Opinion Poll by InFact for Nettavisen, 6 March 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 28.9% | 27.1–30.8% | 26.6–31.3% | 26.2–31.8% | 25.3–32.7% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 19.6% | 18.1–21.3% | 17.7–21.8% | 17.3–22.2% | 16.6–23.0% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 13.7% | 12.3–15.2% | 12.0–15.6% | 11.7–15.9% | 11.1–16.7% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5–8.7% | 6.2–9.0% | 6.0–9.3% | 5.6–9.9% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.2% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.0–6.7% | 3.6–7.3% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–6.9% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–6.9% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 51 | 48–56 | 48–58 | 47–59 | 45–62 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 39 | 35–43 | 34–45 | 34–47 | 33–48 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 27 | 22–30 | 21–31 | 20–31 | 19–33 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 10 | 9–13 | 8–14 | 8–15 | 7–16 |
| Rødt | 8 | 10 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 7–12 | 6–14 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 7 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 3–10 | 2–11 |
| Venstre | 8 | 7 | 6–9 | 3–9 | 3–9 | 2–10 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 7 | 5–9 | 1–10 | 1–11 | 0–13 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 2–6 | 2–7 | 2–7 | 2–8 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 47 | 2% | 98% | |
| 48 | 9% | 96% | |
| 49 | 17% | 87% | |
| 50 | 12% | 71% | |
| 51 | 12% | 59% | Median |
| 52 | 9% | 47% | |
| 53 | 16% | 38% | |
| 54 | 8% | 22% | |
| 55 | 2% | 14% | |
| 56 | 4% | 12% | |
| 57 | 2% | 8% | |
| 58 | 3% | 7% | |
| 59 | 2% | 4% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 8% | 99.0% | |
| 35 | 5% | 91% | |
| 36 | 10% | 86% | |
| 37 | 12% | 77% | |
| 38 | 10% | 65% | |
| 39 | 15% | 55% | Median |
| 40 | 7% | 40% | |
| 41 | 12% | 33% | |
| 42 | 10% | 21% | |
| 43 | 4% | 11% | |
| 44 | 2% | 7% | |
| 45 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 47 | 3% | 3% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 19 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 20 | 2% | 98% | |
| 21 | 2% | 96% | Last Result |
| 22 | 5% | 94% | |
| 23 | 10% | 89% | |
| 24 | 8% | 79% | |
| 25 | 10% | 71% | |
| 26 | 8% | 62% | |
| 27 | 12% | 54% | Median |
| 28 | 17% | 42% | |
| 29 | 10% | 25% | |
| 30 | 10% | 15% | |
| 31 | 4% | 5% | |
| 32 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 8 | 5% | 99.5% | |
| 9 | 20% | 94% | |
| 10 | 31% | 75% | Median |
| 11 | 19% | 43% | |
| 12 | 10% | 25% | |
| 13 | 6% | 15% | Last Result |
| 14 | 6% | 9% | |
| 15 | 3% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 7 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 8 | 18% | 97% | Last Result |
| 9 | 26% | 79% | |
| 10 | 32% | 53% | Median |
| 11 | 15% | 21% | |
| 12 | 4% | 6% | |
| 13 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 3% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 6 | 17% | 96% | |
| 7 | 39% | 79% | Median |
| 8 | 30% | 40% | |
| 9 | 5% | 10% | |
| 10 | 4% | 5% | |
| 11 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 5% | 98.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 94% | |
| 5 | 3% | 94% | |
| 6 | 36% | 90% | |
| 7 | 20% | 54% | Median |
| 8 | 24% | 35% | Last Result |
| 9 | 9% | 11% | |
| 10 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 1 | 7% | 99.0% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 3 | 0% | 91% | |
| 4 | 0% | 91% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 91% | |
| 6 | 35% | 90% | |
| 7 | 27% | 55% | Median |
| 8 | 13% | 28% | |
| 9 | 8% | 15% | |
| 10 | 5% | 8% | |
| 11 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 12 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 27% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 36% | 73% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 37% | |
| 5 | 5% | 37% | |
| 6 | 24% | 32% | |
| 7 | 7% | 8% | |
