Opinion Poll by Norstat for Dagbladet and Vårt Land, 12–15 April 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 31.6% | 29.7–33.5% | 29.2–34.1% | 28.8–34.6% | 27.9–35.5% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 19.3% | 17.7–21.0% | 17.3–21.4% | 16.9–21.9% | 16.2–22.7% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.7–11.1% | 8.4–11.5% | 8.1–11.8% | 7.6–12.5% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.7–10.0% | 7.4–10.4% | 7.2–10.7% | 6.7–11.3% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.1–6.9% | 3.7–7.5% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.1–6.9% | 3.7–7.5% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.0% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.6% | 3.5–7.1% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1–5.8% | 3.9–6.1% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.3–6.9% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 3.6% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.3–5.5% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.3–3.6% | 2.1–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.7–4.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 58 | 52–65 | 52–65 | 51–65 | 50–66 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 39 | 35–43 | 34–44 | 33–45 | 32–46 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 17 | 15–18 | 14–19 | 13–20 | 11–22 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 14 | 12–16 | 11–17 | 10–18 | 10–19 |
| Venstre | 8 | 9 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 6–11 | 2–13 |
| Rødt | 8 | 8 | 7–10 | 6–11 | 6–12 | 1–13 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 8 | 7–10 | 6–11 | 2–12 | 1–13 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 8 | 6–9 | 3–10 | 2–10 | 2–12 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 3 | 2–7 | 2–8 | 1–8 | 0–9 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 1–2 | 0–3 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 52 | 8% | 97% | |
| 53 | 9% | 89% | |
| 54 | 6% | 80% | |
| 55 | 5% | 73% | |
| 56 | 8% | 68% | |
| 57 | 8% | 60% | |
| 58 | 5% | 52% | Median |
| 59 | 12% | 47% | |
| 60 | 7% | 36% | |
| 61 | 5% | 29% | |
| 62 | 3% | 23% | |
| 63 | 2% | 21% | |
| 64 | 7% | 18% | |
| 65 | 10% | 12% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 34 | 6% | 97% | |
| 35 | 14% | 91% | |
| 36 | 6% | 77% | |
| 37 | 6% | 71% | |
| 38 | 10% | 65% | |
| 39 | 14% | 54% | Median |
| 40 | 5% | 41% | |
| 41 | 9% | 36% | |
| 42 | 6% | 27% | |
| 43 | 11% | 21% | |
| 44 | 6% | 10% | |
| 45 | 3% | 3% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 13 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 14 | 4% | 97% | |
| 15 | 12% | 93% | |
| 16 | 14% | 82% | |
| 17 | 33% | 68% | Median |
| 18 | 26% | 35% | |
| 19 | 4% | 8% | |
| 20 | 2% | 4% | |
| 21 | 1.2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 6% | 97% | |
| 12 | 13% | 92% | |
| 13 | 8% | 79% | Last Result |
| 14 | 40% | 71% | Median |
| 15 | 14% | 31% | |
| 16 | 7% | 17% | |
| 17 | 6% | 9% | |
| 18 | 2% | 3% | |
| 19 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 3% | 98% | |
| 7 | 9% | 95% | |
| 8 | 25% | 87% | Last Result |
| 9 | 28% | 61% | Median |
| 10 | 22% | 34% | |
| 11 | 9% | 11% | |
| 12 | 2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 4% | 98% | |
| 7 | 11% | 94% | |
| 8 | 35% | 83% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 28% | 48% | |
