Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 2–3 May 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 31.7% | 29.6–34.0% | 29.0–34.6% | 28.5–35.2% | 27.5–36.2% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 16.9% | 15.3–18.8% | 14.8–19.3% | 14.4–19.8% | 13.7–20.7% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.9–13.9% | 10.4–14.4% | 10.1–14.8% | 9.5–15.7% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.2–9.8% | 6.9–10.3% | 6.6–10.6% | 6.1–11.3% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.9% | 4.9–7.1% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.4–7.8% | 4.0–8.4% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5–6.7% | 4.3–7.0% | 4.1–7.3% | 3.6–8.0% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.4–6.5% | 4.2–6.9% | 3.9–7.2% | 3.5–7.8% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.3–5.2% | 3.1–5.5% | 2.9–5.8% | 2.6–6.4% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.6% | 2.7–4.9% | 2.5–5.2% | 2.2–5.7% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 2.5% | 1.9–3.4% | 1.8–3.7% | 1.6–3.9% | 1.4–4.4% |
| Liberalistene | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.8–1.9% | 0.7–2.1% | 0.6–2.3% | 0.5–2.7% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.2–1.4% | 0.1–1.7% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.2% | 0.1–1.5% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–1.0% | 0.0–1.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 59 | 54–62 | 53–63 | 52–67 | 49–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 34 | 32–43 | 31–43 | 29–43 | 27–43 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 21 | 17–27 | 17–27 | 17–27 | 16–29 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 12 | 11–16 | 11–18 | 11–19 | 9–22 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 11 | 8–14 | 7–14 | 7–14 | 1–16 |
| Venstre | 8 | 9 | 8–12 | 6–12 | 3–14 | 2–15 |
| Rødt | 8 | 9 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 1–13 | 1–13 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 3 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 1–9 | 1–10 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 2 | 0–3 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| Liberalistene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 51 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 52 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 53 | 4% | 97% | |
| 54 | 4% | 92% | |
| 55 | 13% | 88% | |
| 56 | 2% | 74% | |
| 57 | 2% | 73% | |
| 58 | 14% | 71% | |
| 59 | 19% | 56% | Median |
| 60 | 3% | 37% | |
| 61 | 10% | 35% | |
| 62 | 17% | 24% | |
| 63 | 4% | 8% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 67 | 2% | 3% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 29 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 30 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 31 | 4% | 95% | |
| 32 | 9% | 91% | |
| 33 | 11% | 82% | |
| 34 | 26% | 71% | Median |
| 35 | 13% | 45% | |
| 36 | 14% | 32% | |
| 37 | 2% | 18% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 16% | |
| 39 | 0.7% | 16% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 15% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 15% | |
| 42 | 1.5% | 15% | |
| 43 | 13% | 13% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 14% | 99.2% | |
| 18 | 4% | 85% | |
| 19 | 19% | 81% | |
| 20 | 9% | 62% | |
| 21 | 9% | 53% | Last Result, Median |
| 22 | 6% | 45% | |
| 23 | 4% | 39% | |
| 24 | 16% | 35% | |
| 25 | 4% | 19% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 15% | |
| 27 | 13% | 15% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 29 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 11 | 14% | 98% | |
| 12 | 38% | 85% | Median |
| 13 | 10% | 47% | Last Result |
| 14 | 4% | 37% | |
| 15 | 14% | 32% | |
| 16 | 9% | 19% | |
| 17 | 3% | 9% | |
| 18 | 2% | 6% | |
| 19 | 2% | 4% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 22 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 1.4% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 5% | 98% | |
| 8 | 8% | 93% | |
| 9 | 16% | 85% | |
| 10 | 3% | 69% | |
| 11 | 21% | 66% | Median |
| 12 | 19% | 44% | |
| 13 | 10% | 25% | |
| 14 | 14% | 15% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 3 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 95% | |
