Opinion Poll by Norstat for Aftenposten and NRK, 22–29 March 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 33.8% | 31.6–36.2% | 31.0–36.8% | 30.5–37.4% | 29.4–38.5% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 17.1% | 15.4–19.1% | 15.0–19.6% | 14.5–20.1% | 13.8–21.0% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.2–12.2% | 8.9–12.7% | 8.5–13.1% | 7.9–13.9% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.3–11.2% | 8.0–11.6% | 7.7–12.0% | 7.1–12.8% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.7% | 4.7–7.0% | 4.5–7.3% | 4.2–7.7% | 3.8–8.3% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6–6.8% | 4.3–7.2% | 4.1–7.5% | 3.7–8.2% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0–6.1% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.5–6.7% | 3.1–7.3% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0–4.8% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.6–5.4% | 2.3–6.0% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 2.8% | 2.1–3.7% | 2.0–4.0% | 1.8–4.3% | 1.5–4.8% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1–3.7% | 2.0–4.0% | 1.8–4.3% | 1.5–4.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 62 | 57–68 | 56–69 | 55–69 | 52–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 33 | 31–36 | 30–38 | 29–39 | 26–42 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 18 | 16–22 | 15–23 | 15–23 | 14–25 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 17 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 12–21 | 11–23 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 10 | 8–13 | 7–14 | 7–14 | 2–16 |
| Rødt | 8 | 10 | 7–12 | 7–13 | 1–13 | 1–14 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 3–11 | 2–11 | 2–12 | 2–13 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 1–9 | 0–10 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 2 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–7 | 0–8 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 55 | 3% | 98% | |
| 56 | 4% | 95% | |
| 57 | 8% | 92% | |
| 58 | 8% | 83% | |
| 59 | 5% | 75% | |
| 60 | 5% | 70% | |
| 61 | 14% | 66% | |
| 62 | 11% | 51% | Median |
| 63 | 9% | 41% | |
| 64 | 9% | 31% | |
| 65 | 3% | 22% | |
| 66 | 3% | 19% | |
| 67 | 6% | 16% | |
| 68 | 3% | 10% | |
| 69 | 5% | 7% | |
| 70 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 29 | 2% | 98% | |
| 30 | 3% | 97% | |
| 31 | 4% | 94% | |
| 32 | 9% | 90% | |
| 33 | 45% | 80% | Median |
| 34 | 13% | 36% | |
| 35 | 6% | 23% | |
| 36 | 8% | 17% | |
| 37 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 38 | 4% | 8% | |
| 39 | 2% | 4% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 15 | 5% | 98% | |
| 16 | 6% | 94% | |
| 17 | 18% | 88% | |
| 18 | 25% | 70% | Median |
| 19 | 13% | 45% | |
| 20 | 11% | 32% | |
| 21 | 9% | 21% | Last Result |
| 22 | 4% | 12% | |
| 23 | 6% | 8% | |
| 24 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 1.4% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 3% | 98% | |
| 13 | 2% | 96% | Last Result |
| 14 | 6% | 93% | |
| 15 | 14% | 87% | |
| 16 | 12% | 74% | |
| 17 | 19% | 62% | Median |
| 18 | 15% | 43% | |
| 19 | 7% | 28% | |
| 20 | 15% | 21% | |
| 21 | 5% | 7% | |
| 22 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 6 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 7 | 4% | 98% | |
| 8 | 17% | 95% | |
| 9 | 26% | 78% | |
| 10 | 11% | 52% | Median |
| 11 | 16% | 41% | |
| 12 | 8% | 24% | |
| 13 | 10% | 16% | |
| 14 | 6% | 7% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 97% | |
| 3 | 0% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 6 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 7 | 7% | 96% | |
| 8 | 10% | 89% | Last Result |
