Opinion Poll by InFact for Nettavisen, 2 May 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 32.0% | 30.2–34.0% | 29.7–34.5% | 29.2–35.0% | 28.3–35.9% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 18.8% | 17.3–20.5% | 16.9–20.9% | 16.5–21.4% | 15.8–22.2% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.7–12.2% | 9.3–12.6% | 9.1–12.9% | 8.5–13.6% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.4–11.0% | 7.0–11.6% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.5% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.3–7.9% | 5.1–8.2% | 4.7–8.7% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.5–7.1% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.1% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–6.9% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.7–5.0% | 2.4–5.5% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 1.8% | 1.4–2.5% | 1.2–2.7% | 1.1–2.8% | 1.0–3.2% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.5–1.6% | 0.5–1.7% | 0.4–2.0% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.6% | 0.3–1.8% |
| Folkets parti | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
| Liberalistene | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
| Helsepartiet | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 58 | 58 | 56–61 | 56–62 | 53–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 39 | 38–39 | 36–39 | 33–39 | 32–40 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 18 | 18 | 18–19 | 17–20 | 16–21 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 18 | 17–18 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 12–18 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 9 | 9–11 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 8–15 |
| Rødt | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 1–11 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 7 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 3–9 | 2–10 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 9 | 7–9 | 3–9 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| Venstre | 8 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–9 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–2 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Folkets parti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liberalistene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Helsepartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 56 | 3% | 98% | |
| 57 | 2% | 94% | |
| 58 | 86% | 93% | Median |
| 59 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 61 | 2% | 6% | |
| 62 | 2% | 4% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 65 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 34 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 36 | 3% | 95% | |
| 37 | 2% | 92% | |
| 38 | 1.5% | 90% | |
| 39 | 86% | 89% | Median |
| 40 | 2% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 2% | 98% | |
| 18 | 87% | 96% | Median |
| 19 | 5% | 8% | |
| 20 | 3% | 3% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 4% | 100% | |
| 13 | 1.4% | 96% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 15 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 16 | 2% | 93% | |
| 17 | 4% | 91% | |
| 18 | 86% | 87% | Median |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 9 | 86% | 99.3% | Median |
| 10 | 0.3% | 13% | |
| 11 | 4% | 13% | |
| 12 | 2% | 9% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 14 | 6% | 6% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 7 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 8 | 90% | 98.8% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 3% | 9% | |
| 10 | 5% | 6% | |
| 11 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 98% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 0% | 97% | |
| 7 | 85% | 97% | Median |
| 8 | 4% | 13% | |
| 9 | 6% | 8% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 4% | 95% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 91% | |
| 5 | 0% | 91% | |
| 6 | 0% | 91% | |
| 7 | 2% | 91% | |
| 8 | 0.6% | 89% | |
| 9 | 85% | 88% | Median |
| 10 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 11 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 86% | 99.8% | Median |
| 3 | 5% | 14% | |
| 4 | 0% | 9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 9% | |
| 7 | 2% | 9% | |
| 8 | 5% | 7% | Last Result |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.2% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Folkets parti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Folkets parti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Helsepartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Helsepartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 96 | 96 | 100% | 96–98 | 96–101 | 96–108 | 95–108 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 71 | 94 | 100% | 94 | 93–97 | 92–102 | 90–104 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 68 | 87 | 96% | 87 | 85–90 | 84–94 | 82–95 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 78 | 6% | 78–81 | 78–87 | 78–87 | 72–93 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 81 | 2% | 81 | 78–83 | 74–84 | 72–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 82 | 2% | 78–82 | 73–82 | 71–82 | 68–88 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 76 | 0.9% | 76 | 75–78 | 75–80 | 69–85 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 74 | 0% | 74 | 71–75 | 66–76 | 64–77 |
| Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 47 | 69 | 0% | 69 | 66–73 | 64–76 | 63–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 73 | 0% | 73 | 68–73 | 66–75 | 65–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 72 | 0% | 70–72 | 67–72 | 60–72 | 59–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 64 | 0% | 64 | 58–66 | 53–68 | 53–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 66 | 0% | 66 | 63–66 | 58–66 | 57–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 57 | 0% | 56–57 | 51–57 | 49–60 | 44–62 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 57 | 0% | 53–57 | 51–57 | 47–57 | 44–57 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 48 | 0% | 48 | 47–50 | 46–53 | 42–54 |
| Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 39 | 20 | 0% | 20–21 | 20–25 | 20–28 | 16–28 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 93 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 95 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 96 | 88% | 99.5% | Last Result, Median |
