Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 24–30 April 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 31.2% | 29.7–32.7% | 29.3–33.2% | 28.9–33.5% | 28.2–34.3% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 19.8% | 18.5–21.1% | 18.2–21.5% | 17.9–21.9% | 17.3–22.5% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.7–11.7% | 9.4–12.0% | 9.2–12.3% | 8.7–12.8% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6–9.4% | 7.4–9.7% | 7.2–10.0% | 6.8–10.5% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.3% | 5.5–7.1% | 5.3–7.4% | 5.2–7.6% | 4.8–8.0% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0–6.5% | 4.8–6.8% | 4.6–7.0% | 4.3–7.4% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1–5.5% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.8–5.9% | 3.5–6.3% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5–4.8% | 3.3–5.0% | 3.2–5.2% | 2.9–5.5% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1–4.3% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–5.0% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 2.4% | 2.0–3.0% | 1.8–3.1% | 1.7–3.3% | 1.6–3.6% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.4% | 0.6–1.5% | 0.6–1.6% | 0.5–1.8% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4–0.9% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.3–1.0% | 0.2–1.2% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4–0.9% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.3–1.0% | 0.2–1.2% |
| Liberalistene | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.1–1.0% |
| Folkets parti | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.0–0.7% |
| Helsepartiet | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 61 | 55–61 | 54–61 | 53–61 | 50–62 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 36 | 35–43 | 35–43 | 35–43 | 34–44 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 21 | 16–21 | 16–21 | 16–21 | 16–24 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 14 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 12–18 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 13 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 8–14 | 8–14 |
| Rødt | 8 | 10 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 8–12 |
| Venstre | 8 | 9 | 8–9 | 7–10 | 2–11 | 2–11 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 2–7 | 2–7 | 2–9 | 2–10 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–7 | 1–8 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liberalistene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Folkets parti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Helsepartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 52 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98% | |
| 54 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 55 | 5% | 95% | |
| 56 | 13% | 90% | |
| 57 | 25% | 77% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 52% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 51% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 51% | |
| 61 | 50% | 51% | Median |
| 62 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 47% | 98% | |
| 36 | 0.9% | 51% | Median |
| 37 | 0.2% | 50% | |
| 38 | 1.1% | 50% | |
| 39 | 5% | 49% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 44% | |
| 41 | 24% | 44% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 19% | |
| 43 | 16% | 19% | |
| 44 | 2% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 16 | 21% | 99.6% | |
| 17 | 2% | 79% | |
| 18 | 2% | 77% | |
| 19 | 22% | 74% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 52% | |
| 21 | 51% | 52% | Last Result, Median |
| 22 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 24 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0.6% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 14 | 68% | 98% | Median |
| 15 | 8% | 30% | |
| 16 | 6% | 23% | |
| 17 | 16% | 16% | |
| 18 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 12% | 100% | |
| 9 | 6% | 88% | |
| 10 | 1.0% | 82% | |
| 11 | 23% | 81% | |
| 12 | 6% | 59% | |
| 13 | 49% | 53% | Median |
| 14 | 4% | 4% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.6% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 9 | 24% | 99.4% | |
| 10 | 55% | 75% | Median |
| 11 | 7% | 20% | |
| 12 | 13% | 13% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 4 | 0% | 95% | |
| 5 | 0% | 95% | |
| 6 | 0% | 95% | |
| 7 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 8 | 40% | 94% | Last Result |
| 9 | 48% | 54% | Median |
| 10 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 11 | 5% | 5% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 60% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 14% | 40% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 26% | |
| 5 | 0% | 26% | |
| 6 | 0% | 26% | |
| 7 | 21% | 26% | |
| 8 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 9 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 51% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 18% | 49% | |
| 3 | 26% | 31% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 5% | |
| 7 | 3% | 5% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 28% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.2% | 72% | |
| 2 | 72% | 72% | Median |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Folkets parti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Folkets parti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Helsepartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Helsepartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 103 | 100% | 94–106 | 94–106 | 94–106 | 92–106 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 93 | 99.9% | 88–94 | 87–94 | 86–97 | 86–101 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 90 | 94% | 86–93 | 84–93 | 84–93 | 81–95 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 87 | 53% | 81–91 | 80–91 | 79–91 | 74–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 77 | 2% | 73–82 | 73–84 | 73–84 | 73–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 74 | 0% | 72–80 | 72–81 | 71–82 | 67–82 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 80 | 0% | 73–82 | 73–82 | 71–82 | 69–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 68 | 0% | 65–76 | 65–76 | 65–79 | 65–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 66 | 0% | 63–72 | 63–74 | 63–74 | 63–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 65 | 0% | 60–74 | 60–74 | 60–74 | 60–76 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 72 | 0% | 66–72 | 65–72 | 65–72 | 62–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 63 | 0% | 62–69 | 62–71 | 62–72 | 56–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 53 | 0% | 51–62 | 51–62 | 51–64 | 51–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 52 | 0% | 49–60 | 49–60 | 49–60 | 47–60 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 50 | 0% | 50–59 | 50–59 | 50–59 | 49–61 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 48 | 0% | 48–55 | 48–55 | 47–55 | 44–55 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 24 | 0% | 19–26 | 19–26 | 18–29 | 17–31 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 90 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 91 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 92 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 94 | 12% | 98% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 86% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 86% | Last Result |
| 97 | 0.7% | 86% | |
| 98 | 13% | 85% | |
| 99 | 21% | 72% | |
| 100 | 0% | 51% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 51% | |
| 102 | 0.7% | 51% | |
| 103 | 4% | 50% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 47% | |
