Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse, 6 February 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 31.9% | 29.6–34.2% | 29.0–34.9% | 28.4–35.5% | 27.4–36.6% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 16.7% | 15.0–18.7% | 14.5–19.3% | 14.1–19.8% | 13.3–20.7% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 12.7% | 11.2–14.5% | 10.8–15.0% | 10.4–15.5% | 9.7–16.4% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.5–10.3% | 7.1–10.7% | 6.8–11.1% | 6.3–11.9% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 7.9% | 6.7–9.3% | 6.3–9.8% | 6.1–10.1% | 5.5–10.9% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.0% | 4.1–6.3% | 3.8–6.6% | 3.6–7.0% | 3.2–7.6% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.3–5.3% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.9–5.9% | 2.5–6.5% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.8–5.3% | 2.6–5.6% | 2.3–6.2% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.8–4.6% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.4–5.2% | 2.1–5.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 57 | 52–64 | 51–65 | 50–66 | 48–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 33 | 30–37 | 28–37 | 28–38 | 25–41 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 23 | 18–29 | 18–29 | 17–30 | 17–32 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 14 | 10–17 | 10–18 | 9–18 | 8–20 |
| Rødt | 8 | 12 | 10–15 | 9–16 | 8–17 | 8–19 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 7 | 6–10 | 2–12 | 1–13 | 0–14 |
| Venstre | 8 | 6 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–10 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 6 | 2–7 | 2–8 | 1–9 | 1–9 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 1–7 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 1–9 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 50 | 2% | 98% | |
| 51 | 4% | 97% | |
| 52 | 6% | 92% | |
| 53 | 9% | 86% | |
| 54 | 9% | 77% | |
| 55 | 4% | 67% | |
| 56 | 3% | 64% | |
| 57 | 15% | 60% | Median |
| 58 | 6% | 45% | |
| 59 | 10% | 39% | |
| 60 | 8% | 29% | |
| 61 | 4% | 20% | |
| 62 | 2% | 16% | |
| 63 | 3% | 14% | |
| 64 | 5% | 11% | |
| 65 | 2% | 7% | |
| 66 | 3% | 5% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 26 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 27 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 28 | 3% | 98% | |
| 29 | 2% | 95% | |
| 30 | 5% | 93% | |
| 31 | 8% | 88% | |
| 32 | 21% | 80% | |
| 33 | 15% | 59% | Median |
| 34 | 11% | 43% | |
| 35 | 15% | 33% | |
| 36 | 4% | 18% | |
| 37 | 10% | 14% | |
| 38 | 2% | 4% | |
| 39 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 10% | 96% | |
| 19 | 7% | 86% | |
| 20 | 7% | 79% | |
| 21 | 11% | 72% | Last Result |
| 22 | 11% | 61% | |
| 23 | 13% | 50% | Median |
| 24 | 6% | 37% | |
| 25 | 9% | 31% | |
| 26 | 4% | 22% | |
| 27 | 3% | 18% | |
| 28 | 5% | 15% | |
| 29 | 6% | 10% | |
| 30 | 3% | 4% | |
| 31 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 9 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 10 | 9% | 96% | |
| 11 | 7% | 86% | |
| 12 | 19% | 80% | |
| 13 | 11% | 61% | Last Result |
| 14 | 13% | 50% | Median |
| 15 | 13% | 38% | |
| 16 | 10% | 24% | |
| 17 | 8% | 14% | |
| 18 | 4% | 6% | |
| 19 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 3% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 9 | 6% | 97% | |
| 10 | 12% | 91% | |
| 11 | 18% | 79% | |
| 12 | 25% | 61% | Median |
| 13 | 15% | 36% | |
| 14 | 8% | 21% | |
| 15 | 7% | 13% | |
| 16 | 2% | 6% | |
| 17 | 3% | 4% | |
| 18 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 3% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 3 | 0% | 94% | |
| 4 | 0% | 94% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 94% | |
| 6 | 20% | 93% | |
| 7 | 25% | 73% | Median |
| 8 | 20% | 48% | |
