Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for ABC Nyheter and Altinget, 21–27 March 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 34.2% | 31.9–36.7% | 31.2–37.4% | 30.6–38.0% | 29.5–39.2% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 16.2% | 14.4–18.2% | 13.9–18.7% | 13.5–19.2% | 12.7–20.2% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 12.6% | 11.0–14.4% | 10.6–14.9% | 10.2–15.4% | 9.5–16.3% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9–9.7% | 6.6–10.2% | 6.3–10.6% | 5.7–11.4% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.1–7.5% | 4.8–7.9% | 4.5–8.3% | 4.0–9.0% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.8% | 4.8–7.2% | 4.5–7.6% | 4.2–7.9% | 3.8–8.6% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.1–7.0% | 3.8–7.4% | 3.4–8.1% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.7% | 2.3–6.4% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 2.8% | 2.1–3.9% | 2.0–4.2% | 1.8–4.4% | 1.5–5.0% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1–3.9% | 2.0–4.2% | 1.8–4.4% | 1.5–5.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 62 | 57–66 | 55–68 | 54–69 | 52–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 32 | 28–34 | 27–35 | 26–36 | 24–39 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 22 | 18–26 | 18–27 | 18–29 | 17–31 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 14 | 11–17 | 11–17 | 10–18 | 9–20 |
| Rødt | 8 | 11 | 9–13 | 8–14 | 8–14 | 6–15 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 10 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 7–14 | 1–15 |
| Venstre | 8 | 9 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 3–13 | 2–13 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 6 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 1–10 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 2 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–6 | 0–8 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–7 | 0–8 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 54 | 1.5% | 98.6% | |
| 55 | 3% | 97% | |
| 56 | 3% | 94% | |
| 57 | 2% | 92% | |
| 58 | 7% | 89% | |
| 59 | 12% | 82% | |
| 60 | 7% | 70% | |
| 61 | 9% | 63% | |
| 62 | 16% | 54% | Median |
| 63 | 3% | 39% | |
| 64 | 12% | 35% | |
| 65 | 10% | 24% | |
| 66 | 5% | 14% | |
| 67 | 2% | 8% | |
| 68 | 3% | 6% | |
| 69 | 2% | 4% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 25 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 26 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 27 | 5% | 97% | |
| 28 | 3% | 92% | |
| 29 | 9% | 90% | |
| 30 | 13% | 81% | |
| 31 | 16% | 68% | |
| 32 | 11% | 51% | Median |
| 33 | 25% | 40% | |
| 34 | 8% | 15% | |
| 35 | 3% | 7% | |
| 36 | 2% | 4% | |
| 37 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 18 | 14% | 98% | |
| 19 | 4% | 84% | |
| 20 | 10% | 81% | |
| 21 | 10% | 70% | Last Result |
| 22 | 14% | 60% | Median |
| 23 | 9% | 46% | |
| 24 | 20% | 38% | |
| 25 | 4% | 18% | |
| 26 | 8% | 14% | |
| 27 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 28 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 29 | 2% | 4% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 31 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 11 | 16% | 97% | |
| 12 | 10% | 81% | |
| 13 | 10% | 71% | Last Result |
| 14 | 14% | 61% | Median |
| 15 | 11% | 48% | |
| 16 | 25% | 36% | |
| 17 | 8% | 12% | |
| 18 | 2% | 4% | |
| 19 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 7 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 8 | 6% | 98% | Last Result |
| 9 | 12% | 92% | |
| 10 | 26% | 80% | |
| 11 | 23% | 54% | Median |
| 12 | 14% | 30% | |
| 13 | 11% | 17% | |
| 14 | 4% | 6% | |
| 15 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 6 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 7 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 8 | 9% | 96% | |
