Opinion Poll by Respons Analyse for VG, 3–8 May 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 31.8% | 29.9–33.7% | 29.4–34.3% | 29.0–34.8% | 28.1–35.7% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 19.5% | 18.0–21.2% | 17.5–21.7% | 17.2–22.1% | 16.4–22.9% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 14.2% | 12.9–15.7% | 12.5–16.1% | 12.2–16.5% | 11.6–17.3% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6–8.8% | 6.3–9.1% | 6.1–9.4% | 5.7–10.0% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.5% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.3–7.9% | 5.1–8.2% | 4.7–8.8% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.4–7.4% | 5.2–7.7% | 5.0–8.0% | 4.6–8.6% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–6.0% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.2–6.7% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 1.9–4.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 56 | 52–59 | 50–61 | 50–62 | 48–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 36 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 33–43 | 31–45 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 25 | 22–30 | 21–30 | 20–31 | 19–32 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 13 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–17 | 9–17 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 12 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 8–14 | 7–15 |
| Rødt | 8 | 11 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–14 | 8–15 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 3–10 | 3–10 | 2–11 | 2–12 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 1–10 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–7 | 1–7 | 1–8 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 50 | 4% | 98% | |
| 51 | 4% | 94% | |
| 52 | 9% | 90% | |
| 53 | 9% | 82% | |
| 54 | 10% | 72% | |
| 55 | 11% | 62% | |
| 56 | 14% | 51% | Median |
| 57 | 7% | 37% | |
| 58 | 11% | 29% | |
| 59 | 10% | 19% | |
| 60 | 3% | 9% | |
| 61 | 3% | 6% | |
| 62 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 33 | 7% | 98% | |
| 34 | 11% | 91% | |
| 35 | 15% | 80% | |
| 36 | 17% | 66% | Median |
| 37 | 15% | 48% | |
| 38 | 6% | 33% | |
| 39 | 4% | 27% | |
| 40 | 8% | 23% | |
| 41 | 8% | 15% | |
| 42 | 4% | 8% | |
| 43 | 2% | 4% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 21 | 5% | 96% | Last Result |
| 22 | 8% | 91% | |
| 23 | 12% | 83% | |
| 24 | 18% | 71% | |
| 25 | 10% | 53% | Median |
| 26 | 8% | 43% | |
| 27 | 9% | 35% | |
| 28 | 6% | 26% | |
| 29 | 6% | 20% | |
| 30 | 11% | 15% | |
| 31 | 2% | 3% | |
| 32 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 11 | 11% | 95% | |
| 12 | 26% | 84% | |
| 13 | 21% | 59% | Last Result, Median |
| 14 | 19% | 37% | |
| 15 | 10% | 18% | |
| 16 | 6% | 9% | |
| 17 | 2% | 3% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 9 | 6% | 96% | |
| 10 | 18% | 90% | |
| 11 | 18% | 71% | |
| 12 | 23% | 54% | Median |
| 13 | 23% | 31% | |
| 14 | 6% | 8% | |
| 15 | 2% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 9 | 12% | 97% | |
| 10 | 22% | 85% | |
| 11 | 29% | 63% | Median |
| 12 | 24% | 34% | |
| 13 | 7% | 10% | |
| 14 | 2% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 10% | 95% | |
| 4 | 0% | 86% | |
| 5 | 0% | 86% | |
| 6 | 2% | 86% | |
| 7 | 13% | 84% | |
| 8 | 30% | 71% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 28% | 41% | |
| 10 | 8% | 12% | |
| 11 | 4% | 4% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 21% | 99.2% | |
| 3 | 34% | 78% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 44% | |
| 5 | 0% | 44% | |
| 6 | 1.3% | 44% | |
| 7 | 21% | 43% | |
| 8 | 13% | 22% | |
| 9 | 8% | 9% | |
| 10 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 44% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 38% | 56% | Median |
| 3 | 10% | 18% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 8% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 8% | |
| 6 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 7 | 5% | 7% | |
