Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse, 2–8 May 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre |
20.4% |
30.3% |
28.5–32.2% |
28.0–32.8% |
27.5–33.2% |
26.7–34.2% |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
17.9% |
16.4–19.5% |
16.0–20.0% |
15.6–20.4% |
15.0–21.2% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
13.4% |
12.1–14.9% |
11.7–15.3% |
11.4–15.7% |
10.8–16.4% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
8.1% |
7.1–9.3% |
6.8–9.7% |
6.6–10.0% |
6.1–10.6% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
7.0% |
6.1–8.2% |
5.8–8.5% |
5.6–8.8% |
5.2–9.3% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
6.5% |
5.6–7.6% |
5.3–7.9% |
5.1–8.2% |
4.7–8.8% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
4.2% |
3.5–5.1% |
3.3–5.4% |
3.1–5.6% |
2.8–6.1% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
4.1% |
3.4–5.0% |
3.2–5.3% |
3.0–5.5% |
2.7–6.0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
3.7% |
3.0–4.6% |
2.9–4.8% |
2.7–5.1% |
2.4–5.5% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet |
0.3% |
3.0% |
2.4–3.8% |
2.2–4.1% |
2.1–4.3% |
1.9–4.7% |
Konservativt |
0.4% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.2% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.3–1.4% |
0.2–1.7% |
Norgesdemokratene |
1.1% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.1–0.8% |
0.1–0.9% |
0.1–1.1% |
Pensjonistpartiet |
0.6% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.0–0.9% |
Folkets parti |
0.1% |
0.1% |
0.0–0.4% |
0.0–0.5% |
0.0–0.6% |
0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
49 |
3% |
98% |
|
50 |
9% |
95% |
|
51 |
5% |
86% |
|
52 |
13% |
81% |
|
53 |
48% |
68% |
Median |
54 |
2% |
20% |
|
55 |
3% |
17% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
14% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
14% |
|
58 |
0.5% |
14% |
|
59 |
3% |
13% |
|
60 |
1.0% |
10% |
|
61 |
9% |
9% |
|
62 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
1.1% |
99.8% |
|
31 |
3% |
98.8% |
|
32 |
1.3% |
96% |
|
33 |
6% |
95% |
|
34 |
26% |
89% |
|
35 |
47% |
63% |
Median |
36 |
8% |
17% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
9% |
|
38 |
6% |
9% |
|
39 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
40 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
41 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
42 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
19 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
20 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
21 |
47% |
96% |
Last Result, Median |
22 |
3% |
49% |
|
23 |
3% |
47% |
|
24 |
4% |
44% |
|
25 |
5% |
40% |
|
26 |
28% |
35% |
|
27 |
0.8% |
6% |
|
28 |
4% |
6% |
|
29 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
30 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
10 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
11 |
2% |
98% |
|
12 |
5% |
96% |
|
13 |
57% |
91% |
Last Result, Median |
14 |
14% |
34% |
|
15 |
5% |
19% |
|
16 |
12% |
14% |
|
17 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
18 |
1.3% |
1.4% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
11% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
2% |
89% |
|
10 |
1.0% |
87% |
|
11 |
6% |
86% |
|
12 |
7% |
80% |
|
13 |
47% |
73% |
Median |
14 |
10% |
27% |
|
15 |
12% |
17% |
|
16 |
4% |
4% |
|
17 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
5% |
99.5% |
|
10 |
3% |
95% |
|
11 |
24% |
92% |
|
12 |
48% |
68% |
Median |
13 |
11% |
20% |
|
14 |
5% |
10% |
|
15 |
4% |
5% |
|
16 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
17% |
100% |
|
3 |
15% |
83% |
|
4 |
0% |
68% |
|
5 |
0% |
68% |
|
6 |
0.6% |
68% |
|
7 |
3% |
67% |
|
8 |
60% |
64% |
Last Result, Median |
9 |
3% |
4% |
|
10 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
1 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
2 |
9% |
99.4% |
|
3 |
16% |
90% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
74% |
|
5 |
0% |
74% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
74% |
|
7 |
15% |
74% |
|
8 |
58% |
60% |
Median |
9 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
10 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
15% |
100% |
|
2 |
55% |
85% |
Median |
3 |
4% |
30% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
26% |
|
5 |
0% |
26% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
26% |
|
7 |
8% |
26% |
|
8 |
12% |
18% |
|
9 |
5% |
6% |
|
10 |
1.2% |
1.4% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
17% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
3% |
83% |
|
2 |
26% |
80% |
|
3 |
51% |
54% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
3% |
|
5 |
0% |
3% |
|
6 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
7 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
8 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Folkets parti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Folkets parti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
96 |
102 |
100% |
96–104 |
95–104 |
93–107 |
91–108 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
71 |
92 |
98.7% |
90–99 |
89–99 |
86–99 |
81–100 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
