Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse, 28 February–6 March 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 36.9% | 35.0–38.9% | 34.5–39.5% | 34.0–40.0% | 33.1–40.9% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 15.5% | 14.1–17.1% | 13.7–17.5% | 13.4–17.9% | 12.8–18.7% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.0–13.6% | 10.6–14.0% | 10.3–14.4% | 9.8–15.1% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.4–9.8% | 5.9–10.4% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.6% | 4.9–7.9% | 4.5–8.4% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.6% | 3.5–7.1% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0–5.8% | 3.8–6.1% | 3.6–6.3% | 3.3–6.8% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.9–3.2% | 1.7–3.4% | 1.6–3.6% | 1.4–3.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 68 | 63–71 | 62–72 | 61–74 | 58–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 31 | 27–33 | 26–33 | 25–34 | 24–36 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 20 | 18–24 | 17–25 | 17–27 | 16–29 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 12 | 10–14 | 9–15 | 9–16 | 8–17 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 10 | 7–14 | 7–14 | 7–14 | 6–15 |
| Rødt | 8 | 7 | 6–9 | 5–10 | 1–10 | 1–11 |
| Venstre | 8 | 7 | 3–9 | 3–9 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 6 | 2–7 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 1–9 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 61 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 62 | 3% | 96% | |
| 63 | 4% | 93% | |
| 64 | 7% | 89% | |
| 65 | 8% | 82% | |
| 66 | 9% | 74% | |
| 67 | 13% | 65% | |
| 68 | 13% | 52% | Median |
| 69 | 18% | 39% | |
| 70 | 5% | 21% | |
| 71 | 9% | 16% | |
| 72 | 3% | 8% | |
| 73 | 2% | 5% | |
| 74 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 25 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 26 | 4% | 97% | |
| 27 | 6% | 93% | |
| 28 | 11% | 87% | |
| 29 | 7% | 76% | |
| 30 | 11% | 69% | |
| 31 | 10% | 58% | Median |
| 32 | 18% | 48% | |
| 33 | 28% | 31% | |
| 34 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 17 | 6% | 99.1% | |
| 18 | 26% | 93% | |
| 19 | 13% | 67% | |
| 20 | 8% | 54% | Median |
| 21 | 17% | 45% | Last Result |
| 22 | 9% | 28% | |
| 23 | 6% | 20% | |
| 24 | 4% | 14% | |
| 25 | 5% | 9% | |
| 26 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 27 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 28 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 9 | 8% | 99.2% | |
| 10 | 11% | 91% | |
| 11 | 22% | 80% | |
| 12 | 21% | 58% | Median |
| 13 | 19% | 37% | Last Result |
| 14 | 10% | 18% | |
| 15 | 5% | 8% | |
| 16 | 2% | 3% | |
| 17 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 11% | 98% | |
| 8 | 15% | 87% | |
| 9 | 16% | 73% | |
| 10 | 16% | 56% | Median |
| 11 | 8% | 41% | |
| 12 | 10% | 33% | |
| 13 | 13% | 23% | |
| 14 | 9% | 10% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 95% | |
| 3 | 0% | 95% | |
| 4 | 0% | 95% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 6 | 16% | 95% | |
| 7 | 34% | 78% | Median |
| 8 | 24% | 44% | Last Result |
| 9 | 12% | 20% | |
| 10 | 7% | 8% | |
| 11 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 7% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 90% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 6 | 16% | 90% | |
| 7 | 40% | 74% | Median |
| 8 | 21% | 34% | Last Result |
| 9 | 10% | 13% | |
| 10 | 3% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 11% | 98% | |
| 3 | 27% | 87% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 60% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 60% | |
| 6 | 31% | 60% | Median |
| 7 | 21% | 29% | |
| 8 | 6% | 8% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 100% | |
| 1 | 80% | 94% | Median |
