Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for ABC Nyheter and Altinget, 25–29 April 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 29.8% | 28.0–31.7% | 27.5–32.3% | 27.0–32.7% | 26.2–33.6% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 17.7% | 16.2–19.3% | 15.8–19.8% | 15.5–20.2% | 14.8–21.0% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 12.5% | 11.2–13.9% | 10.9–14.3% | 10.6–14.7% | 10.0–15.4% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.5–10.5% | 7.3–10.8% | 6.8–11.5% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0–7.0% | 4.8–7.3% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.2–8.1% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.5% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.4–6.8% | 4.3–7.1% | 3.9–7.6% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–6.0% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.2–6.7% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.7–5.3% | 3.5–5.6% | 3.3–5.9% | 3.0–6.4% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–5.0% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 53 | 50–59 | 49–60 | 49–61 | 48–64 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 35 | 33–38 | 33–39 | 32–41 | 30–42 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 23 | 18–26 | 18–27 | 18–28 | 17–31 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 14 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 10–17 | 9–19 |
| Rødt | 8 | 8 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 6–11 | 5–12 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 8 | 6–12 | 6–13 | 6–13 | 5–14 |
| Venstre | 8 | 7 | 3–8 | 3–8 | 2–9 | 2–10 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 6 | 3–7 | 3–8 | 2–8 | 2–9 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 3 | 2–6 | 1–7 | 1–7 | 1–8 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 5% | 98% | |
| 50 | 9% | 93% | |
| 51 | 12% | 84% | |
| 52 | 17% | 72% | |
| 53 | 15% | 55% | Median |
| 54 | 9% | 40% | |
| 55 | 8% | 32% | |
| 56 | 7% | 24% | |
| 57 | 3% | 17% | |
| 58 | 4% | 14% | |
| 59 | 3% | 10% | |
| 60 | 3% | 7% | |
| 61 | 2% | 4% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 32 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 33 | 9% | 97% | |
| 34 | 33% | 88% | |
| 35 | 11% | 55% | Median |
| 36 | 14% | 44% | |
| 37 | 16% | 30% | |
| 38 | 7% | 14% | |
| 39 | 3% | 7% | |
| 40 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 41 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 18 | 12% | 99.2% | |
| 19 | 8% | 87% | |
| 20 | 2% | 79% | |
| 21 | 11% | 77% | Last Result |
| 22 | 12% | 66% | |
| 23 | 13% | 54% | Median |
| 24 | 12% | 41% | |
| 25 | 19% | 29% | |
| 26 | 3% | 10% | |
| 27 | 3% | 7% | |
| 28 | 3% | 5% | |
| 29 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 6% | 99.1% | |
| 11 | 8% | 93% | |
| 12 | 14% | 86% | |
| 13 | 10% | 72% | Last Result |
| 14 | 28% | 61% | Median |
| 15 | 23% | 33% | |
| 16 | 6% | 10% | |
| 17 | 2% | 4% | |
| 18 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 4% | 99.4% | |
| 7 | 13% | 95% | |
| 8 | 33% | 82% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 27% | 49% | |
| 10 | 17% | 22% | |
| 11 | 4% | 5% | |
| 12 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 5 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 6 | 16% | 98% | |
| 7 | 18% | 81% | |
| 8 | 17% | 63% | Median |
| 9 | 12% | 46% | |
| 10 | 6% | 35% | |
| 11 | 12% | 29% | |
| 12 | 9% | 16% | |
| 13 | 7% | 7% | |
| 14 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 10% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 87% | |
| 5 | 3% | 87% | |
| 6 | 28% | 84% | |
| 7 | 36% | 56% | Median |
| 8 | 16% | 19% | Last Result |
| 9 | 3% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 19% | 96% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 76% | |
| 5 | 2% | 76% | |
| 6 | 40% | 74% | Median |
| 7 | 25% | 34% | |
| 8 | 8% | 10% | |
| 9 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5% | 100% | |
| 2 | 35% | 95% | |
| 3 | 20% | 60% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 40% | |
| 5 | 9% | 40% | |
| 6 | 21% | 31% | |
| 7 | 9% | 10% | |
