Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 24–30 April 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre |
20.4% |
31.2% |
29.7–32.7% |
29.3–33.2% |
28.9–33.5% |
28.2–34.3% |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
19.8% |
18.5–21.1% |
18.2–21.5% |
17.9–21.9% |
17.3–22.5% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
10.6% |
9.7–11.7% |
9.4–12.0% |
9.2–12.3% |
8.7–12.8% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
8.5% |
7.6–9.4% |
7.4–9.7% |
7.2–10.0% |
6.8–10.5% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
6.3% |
5.5–7.1% |
5.3–7.4% |
5.2–7.6% |
4.8–8.0% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
5.7% |
5.0–6.5% |
4.8–6.8% |
4.6–7.0% |
4.3–7.4% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
4.7% |
4.1–5.5% |
3.9–5.7% |
3.8–5.9% |
3.5–6.3% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
4.1% |
3.5–4.8% |
3.3–5.0% |
3.2–5.2% |
2.9–5.5% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
3.6% |
3.1–4.3% |
2.9–4.5% |
2.8–4.7% |
2.6–5.0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet |
0.3% |
2.4% |
2.0–3.0% |
1.8–3.1% |
1.7–3.3% |
1.6–3.6% |
Norgesdemokratene |
1.1% |
1.0% |
0.7–1.4% |
0.6–1.5% |
0.6–1.6% |
0.5–1.8% |
Konservativt |
0.4% |
0.5% |
0.4–0.9% |
0.3–0.9% |
0.3–1.0% |
0.2–1.2% |
Pensjonistpartiet |
0.6% |
0.5% |
0.4–0.9% |
0.3–0.9% |
0.3–1.0% |
0.2–1.2% |
Liberalistene |
0.2% |
0.4% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.2–0.8% |
0.2–0.9% |
0.1–1.0% |
Folkets parti |
0.1% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.4% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.0–0.7% |
Helsepartiet |
0.2% |
0.1% |
0.1–0.4% |
0.0–0.4% |
0.0–0.5% |
0.0–0.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
52 |
1.0% |
98.8% |
|
53 |
2% |
98% |
|
54 |
1.1% |
96% |
|
55 |
5% |
95% |
|
56 |
13% |
90% |
|
57 |
25% |
77% |
|
58 |
0.7% |
52% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
51% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
51% |
|
61 |
50% |
51% |
Median |
62 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
34 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
47% |
98% |
|
36 |
0.9% |
51% |
Median |
37 |
0.2% |
50% |
|
38 |
1.1% |
50% |
|
39 |
5% |
49% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
44% |
|
41 |
24% |
44% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
19% |
|
43 |
16% |
19% |
|
44 |
2% |
2% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
16 |
21% |
99.6% |
|
17 |
2% |
79% |
|
18 |
2% |
77% |
|
19 |
22% |
74% |
|
20 |
0.5% |
52% |
|
21 |
51% |
52% |
Last Result, Median |
22 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
23 |
0% |
0.9% |
|
24 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
Last Result |
14 |
68% |
98% |
Median |
15 |
8% |
30% |
|
16 |
6% |
23% |
|
17 |
16% |
16% |
|
18 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
12% |
100% |
|
9 |
6% |
88% |
|
10 |
1.0% |
82% |
|
11 |
23% |
81% |
|
12 |
6% |
59% |
|
13 |
49% |
53% |
Median |
14 |
4% |
4% |
|
15 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
9 |
24% |
99.4% |
|
10 |
55% |
75% |
Median |
11 |
7% |
20% |
|
12 |
13% |
13% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
4% |
100% |
|
3 |
0.9% |
96% |
|
4 |
0% |
95% |
|
5 |
0% |
95% |
|
6 |
0% |
95% |
|
7 |
1.3% |
95% |
|
8 |
40% |
94% |
Last Result |
9 |
48% |
54% |
Median |
10 |
1.5% |
6% |
|
11 |
5% |
5% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
60% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
14% |
40% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
26% |
|
5 |
0% |
26% |
|
6 |
0% |
26% |
|
7 |
21% |
26% |
|
8 |
1.2% |
5% |
|
9 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
10 |
2% |
2% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
51% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
18% |
49% |
|
3 |
26% |
31% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
5% |
|
5 |
0% |
5% |
|
6 |
0% |
5% |
|
7 |
3% |
5% |
|
8 |
2% |
2% |
|
9 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
28% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0.2% |
72% |
|
2 |
72% |
72% |
Median |
3 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Folkets parti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Folkets parti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Helsepartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Helsepartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
96 |
103 |
100% |
94–106 |
94–106 |
94–106 |
92–106 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
71 |
93 |
99.9% |
88–94 |
87–94 |
86–97 |
86–101 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
68 |
90 |
94% |
86–93 |
84–93 |
84–93 |
81–95 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
65 |
87 |
53% |
81–91 |
80–91 |
79–91 |
74–91 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
100 |
77 |
2% |
73–82 |
73–84 |
73–84 |
73–87 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt |
97 |
74 |
0% |
72–80 |
72–81 |
71–82 |
67–82 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
57 |
80 |
0% |
73–82 |