| 9 | 14% | 28% | |
| 10 | 5% | 14% | |
| 11 | 4% | 9% | |
| 12 | 2% | 5% | |
| 13 | 2% | 3% | |
| 14 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 25% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 13% | 75% | |
| 4 | 0% | 62% | |
| 5 | 2% | 62% | |
| 6 | 21% | 60% | Median |
| 7 | 22% | 39% | |
| 8 | 13% | 17% | Last Result |
| 9 | 3% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 2 | 16% | 97% | |
| 3 | 28% | 82% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 53% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 53% | |
| 6 | 22% | 53% | Median |
| 7 | 21% | 30% | |
| 8 | 6% | 9% | |
| 9 | 2% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13% | 100% | |
| 2 | 47% | 87% | Median |
| 3 | 12% | 40% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0.1% | 28% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 27% | |
| 6 | 13% | 26% | |
| 7 | 9% | 13% | |
| 8 | 4% | 4% | |
| 9 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 97 | 99.9% | 92–103 | 91–105 | 89–106 | 86–109 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 94 | 96% | 86–100 | 85–101 | 84–102 | 80–105 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 90 | 86% | 84–97 | 82–99 | 80–99 | 77–102 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 86 | 59% | 79–92 | 77–93 | 75–95 | 74–98 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 80 | 17% | 74–86 | 73–87 | 72–89 | 70–92 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 70 | 0% | 63–76 | 62–78 | 61–79 | 58–82 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 68 | 0% | 61–73 | 59–75 | 58–77 | 55–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 66 | 0% | 61–72 | 59–74 | 58–76 | 55–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 62 | 0% | 57–67 | 56–69 | 54–71 | 51–74 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 62 | 0% | 56–68 | 55–70 | 53–71 | 51–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 58 | 0% | 52–63 | 50–64 | 50–66 | 47–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 54 | 0% | 50–59 | 48–61 | 47–62 | 44–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 49 | 0% | 43–55 | 42–55 | 40–56 | 38–60 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 47 | 0% | 43–51 | 41–52 | 41–54 | 38–55 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 46 | 0% | 40–50 | 39–52 | 37–53 | 34–56 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 41 | 0% | 37–45 | 35–46 | 34–47 | 31–50 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 18 | 0% | 13–21 | 11–23 | 10–24 | 6–27 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 88 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 89 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 90 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 91 | 3% | 95% | |
| 92 | 3% | 92% | |
| 93 | 7% | 89% | |
| 94 | 5% | 83% | |
| 95 | 9% | 78% | |
| 96 | 10% | 68% | Last Result |
| 97 | 10% | 58% | |
| 98 | 9% | 48% | |
| 99 | 4% | 40% | Median |
| 100 | 6% | 36% | |
| 101 | 11% | 30% | |
| 102 | 3% | 18% | |
| 103 | 6% | 15% | |
| 104 | 2% | 10% | |
| 105 | 4% | 7% | |
| 106 | 2% | 3% | |
| 107 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 108 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 84 | 2% | 98% | |
| 85 | 2% | 96% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 94% | |
| 87 | 3% | 90% | |
| 88 | 2% | 86% | |
| 89 | 4% | 84% | |
| 90 | 7% | 80% | |
| 91 | 9% | 73% | |
| 92 | 6% | 64% | |
| 93 | 7% | 59% | |
| 94 | 6% | 51% | Median |
| 95 | 9% | 45% | |
| 96 | 11% | 36% | |
| 97 | 7% | 26% | |
| 98 | 4% | 19% | |
| 99 | 4% | 15% | |
| 100 | 3% | 11% | |
| 101 | 5% | 8% | |
| 102 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 103 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 105 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 80 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 81 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 82 | 3% | 96% | |