| 9 | 22% | 87% | |
| 10 | 37% | 64% | Median |
| 11 | 12% | 27% | |
| 12 | 7% | 15% | |
| 13 | 3% | 8% | |
| 14 | 3% | 5% | |
| 15 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 7 | 12% | 97% | |
| 8 | 16% | 85% | Last Result |
| 9 | 26% | 69% | Median |
| 10 | 24% | 43% | |
| 11 | 9% | 20% | |
| 12 | 8% | 11% | |
| 13 | 2% | 3% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 2 | 23% | 98% | |
| 3 | 21% | 74% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 53% | |
| 5 | 0% | 53% | |
| 6 | 9% | 53% | Median |
| 7 | 24% | 44% | |
| 8 | 15% | 20% | |
| 9 | 4% | 5% | |
| 10 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 21% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 18% | 79% | |
| 2 | 35% | 61% | Median |
| 3 | 22% | 25% | |
| 4 | 0% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 7 | 2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 53% | 98% | Median |
| 2 | 40% | 45% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 6% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 5% | |
| 6 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 7 | 2% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 108 | 100% | 103–114 | 100–114 | 100–115 | 98–119 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 100 | 100% | 94–106 | 92–106 | 92–108 | 90–111 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 98 | 99.9% | 93–104 | 90–105 | 90–107 | 88–109 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 93 | 97% | 88–99 | 86–100 | 84–101 | 82–104 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 83 | 37% | 79–89 | 77–92 | 75–92 | 74–95 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 77 | 2% | 70–81 | 69–83 | 67–84 | 65–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 68 | 0% | 63–74 | 60–75 | 59–76 | 57–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 66 | 0% | 61–72 | 59–73 | 57–74 | 54–76 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 63 | 0% | 57–67 | 56–70 | 56–71 | 53–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 58 | 0% | 53–63 | 52–65 | 50–65 | 48–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 58 | 0% | 52–62 | 51–63 | 49–64 | 47–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 56 | 0% | 51–60 | 50–62 | 48–62 | 46–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 47 | 0% | 44–53 | 43–56 | 41–57 | 38–59 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 46 | 0% | 42–51 | 42–54 | 40–55 | 37–57 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 46 | 0% | 42–49 | 40–50 | 39–51 | 37–54 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 42 | 0% | 38–45 | 37–47 | 36–48 | 33–49 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 25 | 0% | 21–27 | 20–30 | 18–31 | 15–33 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 97 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 98 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 99 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 100 | 4% | 98.7% | |
| 101 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 102 | 0.9% | 93% | |
| 103 | 3% | 92% | |
| 104 | 7% | 89% | |
| 105 | 11% | 83% | |
| 106 | 7% | 71% | |
| 107 | 7% | 65% | |
| 108 | 11% | 57% | |
| 109 | 14% | 46% | Median |
| 110 | 3% | 32% | |
| 111 | 3% | 29% | |
| 112 | 8% | 26% | |
| 113 | 8% | 18% | |
| 114 | 5% | 10% | |
| 115 | 2% | 5% | |
| 116 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 117 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 122 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 90 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 92 | 4% | 98% | |
| 93 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 94 | 5% | 93% | |
| 95 | 8% | 88% | |
| 96 | 6% | 81% | |
| 97 | 7% | 74% | |
| 98 | 4% | 67% | |
| 99 | 4% | 63% | |
| 100 | 14% | 59% | Median |
| 101 | 11% | 45% | |
