Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 27–31 March 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre |
20.4% |
30.6% |
28.8–32.5% |
28.2–33.1% |
27.8–33.6% |
26.9–34.5% |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
18.0% |
16.5–19.7% |
16.1–20.1% |
15.7–20.6% |
15.0–21.4% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
12.6% |
11.3–14.1% |
11.0–14.5% |
10.7–14.8% |
10.1–15.5% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
9.9% |
8.8–11.3% |
8.5–11.6% |
8.2–12.0% |
7.7–12.6% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
6.3% |
5.4–7.5% |
5.2–7.8% |
5.0–8.1% |
4.6–8.6% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
5.6% |
4.8–6.7% |
4.5–7.0% |
4.3–7.3% |
4.0–7.8% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
4.3% |
3.6–5.3% |
3.4–5.5% |
3.2–5.8% |
2.9–6.3% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.9% |
3.1–5.2% |
2.9–5.4% |
2.6–5.9% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
3.1% |
2.5–3.9% |
2.3–4.1% |
2.1–4.4% |
1.9–4.8% |
Norgesdemokratene |
1.1% |
1.7% |
1.3–2.4% |
1.2–2.6% |
1.1–2.8% |
0.9–3.1% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet |
0.3% |
1.5% |
1.1–2.2% |
1.0–2.4% |
0.9–2.5% |
0.8–2.9% |
Konservativt |
0.4% |
0.9% |
0.6–1.5% |
0.5–1.6% |
0.5–1.8% |
0.4–2.0% |
Pensjonistpartiet |
0.6% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.1–0.8% |
0.1–0.9% |
0.1–1.1% |
Folkets parti |
0.1% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.0–0.9% |
Kystpartiet |
0.0% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
50 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
51 |
0.9% |
96% |
|
52 |
11% |
95% |
|
53 |
1.2% |
84% |
|
54 |
10% |
82% |
|
55 |
2% |
72% |
|
56 |
58% |
71% |
Median |
57 |
5% |
13% |
|
58 |
3% |
8% |
|
59 |
2% |
5% |
|
60 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
62 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
63 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
1.4% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
98.5% |
|
30 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
31 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
32 |
2% |
98% |
|
33 |
6% |
96% |
|
34 |
3% |
90% |
|
35 |
2% |
87% |
|
36 |
60% |
84% |
Median |
37 |
2% |
25% |
|
38 |
5% |
23% |
|
39 |
11% |
18% |
|
40 |
4% |
8% |
|
41 |
2% |
4% |
|
42 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
2% |
100% |
|
18 |
3% |
98% |
|
19 |
3% |
95% |
|
20 |
18% |
92% |
|
21 |
2% |
74% |
Last Result |
22 |
3% |
72% |
|
23 |
48% |
69% |
Median |
24 |
7% |
21% |
|
25 |
1.0% |
14% |
|
26 |
0.2% |
13% |
|
27 |
0.2% |
13% |
|
28 |
2% |
13% |
|
29 |
11% |
11% |
|
30 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
14 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
15 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
16 |
5% |
98% |
|
17 |
7% |
92% |
|
18 |
23% |
85% |
|
19 |
3% |
62% |
|
20 |
4% |
59% |
|
21 |
38% |
55% |
Median |
22 |
17% |
17% |
|
23 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
24 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
2% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
9 |
14% |
98% |
|
10 |
4% |
84% |
|
11 |
41% |
80% |
Median |
12 |
10% |
40% |
|
13 |
8% |
29% |
|
14 |
21% |
21% |
|
15 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.1% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.1% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.1% |
|
7 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
8 |
6% |
97% |
|
9 |
13% |
91% |
|
10 |
50% |
78% |
Median |
11 |
3% |
28% |
|
12 |
5% |
26% |
|
13 |
18% |
21% |
|
14 |
3% |
3% |
|
15 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
12% |
100% |
|
3 |
23% |
88% |
|
4 |
0% |
65% |
|
5 |
0% |
65% |
|
6 |
0% |
65% |
|
7 |
3% |
65% |
|
8 |
52% |
62% |
Last Result, Median |
9 |
4% |
10% |
|
10 |
1.4% |
6% |
|
11 |
5% |
5% |
|
12 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
1.4% |
100% |
|
2 |
69% |
98.6% |
Median |
3 |
7% |
30% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
23% |