| 8 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 96 | 99.7% | 91–101 | 89–102 | 88–103 | 85–105 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 95 | 99.6% | 91–100 | 89–101 | 88–102 | 85–104 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 89 | 85% | 84–94 | 82–94 | 80–96 | 78–98 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 85 | 55% | 80–89 | 79–91 | 77–91 | 75–93 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 78 | 2% | 73–82 | 72–83 | 70–84 | 68–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet | 100 | 73 | 0.8% | 68–78 | 68–80 | 66–81 | 64–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 68 | 0% | 63–72 | 61–74 | 60–75 | 59–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 66 | 0% | 62–71 | 61–73 | 60–74 | 58–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 66 | 0% | 61–71 | 60–73 | 59–73 | 57–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet | 92 | 63 | 0% | 59–68 | 58–69 | 57–71 | 54–74 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 62 | 0% | 58–67 | 56–69 | 56–71 | 54–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 57 | 0% | 51–62 | 50–64 | 49–65 | 47–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 56 | 0% | 51–61 | 50–63 | 49–63 | 47–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 50 | 0% | 44–54 | 43–56 | 41–58 | 39–60 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 49 | 0% | 46–53 | 44–56 | 44–57 | 43–59 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 46 | 0% | 41–50 | 40–52 | 38–53 | 35–55 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 17 | 0% | 13–21 | 12–22 | 11–24 | 9–26 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 99.7% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 87 | 1.5% | 99.0% | |
| 88 | 2% | 98% | |
| 89 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 90 | 4% | 94% | |
| 91 | 3% | 90% | |
| 92 | 7% | 87% | |
| 93 | 8% | 81% | |
| 94 | 7% | 73% | |
| 95 | 7% | 66% | Median |
| 96 | 12% | 59% | |
| 97 | 17% | 47% | |
| 98 | 5% | 30% | |
| 99 | 7% | 25% | |
| 100 | 7% | 18% | |
| 101 | 5% | 11% | |
| 102 | 2% | 6% | |
| 103 | 2% | 4% | |
| 104 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 99.6% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 87 | 1.1% | 98.6% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 89 | 2% | 97% | |
| 90 | 5% | 95% | |
| 91 | 4% | 90% | |
| 92 | 5% | 86% | |
| 93 | 9% | 81% | |
| 94 | 8% | 72% | |
| 95 | 18% | 65% | Median |
| 96 | 14% | 47% | Last Result |
| 97 | 6% | 33% | |
| 98 | 6% | 26% | |
| 99 | 10% | 21% | |
| 100 | 4% | 11% | |
| 101 | 3% | 7% | |
| 102 | 2% | 4% | |
| 103 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 105 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 80 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 81 | 2% | 97% | |
| 82 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 83 | 3% | 95% | |
| 84 | 7% | 92% | |
| 85 | 9% | 85% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 76% | |
| 87 | 5% | 70% | |
| 88 | 8% | 65% | Median |
| 89 | 16% | 57% | |
| 90 | 13% | 42% | |
| 91 | 4% | 29% | |
| 92 | 6% | 25% | |
| 93 | 8% | 18% | |
| 94 | 5% | 10% | |
| 95 | 2% | 5% | |
| 96 | 2% | 3% | |
| 97 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 99 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 77 | 2% | 98% | |
| 78 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 79 | 5% | 95% | |
| 80 | 3% | 90% | |
| 81 | 4% | 87% | |
| 82 | 10% | 83% | |
| 83 | 5% | 72% | |
| 84 | 12% | 67% | |
| 85 | 9% | 55% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 11% | 47% | |
| 87 | 16% | 35% | |
| 88 | 6% | 19% | |
| 89 | 4% | 13% | |
| 90 | 4% | 10% | |
| 91 | 4% | 6% | |
| 92 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 98.5% | |
| 71 | 2% | 97% | |
| 72 | 2% | 95% | |
| 73 | 5% | 93% | |
| 74 | 6% | 89% | |
| 75 | 3% | 82% | |
| 76 | 12% | 79% | |
| 77 | 10% | 67% | |
| 78 | 12% | 57% | Median |
| 79 | 7% | 45% | |
| 80 | 11% | 38% | |
| 81 | 12% | 27% | |
| 82 | 7% | 15% | |
| 83 | 5% | 9% | |
| 84 | 2% | 4% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 2% | 97% | |
| 68 | 6% | 95% | |
| 69 | 8% | 89% | |
| 70 | 6% | 81% | |
| 71 | 9% | 76% | |
| 72 | 14% | 66% | |
| 73 | 6% | 52% | Median |
| 74 | 12% | 46% | |
| 75 | 10% | 34% | |
| 76 | 6% | 24% | |
| 77 | 8% | 19% | |
| 78 | 3% | 11% | |
| 79 | 2% | 8% | |
| 80 | 2% | 5% | |
| 81 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.8% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 61 | 3% | 96% | |
| 62 | 2% | 93% | |
| 63 | 5% | 91% | |
| 64 | 5% | 85% | |
| 65 | 11% | 80% | |
| 66 | 8% | 70% | Median |
| 67 | 10% | 62% | |
| 68 | 17% | 52% | |
| 69 | 11% | 35% | |
| 70 | 6% | 23% | |
| 71 | 5% | 17% | |