| 5 | 0% | 95% | |
| 6 | 0% | 95% | |
| 7 | 2% | 95% | |
| 8 | 27% | 93% | Last Result |
| 9 | 29% | 67% | Median |
| 10 | 4% | 38% | |
| 11 | 21% | 34% | |
| 12 | 10% | 13% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 14 | 2% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 96% | |
| 3 | 0% | 96% | |
| 4 | 0% | 96% | |
| 5 | 0% | 96% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 7 | 3% | 96% | |
| 8 | 32% | 93% | Last Result |
| 9 | 20% | 61% | Median |
| 10 | 27% | 41% | |
| 11 | 9% | 14% | |
| 12 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 13 | 4% | 4% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 19% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 38% | 80% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 42% | |
| 5 | 0% | 42% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 42% | |
| 7 | 21% | 42% | |
| 8 | 6% | 21% | |
| 9 | 13% | 14% | |
| 10 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 27% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 20% | 73% | |
| 3 | 18% | 53% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 34% | |
| 5 | 0% | 34% | |
| 6 | 11% | 34% | |
| 7 | 17% | 23% | |
| 8 | 3% | 6% | |
| 9 | 2% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 33% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 15% | 67% | |
| 2 | 30% | 52% | Median |
| 3 | 15% | 22% | |
| 4 | 0% | 7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 7% | |
| 6 | 3% | 7% | |
| 7 | 4% | 4% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 107 | 100% | 93–111 | 93–111 | 93–115 | 93–119 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 99 | 100% | 91–105 | 91–107 | 91–109 | 87–111 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 96 | 87% | 84–99 | 84–100 | 84–104 | 84–108 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 90 | 80% | 81–95 | 81–96 | 80–98 | 79–102 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 81 | 22% | 72–86 | 72–88 | 72–90 | 70–92 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 71 | 1.0% | 67–80 | 67–80 | 66–81 | 63–88 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 71 | 0.1% | 67–81 | 67–81 | 62–81 | 59–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 67 | 0% | 64–74 | 61–74 | 61–75 | 58–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 69 | 0% | 63–74 | 61–74 | 58–74 | 56–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 60 | 0% | 55–72 | 55–72 | 52–72 | 48–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 63 | 0% | 59–71 | 59–71 | 56–71 | 52–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 60 | 0% | 54–64 | 53–64 | 51–65 | 48–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 54 | 0% | 48–62 | 47–62 | 46–62 | 45–63 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 53 | 0% | 46–55 | 46–55 | 44–56 | 40–59 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 47 | 0% | 46–55 | 45–55 | 43–55 | 36–60 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 46 | 0% | 41–52 | 40–52 | 39–52 | 34–52 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 25 | 0% | 21–30 | 18–30 | 17–32 | 15–34 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 93 | 13% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 87% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 87% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 87% | Last Result |
| 97 | 0.1% | 87% | |
| 98 | 2% | 87% | |
| 99 | 1.4% | 85% | |
| 100 | 4% | 84% | |
| 101 | 4% | 79% | |
| 102 | 2% | 76% | |
| 103 | 1.0% | 73% | Median |
| 104 | 2% | 72% | |
| 105 | 9% | 71% | |
| 106 | 2% | 61% | |
| 107 | 22% | 59% | |
| 108 | 12% | 37% | |
| 109 | 2% | 25% | |
| 110 | 0.3% | 23% | |
| 111 | 19% | 23% | |
| 112 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 113 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 115 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 118 | 0% | 2% | |
| 119 | 2% | 2% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 89 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 91 | 13% | 98% | |
| 92 | 0.6% | 85% | |
| 93 | 4% | 85% | |
| 94 | 1.1% | 81% | |
| 95 | 3% | 80% | Median |
| 96 | 19% | 77% | |
| 97 | 3% | 58% | |
| 98 | 2% | 55% | |
| 99 | 16% | 52% | |
| 100 | 19% | 37% | |
