Opinion Poll by Respons Analyse for VG, 8–13 March 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 30.9% | 29.1–32.8% | 28.5–33.4% | 28.1–33.8% | 27.3–34.8% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 18.1% | 16.6–19.7% | 16.2–20.2% | 15.8–20.6% | 15.2–21.4% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.0–10.4% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.5–11.1% | 7.0–11.7% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.4–7.4% | 5.2–7.7% | 5.0–8.0% | 4.6–8.6% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.3% | 5.4–7.4% | 5.2–7.7% | 5.0–8.0% | 4.6–8.6% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.4–6.8% | 4.3–7.1% | 3.9–7.6% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 3.5% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 55 | 51–59 | 50–60 | 50–61 | 48–63 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 34 | 33–38 | 33–40 | 32–41 | 31–42 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 18 | 16–19 | 15–21 | 15–21 | 13–22 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 16 | 13–18 | 13–19 | 12–20 | 11–20 |
| Rødt | 8 | 11 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–14 | 7–15 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 11 | 9–14 | 8–14 | 8–16 | 7–16 |
| Venstre | 8 | 9 | 8–11 | 7–12 | 7–13 | 2–13 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 7 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 1–9 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 7 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–10 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 3 | 2–7 | 1–7 | 0–8 | 0–9 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 50 | 5% | 98% | |
| 51 | 4% | 93% | |
| 52 | 3% | 89% | |
| 53 | 11% | 85% | |
| 54 | 10% | 75% | |
| 55 | 20% | 65% | Median |
| 56 | 11% | 44% | |
| 57 | 13% | 33% | |
| 58 | 3% | 20% | |
| 59 | 7% | 17% | |
| 60 | 5% | 9% | |
| 61 | 2% | 4% | |
| 62 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 33 | 18% | 95% | |
| 34 | 40% | 78% | Median |
| 35 | 14% | 38% | |
| 36 | 5% | 23% | |
| 37 | 8% | 18% | |
| 38 | 3% | 10% | |
| 39 | 1.5% | 7% | |
| 40 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 41 | 2% | 4% | |
| 42 | 2% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 14 | 1.4% | 99.1% | |
| 15 | 5% | 98% | |
| 16 | 20% | 93% | |
| 17 | 21% | 73% | |
| 18 | 33% | 52% | Median |
| 19 | 9% | 19% | |
| 20 | 4% | 10% | |
| 21 | 5% | 5% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 12 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 13 | 8% | 96% | Last Result |
| 14 | 19% | 88% | |
| 15 | 13% | 69% | |
| 16 | 28% | 56% | Median |
| 17 | 6% | 28% | |
| 18 | 16% | 21% | |
| 19 | 3% | 6% | |
| 20 | 2% | 3% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 3% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 9 | 18% | 96% | |
| 10 | 18% | 78% | |
| 11 | 23% | 60% | Median |
| 12 | 21% | 37% | |
| 13 | 13% | 16% | |
| 14 | 2% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 6% | 99.0% | |
| 9 | 22% | 93% | |
| 10 | 21% | 72% | |
| 11 | 14% | 51% | Median |
| 12 | 16% | 37% | |
| 13 | 10% | 21% | |
| 14 | 6% | 11% | |
| 15 | 2% | 5% | |
| 16 | 3% | 3% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 7 | 5% | 98.7% | |
| 8 | 18% | 94% | Last Result |
| 9 | 37% | 76% | Median |
| 10 | 24% | 39% | |
| 11 | 6% | 14% | |
| 12 | 3% | 8% | |
| 13 | 5% | 5% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 33% | 98% | |
| 3 | 8% | 65% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 57% | |
| 5 | 0% | 57% | |
| 6 | 7% | 57% | |
| 7 | 25% | 50% | Median |
| 8 | 20% | 25% | |
| 9 | 5% | 5% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 30% | 99.5% | |
| 3 | 11% | 70% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 59% | |
| 5 | 0% | 59% | |
| 6 | 3% | 59% | |
| 7 | 35% | 56% | Median |
| 8 | 17% | 21% | |
| 9 | 3% | 4% | |
| 10 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 3% | 97% | |
| 2 | 31% | 94% | |
| 3 | 48% | 63% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 15% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 15% | |
| 6 | 4% | 15% | |
| 7 | 8% | 11% | |