| 8 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 106 | 100% | 100–109 | 99–110 | 99–111 | 96–113 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 96 | 100% | 91–100 | 90–101 | 89–102 | 87–105 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 94 | 99.5% | 88–98 | 87–99 | 87–100 | 84–104 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 89 | 76% | 83–95 | 82–95 | 81–96 | 79–98 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 81 | 21% | 75–86 | 74–87 | 73–89 | 71–92 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 74 | 0.2% | 70–80 | 69–81 | 68–81 | 64–84 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 72 | 0% | 68–77 | 67–78 | 66–79 | 63–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 69 | 0% | 62–74 | 62–75 | 61–76 | 59–78 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 68 | 0% | 64–73 | 62–74 | 61–75 | 60–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 64 | 0% | 59–68 | 58–69 | 57–71 | 55–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 62 | 0% | 59–68 | 58–69 | 57–69 | 55–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 61 | 0% | 57–66 | 56–67 | 55–68 | 53–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 56 | 0% | 50–61 | 49–63 | 49–63 | 47–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 53 | 0% | 48–59 | 47–60 | 47–61 | 45–63 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 50 | 0% | 47–54 | 45–55 | 45–56 | 43–58 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 48 | 0% | 45–53 | 44–54 | 43–55 | 42–56 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 24 | 0% | 20–28 | 17–29 | 17–30 | 16–32 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 93 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 97 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 98 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 99 | 4% | 98% | |
| 100 | 6% | 93% | |
| 101 | 4% | 87% | |
| 102 | 5% | 83% | |
| 103 | 10% | 78% | |
| 104 | 9% | 68% | Median |
| 105 | 8% | 58% | |
| 106 | 15% | 50% | |
| 107 | 12% | 36% | |
| 108 | 10% | 23% | |
| 109 | 5% | 13% | |
| 110 | 4% | 8% | |
| 111 | 2% | 4% | |
| 112 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 113 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 114 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 88 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 89 | 2% | 98% | |
| 90 | 4% | 96% | |
| 91 | 6% | 92% | |
| 92 | 5% | 86% | |
| 93 | 9% | 81% | |
| 94 | 10% | 72% | Median |
| 95 | 10% | 62% | |
| 96 | 14% | 52% | |
| 97 | 10% | 38% | |
| 98 | 10% | 28% | |
| 99 | 4% | 18% | |
| 100 | 7% | 14% | |
| 101 | 3% | 7% | |
| 102 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 103 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 99.5% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.4% | 99.1% | |
| 87 | 4% | 98% | |
| 88 | 4% | 94% | |
| 89 | 5% | 89% | |
| 90 | 6% | 85% | |
| 91 | 7% | 78% | |
| 92 | 12% | 72% | Median |
| 93 | 9% | 59% | |
| 94 | 9% | 51% | |
| 95 | 12% | 41% | |
| 96 | 7% | 29% | |
| 97 | 9% | 23% | |
| 98 | 8% | 13% | |
| 99 | 2% | 5% | |
| 100 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 101 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 102 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 81 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 82 | 4% | 97% | |
| 83 | 4% | 93% | |
| 84 | 12% | 89% | |
| 85 | 6% | 76% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 70% | |
| 87 | 7% | 66% | |
| 88 | 8% | 58% | |
| 89 | 6% | 50% | Median |
| 90 | 10% | 44% | |
| 91 | 8% | 35% | |
| 92 | 5% | 26% | |
| 93 | 4% | 22% | |
| 94 | 6% | 18% | |
| 95 | 8% | 12% | |
| 96 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 97 | 2% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 73 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 74 | 3% | 97% | |
| 75 | 5% | 94% | |
| 76 | 5% | 89% | |
| 77 | 8% | 84% | |
| 78 | 6% | 77% | |
| 79 | 6% | 70% | |
| 80 | 9% | 65% | |
| 81 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 82 | 11% | 46% | |
| 83 | 9% | 35% | |
| 84 | 6% | 26% | |
| 85 | 6% | 21% | Majority |
| 86 | 8% | 15% | |
| 87 | 3% | 7% | |
| 88 | 2% | 5% | |
| 89 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 92 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 68 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 69 | 2% | 97% | |