|
5 |
0% |
23% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
23% |
|
7 |
4% |
23% |
|
8 |
7% |
19% |
|
9 |
10% |
12% |
|
10 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
11 |
1.4% |
1.5% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
|
1 |
39% |
97% |
|
2 |
46% |
58% |
Median |
3 |
7% |
13% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
6% |
|
5 |
0% |
6% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
7 |
3% |
6% |
|
8 |
2% |
2% |
|
9 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.2% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
2 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Folkets parti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Folkets parti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kystpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kystpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
90% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
10% |
10% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
96 |
98 |
100% |
94–100 |
92–101 |
89–101 |
87–107 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
71 |
90 |
84% |
83–94 |
83–96 |
83–97 |
83–101 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
68 |
88 |
73% |
81–91 |
81–91 |
77–92 |
77–94 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
100 |
80 |
23% |
77–87 |
76–87 |
75–91 |
74–91 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
65 |
87 |
60% |
79–89 |
78–89 |
74–89 |
74–92 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet |
97 |
78 |
16% |
74–85 |
72–85 |
71–85 |
66–85 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
57 |
79 |
2% |
74–81 |
72–83 |
72–84 |
68–86 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
95 |
70 |
0% |
70–76 |
65–78 |
65–80 |
65–82 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
72 |
70 |
0% |
68–74 |
66–76 |
66–79 |
61–81 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
69 |
0% |
68–74 |
63–75 |
63–77 |
63–77 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet |
89 |
67 |
0% |
61–71 |
61–71 |
60–71 |
54–71 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
47 |
65 |
0% |
60–67 |
58–67 |
54–69 |
54–71 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
82 |
52 |
0% |
49–59 |
47–61 |
47–62 |
46–64 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
57 |
0% |
51–58 |
51–58 |
50–58 |
46–58 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
47 |
0% |
45–53 |
45–54 |
42–56 |
38–57 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
46 |
0% |
43–50 |
42–50 |
41–50 |
36–52 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
39 |
19 |
0% |
15–23 |
12–24 |
12–26 |
6–29 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
87 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
88 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
89 |
3% |
98.6% |
|
90 |
0% |
96% |
|
91 |
0.4% |
96% |
|
92 |
1.3% |
95% |
|
93 |
3% |
94% |
|
94 |
20% |
91% |
|
95 |
5% |
72% |
|
96 |
4% |
67% |
Last Result |
97 |
4% |
62% |
|
98 |
40% |
59% |
|
99 |
0.8% |
18% |
Median |
100 |
10% |
18% |
|
101 |
5% |
7% |
|
102 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
103 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
104 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
105 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
107 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
108 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
16% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
84% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
84% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
84% |
|
87 |
3% |
80% |
|
88 |
2% |
78% |
|
89 |
2% |
76% |
|
90 |
38% |
74% |
|
91 |
3% |
36% |
Median |
92 |
4% |
33% |
|
93 |
19% |
30% |
|
94 |
2% |
10% |
|
95 |
2% |
8% |
|
96 |
2% |
7% |
|
97 |
2% |
5% |
|
98 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
99 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
101 |
1.2% |
1.5% |
|
102 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