| 102 | 6% | 34% | |
| 103 | 8% | 28% | |
| 104 | 6% | 20% | |
| 105 | 2% | 14% | |
| 106 | 8% | 13% | |
| 107 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 108 | 2% | 4% | |
| 109 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 110 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 113 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 89 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 90 | 3% | 98% | |
| 91 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 92 | 3% | 93% | |
| 93 | 6% | 90% | |
| 94 | 11% | 84% | |
| 95 | 4% | 74% | |
| 96 | 8% | 70% | |
| 97 | 3% | 62% | |
| 98 | 15% | 59% | |
| 99 | 3% | 45% | Median |
| 100 | 9% | 42% | |
| 101 | 7% | 32% | |
| 102 | 7% | 25% | |
| 103 | 6% | 19% | |
| 104 | 4% | 13% | |
| 105 | 5% | 8% | |
| 106 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 107 | 2% | 3% | |
| 108 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 83 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 84 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 85 | 2% | 97% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 87 | 3% | 95% | |
| 88 | 5% | 92% | |
| 89 | 2% | 87% | |
| 90 | 7% | 84% | |
| 91 | 10% | 77% | |
| 92 | 12% | 67% | |
| 93 | 16% | 55% | Median |
| 94 | 3% | 39% | |
| 95 | 10% | 36% | |
| 96 | 4% | 26% | |
| 97 | 6% | 22% | |
| 98 | 2% | 16% | |
| 99 | 4% | 14% | |
| 100 | 7% | 9% | |
| 101 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 75 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 77 | 2% | 96% | |
| 78 | 2% | 95% | |
| 79 | 5% | 92% | |
| 80 | 6% | 87% | |
| 81 | 4% | 81% | |
| 82 | 8% | 78% | |
| 83 | 22% | 70% | |
| 84 | 11% | 48% | Median |
| 85 | 8% | 37% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 30% | |
| 87 | 5% | 27% | |
| 88 | 9% | 22% | |
| 89 | 5% | 14% | |
| 90 | 2% | 9% | |
| 91 | 1.5% | 7% | |
| 92 | 3% | 5% | |
| 93 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 67 | 2% | 98% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 69 | 3% | 95% | |
| 70 | 9% | 93% | |
| 71 | 11% | 84% | |
| 72 | 2% | 73% | |
| 73 | 2% | 70% | |
| 74 | 4% | 68% | |
| 75 | 8% | 64% | |
| 76 | 3% | 56% | |
| 77 | 3% | 52% | Median |
| 78 | 15% | 49% | |
| 79 | 11% | 35% | |
| 80 | 14% | 24% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 10% | |
| 82 | 2% | 9% | |
| 83 | 4% | 7% | |
| 84 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 85 | 2% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 58 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 60 | 4% | 97% | |
| 61 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 62 | 2% | 92% | |
| 63 | 9% | 90% | |
| 64 | 8% | 82% | |
| 65 | 3% | 74% | |
| 66 | 10% | 71% | |
| 67 | 9% | 61% | |
| 68 | 4% | 52% | Median |
| 69 | 10% | 47% | |
| 70 | 4% | 37% | |
| 71 | 2% | 33% | |
| 72 | 12% | 31% | |
| 73 | 8% | 19% | |
| 74 | 2% | 11% | |
| 75 | 6% | 9% | |
| 76 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 57 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 59 | 4% | 97% | |
| 60 | 2% | 92% | |
| 61 | 5% | 91% | |
| 62 | 5% | 86% | |
| 63 | 9% | 80% | |
| 64 | 3% | 71% | |
| 65 | 17% | 69% | |
| 66 | 3% | 52% | |
| 67 | 12% | 49% | Median |
| 68 | 4% | 37% | |
| 69 | 2% | 33% | |
| 70 | 7% | 31% | |
| 71 | 8% | 24% | |
| 72 | 7% | 16% | |
| 73 | 6% | 9% | |
| 74 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 56 | 7% | 98% | |
| 57 | 4% | 91% | |
| 58 | 2% | 87% | |
| 59 | 5% | 84% | |
| 60 | 12% | 79% | |
| 61 | 10% | 68% | |
| 62 | 4% | 58% | |
| 63 | 25% | 53% | Median |
| 64 | 4% | 28% | |
| 65 | 4% | 24% | |
| 66 | 9% | 20% | |
| 67 | 2% | 11% | |
| 68 | 1.4% | 9% | |
| 69 | 2% | 8% | |
| 70 | 2% | 6% | |
| 71 | 2% | 4% | |
| 72 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 50 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 52 | 4% | 96% | |