| 101 | 0.8% | 17% | |
| 102 | 1.1% | 17% | |
| 103 | 3% | 16% | |
| 104 | 1.0% | 12% | |
| 105 | 6% | 11% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 107 | 2% | 5% | |
| 108 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 109 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 110 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 111 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 13% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 87% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.6% | 87% | |
| 87 | 4% | 86% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 82% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 82% | |
| 90 | 2% | 81% | |
| 91 | 2% | 79% | |
| 92 | 1.2% | 77% | Median |
| 93 | 15% | 76% | |
| 94 | 11% | 61% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 51% | |
| 96 | 4% | 50% | |
| 97 | 13% | 46% | |
| 98 | 6% | 34% | |
| 99 | 21% | 28% | |
| 100 | 2% | 6% | |
| 101 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 102 | 0% | 4% | |
| 103 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 106 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 108 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 109 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 81 | 13% | 96% | |
| 82 | 1.4% | 83% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 81% | |
| 84 | 1.5% | 81% | |
| 85 | 5% | 80% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 75% | |
| 87 | 2% | 73% | |
| 88 | 4% | 71% | |
| 89 | 1.3% | 67% | Median |
| 90 | 18% | 66% | |
| 91 | 8% | 48% | |
| 92 | 17% | 40% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 24% | |
| 94 | 0.4% | 23% | |
| 95 | 15% | 23% | |
| 96 | 4% | 8% | |
| 97 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 98 | 2% | 3% | |
| 99 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 72 | 16% | 98.5% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 82% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 81% | |
| 75 | 2% | 80% | |
| 76 | 2% | 78% | |
| 77 | 3% | 76% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 73% | |
| 79 | 10% | 72% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 62% | Median |
| 81 | 17% | 62% | |
| 82 | 20% | 45% | |
| 83 | 2% | 25% | |
| 84 | 0.8% | 23% | |
| 85 | 5% | 22% | Majority |
| 86 | 11% | 17% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 88 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 89 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 90 | 2% | 4% | |
| 91 | 0% | 2% | |
| 92 | 2% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 66 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 67 | 14% | 97% | |
| 68 | 4% | 83% | |
| 69 | 14% | 79% | |
| 70 | 13% | 64% | |
| 71 | 5% | 52% | Median |
| 72 | 2% | 47% | |
| 73 | 4% | 46% | |
| 74 | 6% | 41% | |
| 75 | 2% | 35% | |
| 76 | 3% | 33% | |
| 77 | 0.8% | 30% | |
| 78 | 8% | 29% | |
| 79 | 2% | 21% | |
| 80 | 16% | 19% | |
| 81 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 1.0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 88 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 61 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 65 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 67 | 16% | 95% | |
| 68 | 7% | 79% | |
| 69 | 6% | 71% | Median |
| 70 | 3% | 65% | |
| 71 | 13% | 62% | |
| 72 | 10% | 49% | |
| 73 | 1.1% | 39% | |
| 74 | 17% | 38% | |
| 75 | 2% | 21% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 19% | |
| 77 | 2% | 18% | |
| 78 | 1.4% | 16% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 15% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 81 | 13% | 14% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 61 | 5% | 98.8% | |
| 62 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 63 | 2% | 93% | Median |
| 64 | 7% | 91% | |
| 65 | 11% | 84% | |
| 66 | 18% | 72% | |
| 67 | 14% | 54% | |
| 68 | 5% | 41% | |
| 69 | 8% | 36% | |
| 70 | 2% | 28% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 26% | |
| 72 | 2% | 25% | |
| 73 | 4% | 23% | |
| 74 | 16% | 18% | |
| 75 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 58 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 61 | 2% | 96% | |
| 62 | 3% | 94% | |
| 63 | 6% | 91% | |
| 64 | 1.5% | 85% | |
| 65 | 4% | 84% | |
