Opinion Poll by Norstat for Aftenposten and NRK, 24–30 May 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 30.9% | 28.7–33.3% | 28.1–33.9% | 27.6–34.5% | 26.5–35.7% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 18.7% | 16.9–20.7% | 16.4–21.3% | 15.9–21.8% | 15.1–22.8% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 13.4% | 11.8–15.2% | 11.4–15.7% | 11.0–16.2% | 10.3–17.1% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2–8.8% | 5.9–9.2% | 5.6–9.6% | 5.1–10.3% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 7.1% | 5.9–8.5% | 5.6–8.9% | 5.4–9.3% | 4.9–10.0% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5–8.0% | 5.2–8.4% | 5.0–8.8% | 4.5–9.5% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.7–5.8% | 3.4–6.1% | 3.2–6.4% | 2.9–7.0% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 3.2% | 2.5–4.3% | 2.3–4.6% | 2.1–4.9% | 1.8–5.4% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.5–4.3% | 2.3–4.6% | 2.1–4.9% | 1.8–5.4% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.5% | 1.6–5.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 55 | 50–60 | 49–60 | 49–63 | 47–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 35 | 33–40 | 32–42 | 31–43 | 29–45 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 24 | 21–27 | 20–29 | 19–30 | 18–32 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 13 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 10–17 | 9–18 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 13 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 9–17 | 8–19 |
| Rødt | 8 | 12 | 10–15 | 9–16 | 9–16 | 8–17 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 3–10 | 3–11 | 2–11 | 2–13 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 3 | 1–7 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–9 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 0–3 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 49 | 5% | 98% | |
| 50 | 4% | 93% | |
| 51 | 4% | 89% | |
| 52 | 12% | 85% | |
| 53 | 5% | 73% | |
| 54 | 16% | 68% | |
| 55 | 12% | 51% | Median |
| 56 | 12% | 39% | |
| 57 | 5% | 27% | |
| 58 | 8% | 22% | |
| 59 | 4% | 14% | |
| 60 | 5% | 10% | |
| 61 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 63 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 30 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 31 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 32 | 4% | 97% | |
| 33 | 9% | 93% | |
| 34 | 21% | 84% | |
| 35 | 20% | 64% | Median |
| 36 | 11% | 44% | |
| 37 | 14% | 32% | |
| 38 | 4% | 19% | |
| 39 | 1.4% | 15% | |
| 40 | 4% | 13% | |
| 41 | 3% | 9% | |
| 42 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 43 | 2% | 4% | |
| 44 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 18 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 19 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 20 | 6% | 97% | |
| 21 | 8% | 91% | Last Result |
| 22 | 12% | 83% | |
| 23 | 7% | 70% | |
| 24 | 21% | 64% | Median |
| 25 | 12% | 42% | |
| 26 | 14% | 31% | |
| 27 | 8% | 16% | |
| 28 | 3% | 9% | |
| 29 | 2% | 5% | |
| 30 | 2% | 4% | |
| 31 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 9 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 8% | 98% | |
| 11 | 15% | 90% | |
| 12 | 15% | 75% | |
| 13 | 29% | 60% | Last Result, Median |
| 14 | 11% | 30% | |
| 15 | 8% | 20% | |
| 16 | 8% | 12% | |
| 17 | 3% | 4% | |
| 18 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 10 | 6% | 96% | |
| 11 | 18% | 90% | |
| 12 | 13% | 72% | |
| 13 | 18% | 59% | Median |
| 14 | 17% | 42% | |
| 15 | 14% | 25% | |
| 16 | 8% | 11% | |
| 17 | 2% | 3% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 1.2% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 9 | 6% | 98.6% | |
| 10 | 10% | 92% | |
| 11 | 16% | 83% | |
| 12 | 27% | 67% | Median |
| 13 | 17% | 40% | |
| 14 | 9% | 23% | |
| 15 | 8% | 15% | |
| 16 | 5% | 7% | |
| 17 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 16% | 95% | |
| 4 | 0% | 79% | |
| 5 | 0% | 79% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 79% | |
| 7 | 10% | 79% | |
| 8 | 34% | 69% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 18% | 35% | |
| 10 | 11% | 17% | |
| 11 | 4% | 6% | |
| 12 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 5% | 91% | |
| 2 | 31% | 87% | |
| 3 | 41% | 55% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 14% | |
| 5 | 0% | 14% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 14% | |
| 7 | 7% | 14% | |
| 8 | 5% | 7% | |
| 9 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 35% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 37% | 64% | Median |
| 3 | 12% | 27% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 15% | |
| 5 | 0% | 15% | |
| 6 | 1.1% | 15% | |
| 7 | 6% | 14% | |
| 8 | 7% | 8% | |
| 9 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16% | 100% | |
| 1 | 10% | 84% | |
| 2 | 56% | 74% | Median |
| 3 | 11% | 18% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 8% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 8% | |
| 7 | 6% | 8% | |