| 83 | 2% | 93% | |
| 84 | 5% | 91% | |
| 85 | 4% | 86% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 82% | |
| 87 | 5% | 76% | |
| 88 | 8% | 71% | |
| 89 | 10% | 63% | |
| 90 | 7% | 53% | |
| 91 | 5% | 46% | |
| 92 | 7% | 41% | Median |
| 93 | 5% | 34% | |
| 94 | 11% | 29% | |
| 95 | 6% | 18% | |
| 96 | 1.1% | 12% | |
| 97 | 3% | 11% | |
| 98 | 3% | 8% | |
| 99 | 3% | 5% | |
| 100 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 102 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 75 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 76 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 77 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 78 | 2% | 95% | |
| 79 | 3% | 92% | |
| 80 | 7% | 89% | |
| 81 | 4% | 82% | |
| 82 | 7% | 78% | |
| 83 | 4% | 71% | |
| 84 | 8% | 67% | |
| 85 | 7% | 59% | Majority |
| 86 | 10% | 51% | Median |
| 87 | 11% | 41% | |
| 88 | 6% | 30% | |
| 89 | 6% | 24% | |
| 90 | 2% | 18% | |
| 91 | 5% | 16% | |
| 92 | 3% | 11% | |
| 93 | 3% | 8% | |
| 94 | 2% | 4% | |
| 95 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 96 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 72 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 73 | 3% | 96% | |
| 74 | 5% | 93% | |
| 75 | 4% | 88% | |
| 76 | 4% | 84% | |
| 77 | 7% | 80% | |
| 78 | 11% | 73% | |
| 79 | 8% | 62% | |
| 80 | 11% | 54% | Median |
| 81 | 4% | 43% | |
| 82 | 8% | 39% | |
| 83 | 7% | 31% | |
| 84 | 6% | 23% | |
| 85 | 4% | 17% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 13% | |
| 87 | 5% | 10% | |
| 88 | 2% | 5% | |
| 89 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 92 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 60 | 1.2% | 98.8% | |
| 61 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 62 | 4% | 97% | |
| 63 | 4% | 93% | |
| 64 | 3% | 89% | |
| 65 | 4% | 86% | |
| 66 | 10% | 82% | |
| 67 | 5% | 72% | |
| 68 | 8% | 67% | Median |
| 69 | 5% | 59% | |
| 70 | 8% | 54% | |
| 71 | 10% | 46% | |
| 72 | 7% | 36% | |
| 73 | 9% | 29% | |
| 74 | 6% | 20% | |
| 75 | 3% | 14% | |
| 76 | 4% | 11% | |
| 77 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 78 | 2% | 5% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 80 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 98.5% | |
| 58 | 3% | 98% | |
| 59 | 3% | 95% | |
| 60 | 2% | 92% | |
| 61 | 4% | 91% | |
| 62 | 6% | 87% | |
| 63 | 6% | 81% | |
| 64 | 5% | 75% | |
| 65 | 5% | 70% | |
| 66 | 7% | 65% | |
| 67 | 7% | 58% | |
| 68 | 6% | 51% | |
| 69 | 7% | 46% | Median |
| 70 | 11% | 39% | |
| 71 | 10% | 28% | |
| 72 | 5% | 18% | |
| 73 | 5% | 13% | |
| 74 | 2% | 8% | |
| 75 | 2% | 6% | |
| 76 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 77 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 79 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 58 | 2% | 98% | |
| 59 | 2% | 96% | |
| 60 | 4% | 95% | |
| 61 | 5% | 90% | |
| 62 | 5% | 86% | |
| 63 | 5% | 80% | |
| 64 | 8% | 75% | |
| 65 | 13% | 67% | |
| 66 | 5% | 54% | Median |
| 67 | 9% | 49% | |
| 68 | 9% | 40% | |
| 69 | 7% | 32% | |
| 70 | 7% | 24% | |
| 71 | 5% | 18% | |
| 72 | 3% | 13% | |
| 73 | 3% | 10% | |
| 74 | 2% | 7% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 76 | 2% | 4% | |
| 77 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 54 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 55 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 56 | 4% | 96% | |
| 57 | 7% | 91% | |
| 58 | 3% | 85% | |
| 59 | 10% | 82% | |
| 60 | 6% | 72% | |
| 61 | 8% | 66% | Median |
| 62 | 9% | 58% | |
| 63 | 10% | 49% | |
| 64 | 11% | 39% | |
| 65 | 8% | 29% | |
| 66 | 9% | 20% | |
| 67 | 3% | 12% | |
| 68 | 3% | 9% | |
| 69 | 2% | 6% | |