103 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
104 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
3% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
79 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
80 |
0.4% |
96% |
|
81 |
16% |
96% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
80% |
|
83 |
2% |
79% |
|
84 |
4% |
77% |
|
85 |
9% |
73% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
64% |
|
87 |
0.4% |
61% |
|
88 |
43% |
61% |
|
89 |
0.7% |
18% |
Median |
90 |
0.5% |
17% |
|
91 |
13% |
17% |
|
92 |
2% |
3% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
94 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
95 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
96 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
74 |
1.2% |
99.6% |
|
75 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
76 |
5% |
97% |
|
77 |
9% |
92% |
|
78 |
0.8% |
83% |
|
79 |
1.1% |
83% |
|
80 |
42% |
81% |
Median |
81 |
1.2% |
39% |
|
82 |
2% |
38% |
|
83 |
11% |
35% |
|
84 |
2% |
24% |
|
85 |
2% |
23% |
Majority |
86 |
0.6% |
21% |
|
87 |
16% |
20% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
89 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
90 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
91 |
3% |
3% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
3% |
100% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
77 |
2% |
97% |
|
78 |
2% |
95% |
|
79 |
16% |
93% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
77% |
|
81 |
4% |
77% |
|
82 |
2% |
73% |
|
83 |
9% |
71% |
|
84 |
2% |
61% |
|
85 |
0.5% |
60% |
Majority |
86 |
4% |
59% |
|
87 |
39% |
55% |
Median |
88 |
0.3% |
16% |
|
89 |
13% |
16% |
|
90 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
91 |
0% |
0.9% |
|
92 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
93 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
94 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
1.3% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
98.5% |
|
68 |
0% |
98% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
71 |
2% |
98% |
|
72 |
2% |
95% |
|
73 |
2% |
93% |
|
74 |
7% |
92% |
|
75 |
15% |
85% |
|
76 |
4% |
70% |
|
77 |
2% |
66% |
|
78 |
38% |
64% |
Median |
79 |
1.3% |
25% |
|
80 |
3% |
24% |
|
81 |
1.1% |
20% |
|
82 |
3% |
19% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
16% |
|
84 |
0% |
16% |
|
85 |
16% |
16% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
69 |
0% |
99.4% |
|
70 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
72 |
5% |
98% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
93% |
|
74 |
4% |
93% |
|
75 |
3% |
89% |
|
76 |
16% |
85% |
|
77 |
0.7% |
69% |
|
78 |
6% |
68% |
|
79 |
39% |
63% |
Median |
80 |
4% |
24% |
|
81 |
12% |
20% |
|
82 |
2% |
8% |
|
83 |
2% |
6% |
|
84 |
2% |
4% |
|
85 |
1.2% |
2% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
65 |
6% |
99.5% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
94% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
93% |
|
68 |
2% |
93% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
91% |
|
70 |
47% |
91% |
|
71 |
3% |
44% |
Median |
72 |
0.4% |
41% |
|
73 |
7% |
40% |
|
74 |
4% |
33% |
|
75 |
18% |
30% |
|
76 |
3% |
11% |
|
77 |
2% |
9% |
|
78 |
2% |
6% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
5% |
|
80 |
3% |
4% |
|
81 |
0% |
2% |
|
82 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
99.0% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
98.7% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
66 |
5% |
98% |
|
67 |
2% |
93% |
|
68 |
9% |
91% |
|
69 |
3% |
82% |
|
70 |
39% |
79% |
Median |
71 |
3% |
40% |
|
72 |
4% |
37% |
Last Result |
73 |
5% |
33% |
|
74 |
20% |
28% |
|
75 |
2% |
8% |
|
76 |
1.2% |
6% |
|
77 |
0.4% |
5% |
|
78 |
0% |
4% |
|
79 |
3% |
4% |
|
80 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
81 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
7% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
93% |
|
65 |
1.1% |
93% |
|
66 |
1.4% |
92% |
|
67 |
0.4% |
91% |
|
68 |
11% |