| 97 | 2% | 12% | |
| 98 | 2% | 10% | |
| 99 | 2% | 8% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 101 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 103 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 106 | 0% | 3% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 108 | 2% | 3% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 92 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 93 | 3% | 97% | |
| 94 | 88% | 94% | Median |
| 95 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 97 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 101 | 0% | 3% | |
| 102 | 3% | 3% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 104 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 83 | 1.5% | 99.3% | |
| 84 | 2% | 98% | |
| 85 | 3% | 96% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 87 | 84% | 92% | Median |
| 88 | 0.1% | 8% | |
| 89 | 2% | 8% | |
| 90 | 2% | 6% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 94 | 2% | 3% | |
| 95 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 1.4% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0% | 98% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 78 | 85% | 98% | Median |
| 79 | 1.4% | 13% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 12% | |
| 81 | 2% | 12% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 10% | |
| 83 | 3% | 9% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 6% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 87 | 4% | 5% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 90 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 74 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 78 | 2% | 96% | |
| 79 | 2% | 94% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 81 | 84% | 92% | Median |
| 82 | 0.3% | 8% | |
| 83 | 3% | 8% | |
| 84 | 2% | 4% | |
| 85 | 2% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 71 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 73 | 2% | 97% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 75 | 3% | 95% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 91% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 78 | 2% | 91% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 88% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 88% | |
| 81 | 1.5% | 88% | |
| 82 | 84% | 86% | Median |
| 83 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 2% | |
| 88 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 1.5% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 71 | 0% | 98% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 75 | 3% | 98% | |
| 76 | 86% | 94% | Median |
| 77 | 0.2% | 8% | |
| 78 | 4% | 8% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 80 | 2% | 4% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 0.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 66 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 71 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 74 | 88% | 94% | Median |
| 75 | 4% | 6% | |
| 76 | 2% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 66 | 3% | 97% | |
| 67 | 2% | 94% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 69 | 85% | 92% | Median |
| 70 | 2% | 8% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 73 | 2% | 6% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 75 | 0% | 3% | |
| 76 | 2% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 68 | 2% | 96% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 71 | 2% | 94% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 73 | 88% | 92% | Median |
| 74 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 75 | 2% | 4% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 77 | 2% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 62 | 0% | 97% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 67 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 69 | 2% | 94% | |
| 70 | 2% | 92% | |
| 71 | 2% | 90% | |
| 72 | 88% | 88% | Last Result, Median |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 0% | 97% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 58 | 3% | 97% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 61 | 2% | 93% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 91% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 64 | 85% | 90% | Median |
| 65 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 66 | 2% | 5% | |
| 67 | 0% | 3% | |
| 68 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 2% | |
| 72 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 58 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 63 | 2% | 96% | |
| 64 | 3% | 94% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 91% | |
| 66 | 88% | 91% | Median |
| 67 | 2% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 49 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 51 | 2% | 96% | |
| 52 | 0% | 94% | |
| 53 | 3% | 93% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 91% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 90% | |
| 57 | 86% | 90% | Median |
| 58 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 60 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 62 | 2% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 2% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 98% | |
| 46 | 0% | 98% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 51 | 2% | 96% | |
| 52 | 3% | 94% | |
| 53 | 5% | 92% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 87% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 87% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 87% | |
| 57 | 86% | 86% | Median |
| 58 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 46 | 2% | 98% | |
| 47 | 4% | 96% | |
| 48 | 87% | 92% | Median |
| 49 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 50 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 51 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 54 | 2% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 17 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 18 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 20 | 86% | 98.6% | Median |
| 21 | 5% | 12% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 25 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 28 | 4% | 4% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: InFact
- Commissioner(s): Nettavisen
- Fieldwork period: 2 May 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1005
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.21%