Opinion Poll by InFact for Nettavisen, 11 January 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 29.1% | 27.4–31.0% | 26.9–31.5% | 26.4–32.0% | 25.6–32.9% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 20.5% | 19.0–22.2% | 18.5–22.6% | 18.2–23.1% | 17.4–23.9% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 13.1% | 11.9–14.6% | 11.5–15.0% | 11.2–15.3% | 10.6–16.0% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8–8.9% | 6.5–9.3% | 6.3–9.6% | 5.9–10.1% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.2% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.0% | 5.2–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.4–8.2% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.2–5.6% | 2.9–6.1% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.7% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.6–4.4% | 2.4–4.6% | 2.1–5.1% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7–1.6% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.6–1.9% | 0.5–2.2% |
| Folkets parti | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.2% |
| Liberalistene | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.2% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.2% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.0–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
| Helsepartiet | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.0–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 49 | 48–55 | 48–57 | 48–57 | 46–57 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 46 | 38–46 | 37–46 | 37–46 | 36–48 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 21 | 20–25 | 20–29 | 19–29 | 19–30 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 13 | 12–15 | 11–17 | 10–17 | 10–17 |
| Rødt | 8 | 12 | 8–15 | 8–15 | 8–15 | 8–16 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 11 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 8–13 | 8–14 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 9 | 3–9 | 3–9 | 3–10 | 3–10 |
| Venstre | 8 | 7 | 3–9 | 2–11 | 2–11 | 2–11 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 1–7 | 1–7 | 1–7 | 1–9 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–2 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Folkets parti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liberalistene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Helsepartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 48 | 28% | 98% | |
| 49 | 40% | 70% | Median |
| 50 | 4% | 30% | |
| 51 | 13% | 26% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 13% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 13% | |
| 54 | 0% | 12% | |
| 55 | 5% | 12% | |
| 56 | 0% | 7% | |
| 57 | 7% | 7% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 6% | 99.4% | |
| 38 | 10% | 94% | |
| 39 | 1.0% | 83% | |
| 40 | 3% | 82% | |
| 41 | 5% | 79% | |
| 42 | 1.1% | 74% | |
| 43 | 4% | 73% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 69% | |
| 45 | 13% | 69% | |
| 46 | 54% | 55% | Median |
| 47 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 48 | 1.0% | 1.0% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 42% | 95% | |
| 21 | 37% | 53% | Last Result, Median |
| 22 | 0.4% | 17% | |
| 23 | 3% | 16% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 13% | |
| 25 | 6% | 12% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 29 | 5% | 6% | |
| 30 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 5% | 100% | |
| 11 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 12 | 32% | 94% | |
| 13 | 14% | 62% | Last Result, Median |
| 14 | 29% | 48% | |
| 15 | 10% | 19% | |
| 16 | 3% | 9% | |
| 17 | 6% | 6% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 28% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.1% | 72% | |
| 10 | 12% | 72% | |
| 11 | 6% | 60% | |
| 12 | 14% | 54% | Median |
| 13 | 9% | 40% | |
| 14 | 1.3% | 31% | |
| 15 | 29% | 30% | |
| 16 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 9% | 96% | |
| 10 | 1.1% | 86% | |
| 11 | 56% | 85% | Median |
| 12 | 22% | 29% | |
| 13 | 6% | 7% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 35% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 65% | |
| 5 | 0% | 65% | |
| 6 | 0% | 65% | |
| 7 | 5% | 65% | |
| 8 | 3% | 59% | |
| 9 | 52% | 56% | Median |
| 10 | 4% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 9% | 100% | |
| 3 | 6% | 91% | |
| 4 | 0% | 85% | |
| 5 | 0% | 85% | |
| 6 | 0% | 85% | |
| 7 | 69% | 85% | Median |
| 8 | 3% | 15% | Last Result |
| 9 | 5% | 12% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 8% | |
| 11 | 7% | 8% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28% | 100% | |
| 2 | 31% | 72% | Median |
| 3 | 7% | 41% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 34% | |
| 5 | 0% | 34% | |
| 6 | 0% | 34% | |