90% |
|
69 |
40% |
79% |
Median |
70 |
3% |
39% |
|
71 |
8% |
36% |
|
72 |
1.0% |
28% |
|
73 |
16% |
27% |
|
74 |
1.5% |
10% |
|
75 |
5% |
9% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
77 |
3% |
3% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
1.2% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0% |
98.8% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
98.8% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
98.6% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
60 |
2% |
98% |
|
61 |
7% |
96% |
|
62 |
4% |
89% |
|
63 |
5% |
86% |
|
64 |
1.2% |
81% |
|
65 |
2% |
80% |
|
66 |
14% |
77% |
|
67 |
39% |
63% |
Median |
68 |
6% |
24% |
|
69 |
0.8% |
18% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
17% |
|
71 |
16% |
16% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
3% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
97% |
|
56 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
57 |
0% |
96% |
|
58 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
59 |
1.4% |
95% |
|
60 |
4% |
94% |
|
61 |
17% |
90% |
|
62 |
13% |
73% |
|
63 |
1.2% |
60% |
|
64 |
0.9% |
59% |
|
65 |
39% |
58% |
|
66 |
5% |
19% |
Median |
67 |
9% |
14% |
|
68 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
69 |
2% |
3% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
71 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
47 |
6% |
99.3% |
|
48 |
0% |
93% |
|
49 |
38% |
93% |
|
50 |
2% |
55% |
Median |
51 |
2% |
53% |
|
52 |
9% |
51% |
|
53 |
18% |
42% |
|
54 |
0.4% |
24% |
|
55 |
1.4% |
23% |
|
56 |
6% |
22% |
|
57 |
3% |
16% |
|
58 |
2% |
13% |
|
59 |
3% |
11% |
|
60 |
1.3% |
8% |
|
61 |
2% |
7% |
|
62 |
3% |
5% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
64 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
98.8% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
98.6% |
|
49 |
0.7% |
98.5% |
|
50 |
3% |
98% |
|
51 |
5% |
95% |
|
52 |
2% |
90% |
|
53 |
5% |
87% |
|
54 |
4% |
83% |
|
55 |
2% |
79% |
|
56 |
6% |
77% |
|
57 |
48% |
70% |
Median |
58 |
22% |
22% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
1.2% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
0% |
98.7% |
|
40 |
0% |
98.7% |
|
41 |
0.4% |
98.7% |
|
42 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
43 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
44 |
2% |
97% |
|
45 |
6% |
96% |
|
46 |
1.1% |
89% |
|
47 |
40% |
88% |
|
48 |
6% |
48% |
Median |
49 |
0.3% |
42% |
|
50 |
12% |
42% |
|
51 |
18% |
30% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
12% |
|
53 |
5% |
11% |
|
54 |
2% |
6% |
|
55 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
56 |
2% |
3% |
|
57 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
1.2% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
98.8% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
98.7% |
|
39 |
0.3% |
98.6% |
|
40 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
41 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
42 |
2% |
97% |
|
43 |
5% |
95% |
|
44 |
2% |
89% |
|
45 |
2% |
87% |
|
46 |
43% |
85% |
Median |
47 |
2% |
42% |
|
48 |
12% |
40% |
|
49 |
18% |
28% |
|
50 |
8% |
10% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
52 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
99.2% |
|
8 |
0% |
99.2% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
99.2% |
|
11 |
0% |
99.2% |
|
12 |
5% |
99.1% |
|
13 |
3% |
94% |
|
14 |
0.3% |
91% |
|
15 |
5% |
91% |
|
16 |
0.3% |
86% |
|
17 |
3% |
86% |
|
18 |
19% |
83% |
|
19 |
46% |
64% |
|
20 |
1.2% |
17% |
Median |
21 |
3% |
16% |
|
22 |
2% |
13% |
|
23 |
6% |
11% |
|
24 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
25 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
26 |
2% |
3% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
28 |
0% |
0.8% |
|
29 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar TNS
- Commissioner(s): TV2
- Fieldwork period: 27–31 March 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 977
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.29%