| 10 | 14% | 20% | |
| 11 | 4% | 6% | |
| 12 | 2% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 2 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 6 | 5% | 95% | |
| 7 | 25% | 90% | |
| 8 | 32% | 65% | Median |
| 9 | 12% | 34% | |
| 10 | 13% | 21% | |
| 11 | 5% | 8% | |
| 12 | 3% | 4% | |
| 13 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 4% | 96% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 92% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 6 | 4% | 92% | |
| 7 | 26% | 88% | |
| 8 | 38% | 61% | Median |
| 9 | 15% | 24% | |
| 10 | 7% | 9% | |
| 11 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.9% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 2 | 15% | 97% | |
| 3 | 49% | 82% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 33% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 33% | |
| 6 | 7% | 33% | |
| 7 | 20% | 26% | |
| 8 | 5% | 6% | |
| 9 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9% | 100% | |
| 1 | 21% | 91% | |
| 2 | 64% | 71% | Median |
| 3 | 3% | 7% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 4% | |
| 6 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 7 | 2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 92 | 99.0% | 88–100 | 87–100 | 86–101 | 84–104 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 93 | 99.4% | 88–100 | 87–100 | 86–101 | 84–104 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 85 | 57% | 81–92 | 80–92 | 79–94 | 76–95 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 83 | 41% | 79–91 | 78–91 | 77–91 | 74–93 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 76 | 4% | 71–84 | 71–84 | 69–86 | 64–87 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 74 | 0.2% | 70–81 | 69–82 | 68–82 | 67–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 70 | 0% | 65–77 | 64–77 | 63–79 | 58–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 69 | 0% | 64–76 | 63–76 | 62–78 | 59–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 69 | 0% | 64–74 | 62–76 | 61–77 | 58–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 68 | 0% | 64–75 | 62–75 | 61–77 | 57–79 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 68 | 0% | 63–76 | 63–76 | 62–76 | 59–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 60 | 0% | 57–67 | 55–67 | 53–68 | 51–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 55 | 0% | 52–63 | 50–63 | 49–64 | 46–66 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 53 | 0% | 49–58 | 48–59 | 46–60 | 45–62 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 48 | 0% | 44–55 | 43–55 | 42–55 | 39–56 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 46 | 0% | 43–53 | 41–53 | 40–53 | 37–54 |
| Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 19 | 0% | 15–22 | 14–23 | 13–24 | 11–25 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 85 | 1.2% | 99.0% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 98% | |
| 87 | 2% | 96% | |
| 88 | 5% | 94% | |
| 89 | 12% | 89% | |
| 90 | 12% | 77% | |
| 91 | 5% | 65% | |
| 92 | 12% | 59% | |
| 93 | 11% | 48% | |
| 94 | 3% | 37% | Median |
| 95 | 4% | 34% | |
| 96 | 5% | 31% | |
| 97 | 2% | 26% | |
| 98 | 3% | 24% | |
| 99 | 7% | 21% | |
| 100 | 11% | 14% | |
| 101 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 102 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 85 | 0.9% | 99.4% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.5% | 98.5% | |
| 87 | 2% | 97% | |