| 8 | 2% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 98 | 100% | 94–103 | 94–104 | 93–104 | 89–106 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 93 | 99.2% | 88–97 | 86–99 | 86–99 | 83–101 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 88 | 79% | 83–92 | 83–93 | 82–93 | 79–95 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 81 | 28% | 78–86 | 77–87 | 77–89 | 74–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 77 | 1.1% | 74–82 | 72–82 | 72–83 | 70–85 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 72 | 0% | 70–76 | 69–77 | 68–79 | 66–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 72 | 0% | 68–77 | 67–78 | 66–79 | 64–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 72 | 0% | 67–76 | 66–77 | 65–79 | 63–79 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 70 | 0% | 66–75 | 64–77 | 63–77 | 61–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 67 | 0% | 62–70 | 62–71 | 61–72 | 59–74 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 66 | 0% | 64–71 | 61–72 | 60–72 | 60–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 62 | 0% | 57–66 | 57–67 | 56–69 | 54–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 57 | 0% | 51–61 | 48–62 | 48–63 | 47–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 51 | 0% | 46–56 | 46–57 | 46–58 | 43–60 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 50 | 0% | 48–54 | 46–55 | 46–58 | 45–59 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 46 | 0% | 43–49 | 43–51 | 42–51 | 40–53 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 25 | 0% | 22–29 | 21–30 | 20–31 | 17–33 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 92 | 1.1% | 98.7% | |
| 93 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 94 | 7% | 97% | |
| 95 | 5% | 90% | |
| 96 | 8% | 84% | Last Result |
| 97 | 23% | 76% | |
| 98 | 14% | 53% | |
| 99 | 6% | 39% | |
| 100 | 4% | 33% | Median |
| 101 | 9% | 28% | |
| 102 | 9% | 19% | |
| 103 | 3% | 10% | |
| 104 | 6% | 7% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 106 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 85 | 1.2% | 99.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 98% | |
| 87 | 3% | 95% | |
| 88 | 4% | 92% | |
| 89 | 4% | 88% | |
| 90 | 16% | 84% | |
| 91 | 8% | 67% | |
| 92 | 7% | 59% | |
| 93 | 11% | 53% | |
| 94 | 12% | 42% | |
| 95 | 7% | 30% | |
| 96 | 12% | 23% | Median |
| 97 | 4% | 11% | |
| 98 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 99 | 4% | 6% | |
| 100 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 101 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 81 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 82 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 83 | 7% | 96% | |
| 84 | 11% | 89% | |
| 85 | 7% | 79% | Majority |
| 86 | 8% | 72% | |
| 87 | 11% | 64% | |
| 88 | 24% | 53% | |
| 89 | 5% | 29% | Median |
| 90 | 5% | 24% | |
| 91 | 6% | 19% | |
| 92 | 7% | 13% | |
| 93 | 5% | 6% | |
| 94 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 98.5% | |
| 77 | 5% | 98% | |
| 78 | 6% | 93% | |
| 79 | 4% | 87% | |
| 80 | 12% | 83% | |
| 81 | 22% | 71% | |
| 82 | 7% | 49% | Median |
| 83 | 8% | 42% | |
| 84 | 6% | 34% | |
| 85 | 12% | 28% | Majority |
| 86 | 10% | 16% | |
| 87 | 2% | 6% | |
| 88 | 2% | 5% | |
| 89 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 90 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 71 | 1.4% | 99.2% | |
| 72 | 4% | 98% | |
| 73 | 3% | 94% | |
| 74 | 12% | 91% | |
| 75 | 5% | 79% | |
| 76 | 8% | 74% | |
| 77 | 20% | 67% | |
| 78 | 14% | 47% | |
| 79 | 7% | 32% | Median |
| 80 | 7% | 26% | |
| 81 | 9% | 19% | |
| 82 | 7% | 10% | |
| 83 | 2% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.6% | 1.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 68 | 2% | 98% | |
| 69 | 3% | 96% | |
| 70 | 13% | 93% | |
| 71 | 14% | 80% | |
| 72 | 19% | 66% | |
| 73 | 8% | 47% | Median |
| 74 | 10% | 39% | |
| 75 | 10% | 29% | |
| 76 | 12% | 19% | |
| 77 | 3% | 7% | |
| 78 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 79 | 2% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 5% | 97% | |
| 68 | 4% | 92% | |
| 69 | 13% | 88% | |