| 105 | 0% | 46% | |
| 106 | 46% | 46% | Median |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 5% | 96% | |
| 88 | 12% | 91% | |
| 89 | 1.1% | 79% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 78% | |
| 91 | 21% | 77% | |
| 92 | 6% | 56% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 50% | |
| 94 | 47% | 49% | Median |
| 95 | 0% | 3% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 97 | 2% | 3% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 101 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 84 | 4% | 98% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 94% | Majority |
| 86 | 17% | 94% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 77% | |
| 88 | 21% | 76% | |
| 89 | 5% | 56% | |
| 90 | 3% | 50% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 48% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 47% | |
| 93 | 46% | 47% | Median |
| 94 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 79 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 80 | 3% | 97% | |
| 81 | 21% | 95% | |
| 82 | 4% | 74% | |
| 83 | 13% | 70% | |
| 84 | 5% | 58% | |
| 85 | 0.6% | 53% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 52% | |
| 87 | 6% | 52% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 46% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 46% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 46% | |
| 91 | 46% | 46% | Median |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 73 | 46% | 99.5% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 53% | Median |
| 75 | 0.1% | 53% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 53% | |
| 77 | 5% | 53% | |
| 78 | 23% | 48% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 24% | |
| 80 | 0% | 24% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 24% | |
| 82 | 17% | 23% | |
| 83 | 0% | 6% | |
| 84 | 4% | 6% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 87 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 71 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 72 | 46% | 97% | |
| 73 | 0% | 51% | Median |
| 74 | 5% | 51% | |
| 75 | 21% | 46% | |
| 76 | 2% | 25% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 23% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 23% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 22% | |
| 80 | 12% | 21% | |
| 81 | 4% | 9% | |
| 82 | 4% | 4% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 1.4% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 98.5% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 72 | 2% | 97% | |
| 73 | 22% | 96% | |
| 74 | 0% | 74% | |
| 75 | 12% | 74% | |
| 76 | 10% | 62% | |
| 77 | 0% | 52% | |
| 78 | 1.2% | 52% | |
| 79 | 0% | 50% | |
| 80 | 4% | 50% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 47% | |
| 82 | 46% | 46% | Median |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 46% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 54% | Median |
| 67 | 0% | 54% | |
| 68 | 5% | 54% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 49% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 49% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 48% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 48% | |
| 73 | 12% | 47% | |
| 74 | 4% | 35% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 31% | |
| 76 | 25% | 30% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 79 | 2% | 4% | |
| 80 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 47% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 0% | 53% | Median |
| 65 | 0.1% | 53% | |
| 66 | 5% | 53% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 48% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 47% | |
| 69 | 23% | 46% | |
| 70 | 12% | 23% | |
| 71 | 0% | 11% | |
| 72 | 5% | 11% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 74 | 4% | 5% | |
| 75 | 0% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 46% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 54% | Median |
| 62 | 0.2% | 54% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 53% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 53% | |
| 65 | 4% | 53% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 50% | |
| 67 | 21% | 49% | |
| 68 | 5% | 28% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 24% | |
| 70 | 9% | 23% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 15% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 14% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.2% | 14% | |
| 74 | 12% | 14% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 1.4% | 99.4% | |
| 65 | 8% | 98% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 90% | |
| 67 | 13% | 89% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 76% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 76% | |
| 70 | 5% | 76% | |
| 71 | 2% | 71% | |
| 72 | 68% | 69% | Median |
| 73 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
| 75 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 77 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 62 | 48% | 98.9% | |
| 63 | 5% | 51% | Median |
| 64 | 0.5% | 46% | |
| 65 | 2% | 46% | |
| 66 | 21% | 44% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 23% | |
| 68 | 12% | 22% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 10% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 10% | |
| 71 | 5% | 9% | |
| 72 | 4% | 4% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 46% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0% | 54% | Median |
| 53 | 5% | 54% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 49% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 48% | |
| 56 | 12% | 48% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 36% | |
| 58 | 4% | 35% | |
| 59 | 4% | 31% | |
| 60 | 1.0% | 27% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 26% | |
| 62 | 21% | 26% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 64 | 2% | 4% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 49 | 48% | 99.0% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 51% | Median |
| 51 | 0.1% | 51% | |
| 52 | 2% | 51% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 49% | |
| 54 | 5% | 49% | |
| 55 | 21% | 44% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 23% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 22% | |
| 58 | 4% | 22% | |
| 59 | 6% | 18% | |
| 60 | 12% | 13% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 51% | 99.5% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 49% | Median |
| 52 | 0.9% | 49% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 48% | |
| 54 | 12% | 47% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 35% | |
| 56 | 0% | 34% | |
| 57 | 11% | 34% | |
| 58 | 1.1% | 24% | |
| 59 | 21% | 23% | |
| 60 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 47 | 2% | 98% | |
| 48 | 51% | 97% | |
| 49 | 1.2% | 46% | Median |
| 50 | 0.7% | 45% | |
| 51 | 13% | 44% | |
| 52 | 21% | 32% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 10% | |
| 55 | 10% | 10% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 18 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 19 | 12% | 96% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 84% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 83% | |
| 22 | 9% | 83% | |
| 23 | 1.4% | 74% | |
| 24 | 46% | 72% | Median |
| 25 | 0.9% | 26% | |
| 26 | 21% | 25% | |
| 27 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 29 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 31 | 2% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar TNS
- Commissioner(s): TV2
- Fieldwork period: 24–30 April 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1546
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.77%