| 88 | 6% | 95% | |
| 89 | 4% | 89% | |
| 90 | 5% | 85% | |
| 91 | 16% | 80% | |
| 92 | 14% | 64% | |
| 93 | 6% | 50% | |
| 94 | 9% | 44% | Median |
| 95 | 2% | 35% | |
| 96 | 3% | 33% | Last Result |
| 97 | 5% | 30% | |
| 98 | 3% | 25% | |
| 99 | 9% | 23% | |
| 100 | 11% | 14% | |
| 101 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 102 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 79 | 3% | 98% | |
| 80 | 5% | 95% | |
| 81 | 12% | 90% | |
| 82 | 8% | 78% | |
| 83 | 9% | 70% | |
| 84 | 4% | 61% | |
| 85 | 14% | 57% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 42% | Median |
| 87 | 4% | 37% | |
| 88 | 3% | 33% | |
| 89 | 4% | 30% | |
| 90 | 5% | 26% | |
| 91 | 6% | 22% | |
| 92 | 11% | 15% | |
| 93 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 94 | 2% | 3% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 77 | 3% | 98% | |
| 78 | 5% | 96% | |
| 79 | 13% | 91% | |
| 80 | 8% | 78% | |
| 81 | 9% | 70% | |
| 82 | 4% | 61% | |
| 83 | 13% | 57% | |
| 84 | 3% | 44% | Median |
| 85 | 8% | 41% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 33% | |
| 87 | 3% | 30% | |
| 88 | 5% | 26% | |
| 89 | 2% | 21% | |
| 90 | 6% | 19% | |
| 91 | 11% | 13% | |
| 92 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 70 | 2% | 97% | |
| 71 | 7% | 95% | |
| 72 | 4% | 88% | |
| 73 | 11% | 84% | |
| 74 | 7% | 73% | |
| 75 | 4% | 66% | |
| 76 | 14% | 62% | |
| 77 | 7% | 48% | Median |
| 78 | 7% | 41% | |
| 79 | 4% | 34% | |
| 80 | 4% | 30% | |
| 81 | 4% | 26% | |
| 82 | 3% | 22% | |
| 83 | 6% | 19% | |
| 84 | 8% | 12% | |
| 85 | 1.0% | 4% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 3% | |
| 87 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 69 | 3% | 97% | |
| 70 | 16% | 94% | |
| 71 | 7% | 78% | |
| 72 | 5% | 71% | |
| 73 | 6% | 66% | |
| 74 | 17% | 60% | |
| 75 | 4% | 44% | Median |
| 76 | 3% | 39% | |
| 77 | 5% | 36% | |
| 78 | 7% | 31% | |
| 79 | 3% | 24% | |
| 80 | 1.3% | 21% | |
| 81 | 12% | 20% | |
| 82 | 7% | 8% | |
| 83 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 63 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 64 | 3% | 96% | |
| 65 | 3% | 93% | |
| 66 | 15% | 90% | |
| 67 | 6% | 75% | |
| 68 | 3% | 69% | |
| 69 | 14% | 66% | |
| 70 | 5% | 52% | |
| 71 | 9% | 46% | Median |
| 72 | 6% | 37% | |
| 73 | 5% | 31% | |
| 74 | 3% | 27% | |
| 75 | 7% | 23% | |
| 76 | 4% | 16% | |
| 77 | 8% | 12% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 80 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 62 | 3% | 98% | |
| 63 | 3% | 95% | |
| 64 | 2% | 92% | |
| 65 | 12% | 90% | |
| 66 | 7% | 78% | |
| 67 | 3% | 71% | |
| 68 | 11% | 67% | |
| 69 | 16% | 56% | Median |
| 70 | 5% | 39% | |
| 71 | 3% | 35% | |
| 72 | 5% | 32% | |
| 73 | 4% | 27% | |
| 74 | 3% | 22% | |
| 75 | 2% | 19% | |
| 76 | 13% | 17% | |
| 77 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 78 | 2% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 61 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 62 | 4% | 96% | |
| 63 | 2% | 93% | |
| 64 | 4% | 91% | |
| 65 | 14% | 87% | |
| 66 | 6% | 73% | |
| 67 | 4% | 67% | |
| 68 | 5% | 63% | |
| 69 | 16% | 58% | Median |
| 70 | 8% | 43% | |
| 71 | 8% | 34% | |
| 72 | 4% | 27% | Last Result |
| 73 | 3% | 22% | |
| 74 | 10% | 19% | |
| 75 | 4% | 10% | |
| 76 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 77 | 2% | 4% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 61 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 62 | 3% | 97% | |
