Opinion Poll by Respons Analyse for VG, 8–13 February 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 32.4% | 30.5–34.3% | 30.0–34.9% | 29.6–35.4% | 28.7–36.3% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 18.6% | 17.1–20.3% | 16.7–20.7% | 16.3–21.1% | 15.6–21.9% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 12.8% | 11.5–14.3% | 11.2–14.7% | 10.9–15.0% | 10.3–15.7% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.4–10.8% | 8.1–11.2% | 7.8–11.5% | 7.3–12.1% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.4–7.4% | 5.2–7.7% | 5.0–8.0% | 4.6–8.6% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.3% | 4.5–6.3% | 4.3–6.6% | 4.1–6.9% | 3.7–7.4% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0–5.8% | 3.8–6.1% | 3.6–6.3% | 3.3–6.8% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.5–3.4% | 1.3–3.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 57 | 53–62 | 52–64 | 52–65 | 50–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 36 | 33–39 | 33–40 | 32–42 | 31–43 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 22 | 18–26 | 18–28 | 18–29 | 17–30 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 16 | 13–18 | 12–19 | 12–19 | 11–21 |
| Rødt | 8 | 10 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 7–14 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 9 | 7–11 | 6–12 | 6–12 | 0–13 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 3–9 | 3–10 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 2–6 | 2–7 | 1–8 | 0–8 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 1.5% | 99.1% | |
| 52 | 5% | 98% | |
| 53 | 9% | 92% | |
| 54 | 8% | 84% | |
| 55 | 7% | 76% | |
| 56 | 12% | 68% | |
| 57 | 8% | 56% | Median |
| 58 | 8% | 48% | |
| 59 | 10% | 40% | |
| 60 | 12% | 30% | |
| 61 | 4% | 18% | |
| 62 | 5% | 14% | |
| 63 | 3% | 8% | |
| 64 | 2% | 5% | |
| 65 | 2% | 4% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 32 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 33 | 13% | 97% | |
| 34 | 9% | 84% | |
| 35 | 23% | 76% | |
| 36 | 17% | 53% | Median |
| 37 | 18% | 36% | |
| 38 | 4% | 18% | |
| 39 | 5% | 14% | |
| 40 | 5% | 9% | |
| 41 | 2% | 4% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 43 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 18 | 14% | 98.7% | |
| 19 | 12% | 85% | |
| 20 | 7% | 73% | |
| 21 | 7% | 67% | Last Result |
| 22 | 12% | 60% | Median |
| 23 | 25% | 48% | |
| 24 | 5% | 23% | |
| 25 | 5% | 18% | |
| 26 | 4% | 13% | |
| 27 | 3% | 9% | |
| 28 | 3% | 6% | |
| 29 | 2% | 4% | |
| 30 | 2% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 11 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 12 | 4% | 98.5% | |
| 13 | 7% | 94% | Last Result |
| 14 | 18% | 88% | |
| 15 | 13% | 70% | |
| 16 | 22% | 57% | Median |
| 17 | 11% | 35% | |
| 18 | 18% | 24% | |
| 19 | 4% | 6% | |
| 20 | 2% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 7 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 8% | 98% | Last Result |
| 9 | 20% | 90% | |
| 10 | 28% | 70% | Median |
| 11 | 21% | 41% | |
| 12 | 14% | 20% | |
| 13 | 5% | 6% | |
| 14 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 1 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 5% | 98% | |
| 7 | 14% | 93% | |
| 8 | 24% | 80% | |
| 9 | 27% | 55% | Median |
| 10 | 12% | 28% | |
| 11 | 10% | 16% | |
| 12 | 4% | 6% | |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 7% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 90% | |
| 5 | 0% | 90% | |
| 6 | 3% | 90% | |
| 7 | 21% | 87% | |
| 8 | 30% | 65% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 28% | 35% | |
| 10 | 6% | 8% | |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 1 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 2 | 41% | 96% | |
| 3 | 33% | 55% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 21% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 21% | |
| 6 | 12% | 21% | |
| 7 | 7% | 10% | |
| 8 | 2% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 100% | |
| 1 | 85% | 94% | Median |