| 8 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 97 | 100% | 93–101 | 92–103 | 89–104 | 88–105 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 92 | 98% | 87–96 | 86–98 | 85–99 | 82–102 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 89 | 87% | 84–92 | 82–95 | 80–96 | 79–98 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 83 | 26% | 78–87 | 77–89 | 76–90 | 73–92 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 76 | 1.1% | 72–80 | 71–82 | 71–83 | 69–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 70 | 0% | 66–74 | 63–75 | 63–77 | 60–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 68 | 0% | 63–71 | 62–72 | 61–74 | 57–76 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 65 | 0% | 61–71 | 59–73 | 59–74 | 56–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 66 | 0% | 62–70 | 61–72 | 59–72 | 57–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 62 | 0% | 57–65 | 56–67 | 55–68 | 53–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 61 | 0% | 57–65 | 56–66 | 55–67 | 53–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 58 | 0% | 54–61 | 53–62 | 52–63 | 50–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 54 | 0% | 49–58 | 48–59 | 47–60 | 45–63 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 50 | 0% | 46–54 | 45–55 | 44–57 | 42–58 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 49 | 0% | 46–52 | 45–53 | 44–54 | 42–57 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 44 | 0% | 41–47 | 40–49 | 39–50 | 37–51 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 21 | 0% | 17–25 | 16–26 | 15–27 | 13–28 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 88 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 91 | 2% | 97% | |
| 92 | 2% | 95% | |
| 93 | 5% | 93% | |
| 94 | 12% | 88% | |
| 95 | 14% | 76% | |
| 96 | 10% | 61% | Last Result |
| 97 | 7% | 51% | Median |
| 98 | 8% | 44% | |
| 99 | 15% | 36% | |
| 100 | 4% | 21% | |
| 101 | 9% | 17% | |
| 102 | 2% | 8% | |
| 103 | 3% | 5% | |
| 104 | 2% | 3% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 85 | 1.5% | 98% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 96% | |
| 87 | 4% | 94% | |
| 88 | 7% | 89% | |
| 89 | 7% | 83% | |
| 90 | 10% | 76% | |
| 91 | 10% | 66% | |
| 92 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 93 | 14% | 46% | |
| 94 | 10% | 32% | |
| 95 | 9% | 22% | |
| 96 | 4% | 14% | |
| 97 | 3% | 9% | |
| 98 | 2% | 6% | |
| 99 | 3% | 4% | |
| 100 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 101 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 81 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 82 | 2% | 96% | |
| 83 | 4% | 95% | |
| 84 | 4% | 91% | |
| 85 | 11% | 87% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 75% | |
| 87 | 13% | 69% | |
| 88 | 7% | 57% | |
| 89 | 19% | 50% | Median |
| 90 | 5% | 32% | |
| 91 | 12% | 26% | |
| 92 | 4% | 14% | |
| 93 | 3% | 10% | |
| 94 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 95 | 2% | 6% | |
| 96 | 2% | 4% | |
| 97 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 76 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 77 | 2% | 96% | |
| 78 | 6% | 94% | |
| 79 | 7% | 88% | |
| 80 | 9% | 81% | |
| 81 | 9% | 72% | |
| 82 | 11% | 63% | |
| 83 | 19% | 51% | Median |
| 84 | 6% | 32% | |
| 85 | 9% | 26% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 17% | |
| 87 | 3% | 11% | |
| 88 | 3% | 9% | |
| 89 | 2% | 6% | |
| 90 | 3% | 4% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 71 | 3% | 98% | |
| 72 | 5% | 94% | |
| 73 | 13% | 89% | |
| 74 | 9% | 77% | |
| 75 | 12% | 68% | |
| 76 | 12% | 56% | Median |
| 77 | 13% | 44% | |
| 78 | 13% | 31% | |
| 79 | 6% | 19% | |
| 80 | 4% | 13% | |
| 81 | 3% | 9% | |
| 82 | 2% | 7% | |
| 83 | 3% | 5% | |
| 84 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 1.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 62 | 1.4% | 99.2% | |
| 63 | 3% | 98% | |
| 64 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 65 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 66 | 4% | 92% | |
| 67 | 5% | 88% | |
| 68 | 9% | 83% | Median |
| 69 | 13% | 74% | |
| 70 | 13% | 61% | |
| 71 | 18% | 48% | |
| 72 | 12% | 29% | |
| 73 | 6% | 18% | |
| 74 | 4% | 12% | |
| 75 | 4% | 8% | |
| 76 | 2% | 5% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 61 | 2% | 98% | |