| 7 | 32% | 34% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 9 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 2 | 2% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Folkets parti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Folkets parti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Helsepartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Helsepartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 96 | 95 | 100% | 91–100 | 91–104 | 91–104 | 86–104 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 88 | 73% | 82–93 | 82–96 | 82–97 | 82–97 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 68 | 84 | 44% | 80–92 | 80–92 | 80–92 | 77–92 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 84 | 28% | 76–88 | 76–88 | 76–88 | 75–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 80 | 27% | 74–86 | 72–86 | 71–86 | 71–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 76 | 27% | 74–85 | 71–85 | 71–85 | 69–85 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 77 | 0.6% | 75–83 | 75–84 | 75–84 | 72–85 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 70 | 0.1% | 68–80 | 68–82 | 68–82 | 67–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 73 | 0% | 68–77 | 64–77 | 64–77 | 64–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 73 | 0% | 66–76 | 66–76 | 66–76 | 64–80 |
| Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 47 | 64 | 0% | 59–71 | 59–71 | 59–73 | 57–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 63 | 0% | 60–73 | 54–73 | 54–73 | 54–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 69 | 0% | 63–71 | 60–71 | 60–71 | 60–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 60 | 0% | 57–66 | 53–66 | 53–66 | 52–66 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 58 | 0% | 53–60 | 51–60 | 51–60 | 51–62 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 57 | 0% | 50–57 | 49–57 | 49–57 | 48–57 |
| Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 39 | 27 | 0% | 19–28 | 18–32 | 18–32 | 16–32 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 91 | 26% | 98.7% | |
| 92 | 0% | 72% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 72% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 72% | |
| 95 | 28% | 72% | |
| 96 | 2% | 44% | Last Result |
| 97 | 15% | 42% | Median |
| 98 | 3% | 27% | |
| 99 | 5% | 24% | |
| 100 | 10% | 19% | |
| 101 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 8% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 8% | |
| 104 | 8% | 8% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 82 | 26% | 99.6% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 73% | |
| 84 | 0% | 73% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 73% | Majority |
| 86 | 15% | 73% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 58% | |
| 88 | 8% | 58% | Median |
| 89 | 0.6% | 50% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 49% | |
| 91 | 30% | 48% | |
| 92 | 0.8% | 18% | |
| 93 | 8% | 18% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 95 | 4% | 9% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 97 | 5% | 5% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 80 | 27% | 98.7% | |
| 81 | 0% | 72% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 72% | |
| 83 | 0% | 72% | |
| 84 | 28% | 72% | |
| 85 | 16% | 44% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.8% | 28% | Median |
| 87 | 6% | 27% | |
| 88 | 0.6% | 21% | |
| 89 | 3% | 21% | |
| 90 | 5% | 18% | |
| 91 | 2% | 13% | |
| 92 | 11% | 12% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 76 | 12% | 99.0% | |
| 77 | 0.8% | 87% | |
| 78 | 5% | 87% | |
| 79 | 3% | 82% | |
| 80 | 1.0% | 79% | |
| 81 | 6% | 78% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 72% | |
| 83 | 16% | 72% | |
| 84 | 28% | 56% | Median |
| 85 | 0% | 28% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 28% | |
| 87 | 0% | 28% | |
| 88 | 27% | 28% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 90 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 91 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 73 | 5% | 95% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 75 | 8% | 90% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 82% | |
| 77 | 30% | 82% | |
| 78 | 0.9% | 51% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 50% | |
| 80 | 8% | 50% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 42% | |
| 82 | 14% | 41% | Median |
| 83 | 0.1% | 27% | |
| 84 | 0% | 27% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 27% | Majority |
| 86 | 26% | 27% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 71 | 7% | 99.3% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 92% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 91% | |
| 74 | 5% | 90% | |
| 75 | 11% | 85% | |
| 76 | 29% | 73% | |
| 77 | 1.4% | 45% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 43% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 43% | |
| 80 | 13% | 43% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 29% | Median |
| 82 | 0.7% | 29% | |
| 83 | 1.0% | 28% | |
| 84 | 0% | 27% | |
| 85 | 27% | 27% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 73 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 74 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 75 | 29% | 98% | |
| 76 | 14% | 70% | |
| 77 | 27% | 56% | Median |
| 78 | 0.1% | 29% | |
| 79 | 3% | 29% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 26% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 26% | |
| 82 | 2% | 26% | |
| 83 | 17% | 24% | |
| 84 | 6% | 7% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.6% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 28% | 99.0% | |
| 69 | 14% | 71% | |
| 70 | 27% | 58% | Median |
| 71 | 3% | 31% | |