| 70 | 8% | 75% | |
| 71 | 7% | 67% | |
| 72 | 15% | 60% | Median |
| 73 | 8% | 45% | |
| 74 | 8% | 36% | |
| 75 | 11% | 28% | |
| 76 | 7% | 17% | |
| 77 | 3% | 11% | |
| 78 | 3% | 8% | |
| 79 | 3% | 5% | |
| 80 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 1.4% | 99.4% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 66 | 6% | 97% | |
| 67 | 3% | 91% | |
| 68 | 10% | 89% | |
| 69 | 4% | 79% | |
| 70 | 3% | 74% | |
| 71 | 8% | 71% | |
| 72 | 23% | 63% | |
| 73 | 12% | 41% | |
| 74 | 8% | 29% | |
| 75 | 5% | 20% | Median |
| 76 | 10% | 15% | |
| 77 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 78 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 79 | 3% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 63 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 64 | 3% | 97% | |
| 65 | 3% | 95% | |
| 66 | 7% | 91% | |
| 67 | 10% | 84% | |
| 68 | 9% | 74% | |
| 69 | 14% | 65% | |
| 70 | 10% | 51% | |
| 71 | 10% | 41% | Median |
| 72 | 7% | 31% | |
| 73 | 10% | 24% | |
| 74 | 2% | 14% | |
| 75 | 2% | 12% | |
| 76 | 5% | 10% | |
| 77 | 4% | 5% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 61 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 62 | 7% | 97% | |
| 63 | 11% | 90% | |
| 64 | 5% | 79% | |
| 65 | 11% | 74% | |
| 66 | 6% | 64% | |
| 67 | 10% | 58% | |
| 68 | 28% | 48% | Median |
| 69 | 10% | 20% | |
| 70 | 3% | 10% | |
| 71 | 4% | 7% | |
| 72 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 62 | 3% | 95% | |
| 63 | 2% | 92% | |
| 64 | 15% | 90% | |
| 65 | 19% | 75% | |
| 66 | 10% | 57% | |
| 67 | 10% | 46% | |
| 68 | 7% | 36% | Median |
| 69 | 12% | 28% | |
| 70 | 5% | 17% | |
| 71 | 6% | 12% | |
| 72 | 4% | 5% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 56 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 57 | 9% | 97% | |
| 58 | 10% | 88% | |
| 59 | 8% | 78% | |
| 60 | 8% | 70% | |
| 61 | 7% | 62% | Median |
| 62 | 22% | 54% | |
| 63 | 11% | 32% | |
| 64 | 6% | 21% | |
| 65 | 4% | 15% | |
| 66 | 6% | 11% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 69 | 2% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 48 | 7% | 99.3% | |
| 49 | 2% | 93% | |
| 50 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 51 | 6% | 90% | |
| 52 | 2% | 84% | |
| 53 | 6% | 82% | |
| 54 | 6% | 76% | |
| 55 | 7% | 70% | |
| 56 | 9% | 63% | |
| 57 | 9% | 54% | |
| 58 | 18% | 45% | |
| 59 | 7% | 26% | Median |
| 60 | 9% | 19% | |
| 61 | 5% | 11% | |
| 62 | 2% | 6% | |
| 63 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 64 | 2% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 45 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 46 | 10% | 98% | |
| 47 | 4% | 88% | |
| 48 | 4% | 83% | |
| 49 | 13% | 79% | |
| 50 | 15% | 66% | |
| 51 | 10% | 51% | |
| 52 | 8% | 41% | Median |
| 53 | 8% | 33% | |
| 54 | 10% | 24% | |
| 55 | 3% | 14% | |
| 56 | 4% | 12% | |
| 57 | 2% | 7% | |
| 58 | 4% | 5% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 46 | 6% | 98.6% | |
| 47 | 3% | 93% | |
| 48 | 14% | 90% | |
| 49 | 14% | 76% | |
| 50 | 16% | 62% | Median |
| 51 | 16% | 46% | |
| 52 | 10% | 30% | |
| 53 | 9% | 20% | |
| 54 | 5% | 11% | |
| 55 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 56 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 59 | 2% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 42 | 3% | 98% | |
| 43 | 16% | 95% | |
| 44 | 17% | 80% | |
| 45 | 11% | 63% | Median |
| 46 | 16% | 52% | |
| 47 | 15% | 35% | |
| 48 | 7% | 20% | |
| 49 | 4% | 13% | |
| 50 | 3% | 9% | |
| 51 | 5% | 6% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 19 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 20 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 21 | 4% | 97% | |
| 22 | 10% | 93% | |
| 23 | 6% | 84% | |
| 24 | 9% | 78% | |
| 25 | 21% | 69% | |
| 26 | 13% | 48% | |
| 27 | 7% | 35% | Median |
| 28 | 18% | 28% | |
| 29 | 4% | 10% | |
| 30 | 4% | 6% | |
| 31 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 32 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Respons Analyse
- Commissioner(s): VG
- Fieldwork period: 8–13 March 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.37%