| 70 | 8% | 95% | |
| 71 | 9% | 87% | |
| 72 | 7% | 77% | |
| 73 | 12% | 70% | |
| 74 | 9% | 59% | Median |
| 75 | 9% | 49% | |
| 76 | 12% | 41% | |
| 77 | 7% | 28% | |
| 78 | 6% | 21% | |
| 79 | 5% | 15% | |
| 80 | 4% | 10% | |
| 81 | 4% | 6% | |
| 82 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 3% | 96% | |
| 68 | 7% | 93% | |
| 69 | 4% | 86% | |
| 70 | 10% | 82% | |
| 71 | 10% | 72% | |
| 72 | 14% | 62% | Median |
| 73 | 10% | 47% | |
| 74 | 10% | 38% | |
| 75 | 9% | 28% | |
| 76 | 4% | 19% | |
| 77 | 6% | 14% | |
| 78 | 4% | 8% | |
| 79 | 2% | 4% | |
| 80 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 62 | 9% | 96% | |
| 63 | 5% | 87% | |
| 64 | 3% | 82% | |
| 65 | 2% | 78% | |
| 66 | 7% | 76% | Median |
| 67 | 10% | 69% | |
| 68 | 7% | 59% | |
| 69 | 13% | 52% | |
| 70 | 5% | 39% | |
| 71 | 6% | 34% | |
| 72 | 10% | 28% | |
| 73 | 4% | 18% | |
| 74 | 5% | 14% | |
| 75 | 6% | 9% | |
| 76 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 62 | 3% | 97% | |
| 63 | 4% | 94% | |
| 64 | 4% | 91% | |
| 65 | 8% | 86% | |
| 66 | 10% | 78% | |
| 67 | 9% | 68% | Median |
| 68 | 16% | 59% | |
| 69 | 10% | 43% | |
| 70 | 12% | 33% | |
| 71 | 8% | 21% | |
| 72 | 3% | 13% | |
| 73 | 2% | 11% | |
| 74 | 4% | 8% | |
| 75 | 2% | 4% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 58 | 3% | 97% | |
| 59 | 8% | 95% | |
| 60 | 6% | 87% | |
| 61 | 10% | 81% | |
| 62 | 10% | 71% | |
| 63 | 9% | 61% | Median |
| 64 | 13% | 52% | |
| 65 | 10% | 39% | |
| 66 | 9% | 30% | |
| 67 | 7% | 20% | |
| 68 | 5% | 13% | |
| 69 | 4% | 9% | |
| 70 | 2% | 4% | |
| 71 | 2% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 57 | 2% | 98% | |
| 58 | 4% | 96% | |
| 59 | 5% | 92% | |
| 60 | 10% | 87% | |
| 61 | 12% | 77% | |
| 62 | 15% | 64% | Median |
| 63 | 8% | 49% | |
| 64 | 9% | 42% | |
| 65 | 10% | 32% | |
| 66 | 5% | 22% | |
| 67 | 4% | 17% | |
| 68 | 6% | 13% | |
| 69 | 4% | 7% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 55 | 2% | 98% | |
| 56 | 2% | 97% | |
| 57 | 7% | 95% | |
| 58 | 5% | 88% | |
| 59 | 8% | 83% | |
| 60 | 10% | 75% | |
| 61 | 17% | 65% | Median |
| 62 | 11% | 49% | |
| 63 | 12% | 38% | |
| 64 | 5% | 26% | |
| 65 | 10% | 20% | |
| 66 | 5% | 10% | |
| 67 | 2% | 6% | |
| 68 | 2% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 49 | 5% | 98% | |
| 50 | 10% | 92% | |
| 51 | 8% | 83% | |
| 52 | 5% | 74% | |
| 53 | 8% | 70% | Median |
| 54 | 6% | 61% | |
| 55 | 5% | 56% | |
| 56 | 8% | 51% | |
| 57 | 10% | 43% | |
| 58 | 5% | 33% | |
| 59 | 7% | 27% | |
| 60 | 5% | 20% | |
| 61 | 6% | 15% | |
| 62 | 3% | 9% | |
| 63 | 4% | 6% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 47 | 3% | 98% | |
| 48 | 9% | 95% | |
| 49 | 5% | 85% | |
| 50 | 10% | 80% | |
| 51 | 7% | 70% | Median |
| 52 | 8% | 62% | |
| 53 | 5% | 54% | |
| 54 | 7% | 49% | |
| 55 | 7% | 41% | |
| 56 | 10% | 34% | |
| 57 | 8% | 24% | |
| 58 | 4% | 17% | |
| 59 | 6% | 13% | |
| 60 | 2% | 7% | |
| 61 | 3% | 5% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 45 | 3% | 98% | |
| 46 | 4% | 95% | |
| 47 | 11% | 91% | |
| 48 | 11% | 80% | |
| 49 | 13% | 69% | Median |
| 50 | 19% | 55% | |
| 51 | 8% | 36% | |
| 52 | 7% | 29% | |
| 53 | 7% | 22% | |
| 54 | 9% | 15% | |
| 55 | 2% | 6% | |
| 56 | 2% | 4% | |
| 57 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 43 | 2% | 98% | |
| 44 | 4% | 97% | |
| 45 | 12% | 93% | |
| 46 | 8% | 81% | |
| 47 | 10% | 73% | |
| 48 | 16% | 63% | Median |
| 49 | 14% | 47% | |
| 50 | 8% | 32% | |
| 51 | 5% | 24% | |
| 52 | 7% | 19% | |
| 53 | 7% | 13% | |
| 54 | 2% | 6% | |
| 55 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 56 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 17 | 4% | 98% | |
| 18 | 2% | 95% | |
| 19 | 2% | 93% | |
| 20 | 4% | 91% | |
| 21 | 9% | 87% | |
| 22 | 11% | 79% | |
| 23 | 10% | 67% | Median |
| 24 | 14% | 57% | |
| 25 | 9% | 43% | |
| 26 | 6% | 34% | |
| 27 | 11% | 28% | |
| 28 | 7% | 16% | |
| 29 | 5% | 9% | |
| 30 | 3% | 5% | |
| 31 | 2% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Respons Analyse
- Commissioner(s): VG
- Fieldwork period: 3–8 May 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.84%