| 9 | 21% | 79% | |
| 10 | 19% | 58% | Median |
| 11 | 16% | 40% | |
| 12 | 18% | 24% | |
| 13 | 5% | 6% | |
| 14 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 6% | 100% | |
| 3 | 4% | 94% | |
| 4 | 0% | 89% | |
| 5 | 0% | 89% | |
| 6 | 0.8% | 89% | |
| 7 | 16% | 88% | |
| 8 | 26% | 72% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 27% | 46% | |
| 10 | 8% | 18% | |
| 11 | 8% | 11% | |
| 12 | 2% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 1 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 2 | 37% | 95% | |
| 3 | 27% | 59% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 32% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 32% | |
| 6 | 3% | 32% | |
| 7 | 10% | 29% | |
| 8 | 10% | 18% | |
| 9 | 6% | 8% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 28% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 12% | 72% | |
| 2 | 43% | 60% | Median |
| 3 | 14% | 17% | |
| 4 | 0% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 7 | 2% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 68% | 98% | Median |
| 2 | 23% | 31% | |
| 3 | 4% | 8% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 7 | 2% | 4% | |
| 8 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 103 | 100% | 98–108 | 96–110 | 95–111 | 92–114 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 94 | 99.3% | 89–100 | 87–102 | 87–103 | 84–106 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 92 | 98% | 87–98 | 86–101 | 85–102 | 82–105 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 88 | 80% | 83–94 | 82–95 | 81–97 | 78–99 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 80 | 19% | 75–86 | 74–87 | 73–88 | 70–91 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 73 | 2% | 67–80 | 67–82 | 66–84 | 63–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 73 | 0.1% | 66–77 | 64–79 | 62–80 | 61–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 72 | 0% | 64–75 | 62–76 | 61–79 | 59–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 66 | 0% | 61–72 | 59–74 | 59–75 | 56–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 62 | 0% | 56–66 | 56–68 | 54–70 | 52–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 63 | 0% | 57–67 | 56–68 | 53–69 | 52–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 62 | 0% | 56–65 | 54–66 | 52–68 | 51–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 49 | 0% | 45–55 | 44–56 | 43–58 | 39–60 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 51 | 0% | 47–54 | 45–56 | 44–57 | 43–59 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 47 | 0% | 43–53 | 43–54 | 42–56 | 38–58 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 44 | 0% | 40–47 | 39–48 | 38–49 | 35–52 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 22 | 0% | 17–27 | 17–29 | 15–30 | 13–32 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 95 | 1.5% | 98.6% | |
| 96 | 3% | 97% | Last Result |
| 97 | 3% | 94% | |
| 98 | 3% | 91% | |
| 99 | 9% | 88% | |
| 100 | 15% | 80% | |
| 101 | 5% | 65% | Median |
| 102 | 9% | 60% | |
| 103 | 13% | 51% | |
| 104 | 9% | 38% | |
| 105 | 6% | 29% | |
| 106 | 7% | 23% | |
| 107 | 6% | 17% | |
| 108 | 3% | 11% | |
| 109 | 2% | 7% | |
| 110 | 2% | 5% | |
| 111 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 112 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 113 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 99.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 87 | 5% | 98% | |
| 88 | 3% | 93% | |
| 89 | 4% | 90% | |
| 90 | 5% | 87% | |
| 91 | 4% | 82% | |
| 92 | 19% | 77% | Median |
| 93 | 7% | 58% | |
| 94 | 6% | 51% | |
| 95 | 9% | 45% | |
| 96 | 8% | 36% | |
| 97 | 7% | 27% | |
| 98 | 7% | 20% | |