| 72 | 3% | 12% | |
| 73 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 74 | 4% | 8% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 60 | 2% | 98% | |
| 61 | 4% | 97% | |
| 62 | 5% | 93% | |
| 63 | 8% | 88% | |
| 64 | 8% | 80% | |
| 65 | 13% | 72% | |
| 66 | 10% | 60% | Median |
| 67 | 17% | 50% | |
| 68 | 10% | 32% | |
| 69 | 6% | 23% | |
| 70 | 4% | 17% | |
| 71 | 6% | 13% | |
| 72 | 2% | 8% | Last Result |
| 73 | 2% | 6% | |
| 74 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 58 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 59 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 60 | 4% | 97% | |
| 61 | 5% | 93% | |
| 62 | 6% | 87% | |
| 63 | 6% | 81% | |
| 64 | 14% | 75% | |
| 65 | 9% | 61% | |
| 66 | 9% | 52% | Median |
| 67 | 15% | 43% | |
| 68 | 6% | 28% | |
| 69 | 5% | 23% | |
| 70 | 4% | 17% | |
| 71 | 6% | 13% | |
| 72 | 2% | 7% | |
| 73 | 3% | 5% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 57 | 2% | 98% | |
| 58 | 4% | 95% | |
| 59 | 5% | 91% | |
| 60 | 6% | 87% | |
| 61 | 9% | 81% | |
| 62 | 12% | 72% | |
| 63 | 12% | 59% | Median |
| 64 | 8% | 48% | |
| 65 | 12% | 40% | |
| 66 | 8% | 28% | |
| 67 | 5% | 19% | |
| 68 | 4% | 14% | |
| 69 | 5% | 10% | |
| 70 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 71 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 56 | 4% | 98% | |
| 57 | 3% | 94% | |
| 58 | 4% | 91% | |
| 59 | 7% | 87% | |
| 60 | 9% | 79% | |
| 61 | 11% | 71% | Median |
| 62 | 16% | 59% | |
| 63 | 9% | 43% | |
| 64 | 10% | 34% | |
| 65 | 8% | 24% | |
| 66 | 5% | 17% | |
| 67 | 2% | 12% | |
| 68 | 5% | 10% | |
| 69 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 71 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 48 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 50 | 2% | 97% | |
| 51 | 5% | 95% | |
| 52 | 3% | 90% | |
| 53 | 5% | 87% | |
| 54 | 8% | 81% | |
| 55 | 8% | 74% | |
| 56 | 11% | 66% | Median |
| 57 | 11% | 55% | |
| 58 | 13% | 44% | |
| 59 | 11% | 30% | |
| 60 | 5% | 19% | |
| 61 | 4% | 14% | |
| 62 | 3% | 10% | |
| 63 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 64 | 2% | 5% | |
| 65 | 2% | 3% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 49 | 1.5% | 98.6% | |
| 50 | 4% | 97% | |
| 51 | 3% | 93% | |
| 52 | 5% | 90% | |
| 53 | 5% | 85% | |
| 54 | 13% | 80% | |
| 55 | 7% | 67% | |
| 56 | 14% | 59% | Median |
| 57 | 10% | 46% | |
| 58 | 10% | 36% | |
| 59 | 9% | 26% | |
| 60 | 3% | 17% | |
| 61 | 5% | 14% | |
| 62 | 3% | 9% | |
| 63 | 3% | 6% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 42 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 43 | 4% | 96% | |
| 44 | 4% | 92% | |
| 45 | 3% | 89% | |
| 46 | 9% | 86% | |
| 47 | 6% | 76% | |
| 48 | 5% | 70% | |
| 49 | 11% | 66% | Median |
| 50 | 14% | 54% | |
| 51 | 12% | 40% | |
| 52 | 10% | 29% | |
| 53 | 8% | 19% | |
| 54 | 2% | 12% | |
| 55 | 2% | 9% | |
| 56 | 2% | 7% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 58 | 3% | 4% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 5% | 99.0% | |
| 45 | 4% | 94% | |
| 46 | 6% | 90% | |
| 47 | 9% | 84% | |
| 48 | 13% | 75% | |
| 49 | 13% | 62% | Median |
| 50 | 12% | 49% | |
| 51 | 8% | 37% | |
| 52 | 15% | 29% | |
| 53 | 4% | 13% | |
| 54 | 2% | 10% | |
| 55 | 2% | 8% | |
| 56 | 2% | 5% | |
| 57 | 3% | 4% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 37 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 38 | 2% | 98% | |
| 39 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 40 | 4% | 95% | |
| 41 | 3% | 92% | |
| 42 | 6% | 88% | |
| 43 | 10% | 82% | |
| 44 | 9% | 71% | |
| 45 | 10% | 62% | |
| 46 | 8% | 52% | Median |
| 47 | 14% | 44% | |
| 48 | 10% | 30% | |
| 49 | 8% | 20% | |
| 50 | 3% | 12% | |
| 51 | 2% | 8% | |
| 52 | 2% | 6% | |
| 53 | 3% | 4% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 11 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 12 | 4% | 97% | |
| 13 | 4% | 94% | |
| 14 | 5% | 89% | |
| 15 | 11% | 84% | |
| 16 | 10% | 73% | |
| 17 | 14% | 64% | Median |
| 18 | 17% | 50% | |
| 19 | 10% | 32% | |
| 20 | 9% | 23% | |
| 21 | 6% | 13% | |
| 22 | 3% | 7% | |
| 23 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 24 | 2% | 3% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: InFact
- Commissioner(s): Nettavisen
- Fieldwork period: 6 March 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1003
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.81%