68 |
90 |
91% |
85–92 |
82–92 |
80–94 |
80–97 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
65 |
82 |
17% |
81–88 |
79–89 |
78–89 |
75–93 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
57 |
74 |
8% |
74–83 |
74–87 |
74–87 |
72–87 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
100 |
75 |
5% |
75–80 |
75–84 |
72–86 |
68–86 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet |
97 |
73 |
1.2% |
69–76 |
68–76 |
68–80 |
65–85 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
95 |
70 |
0% |
66–76 |
65–76 |
64–76 |
61–78 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
62 |
0% |
62–69 |
62–71 |
61–73 |
56–75 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
72 |
63 |
0% |
63–70 |
61–71 |
60–72 |
57–75 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
47 |
69 |
0% |
60–69 |
57–69 |
56–72 |
54–73 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet |
89 |
60 |
0% |
59–62 |
56–64 |
56–65 |
53–70 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
82 |
57 |
0% |
52–62 |
51–62 |
51–64 |
48–65 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
55 |
0% |
48–55 |
47–55 |
45–56 |
44–60 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
48 |
0% |
47–50 |
46–53 |
44–54 |
42–56 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
47 |
0% |
45–49 |
42–52 |
42–52 |
40–52 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
39 |
28 |
0% |
16–28 |
16–28 |
15–30 |
15–30 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
91 |
1.1% |
99.8% |
|
92 |
0.6% |
98.6% |
|
93 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
94 |
2% |
97% |
|
95 |
4% |
96% |
|
96 |
4% |
92% |
Last Result |
97 |
1.1% |
88% |
|
98 |
0.3% |
87% |
|
99 |
2% |
87% |
|
100 |
13% |
85% |
|
101 |
3% |
71% |
|
102 |
46% |
69% |
Median |
103 |
7% |
23% |
|
104 |
11% |
15% |
|
105 |
0.5% |
5% |
|
106 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
107 |
2% |
4% |
|
108 |
1.0% |
1.4% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
110 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
111 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
98.8% |
|
83 |
0% |
98.7% |
|
84 |
0% |
98.7% |
|
85 |
0.6% |
98.7% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
98% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
89 |
0.9% |
96% |
|
90 |
15% |
95% |
|
91 |
2% |
80% |
|
92 |
47% |
78% |
Median |
93 |
2% |
31% |
|
94 |
8% |
29% |
|
95 |
3% |
21% |
|
96 |
1.1% |
18% |
|
97 |
1.2% |
17% |
|
98 |
4% |
16% |
|
99 |
10% |
12% |
|
100 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
102 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
103 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
104 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
80 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
81 |
2% |
97% |
|
82 |
1.1% |
95% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
94% |
|
84 |
2% |
94% |
|
85 |
3% |
91% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
88% |
|
87 |
1.1% |
86% |
|
88 |
2% |
85% |
|
89 |
11% |
83% |
|
90 |
47% |
72% |
Median |
91 |
14% |
25% |
|
92 |
8% |
11% |
|
93 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
94 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
95 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
96 |
0.2% |
1.4% |
|
97 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
98 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
77 |
1.2% |
99.0% |
|
78 |
2% |
98% |
|
79 |
3% |
96% |
|
80 |
1.1% |
93% |
|
81 |
14% |
92% |
|
82 |
46% |
78% |
Median |
83 |
6% |
32% |
|
84 |
9% |
26% |
|
85 |
3% |
17% |
Majority |
86 |
1.1% |
14% |
|
87 |
0.8% |
13% |
|
88 |
3% |
12% |
|
89 |
8% |
9% |
|
90 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
95 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
72 |
0.9% |
99.7% |
|
73 |
1.2% |
98.7% |
|
74 |
49% |
98% |
Median |
75 |
2% |
49% |
|
76 |
13% |
47% |
|
77 |
4% |
34% |
|
78 |
10% |
31% |
|
79 |
3% |
20% |
|
80 |
4% |
17% |
|
81 |
3% |
13% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
10% |
|
83 |
1.3% |
10% |
|
84 |
0.8% |
9% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
8% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
8% |
|
87 |
8% |
8% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
99.1% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
98.6% |
|
71 |
0.6% |
98.6% |
|
72 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
73 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
74 |
0.7% |
96% |
|
75 |
52% |
95% |
Median |
76 |
8% |
44% |
|
77 |
20% |
36% |
|
78 |
2% |
16% |
|
79 |
1.0% |
14% |
|
80 |
4% |
13% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
8% |
|
82 |
2% |
8% |
|
83 |
0.7% |
6% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
5% |
|
85 |
2% |
5% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
3% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
1.3% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
98.6% |
|
67 |
0.9% |
98.5% |
|
68 |
5% |
98% |
|
69 |
10% |
93% |
|
70 |
1.3% |
83% |
|
71 |
3% |
81% |
|
72 |
2% |
78% |
|
73 |
47% |
76% |
Median |
74 |
7% |
28% |
|
75 |
3% |
21% |
|
76 |
15% |
19% |
|
77 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
