 | 7% | 25% | |
| 52 | 7% | 19% | |
| 53 | 6% | 11% | |
| 54 | 3% | 5% | |
| 55 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 16 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 17 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 18 | 2% | 96% | |
| 19 | 5% | 94% | |
| 20 | 6% | 89% | |
| 21 | 11% | 83% | |
| 22 | 10% | 72% | |
| 23 | 19% | 62% | Median |
| 24 | 17% | 43% | |
| 25 | 9% | 26% | |
| 26 | 10% | 17% | |
| 27 | 4% | 7% | |
| 28 | 2% | 3% | |
| 29 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Respons Analyse
- Commissioner(s): VG
- Fieldwork period: 4–9 January 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1001
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.68%