| 62 | 4% | 96% | |
| 63 | 5% | 92% | |
| 64 | 11% | 87% | |
| 65 | 6% | 76% | |
| 66 | 5% | 70% | Median |
| 67 | 14% | 65% | |
| 68 | 14% | 51% | |
| 69 | 15% | 38% | |
| 70 | 9% | 23% | |
| 71 | 7% | 14% | |
| 72 | 2% | 7% | |
| 73 | 2% | 5% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 98.5% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 59 | 3% | 98% | |
| 60 | 3% | 94% | |
| 61 | 7% | 91% | |
| 62 | 4% | 85% | |
| 63 | 8% | 81% | |
| 64 | 16% | 73% | |
| 65 | 9% | 57% | |
| 66 | 12% | 47% | Median |
| 67 | 7% | 35% | |
| 68 | 10% | 29% | |
| 69 | 2% | 19% | |
| 70 | 4% | 17% | |
| 71 | 2% | 12% | |
| 72 | 3% | 10% | |
| 73 | 4% | 7% | |
| 74 | 2% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 59 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 60 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 61 | 4% | 96% | |
| 62 | 3% | 93% | |
| 63 | 5% | 90% | |
| 64 | 9% | 84% | |
| 65 | 8% | 75% | Median |
| 66 | 24% | 67% | |
| 67 | 7% | 43% | |
| 68 | 12% | 36% | |
| 69 | 11% | 23% | |
| 70 | 5% | 13% | |
| 71 | 2% | 7% | |
| 72 | 4% | 5% | |
| 73 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 55 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 56 | 3% | 97% | |
| 57 | 5% | 94% | |
| 58 | 7% | 89% | |
| 59 | 6% | 82% | |
| 60 | 10% | 76% | Median |
| 61 | 11% | 66% | |
| 62 | 13% | 55% | |
| 63 | 16% | 41% | |
| 64 | 9% | 25% | |
| 65 | 7% | 16% | |
| 66 | 3% | 9% | |
| 67 | 3% | 6% | |
| 68 | 2% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 55 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 56 | 3% | 96% | |
| 57 | 4% | 93% | |
| 58 | 9% | 89% | |
| 59 | 7% | 81% | |
| 60 | 17% | 74% | Median |
| 61 | 9% | 57% | |
| 62 | 5% | 48% | |
| 63 | 21% | 43% | |
| 64 | 5% | 22% | |
| 65 | 11% | 17% | |
| 66 | 3% | 6% | |
| 67 | 2% | 4% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 52 | 2% | 98% | |
| 53 | 2% | 96% | |
| 54 | 5% | 94% | |
| 55 | 7% | 89% | |
| 56 | 13% | 82% | |
| 57 | 10% | 68% | Median |
| 58 | 21% | 58% | |
| 59 | 10% | 37% | |
| 60 | 11% | 27% | |
| 61 | 7% | 16% | |
| 62 | 5% | 9% | |
| 63 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 64 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 47 | 2% | 98% | |
| 48 | 3% | 97% | |
| 49 | 5% | 94% | |
| 50 | 6% | 89% | |
| 51 | 5% | 82% | |
| 52 | 17% | 77% | Median |
| 53 | 4% | 60% | |
| 54 | 17% | 56% | |
| 55 | 10% | 39% | |
| 56 | 10% | 29% | |
| 57 | 8% | 18% | |
| 58 | 2% | 10% | |
| 59 | 5% | 8% | |
| 60 | 2% | 4% | |
| 61 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 43 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 44 | 2% | 98% | |
| 45 | 5% | 96% | |
| 46 | 5% | 91% | |
| 47 | 7% | 86% | |
| 48 | 9% | 79% | |
| 49 | 15% | 70% | Median |
| 50 | 17% | 55% | |
| 51 | 6% | 38% | |
| 52 | 14% | 32% | |
| 53 | 6% | 18% | |
| 54 | 7% | 13% | |
| 55 | 2% | 6% | |
| 56 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 57 | 2% | 3% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 44 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 45 | 4% | 96% | |
| 46 | 7% | 92% | |
| 47 | 7% | 85% | |
| 48 | 25% | 77% | |
| 49 | 15% | 52% | Median |
| 50 | 9% | 37% | |
| 51 | 8% | 29% | |
| 52 | 12% | 20% | |
| 53 | 4% | 8% | |
| 54 | 2% | 5% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 39 | 1.4% | 98.6% | |
| 40 | 6% | 97% | |
| 41 | 8% | 92% | |
| 42 | 7% | 84% | |
| 43 | 18% | 77% | Median |
| 44 | 15% | 59% | |
| 45 | 14% | 45% | |
| 46 | 12% | 30% | |
| 47 | 10% | 18% | |
| 48 | 2% | 8% | |
| 49 | 3% | 5% | |
| 50 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 51 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 14 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 15 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 16 | 4% | 95% | |
| 17 | 6% | 92% | |
| 18 | 12% | 86% | |
| 19 | 10% | 73% | |
| 20 | 7% | 63% | |
| 21 | 17% | 56% | Median |
| 22 | 7% | 38% | |
| 23 | 9% | 31% | |
| 24 | 8% | 22% | |
| 25 | 8% | 14% | |
| 26 | 2% | 6% | |
| 27 | 2% | 4% | |
| 28 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): ABC Nyheter and Altinget
- Fieldwork period: 25–29 April 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.19%