80 |
2% |
3% |
|
81 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
82 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
83 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
84 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
85 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
63 |
0.9% |
99.4% |
|
64 |
1.2% |
98.6% |
|
65 |
7% |
97% |
|
66 |
5% |
90% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
85% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
85% |
|
69 |
4% |
84% |
|
70 |
57% |
80% |
Median |
71 |
3% |
23% |
|
72 |
1.1% |
20% |
|
73 |
4% |
19% |
|
74 |
2% |
16% |
|
75 |
2% |
13% |
|
76 |
10% |
11% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
1.4% |
|
78 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
99.1% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
98.6% |
|
59 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
61 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
62 |
64% |
97% |
Median |
63 |
4% |
33% |
|
64 |
3% |
29% |
|
65 |
0.8% |
26% |
|
66 |
7% |
25% |
|
67 |
2% |
19% |
|
68 |
0.8% |
17% |
|
69 |
10% |
16% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
6% |
|
71 |
1.5% |
5% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
73 |
2% |
4% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
75 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
57 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
58 |
0.6% |
98.9% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
60 |
3% |
98% |
|
61 |
3% |
96% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
93% |
|
63 |
47% |
93% |
Median |
64 |
11% |
46% |
|
65 |
6% |
35% |
|
66 |
14% |
29% |
|
67 |
2% |
14% |
|
68 |
0.6% |
12% |
|
69 |
1.4% |
12% |
|
70 |
3% |
10% |
|
71 |
4% |
7% |
|
72 |
1.2% |
3% |
Last Result |
73 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
74 |
0% |
2% |
|
75 |
2% |
2% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
54 |
1.2% |
99.8% |
|
55 |
0% |
98.6% |
|
56 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
57 |
2% |
96% |
|
58 |
0.6% |
94% |
|
59 |
2% |
94% |
|
60 |
3% |
92% |
|
61 |
3% |
88% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
85% |
|
63 |
13% |
85% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
72% |
|
65 |
9% |
71% |
|
66 |
6% |
62% |
|
67 |
3% |
56% |
|
68 |
2% |
53% |
|
69 |
46% |
51% |
Median |
70 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
72 |
3% |
4% |
|
73 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
|
55 |
0.7% |
99.0% |
|
56 |
3% |
98% |
|
57 |
4% |
95% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
91% |
|
59 |
4% |
91% |
|
60 |
53% |
86% |
Median |
61 |
24% |
34% |
|
62 |
1.4% |
10% |
|
63 |
1.0% |
9% |
|
64 |
4% |
8% |
|
65 |
2% |
3% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
1.4% |
|
67 |
0% |
1.4% |
|
68 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
69 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
70 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
46 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
|
50 |
0.9% |
99.0% |
|
51 |
4% |
98% |
|
52 |
9% |
94% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
85% |
|
54 |
12% |
84% |
|
55 |
2% |
73% |
|
56 |
2% |
70% |
|
57 |
47% |
68% |
Median |
58 |
3% |
21% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
18% |
|
60 |
0.9% |
18% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
17% |
|
62 |
12% |
16% |
|
63 |
2% |
5% |
|
64 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
65 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
44 |
1.2% |
99.8% |
|
45 |
3% |
98.6% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
47 |
3% |
95% |
|
48 |
3% |
92% |
|
49 |
2% |
90% |
|
50 |
8% |
88% |
|
51 |
1.2% |
80% |
|
52 |
3% |
79% |
|
53 |
11% |
76% |
|
54 |
12% |
65% |
|
55 |
48% |
53% |
Median |
56 |
2% |
5% |
|
57 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
|
60 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
|
44 |
3% |
99.0% |
|
45 |
1.0% |
96% |
|
46 |
5% |
95% |
|
47 |
5% |
91% |
|
48 |
58% |
86% |
Median |
49 |
8% |
28% |
|
50 |
13% |
20% |
|
51 |
0.9% |
7% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
53 |
2% |
6% |
|
54 |
3% |
4% |
|
55 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
56 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
41 |
0.8% |
99.1% |
|
42 |
5% |
98% |
|
43 |
0.4% |
94% |
|
44 |
3% |
93% |
|
45 |
11% |
90% |
|
46 |
2% |
79% |
|
47 |
63% |
77% |
Median |
48 |
2% |
14% |
|
49 |
5% |
12% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
6% |
|
51 |
0.7% |
6% |
|
52 |
5% |
5% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
15 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
16 |
9% |
97% |
|
17 |
1.4% |
87% |
|
18 |
2% |
86% |
|
19 |
3% |
83% |
|
20 |
5% |
81% |
|
21 |
1.0% |
76% |
|
22 |
12% |
75% |
|
23 |
0.2% |
64% |
|
24 |
1.4% |
64% |
|
25 |
2% |
62% |
|
26 |
2% |
61% |
|
27 |
1.0% |
59% |
|
28 |
54% |
58% |
Median |
29 |
0% |
4% |
|
30 |
3% |
4% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
32 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
- Fieldwork period: 2–8 May 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.21%