| 2 | 9% | 10% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 99 | 100% | 95–104 | 93–105 | 92–107 | 90–108 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 91 | 97% | 86–96 | 85–98 | 84–99 | 83–102 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 90 | 93% | 85–95 | 84–97 | 83–98 | 81–101 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 87 | 76% | 82–92 | 81–93 | 80–95 | 78–98 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 79 | 11% | 75–85 | 74–86 | 73–87 | 71–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 72 | 0% | 67–77 | 65–78 | 64–79 | 61–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 71 | 0% | 66–76 | 64–77 | 63–78 | 60–80 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 68 | 0% | 63–74 | 62–75 | 61–76 | 59–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 65 | 0% | 60–69 | 59–71 | 58–72 | 56–74 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 63 | 0% | 59–67 | 58–69 | 57–70 | 54–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 61 | 0% | 57–66 | 56–67 | 55–68 | 52–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 60 | 0% | 56–64 | 55–66 | 53–67 | 51–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 52 | 0% | 48–55 | 47–57 | 46–58 | 44–60 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 49 | 0% | 45–53 | 45–54 | 43–56 | 40–58 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 48 | 0% | 44–52 | 43–53 | 42–55 | 39–57 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 45 | 0% | 42–48 | 41–49 | 39–50 | 36–52 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 20 | 0% | 15–23 | 14–24 | 13–25 | 11–28 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 91 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 92 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 93 | 3% | 97% | |
| 94 | 3% | 94% | |
| 95 | 6% | 91% | |
| 96 | 10% | 85% | Last Result |
| 97 | 10% | 75% | |
| 98 | 11% | 65% | |
| 99 | 8% | 54% | Median |
| 100 | 14% | 47% | |
| 101 | 5% | 33% | |
| 102 | 7% | 27% | |
| 103 | 10% | 20% | |
| 104 | 5% | 11% | |
| 105 | 3% | 6% | |
| 106 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 107 | 2% | 3% | |
| 108 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 83 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 84 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 85 | 3% | 97% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 94% | |
| 87 | 2% | 90% | |
| 88 | 14% | 88% | |
| 89 | 7% | 74% | |
| 90 | 12% | 67% | |
| 91 | 6% | 55% | Median |
| 92 | 8% | 50% | |
| 93 | 12% | 41% | |
| 94 | 5% | 29% | |
| 95 | 10% | 24% | |
| 96 | 4% | 14% | |
| 97 | 4% | 10% | |
| 98 | 2% | 6% | |
| 99 | 2% | 4% | |
| 100 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 101 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 102 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 83 | 1.5% | 98.7% | |
| 84 | 5% | 97% | |
| 85 | 3% | 93% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 90% | |
| 87 | 13% | 87% | |
| 88 | 6% | 74% | |
| 89 | 12% | 67% | |
| 90 | 6% | 55% | Median |
| 91 | 8% | 49% | |
| 92 | 11% | 41% | |
| 93 | 5% | 29% | |
| 94 | 11% | 25% | |
| 95 | 4% | 14% | |
| 96 | 4% | 9% | |
| 97 | 2% | 6% | |
| 98 | 2% | 4% | |
| 99 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 80 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 81 | 3% | 97% | |
| 82 | 4% | 94% | |
| 83 | 4% | 89% | |
| 84 | 10% | 86% | |
| 85 | 8% | 76% | Majority |
| 86 | 15% | 68% | |
| 87 | 12% | 53% | Median |
| 88 | 7% | 41% | |
| 89 | 5% | 34% | |
| 90 | 8% | 29% | |
| 91 | 8% | 21% | |
| 92 | 5% | 13% | |
| 93 | 3% | 8% | |
| 94 | 2% | 4% | |
| 95 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 97 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 73 | 2% | 98% | |
| 74 | 4% | 97% | |
| 75 | 8% | 93% | |
| 76 | 9% | 85% | |
| 77 | 5% | 76% | |
| 78 | 14% | 71% | |
| 79 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 80 | 10% | 48% | |
| 81 | 5% | 38% | |
| 82 | 14% | 33% | |
| 83 | 7% | 20% | |
| 84 | 2% | 12% | |
| 85 | 6% | 11% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 5% | |
| 87 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 88 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 63 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 65 | 3% | 97% | |
| 66 | 3% | 94% | |
| 67 | 4% | 91% | |
| 68 | 5% | 87% | |
| 69 | 11% | 81% | |
| 70 | 7% | 71% | |
| 71 | 8% | 64% | |
| 72 | 14% | 56% | Median |
| 73 | 6% | 42% | |
| 74 | 15% | 36% | |
| 75 | 6% | 21% | |
| 76 | 5% | 15% | |
| 77 | 4% | 10% | |
| 78 | 3% | 6% | |