73–82 |
71–82 |
69–82 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
95 |
68 |
0% |
65–76 |
65–76 |
65–79 |
65–83 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
66 |
0% |
63–72 |
63–74 |
63–74 |
63–78 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
72 |
65 |
0% |
60–74 |
60–74 |
60–74 |
60–76 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
47 |
72 |
0% |
66–72 |
65–72 |
65–72 |
62–77 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet |
89 |
63 |
0% |
62–69 |
62–71 |
62–72 |
56–72 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
82 |
53 |
0% |
51–62 |
51–62 |
51–64 |
51–67 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
52 |
0% |
49–60 |
49–60 |
49–60 |
47–60 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
50 |
0% |
50–59 |
50–59 |
50–59 |
49–61 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
48 |
0% |
48–55 |
48–55 |
47–55 |
44–55 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
39 |
24 |
0% |
19–26 |
19–26 |
18–29 |
17–31 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
88 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
90 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
91 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
92 |
1.1% |
99.5% |
|
93 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
94 |
12% |
98% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
86% |
|
96 |
0.2% |
86% |
Last Result |
97 |
0.7% |
86% |
|
98 |
13% |
85% |
|
99 |
21% |
72% |
|
100 |
0% |
51% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
51% |
|
102 |
0.7% |
51% |
|
103 |
4% |
50% |
|
104 |
0.4% |
47% |
|
105 |
0% |
46% |
|
106 |
46% |
46% |
Median |
107 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
108 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
109 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
99.9% |
Majority |
86 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
87 |
5% |
96% |
|
88 |
12% |
91% |
|
89 |
1.1% |
79% |
|
90 |
0.7% |
78% |
|
91 |
21% |
77% |
|
92 |
6% |
56% |
|
93 |
0.5% |
50% |
|
94 |
47% |
49% |
Median |
95 |
0% |
3% |
|
96 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
97 |
2% |
3% |
|
98 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
100 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
101 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
79 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
80 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
81 |
1.0% |
99.5% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
98.6% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
84 |
4% |
98% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
94% |
Majority |
86 |
17% |
94% |
|
87 |
0.5% |
77% |
|
88 |
21% |
76% |
|
89 |
5% |
56% |
|
90 |
3% |
50% |
|
91 |
0.4% |
48% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
47% |
|
93 |
46% |
47% |
Median |
94 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
95 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
77 |
0.3% |
99.2% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
98.8% |
|
79 |
1.3% |
98.7% |
|
80 |
3% |
97% |
|
81 |
21% |
95% |
|
82 |
4% |
74% |
|
83 |
13% |
70% |
|
84 |
5% |
58% |
|
85 |
0.6% |
53% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
52% |
|
87 |
6% |
52% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
46% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
46% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
46% |
|
91 |
46% |
46% |
Median |
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
73 |
46% |
99.5% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
53% |
Median |
75 |
0.1% |
53% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
53% |
|
77 |
5% |
53% |
|
78 |
23% |
48% |
|
79 |
0.7% |
24% |
|
80 |
0% |
24% |
|
81 |
0.7% |
24% |
|
82 |
17% |
23% |
|
83 |
0% |
6% |
|
84 |
4% |
6% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
2% |
Majority |
86 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
87 |
1.0% |
1.4% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
91 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
70 |
0% |
99.1% |
|
71 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
72 |
46% |
97% |
|
73 |
0% |
51% |
Median |
74 |
5% |
51% |
|
75 |
21% |
46% |
|
76 |
2% |
25% |
|
77 |
0.3% |
23% |
|
78 |
0.7% |
23% |
|
79 |
1.4% |
22% |
|
80 |
12% |
21% |
|
81 |
4% |
9% |
|
82 |
4% |
4% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
1.4% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
98.5% |
|
71 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
72 |
2% |
97% |
|
73 |
22% |
96% |
|
74 |
0% |
74% |
|
75 |
12% |
74% |
|
76 |
10% |
62% |
|
77 |
0% |
52% |
|
78 |
1.2% |
52% |
|
79 |
0% |
50% |
|
80 |
4% |
50% |
|
81 |
0.5% |
47% |
|
82 |
46% |
46% |
Median |
83 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
46% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
54% |
Median |
67 |
0% |
54% |
|
68 |
5% |
54% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
49% |
|
70 |
0.9% |
49% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
48% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