| 66 | 17% | 80% | Median |
| 67 | 4% | 64% | |
| 68 | 4% | 60% | |
| 69 | 13% | 55% | |
| 70 | 8% | 43% | |
| 71 | 16% | 35% | |
| 72 | 1.0% | 19% | |
| 73 | 2% | 18% | |
| 74 | 14% | 16% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 49 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 98% | |
| 51 | 0% | 98% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 55 | 19% | 97% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 78% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 77% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 76% | Median |
| 59 | 3% | 75% | |
| 60 | 26% | 73% | |
| 61 | 20% | 47% | |
| 62 | 2% | 27% | |
| 63 | 3% | 25% | |
| 64 | 2% | 22% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 20% | |
| 66 | 2% | 19% | |
| 67 | 1.5% | 17% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 16% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 15% | |
| 70 | 1.5% | 15% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 72 | 13% | 13% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 59 | 23% | 95% | |
| 60 | 7% | 73% | Median |
| 61 | 9% | 66% | |
| 62 | 2% | 56% | |
| 63 | 12% | 54% | |
| 64 | 14% | 42% | |
| 65 | 3% | 28% | |
| 66 | 6% | 25% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 19% | |
| 68 | 2% | 18% | |
| 69 | 2% | 16% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 14% | |
| 71 | 13% | 14% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 53 | 3% | 97% | |
| 54 | 8% | 94% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 86% | |
| 56 | 2% | 86% | |
| 57 | 2% | 84% | Median |
| 58 | 23% | 82% | |
| 59 | 6% | 59% | |
| 60 | 6% | 52% | |
| 61 | 25% | 46% | |
| 62 | 2% | 20% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 18% | |
| 64 | 14% | 18% | |
| 65 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 1.4% | 99.5% | |
| 46 | 2% | 98% | |
| 47 | 2% | 96% | |
| 48 | 6% | 95% | |
| 49 | 5% | 89% | |
| 50 | 12% | 84% | |
| 51 | 1.3% | 72% | Median |
| 52 | 3% | 71% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 68% | |
| 54 | 18% | 68% | |
| 55 | 5% | 50% | |
| 56 | 22% | 45% | |
| 57 | 2% | 23% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 21% | |
| 59 | 2% | 21% | |
| 60 | 5% | 19% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 15% | |
| 62 | 13% | 14% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 45 | 2% | 97% | |
| 46 | 11% | 96% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 84% | |
| 48 | 16% | 84% | Median |
| 49 | 3% | 67% | |
| 50 | 9% | 64% | |
| 51 | 1.5% | 54% | |
| 52 | 2% | 53% | |
| 53 | 30% | 51% | |
| 54 | 5% | 21% | |
| 55 | 13% | 16% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 43 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 45 | 6% | 96% | |
| 46 | 26% | 90% | Median |
| 47 | 17% | 64% | |
| 48 | 7% | 47% | |
| 49 | 4% | 40% | |
| 50 | 14% | 35% | |
| 51 | 3% | 21% | |
| 52 | 2% | 19% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 17% | |
| 54 | 1.2% | 17% | |
| 55 | 13% | 15% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 2% | |
| 60 | 1.4% | 1.5% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 40 | 3% | 97% | |
| 41 | 10% | 94% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 84% | |
| 43 | 12% | 84% | |
| 44 | 3% | 72% | |
| 45 | 3% | 68% | Median |
| 46 | 32% | 65% | |
| 47 | 4% | 33% | |
| 48 | 1.3% | 29% | |
| 49 | 1.2% | 28% | |
| 50 | 13% | 27% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 52 | 13% | 13% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 98.5% | |
| 17 | 3% | 98% | |
| 18 | 2% | 95% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 21 | 14% | 93% | |
| 22 | 12% | 79% | |
| 23 | 2% | 68% | Median |
| 24 | 4% | 66% | |
| 25 | 19% | 62% | |
| 26 | 14% | 43% | |
| 27 | 0.9% | 29% | |
| 28 | 5% | 28% | |
| 29 | 0.9% | 23% | |
| 30 | 18% | 22% | |
| 31 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 32 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 33 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 34 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norfakta
- Commissioner(s): Klassekampen and Nationen
- Fieldwork period: 2–3 May 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 750
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.08%