| 79 | 2% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 62 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 64 | 2% | 97% | |
| 65 | 4% | 94% | |
| 66 | 4% | 90% | |
| 67 | 6% | 87% | |
| 68 | 10% | 81% | |
| 69 | 7% | 70% | |
| 70 | 8% | 63% | |
| 71 | 14% | 55% | Median |
| 72 | 6% | 42% | |
| 73 | 14% | 36% | |
| 74 | 8% | 21% | |
| 75 | 3% | 14% | |
| 76 | 4% | 11% | |
| 77 | 3% | 6% | |
| 78 | 2% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 61 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 62 | 4% | 97% | |
| 63 | 4% | 92% | |
| 64 | 7% | 88% | |
| 65 | 6% | 80% | |
| 66 | 11% | 74% | |
| 67 | 6% | 63% | |
| 68 | 11% | 57% | Median |
| 69 | 6% | 46% | |
| 70 | 8% | 40% | |
| 71 | 10% | 32% | |
| 72 | 3% | 22% | |
| 73 | 6% | 19% | |
| 74 | 7% | 13% | |
| 75 | 2% | 6% | |
| 76 | 3% | 4% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 58 | 2% | 98% | |
| 59 | 4% | 97% | |
| 60 | 4% | 93% | |
| 61 | 4% | 89% | |
| 62 | 7% | 85% | |
| 63 | 11% | 78% | |
| 64 | 16% | 67% | |
| 65 | 8% | 51% | Median |
| 66 | 17% | 44% | |
| 67 | 9% | 26% | |
| 68 | 7% | 17% | |
| 69 | 4% | 10% | |
| 70 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 71 | 3% | 5% | |
| 72 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 57 | 2% | 98% | |
| 58 | 5% | 96% | |
| 59 | 6% | 91% | |
| 60 | 6% | 85% | |
| 61 | 13% | 79% | |
| 62 | 7% | 66% | |
| 63 | 16% | 59% | Median |
| 64 | 13% | 43% | |
| 65 | 10% | 30% | |
| 66 | 5% | 20% | |
| 67 | 6% | 15% | |
| 68 | 4% | 9% | |
| 69 | 2% | 5% | |
| 70 | 2% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 54 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 55 | 2% | 98% | |
| 56 | 3% | 96% | |
| 57 | 6% | 93% | |
| 58 | 4% | 87% | |
| 59 | 7% | 83% | |
| 60 | 14% | 76% | |
| 61 | 13% | 62% | |
| 62 | 11% | 49% | Median |
| 63 | 8% | 38% | |
| 64 | 14% | 30% | |
| 65 | 5% | 16% | |
| 66 | 4% | 10% | |
| 67 | 2% | 6% | |
| 68 | 2% | 4% | |
| 69 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 54 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 55 | 3% | 96% | |
| 56 | 6% | 93% | |
| 57 | 5% | 87% | |
| 58 | 6% | 81% | |
| 59 | 15% | 76% | |
| 60 | 13% | 61% | |
| 61 | 11% | 48% | Median |
| 62 | 8% | 37% | |
| 63 | 14% | 29% | |
| 64 | 6% | 15% | |
| 65 | 3% | 9% | |
| 66 | 2% | 6% | |
| 67 | 2% | 4% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 46 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 47 | 4% | 97% | |
| 48 | 7% | 94% | |
| 49 | 8% | 87% | |
| 50 | 7% | 79% | |
| 51 | 21% | 71% | |
| 52 | 15% | 50% | Median |
| 53 | 10% | 35% | |
| 54 | 12% | 25% | |
| 55 | 6% | 13% | |
| 56 | 1.5% | 8% | |
| 57 | 3% | 6% | |
| 58 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 59 | 2% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 43 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 44 | 2% | 97% | |
| 45 | 7% | 95% | |
| 46 | 8% | 88% | |
| 47 | 8% | 80% | |
| 48 | 21% | 72% | |
| 49 | 12% | 51% | Median |
| 50 | 13% | 40% | |
| 51 | 6% | 27% | |
| 52 | 10% | 21% | |
| 53 | 4% | 11% | |
| 54 | 3% | 7% | |
| 55 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 42 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 43 | 2% | 97% | |
| 44 | 7% | 95% | |
| 45 | 8% | 88% | |
| 46 | 9% | 80% | |
| 47 | 20% | 71% | |
| 48 | 12% | 51% | Median |
| 49 | 12% | 39% | |
| 50 | 5% | 26% | |
| 51 | 11% | 21% | |
| 52 | 5% | 10% | |
| 53 | 2% | 6% | |
| 54 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 55 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 39 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 40 | 2% | 97% | |
| 41 | 5% | 95% | |
| 42 | 10% | 91% | |
| 43 | 10% | 81% | |
| 44 | 16% | 71% | |
| 45 | 26% | 55% | Median |
| 46 | 10% | 29% | |
| 47 | 6% | 19% | |
| 48 | 5% | 13% | |
| 49 | 3% | 8% | |
| 50 | 3% | 5% | |
| 51 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 13 | 2% | 98% | |
| 14 | 3% | 96% | |
| 15 | 3% | 93% | |
| 16 | 5% | 90% | |
| 17 | 5% | 85% | |
| 18 | 12% | 80% | |
| 19 | 13% | 69% | |
| 20 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 21 | 22% | 46% | |
| 22 | 11% | 24% | |
| 23 | 5% | 12% | |
| 24 | 4% | 7% | |
| 25 | 2% | 4% | |
| 26 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Respons Analyse
- Commissioner(s): VG
- Fieldwork period: 8–13 February 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.68%