| 70 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 71 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 2% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 54 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 55 | 2% | 95% | |
| 56 | 4% | 94% | |
| 57 | 2% | 89% | |
| 58 | 5% | 87% | |
| 59 | 5% | 81% | |
| 60 | 13% | 76% | |
| 61 | 5% | 64% | |
| 62 | 10% | 58% | Median |
| 63 | 8% | 48% | |
| 64 | 6% | 40% | |
| 65 | 9% | 34% | |
| 66 | 8% | 25% | |
| 67 | 4% | 17% | |
| 68 | 4% | 13% | |
| 69 | 3% | 10% | |
| 70 | 2% | 6% | |
| 71 | 3% | 4% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 50 | 3% | 98% | |
| 51 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 52 | 5% | 93% | |
| 53 | 11% | 88% | |
| 54 | 3% | 77% | |
| 55 | 6% | 74% | |
| 56 | 6% | 68% | Median |
| 57 | 8% | 61% | |
| 58 | 8% | 53% | |
| 59 | 10% | 45% | |
| 60 | 9% | 35% | |
| 61 | 7% | 25% | |
| 62 | 6% | 19% | |
| 63 | 6% | 13% | |
| 64 | 2% | 7% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 66 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 47 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 48 | 3% | 97% | |
| 49 | 3% | 93% | |
| 50 | 5% | 90% | |
| 51 | 14% | 85% | |
| 52 | 2% | 71% | |
| 53 | 14% | 68% | |
| 54 | 6% | 54% | Median |
| 55 | 7% | 49% | |
| 56 | 9% | 41% | |
| 57 | 11% | 32% | |
| 58 | 7% | 21% | |
| 59 | 6% | 15% | |
| 60 | 3% | 9% | |
| 61 | 2% | 6% | |
| 62 | 2% | 4% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 39 | 1.4% | 99.1% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 41 | 2% | 97% | |
| 42 | 2% | 95% | |
| 43 | 4% | 93% | |
| 44 | 4% | 89% | |
| 45 | 7% | 85% | |
| 46 | 6% | 78% | |
| 47 | 6% | 72% | |
| 48 | 15% | 66% | Median |
| 49 | 11% | 51% | |
| 50 | 7% | 40% | |
| 51 | 5% | 33% | |
| 52 | 7% | 28% | |
| 53 | 4% | 21% | |
| 54 | 6% | 16% | |
| 55 | 6% | 10% | |
| 56 | 2% | 5% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 40 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 41 | 3% | 98% | |
| 42 | 4% | 95% | |
| 43 | 5% | 91% | |
| 44 | 11% | 86% | |
| 45 | 9% | 75% | |
| 46 | 12% | 66% | |
| 47 | 13% | 54% | Median |
| 48 | 10% | 41% | |
| 49 | 10% | 31% | |
| 50 | 9% | 21% | |
| 51 | 4% | 12% | |
| 52 | 4% | 8% | |
| 53 | 2% | 4% | |
| 54 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 37 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 38 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 39 | 2% | 96% | |
| 40 | 4% | 94% | |
| 41 | 3% | 90% | |
| 42 | 8% | 87% | |
| 43 | 6% | 80% | |
| 44 | 10% | 73% | |
| 45 | 7% | 64% | |
| 46 | 16% | 57% | Median |
| 47 | 14% | 41% | |
| 48 | 6% | 27% | |
| 49 | 9% | 21% | |
| 50 | 4% | 12% | |
| 51 | 3% | 8% | |
| 52 | 2% | 6% | |
| 53 | 2% | 4% | |
| 54 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 32 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 33 | 1.0% | 98.5% | |
| 34 | 2% | 98% | |
| 35 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 36 | 2% | 94% | |
| 37 | 5% | 93% | |
| 38 | 5% | 87% | |
| 39 | 17% | 82% | |
| 40 | 9% | 65% | Median |
| 41 | 20% | 56% | |
| 42 | 7% | 36% | |
| 43 | 10% | 29% | |
| 44 | 8% | 19% | |
| 45 | 4% | 11% | |
| 46 | 2% | 7% | |
| 47 | 2% | 5% | |
| 48 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 7 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 10 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 11 | 2% | 97% | |
| 12 | 5% | 95% | |
| 13 | 2% | 90% | |
| 14 | 8% | 88% | |
| 15 | 9% | 80% | |
| 16 | 7% | 70% | |
| 17 | 9% | 64% | |
| 18 | 10% | 55% | |
| 19 | 17% | 45% | Median |
| 20 | 7% | 28% | |
| 21 | 11% | 21% | |
| 22 | 3% | 10% | |
| 23 | 2% | 7% | |
| 24 | 2% | 4% | |
| 25 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
- Fieldwork period: 6 February 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 675
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.98%