| 53 | 10% | 92% | |
| 54 | 7% | 82% | |
| 55 | 2% | 75% | |
| 56 | 5% | 74% | |
| 57 | 16% | 69% | |
| 58 | 8% | 53% | Median |
| 59 | 9% | 45% | |
| 60 | 5% | 36% | |
| 61 | 7% | 31% | |
| 62 | 8% | 25% | |
| 63 | 10% | 17% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 65 | 5% | 6% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 49 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 51 | 5% | 97% | |
| 52 | 2% | 92% | |
| 53 | 12% | 90% | |
| 54 | 6% | 78% | |
| 55 | 6% | 73% | |
| 56 | 12% | 67% | |
| 57 | 5% | 55% | Median |
| 58 | 11% | 50% | |
| 59 | 5% | 39% | |
| 60 | 12% | 35% | |
| 61 | 9% | 23% | |
| 62 | 5% | 14% | |
| 63 | 5% | 9% | |
| 64 | 2% | 4% | |
| 65 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 48 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 50 | 5% | 96% | |
| 51 | 3% | 91% | |
| 52 | 15% | 88% | |
| 53 | 7% | 73% | |
| 54 | 3% | 66% | |
| 55 | 12% | 63% | |
| 56 | 11% | 51% | Median |
| 57 | 7% | 40% | |
| 58 | 3% | 34% | |
| 59 | 17% | 30% | |
| 60 | 5% | 13% | |
| 61 | 3% | 9% | |
| 62 | 3% | 5% | |
| 63 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 41 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 42 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 43 | 6% | 96% | |
| 44 | 3% | 90% | |
| 45 | 8% | 87% | |
| 46 | 14% | 79% | |
| 47 | 19% | 65% | |
| 48 | 3% | 46% | |
| 49 | 12% | 42% | Median |
| 50 | 8% | 31% | |
| 51 | 2% | 23% | |
| 52 | 8% | 20% | |
| 53 | 3% | 12% | |
| 54 | 2% | 10% | |
| 55 | 3% | 8% | |
| 56 | 2% | 5% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 58 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 40 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 41 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 42 | 6% | 96% | |
| 43 | 7% | 90% | |
| 44 | 16% | 83% | |
| 45 | 7% | 67% | |
| 46 | 19% | 60% | |
| 47 | 6% | 41% | |
| 48 | 12% | 36% | Median |
| 49 | 4% | 23% | |
| 50 | 8% | 19% | |
| 51 | 2% | 11% | |
| 52 | 2% | 9% | |
| 53 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 54 | 3% | 6% | |
| 55 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 56 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 38 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 39 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 40 | 3% | 97% | |
| 41 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 42 | 18% | 93% | |
| 43 | 5% | 76% | |
| 44 | 8% | 71% | |
| 45 | 7% | 63% | |
| 46 | 17% | 57% | Median |
| 47 | 6% | 40% | |
| 48 | 13% | 33% | |
| 49 | 13% | 20% | |
| 50 | 3% | 8% | |
| 51 | 2% | 5% | |
| 52 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 35 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 36 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 37 | 7% | 97% | |
| 38 | 5% | 90% | |
| 39 | 14% | 85% | |
| 40 | 4% | 71% | |
| 41 | 14% | 67% | |
| 42 | 18% | 53% | Median |
| 43 | 16% | 35% | |
| 44 | 5% | 19% | |
| 45 | 5% | 14% | |
| 46 | 4% | 9% | |
| 47 | 2% | 5% | |
| 48 | 2% | 3% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 16 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 17 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 18 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 19 | 2% | 97% | |
| 20 | 2% | 96% | |
| 21 | 14% | 93% | |
| 22 | 8% | 80% | |
| 23 | 12% | 72% | |
| 24 | 4% | 60% | |
| 25 | 33% | 56% | Median |
| 26 | 5% | 23% | |
| 27 | 9% | 18% | |
| 28 | 2% | 9% | |
| 29 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 30 | 3% | 6% | |
| 31 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 32 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 33 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): ABC Nyheter and Altinget
- Fieldwork period: 21–27 March 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 637
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.36%