| 99 | 3% | 14% | |
| 100 | 3% | 11% | |
| 101 | 2% | 8% | |
| 102 | 3% | 6% | |
| 103 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 104 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 106 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 85 | 2% | 98% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 97% | |
| 87 | 4% | 92% | |
| 88 | 5% | 88% | |
| 89 | 6% | 83% | |
| 90 | 6% | 77% | |
| 91 | 16% | 72% | Median |
| 92 | 12% | 56% | |
| 93 | 3% | 44% | |
| 94 | 10% | 41% | |
| 95 | 8% | 31% | |
| 96 | 6% | 23% | |
| 97 | 6% | 17% | |
| 98 | 3% | 11% | |
| 99 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 100 | 2% | 7% | |
| 101 | 3% | 5% | |
| 102 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 103 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 81 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 82 | 2% | 97% | |
| 83 | 6% | 95% | |
| 84 | 9% | 88% | |
| 85 | 4% | 80% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 76% | |
| 87 | 8% | 71% | |
| 88 | 15% | 62% | Median |
| 89 | 8% | 47% | |
| 90 | 10% | 39% | |
| 91 | 2% | 29% | |
| 92 | 11% | 28% | |
| 93 | 5% | 16% | |
| 94 | 6% | 11% | |
| 95 | 2% | 5% | |
| 96 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 97 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 98 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 72 | 1.1% | 99.2% | |
| 73 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 74 | 2% | 97% | |
| 75 | 5% | 95% | |
| 76 | 9% | 89% | |
| 77 | 6% | 80% | |
| 78 | 5% | 74% | |
| 79 | 17% | 69% | |
| 80 | 6% | 52% | Median |
| 81 | 6% | 47% | |
| 82 | 7% | 41% | |
| 83 | 9% | 34% | |
| 84 | 6% | 25% | |
| 85 | 7% | 19% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 11% | |
| 87 | 3% | 8% | |
| 88 | 2% | 4% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 90 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 7% | 97% | |
| 68 | 2% | 90% | |
| 69 | 2% | 87% | |
| 70 | 6% | 85% | |
| 71 | 6% | 79% | |
| 72 | 8% | 73% | |
| 73 | 20% | 65% | Median |
| 74 | 11% | 45% | |
| 75 | 4% | 34% | |
| 76 | 4% | 30% | |
| 77 | 3% | 26% | |
| 78 | 6% | 23% | |
| 79 | 4% | 17% | |
| 80 | 5% | 13% | |
| 81 | 4% | 9% | |
| 82 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 83 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 84 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 64 | 5% | 96% | |
| 65 | 1.5% | 92% | |
| 66 | 3% | 90% | |
| 67 | 3% | 87% | |
| 68 | 3% | 83% | |
| 69 | 4% | 81% | |
| 70 | 6% | 77% | |
| 71 | 12% | 71% | Median |
| 72 | 4% | 59% | |
| 73 | 10% | 55% | |
| 74 | 11% | 45% | |
| 75 | 15% | 34% | |
| 76 | 9% | 20% | |
| 77 | 4% | 10% | |
| 78 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 79 | 2% | 6% | |
| 80 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 81 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 61 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 62 | 2% | 97% | |
| 63 | 4% | 95% | |
| 64 | 3% | 91% | |
| 65 | 3% | 88% | |
| 66 | 5% | 85% | |
| 67 | 3% | 80% | |
| 68 | 5% | 77% | |
| 69 | 8% | 72% | |
| 70 | 9% | 64% | Median |
| 71 | 5% | 56% | |
| 72 | 10% | 51% | |
| 73 | 9% | 41% | |
| 74 | 17% | 32% | |
| 75 | 8% | 15% | |
| 76 | 2% | 7% | |
| 77 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 78 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 79 | 2% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 59 | 5% | 98% | |
| 60 | 2% | 93% | |
| 61 | 4% | 91% | |
| 62 | 1.3% | 87% | |
| 63 | 4% | 85% | |
| 64 | 10% | 82% | Median |
| 65 | 7% | 72% | |
| 66 | 24% | 65% | |
| 67 | 8% | 40% | |
| 68 | 5% | 33% | |
| 69 | 5% | 28% | |
| 70 | 6% | 23% | |
| 71 | 6% | 17% | |