| 2 | 13% | 14% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.0% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 110 | 100% | 105–115 | 104–117 | 103–118 | 101–120 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 101 | 100% | 96–107 | 94–108 | 92–109 | 91–111 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 100 | 100% | 95–106 | 93–106 | 92–108 | 90–110 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 94 | 99.6% | 90–100 | 89–101 | 87–102 | 85–104 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 88 | 82% | 83–93 | 82–94 | 81–95 | 78–98 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 80 | 9% | 74–84 | 73–85 | 71–86 | 69–89 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 61 | 0% | 55–66 | 55–67 | 54–69 | 51–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 60 | 0% | 54–65 | 54–66 | 53–68 | 50–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 59 | 0% | 54–64 | 53–65 | 52–67 | 50–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 54 | 0% | 49–58 | 48–59 | 48–61 | 46–63 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 53 | 0% | 48–57 | 47–58 | 47–60 | 45–61 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 51 | 0% | 46–55 | 44–56 | 44–57 | 42–59 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 47 | 0% | 42–52 | 41–53 | 40–54 | 38–55 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 46 | 0% | 41–51 | 40–52 | 39–53 | 37–54 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 43 | 0% | 38–46 | 37–47 | 36–48 | 35–49 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 41 | 0% | 37–45 | 35–46 | 35–46 | 33–48 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 22 | 0% | 18–27 | 17–28 | 16–28 | 15–30 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 96 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 102 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 103 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 104 | 4% | 97% | |
| 105 | 9% | 93% | |
| 106 | 3% | 84% | |
| 107 | 9% | 81% | |
| 108 | 6% | 72% | |
| 109 | 10% | 66% | |
| 110 | 12% | 55% | |
| 111 | 11% | 43% | Median |
| 112 | 7% | 33% | |
| 113 | 9% | 26% | |
| 114 | 3% | 17% | |
| 115 | 4% | 14% | |
| 116 | 2% | 10% | |
| 117 | 4% | 8% | |
| 118 | 2% | 3% | |
| 119 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 120 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 121 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 92 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 93 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 94 | 2% | 96% | |
| 95 | 4% | 95% | |
| 96 | 6% | 91% | |
| 97 | 9% | 85% | |
| 98 | 5% | 76% | |
| 99 | 9% | 71% | |
| 100 | 7% | 62% | |
| 101 | 13% | 55% | |
| 102 | 9% | 42% | Median |
| 103 | 5% | 33% | |
| 104 | 6% | 28% | |
| 105 | 7% | 22% | |
| 106 | 2% | 14% | |
| 107 | 7% | 12% | |
| 108 | 2% | 5% | |
| 109 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 110 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 111 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 91 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 92 | 2% | 98% | |
| 93 | 2% | 96% | |
| 94 | 3% | 95% | |
| 95 | 7% | 91% | |
| 96 | 10% | 85% | |
| 97 | 4% | 75% | |
| 98 | 9% | 70% | |
| 99 | 8% | 61% | |
| 100 | 12% | 53% | |
| 101 | 8% | 41% | Median |
| 102 | 5% | 33% | |
| 103 | 8% | 28% | |
| 104 | 7% | 20% | |
| 105 | 2% | 14% | |
| 106 | 7% | 12% | |
| 107 | 2% | 4% | |
| 108 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 109 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 110 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 99.6% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 87 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 88 | 2% | 97% | |
| 89 | 2% | 95% | |
| 90 | 5% | 93% | |
| 91 | 9% | 89% | |
| 92 | 9% | 79% | |
| 93 | 14% | 70% | |
| 94 | 9% | 56% | |
| 95 | 7% | 46% | Median |
| 96 | 3% | 39% | |
| 97 | 10% | 36% | |
| 98 | 4% | 25% | |
| 99 | 6% | 21% | |
| 100 | 7% | 15% | |
| 101 | 4% | 8% | |
| 102 | 2% | 4% | |
| 103 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 81 | 2% | 98% | |
| 82 | 2% | 96% | |
| 83 | 4% | 94% | |
| 84 | 7% | 89% | |
| 85 | 12% | 82% | Majority |
| 86 | 15% | 70% | |
| 87 | 5% | 56% | |
| 88 | 9% | 50% | Median |
| 89 | 5% | 41% | |
| 90 | 13% | 37% | |
| 91 | 4% | 24% | |
| 92 | 6% | 20% | |
| 93 | 7% | 14% | |
| 94 | 3% | 7% | |
| 95 | 2% | 4% | |
| 96 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 71 | 1.3% | 98.6% | |
| 72 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 73 | 3% | 96% | |
| 74 | 5% | 93% | |
| 75 | 3% | 88% | |
| 76 | 5% | 85% | |
| 77 | 10% | 80% | |
| 78 | 10% | 70% | |
| 79 | 8% | 60% | |
| 80 | 11% | 52% | |
| 81 | 10% | 40% | Median |
| 82 | 11% | 31% | |
| 83 | 5% | 20% | |
| 84 | 6% | 15% | |
| 85 | 5% | 9% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 4% | |
