Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 11–12 April 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 30.8% | 29.0–32.8% | 28.5–33.3% | 28.0–33.8% | 27.2–34.7% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 18.6% | 17.1–20.2% | 16.6–20.7% | 16.3–21.1% | 15.6–21.9% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.0–13.7% | 10.7–14.1% | 10.4–14.5% | 9.8–15.2% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.5–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.3% | 5.4–7.4% | 5.2–7.7% | 4.9–8.0% | 4.5–8.5% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5–6.3% | 4.3–6.6% | 4.1–6.9% | 3.7–7.4% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–6.9% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.5–1.6% | 0.5–1.7% | 0.4–2.0% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.5–1.6% | 0.5–1.7% | 0.4–2.0% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.5–1.6% | 0.5–1.7% | 0.4–2.0% |
| Folkets parti | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.3% |
| Liberalistene | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.6% | 0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 53 | 53–57 | 53–57 | 53–63 | 51–63 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 33 | 33–39 | 33–39 | 33–39 | 32–39 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 24 | 22–24 | 22–24 | 20–24 | 19–28 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 19 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 16–19 | 15–21 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 10 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–12 | 9–14 |
| Rødt | 8 | 10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 8–11 | 8–12 |
| Venstre | 8 | 10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 3–10 | 3–11 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 8 | 3–8 | 3–8 | 3–8 | 2–9 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–8 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Folkets parti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liberalistene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 53 | 76% | 98.8% | Median |
| 54 | 0.8% | 23% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 22% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 22% | |
| 57 | 16% | 21% | |
| 58 | 2% | 5% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 63 | 2% | 3% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 33 | 76% | 99.1% | Median |
| 34 | 2% | 23% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 21% | |
| 36 | 3% | 20% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 18% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 18% | |
| 39 | 17% | 17% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 20 | 3% | 98% | |
| 21 | 0.4% | 96% | Last Result |
| 22 | 18% | 95% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 77% | |
| 24 | 76% | 77% | Median |
| 25 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 16 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 17 | 17% | 96% | |
| 18 | 3% | 80% | |
| 19 | 76% | 77% | Median |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 76% | 98.9% | Median |
| 11 | 20% | 23% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 3% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 9 | 17% | 97% | |
| 10 | 76% | 79% | Median |
| 11 | 2% | 3% | |
| 12 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 0% | 97% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 8 | 17% | 97% | Last Result |
| 9 | 1.0% | 80% | |
| 10 | 77% | 79% | Median |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 3 | 18% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 81% | |
| 5 | 0% | 81% | |
| 6 | 0% | 81% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 81% | |
| 8 | 80% | 81% | Median |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 80% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 19% | 20% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 1.1% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Folkets parti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Folkets parti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 105 | 100% | 101–105 | 101–105 | 101–105 | 96–108 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 96 | 100% | 92–96 | 92–96 | 92–96 | 89–101 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 95 | 99.8% | 90–95 | 90–95 | 90–95 | 86–97 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 87 | 97% | 87 | 86–87 | 84–89 | 80–93 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 77 | 0.2% | 77–79 | 77–80 | 76–83 | 72–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 73 | 0.1% | 73–78 | 73–78 | 73–78 | 71–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 72 | 0% | 72–76 | 72–76 | 72–76 | 67–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 71 | 0% | 71–72 | 71–73 | 70–74 | 66–78 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 71 | 0% | 68–71 | 68–72 | 68–74 | 63–74 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 63 | 0% | 63–69 | 63–69 | 63–69 | 63–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 63 | 0% | 63–67 | 63–67 | 63–67 | 60–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 62 | 0% | 62–67 | 62–67 | 62–67 | 59–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 52 | 0% | 52–55 | 52–56 | 51–57 | 50–61 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 52 | 0% | 52–56 | 52–56 | 50–56 | 48–56 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 51 | 0% | 51–53 | 51–53 | 49–55 | 47–60 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 43 | 0% | 43–50 | 43–50 | 43–50 | 41–52 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 28 | 0% | 22–28 | 22–28 | 22–28 | 20–31 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 97 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 98 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 101 | 16% | 99.0% | |
| 102 | 0.6% | 83% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 82% | |
| 104 | 1.0% | 82% | |
| 105 | 80% | 81% | Median |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 110 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 92 | 17% | 98.8% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 82% | |
| 94 | 0.6% | 82% | |
| 95 | 3% | 81% | |
| 96 | 77% | 78% | Median |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 103 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.8% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 88 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 90 | 16% | 98% | |
| 91 | 1.2% | 82% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 81% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 81% | |
| 94 | 4% | 80% | |
| 95 | 76% | 76% | Median |
| 96 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 101 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 97% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 97% | |
| 87 | 92% | 95% | Median |
| 88 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 91 | 2% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 98.5% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 77 | 76% | 97% | Median |
| 78 | 0.2% | 22% | |
| 79 | 16% | 21% | |
| 80 | 2% | 5% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 83 | 3% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 73 | 76% | 99.4% | Median |
| 74 | 4% | 24% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 20% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 19% | |
| 77 | 1.1% | 19% | |
| 78 | 16% | 18% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 72 | 77% | 99.1% | Median |
| 73 | 3% | 22% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 19% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 18% | |
| 76 | 17% | 18% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0% | 98% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 71 | 76% | 97% | Median |
| 72 | 16% | 21% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 74 | 3% | 5% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 68 | 17% | 98.6% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 82% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 82% | |
| 71 | 76% | 82% | Median |
| 72 | 3% | 6% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 74 | 2% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 77% | 99.5% | Median |
| 64 | 0.1% | 22% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 22% | |
| 66 | 3% | 22% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 19% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 19% | |
| 69 | 17% | 18% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 63 | 80% | 99.2% | Median |
| 64 | 1.0% | 19% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 18% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 18% | |
| 67 | 16% | 17% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 62 | 76% | 98% | Median |
| 63 | 0.6% | 22% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 21% | |
| 65 | 2% | 21% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 18% | |
| 67 | 17% | 18% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 52 | 76% | 97% | Median |
| 53 | 0.1% | 21% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 21% | |
| 55 | 16% | 21% | |
| 56 | 2% | 5% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 50 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 52 | 76% | 97% | Median |
| 53 | 0.4% | 21% | |
| 54 | 3% | 20% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 17% | |
| 56 | 16% | 17% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 51 | 76% | 97% | Median |
| 52 | 0.2% | 21% | |
| 53 | 16% | 21% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 55 | 3% | 5% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 43 | 76% | 99.3% | Median |
| 44 | 0.3% | 24% | |
| 45 | 2% | 23% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 21% | |
| 47 | 3% | 21% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 18% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 18% | |
| 50 | 16% | 18% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 52 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 21 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 22 | 19% | 99.1% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 81% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 80% | |
| 25 | 2% | 80% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 78% | |
| 27 | 0.7% | 78% | |
| 28 | 76% | 77% | Median |
| 29 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norfakta
- Commissioner(s): Klassekampen and Nationen
- Fieldwork period: 11–12 April 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1002
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.19%