48% |
|
73 |
12% |
47% |
|
74 |
4% |
35% |
|
75 |
1.0% |
31% |
|
76 |
25% |
30% |
|
77 |
0.6% |
5% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
79 |
2% |
4% |
|
80 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
83 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
60 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
62 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
63 |
47% |
99.5% |
|
64 |
0% |
53% |
Median |
65 |
0.1% |
53% |
|
66 |
5% |
53% |
|
67 |
1.2% |
48% |
|
68 |
0.7% |
47% |
|
69 |
23% |
46% |
|
70 |
12% |
23% |
|
71 |
0% |
11% |
|
72 |
5% |
11% |
|
73 |
0.7% |
6% |
|
74 |
4% |
5% |
|
75 |
0% |
2% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
78 |
1.0% |
1.4% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
80 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
46% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
54% |
Median |
62 |
0.2% |
54% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
53% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
53% |
|
65 |
4% |
53% |
|
66 |
0.6% |
50% |
|
67 |
21% |
49% |
|
68 |
5% |
28% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
24% |
|
70 |
9% |
23% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
15% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
14% |
Last Result |
73 |
0.2% |
14% |
|
74 |
12% |
14% |
|
75 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
76 |
1.0% |
1.5% |
|
77 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
80 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
57 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
58 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
59 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
60 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
62 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
64 |
1.4% |
99.4% |
|
65 |
8% |
98% |
|
66 |
0.9% |
90% |
|
67 |
13% |
89% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
76% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
76% |
|
70 |
5% |
76% |
|
71 |
2% |
71% |
|
72 |
68% |
69% |
Median |
73 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
1.5% |
|
75 |
0% |
1.4% |
|
76 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
77 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
99.2% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
62 |
48% |
98.9% |
|
63 |
5% |
51% |
Median |
64 |
0.5% |
46% |
|
65 |
2% |
46% |
|
66 |
21% |
44% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
23% |
|
68 |
12% |
22% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
10% |
|
70 |
1.0% |
10% |
|
71 |
5% |
9% |
|
72 |
4% |
4% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
46% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0% |
54% |
Median |
53 |
5% |
54% |
|
54 |
0.8% |
49% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
48% |
|
56 |
12% |
48% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
36% |
|
58 |
4% |
35% |
|
59 |
4% |
31% |
|
60 |
1.0% |
27% |
|
61 |
0.4% |
26% |
|
62 |
21% |
26% |
|
63 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
64 |
2% |
4% |
|
65 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
1.4% |
|
67 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
49 |
48% |
99.0% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
51% |
Median |
51 |
0.1% |
51% |
|
52 |
2% |
51% |
|
53 |
0.5% |
49% |
|
54 |
5% |
49% |
|
55 |
21% |
44% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
23% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
22% |
|
58 |
4% |
22% |
|
59 |
6% |
18% |
|
60 |
12% |
13% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
51% |
99.5% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
49% |
Median |
52 |
0.9% |
49% |
|
53 |
0.5% |
48% |
|
54 |
12% |
47% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
35% |
|
56 |
0% |
34% |
|
57 |
11% |
34% |
|
58 |
1.1% |
24% |
|
59 |
21% |
23% |
|
60 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
62 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
46 |
0.6% |
99.0% |
|
47 |
2% |
98% |
|
48 |
51% |
97% |
|
49 |
1.2% |
46% |
Median |
50 |
0.7% |
45% |
|
51 |
13% |
44% |
|
52 |
21% |
32% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
11% |
|
54 |
0.4% |
10% |
|
55 |
10% |
10% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
18 |
4% |
99.2% |
|
19 |
12% |
96% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
84% |
|
21 |
0.3% |
83% |
|
22 |
9% |
83% |
|
23 |
1.4% |
74% |
|
24 |
46% |
72% |
Median |
25 |
0.9% |
26% |
|
26 |
21% |
25% |
|
27 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
28 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
29 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
31 |
2% |
2% |
|
32 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
33 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
34 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar TNS
- Commissioner(s): TV2
- Fieldwork period: 24–30 April 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1546
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.77%