| 87 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 53 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 54 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 55 | 7% | 97% | |
| 56 | 2% | 90% | |
| 57 | 7% | 87% | |
| 58 | 8% | 80% | |
| 59 | 7% | 73% | |
| 60 | 4% | 66% | |
| 61 | 12% | 62% | Median |
| 62 | 11% | 50% | |
| 63 | 11% | 39% | |
| 64 | 7% | 28% | |
| 65 | 7% | 20% | |
| 66 | 6% | 13% | |
| 67 | 3% | 8% | |
| 68 | 2% | 5% | |
| 69 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 52 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98% | |
| 54 | 7% | 96% | |
| 55 | 3% | 89% | |
| 56 | 6% | 86% | |
| 57 | 7% | 80% | |
| 58 | 8% | 73% | |
| 59 | 5% | 65% | |
| 60 | 12% | 60% | Median |
| 61 | 11% | 48% | |
| 62 | 11% | 37% | |
| 63 | 6% | 26% | |
| 64 | 6% | 20% | |
| 65 | 6% | 13% | |
| 66 | 3% | 7% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 68 | 2% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 52 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 53 | 6% | 97% | |
| 54 | 8% | 91% | |
| 55 | 6% | 83% | |
| 56 | 5% | 78% | |
| 57 | 5% | 73% | |
| 58 | 12% | 68% | |
| 59 | 8% | 56% | |
| 60 | 11% | 48% | Median |
| 61 | 15% | 37% | |
| 62 | 5% | 22% | |
| 63 | 6% | 17% | |
| 64 | 5% | 11% | |
| 65 | 2% | 6% | |
| 66 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 46 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 48 | 5% | 98% | |
| 49 | 5% | 93% | |
| 50 | 7% | 87% | |
| 51 | 4% | 80% | |
| 52 | 10% | 76% | |
| 53 | 7% | 66% | |
| 54 | 11% | 59% | Median |
| 55 | 14% | 48% | |
| 56 | 12% | 34% | |
| 57 | 8% | 22% | |
| 58 | 7% | 14% | |
| 59 | 2% | 7% | |
| 60 | 2% | 5% | |
| 61 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 47 | 6% | 98% | |
| 48 | 5% | 92% | |
| 49 | 7% | 87% | |
| 50 | 5% | 80% | |
| 51 | 10% | 75% | |
| 52 | 6% | 64% | |
| 53 | 11% | 58% | Median |
| 54 | 14% | 47% | |
| 55 | 14% | 33% | |
| 56 | 5% | 19% | |
| 57 | 7% | 14% | |
| 58 | 2% | 7% | |
| 59 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 60 | 2% | 3% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 44 | 4% | 98% | |
| 45 | 1.3% | 93% | |
| 46 | 6% | 92% | |
| 47 | 4% | 87% | |
| 48 | 7% | 83% | |
| 49 | 8% | 76% | |
| 50 | 11% | 68% | |
| 51 | 10% | 58% | Median |
| 52 | 10% | 48% | |
| 53 | 14% | 38% | |
| 54 | 9% | 24% | |
| 55 | 5% | 15% | |
| 56 | 5% | 9% | |
| 57 | 2% | 4% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 40 | 3% | 98% | |
| 41 | 4% | 95% | |
| 42 | 6% | 91% | |
| 43 | 2% | 85% | |
| 44 | 12% | 83% | |
| 45 | 4% | 71% | |
| 46 | 6% | 67% | |
| 47 | 14% | 60% | |
| 48 | 9% | 47% | Median |
| 49 | 12% | 38% | |
| 50 | 9% | 26% | |
| 51 | 3% | 17% | |
| 52 | 5% | 13% | |
| 53 | 5% | 8% | |
| 54 | 2% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 38 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 39 | 2% | 98% | |
| 40 | 5% | 96% | |
| 41 | 6% | 91% | |
| 42 | 3% | 84% | |
| 43 | 11% | 82% | |
| 44 | 5% | 70% | |
| 45 | 7% | 66% | |
| 46 | 12% | 59% | |
| 47 | 10% | 47% | Median |
| 48 | 13% | 36% | |
| 49 | 6% | 24% | |
| 50 | 5% | 18% | |
| 51 | 7% | 13% | |
| 52 | 3% | 6% | |
| 53 | 2% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 36 | 1.4% | 98.7% | |
| 37 | 5% | 97% | |
| 38 | 5% | 93% | |
| 39 | 5% | 87% | |
| 40 | 7% | 83% | |
| 41 | 12% | 76% | |
| 42 | 8% | 64% | |
| 43 | 12% | 56% | Median |
| 44 | 13% | 44% | |
| 45 | 17% | 31% | |
| 46 | 6% | 14% | |
| 47 | 4% | 8% | |
| 48 | 2% | 4% | |
| 49 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 35 | 5% | 98.6% | |
| 36 | 2% | 93% | |
| 37 | 8% | 91% | |
| 38 | 6% | 83% | |
| 39 | 7% | 77% | |
| 40 | 15% | 70% | |
| 41 | 12% | 55% | Median |
| 42 | 10% | 43% | |
| 43 | 10% | 33% | |
| 44 | 10% | 23% | |
| 45 | 7% | 13% | |
| 46 | 5% | 6% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 1.3% | 99.7% | |
| 16 | 2% | 98% | |
| 17 | 2% | 96% | |
| 18 | 7% | 94% | |
| 19 | 9% | 87% | |
| 20 | 9% | 78% | |
| 21 | 17% | 69% | |
| 22 | 7% | 52% | |
| 23 | 11% | 45% | Median |
| 24 | 6% | 34% | |
| 25 | 7% | 28% | |
| 26 | 8% | 20% | |
| 27 | 7% | 12% | |
| 28 | 3% | 5% | |
| 29 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
- Fieldwork period: 28 February–6 March 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 999
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.57%