| 72 | 4% | 11% | |
| 73 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 74 | 3% | 6% | |
| 75 | 2% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 54 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 55 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 56 | 6% | 95% | |
| 57 | 2% | 89% | |
| 58 | 5% | 87% | |
| 59 | 5% | 83% | |
| 60 | 13% | 77% | |
| 61 | 6% | 64% | Median |
| 62 | 13% | 58% | |
| 63 | 6% | 45% | |
| 64 | 9% | 39% | |
| 65 | 7% | 31% | |
| 66 | 15% | 24% | |
| 67 | 4% | 9% | |
| 68 | 2% | 5% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 70 | 2% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 55 | 2% | 97% | |
| 56 | 2% | 95% | |
| 57 | 4% | 93% | |
| 58 | 4% | 88% | |
| 59 | 4% | 84% | |
| 60 | 7% | 80% | |
| 61 | 5% | 73% | Median |
| 62 | 9% | 68% | |
| 63 | 21% | 59% | |
| 64 | 16% | 37% | |
| 65 | 5% | 21% | |
| 66 | 5% | 16% | |
| 67 | 4% | 11% | |
| 68 | 2% | 7% | |
| 69 | 2% | 5% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 54 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 55 | 3% | 94% | |
| 56 | 6% | 91% | |
| 57 | 5% | 86% | |
| 58 | 6% | 81% | |
| 59 | 7% | 75% | |
| 60 | 7% | 69% | Median |
| 61 | 10% | 62% | |
| 62 | 20% | 52% | |
| 63 | 14% | 32% | |
| 64 | 6% | 18% | |
| 65 | 6% | 12% | |
| 66 | 2% | 6% | |
| 67 | 2% | 5% | |
| 68 | 2% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 44 | 6% | 97% | |
| 45 | 3% | 91% | |
| 46 | 18% | 89% | |
| 47 | 10% | 71% | Median |
| 48 | 4% | 61% | |
| 49 | 14% | 56% | |
| 50 | 11% | 43% | |
| 51 | 7% | 32% | |
| 52 | 5% | 25% | |
| 53 | 4% | 20% | |
| 54 | 4% | 16% | |
| 55 | 6% | 13% | |
| 56 | 2% | 7% | |
| 57 | 2% | 5% | |
| 58 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 45 | 2% | 96% | |
| 46 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 47 | 5% | 93% | |
| 48 | 9% | 87% | |
| 49 | 9% | 78% | |
| 50 | 17% | 69% | Median |
| 51 | 14% | 52% | |
| 52 | 7% | 38% | |
| 53 | 18% | 31% | |
| 54 | 3% | 13% | |
| 55 | 3% | 10% | |
| 56 | 4% | 7% | |
| 57 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 41 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 42 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 43 | 8% | 96% | |
| 44 | 3% | 88% | |
| 45 | 18% | 86% | |
| 46 | 11% | 67% | Median |
| 47 | 9% | 56% | |
| 48 | 11% | 48% | |
| 49 | 10% | 37% | |
| 50 | 6% | 27% | |
| 51 | 4% | 21% | |
| 52 | 4% | 17% | |
| 53 | 4% | 13% | |
| 54 | 5% | 9% | |
| 55 | 2% | 5% | |
| 56 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 57 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 36 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 37 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 38 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 39 | 2% | 96% | |
| 40 | 5% | 94% | |
| 41 | 11% | 90% | |
| 42 | 19% | 79% | |
| 43 | 9% | 60% | Median |
| 44 | 12% | 50% | |
| 45 | 11% | 38% | |
| 46 | 8% | 27% | |
| 47 | 11% | 19% | |
| 48 | 4% | 8% | |
| 49 | 2% | 4% | |
| 50 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 14 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 15 | 2% | 98% | |
| 16 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 17 | 6% | 96% | |
| 18 | 5% | 90% | |
| 19 | 6% | 85% | |
| 20 | 4% | 79% | |
| 21 | 22% | 74% | Median |
| 22 | 10% | 52% | |
| 23 | 11% | 42% | |
| 24 | 10% | 32% | |
| 25 | 3% | 21% | |
| 26 | 5% | 18% | |
| 27 | 5% | 12% | |
| 28 | 3% | 8% | |
| 29 | 2% | 5% | |
| 30 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): Aftenposten and NRK
- Fieldwork period: 22–29 March 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 718
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.83%