| 63 | 3% | 93% | |
| 64 | 6% | 91% | |
| 65 | 12% | 85% | |
| 66 | 8% | 73% | |
| 67 | 13% | 65% | |
| 68 | 4% | 52% | |
| 69 | 10% | 48% | Median |
| 70 | 8% | 39% | |
| 71 | 4% | 30% | |
| 72 | 3% | 26% | |
| 73 | 6% | 23% | |
| 74 | 4% | 17% | |
| 75 | 9% | 13% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 77 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 78 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 61 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 62 | 3% | 98% | |
| 63 | 11% | 95% | |
| 64 | 6% | 84% | |
| 65 | 6% | 78% | |
| 66 | 8% | 73% | |
| 67 | 7% | 65% | |
| 68 | 10% | 58% | |
| 69 | 2% | 49% | Median |
| 70 | 15% | 46% | |
| 71 | 4% | 32% | |
| 72 | 3% | 28% | |
| 73 | 8% | 24% | |
| 74 | 3% | 17% | |
| 75 | 2% | 14% | |
| 76 | 10% | 12% | |
| 77 | 2% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 52 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 55 | 2% | 96% | |
| 56 | 2% | 93% | |
| 57 | 12% | 91% | |
| 58 | 9% | 79% | |
| 59 | 4% | 70% | |
| 60 | 18% | 66% | |
| 61 | 10% | 48% | Median |
| 62 | 6% | 38% | |
| 63 | 5% | 32% | |
| 64 | 3% | 27% | |
| 65 | 4% | 24% | |
| 66 | 5% | 20% | |
| 67 | 11% | 15% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 69 | 2% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 50 | 3% | 97% | |
| 51 | 2% | 94% | |
| 52 | 16% | 92% | |
| 53 | 5% | 76% | |
| 54 | 6% | 71% | |
| 55 | 16% | 66% | |
| 56 | 3% | 50% | |
| 57 | 8% | 46% | Median |
| 58 | 3% | 39% | |
| 59 | 11% | 36% | |
| 60 | 4% | 25% | |
| 61 | 7% | 21% | |
| 62 | 4% | 14% | |
| 63 | 7% | 10% | |
| 64 | 2% | 3% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 45 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 47 | 2% | 97% | |
| 48 | 3% | 96% | |
| 49 | 13% | 93% | |
| 50 | 8% | 80% | |
| 51 | 6% | 72% | |
| 52 | 11% | 66% | |
| 53 | 18% | 55% | Median |
| 54 | 6% | 37% | |
| 55 | 4% | 31% | |
| 56 | 7% | 27% | |
| 57 | 10% | 20% | |
| 58 | 5% | 10% | |
| 59 | 2% | 5% | |
| 60 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 61 | 1.1% | 2% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 42 | 2% | 98% | |
| 43 | 2% | 96% | |
| 44 | 12% | 94% | |
| 45 | 6% | 81% | |
| 46 | 3% | 75% | |
| 47 | 10% | 72% | |
| 48 | 16% | 62% | |
| 49 | 6% | 47% | Median |
| 50 | 6% | 40% | |
| 51 | 7% | 35% | |
| 52 | 5% | 27% | |
| 53 | 6% | 23% | |
| 54 | 5% | 17% | |
| 55 | 10% | 12% | |
| 56 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 39 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 40 | 2% | 98% | |
| 41 | 2% | 96% | |
| 42 | 2% | 94% | |
| 43 | 15% | 92% | |
| 44 | 6% | 78% | |
| 45 | 6% | 72% | |
| 46 | 19% | 66% | |
| 47 | 7% | 47% | Median |
| 48 | 6% | 40% | |
| 49 | 5% | 33% | |
| 50 | 5% | 28% | |
| 51 | 6% | 23% | |
| 52 | 5% | 17% | |
| 53 | 10% | 12% | |
| 54 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 13 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 14 | 3% | 97% | |
| 15 | 5% | 94% | |
| 16 | 5% | 89% | |
| 17 | 15% | 84% | |
| 18 | 16% | 69% | |
| 19 | 15% | 53% | Median |
| 20 | 9% | 38% | |
| 21 | 16% | 28% | |
| 22 | 5% | 13% | |
| 23 | 5% | 8% | |
| 24 | 2% | 3% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): Dagbladet and Vårt Land
- Fieldwork period: 12–15 April 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 991
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.68%