| 72 | 8% | 29% | |
| 73 | 2% | 21% | |
| 74 | 5% | 19% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 14% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 14% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 13% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 13% | |
| 79 | 0% | 13% | |
| 80 | 7% | 13% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 82 | 6% | 6% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 8% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 92% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 91% | |
| 68 | 10% | 90% | |
| 69 | 5% | 80% | |
| 70 | 3% | 75% | |
| 71 | 15% | 72% | |
| 72 | 2% | 57% | Last Result |
| 73 | 28% | 55% | Median |
| 74 | 0.2% | 28% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 28% | |
| 76 | 0% | 28% | |
| 77 | 26% | 28% | |
| 78 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 80 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 82 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 66 | 14% | 98% | |
| 67 | 6% | 84% | |
| 68 | 7% | 77% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 70% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 70% | |
| 71 | 13% | 69% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 56% | Median |
| 73 | 27% | 56% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 29% | |
| 75 | 0% | 29% | |
| 76 | 27% | 29% | |
| 77 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 80 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 59 | 27% | 98.8% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 72% | |
| 61 | 6% | 71% | |
| 62 | 9% | 66% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 57% | |
| 64 | 28% | 57% | |
| 65 | 14% | 29% | Median |
| 66 | 0.2% | 15% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 15% | |
| 68 | 2% | 15% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 12% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 12% | |
| 71 | 8% | 12% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 73 | 4% | 4% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 6% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 2% | 94% | |
| 56 | 0% | 92% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 92% | |
| 59 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 60 | 8% | 90% | |
| 61 | 3% | 83% | |
| 62 | 27% | 79% | |
| 63 | 5% | 53% | |
| 64 | 5% | 48% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 43% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 43% | |
| 67 | 13% | 42% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 29% | Median |
| 69 | 1.0% | 29% | |
| 70 | 0% | 28% | |
| 71 | 0% | 27% | |
| 72 | 0% | 27% | |
| 73 | 27% | 27% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 63 | 5% | 94% | |
| 64 | 4% | 89% | |
| 65 | 9% | 85% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 76% | |
| 67 | 6% | 75% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 70% | |
| 69 | 28% | 69% | |
| 70 | 13% | 41% | Median |
| 71 | 28% | 28% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 6% | 98% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 92% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 57 | 5% | 91% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 86% | |
| 59 | 10% | 85% | |
| 60 | 33% | 75% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 42% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 42% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 42% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 42% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 41% | |
| 66 | 41% | 41% | Median |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 51 | 5% | 99.5% | |
| 52 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 53 | 9% | 93% | |
| 54 | 8% | 85% | |
| 55 | 7% | 77% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 70% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 69% | |
| 58 | 41% | 69% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 28% | Median |
| 60 | 26% | 28% | |
| 61 | 0% | 1.3% | Last Result |
| 62 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 5% | 98.6% | |
| 50 | 19% | 94% | |
| 51 | 4% | 75% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 70% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 70% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 69% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 69% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 69% | |
| 57 | 68% | 69% | Median |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 2% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 18 | 6% | 98% | |
| 19 | 6% | 92% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 86% | |
| 21 | 27% | 86% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 59% | |
| 23 | 0.6% | 59% | |
| 24 | 2% | 59% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 56% | |
| 26 | 4% | 56% | |
| 27 | 31% | 52% | Median |
| 28 | 14% | 21% | |
| 29 | 0% | 8% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 8% | |
| 31 | 0% | 8% | |
| 32 | 8% | 8% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: InFact
- Commissioner(s): Nettavisen
- Fieldwork period: 11 January 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1044
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.65%