| 8 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 101 | 100% | 96–106 | 95–108 | 93–110 | 92–112 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 91 | 94% | 86–96 | 84–98 | 84–99 | 82–101 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 89 | 83% | 83–94 | 81–95 | 79–96 | 79–99 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 86 | 69% | 81–92 | 79–93 | 77–95 | 77–97 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 79 | 10% | 74–84 | 72–86 | 69–87 | 69–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 77 | 3% | 71–82 | 70–83 | 69–86 | 66–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 74 | 0.1% | 69–79 | 68–81 | 66–81 | 64–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 67 | 0% | 61–72 | 60–74 | 60–77 | 56–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 65 | 0% | 60–69 | 59–71 | 57–74 | 55–75 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 64 | 0% | 59–69 | 59–71 | 58–72 | 56–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 64 | 0% | 59–69 | 57–70 | 57–72 | 54–74 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 62 | 0% | 58–66 | 56–67 | 55–68 | 53–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 54 | 0% | 48–58 | 48–61 | 47–64 | 44–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 51 | 0% | 47–55 | 46–57 | 45–58 | 42–62 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 48 | 0% | 45–53 | 44–55 | 43–56 | 41–59 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 49 | 0% | 45–53 | 44–54 | 43–56 | 41–58 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 22 | 0% | 19–27 | 18–28 | 16–29 | 14–31 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 92 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 93 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 94 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 95 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 96 | 5% | 94% | Last Result |
| 97 | 8% | 89% | |
| 98 | 7% | 81% | |
| 99 | 4% | 74% | |
| 100 | 10% | 70% | |
| 101 | 16% | 60% | |
| 102 | 3% | 44% | Median |
| 103 | 11% | 41% | |
| 104 | 4% | 30% | |
| 105 | 10% | 27% | |
| 106 | 8% | 17% | |
| 107 | 2% | 9% | |
| 108 | 3% | 7% | |
| 109 | 2% | 4% | |
| 110 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 111 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 112 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 84 | 4% | 98% | |
| 85 | 4% | 94% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 91% | |
| 87 | 7% | 89% | |
| 88 | 6% | 81% | |
| 89 | 13% | 75% | |
| 90 | 8% | 61% | |
| 91 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 92 | 15% | 49% | |
| 93 | 6% | 33% | |
| 94 | 6% | 28% | |
| 95 | 9% | 22% | |
| 96 | 4% | 13% | |
| 97 | 3% | 8% | |
| 98 | 2% | 5% | |
| 99 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 100 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 101 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 80 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 81 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 82 | 4% | 95% | |
| 83 | 3% | 91% | |
| 84 | 5% | 88% | |
| 85 | 9% | 83% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 74% | |
| 87 | 10% | 69% | |
| 88 | 8% | 59% | |
| 89 | 12% | 51% | Median |
| 90 | 9% | 39% | |
| 91 | 5% | 30% | |
| 92 | 7% | 25% | |
| 93 | 5% | 17% | |
| 94 | 5% | 12% | |
| 95 | 3% | 7% | |
| 96 | 2% | 5% | |
| 97 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 77 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 78 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 79 | 2% | 96% | |
| 80 | 4% | 95% | |
| 81 | 5% | 91% | |
| 82 | 3% | 85% | |
| 83 | 7% | 83% | |
| 84 | 7% | 76% | |
| 85 | 13% | 69% | Majority |
| 86 | 13% | 57% | |
| 87 | 4% | 44% | Median |
| 88 | 9% | 39% | |
| 89 | 7% | 30% | |
| 90 | 7% | 23% | |
| 91 | 1.4% | 16% | |
| 92 | 5% | 15% | |
| 93 | 4% | 9% | |
| 94 | 2% | 5% | |
| 95 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 96 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 72 | 2% | 96% | |
| 73 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 74 | 3% | 92% | |
| 75 | 7% | 90% | |
| 76 | 13% | 83% | |
| 77 | 9% | 69% | |
| 78 | 9% | 60% | |
| 79 | 5% | 51% | Median |
| 80 | 13% | 47% | |
| 81 | 6% | 33% | |
| 82 | 9% | 28% | |
| 83 | 3% | 19% | |
| 84 | 6% | 15% | |
| 85 | 4% | 10% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 6% | |
| 87 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 69 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 70 | 3% | 97% | |
| 71 | 7% | 94% | |
| 72 | 5% | 87% | |
| 73 | 4% | 82% | |
| 74 | 7% | 78% | |
| 75 | 6% | 71% | Median |
| 76 | 14% | 65% | |
| 77 | 13% | 51% | |
| 78 | 8% | 38% | |
| 79 | 7% | 30% | |
| 80 | 7% | 23% | |
| 81 | 6% | 16% | |
| 82 | 2% | 10% | |
| 83 | 4% | 8% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 3% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 3% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 67 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 68 | 3% | 95% | |
| 69 | 4% | 93% | |
| 70 | 14% | 88% | |
| 71 | 2% | 75% | |
| 72 | 5% | 72% | |
| 73 | 10% | 67% | Median |
| 74 | 10% | 57% | |
| 75 | 11% | 47% | |
| 76 | 11% | 36% | |
| 77 | 7% | 26% | |
| 78 | 8% | 18% | |
| 79 | 3% | 10% | |
| 80 | 2% | 8% | |
| 81 | 5% | 6% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 60 | 3% | 98% | |
| 61 | 7% | 94% | |
| 62 | 8% | 87% | |
| 63 | 5% | 80% | |
| 64 | 8% | 75% | |
| 65 | 6% | 67% | Median |
| 66 | 9% | 61% | |
| 67 | 12% | 52% | |
| 68 | 15% | 40% | |
| 69 | 4% | 24% | |
| 70 | 6% | 20% | |
| 71 | 3% | 13% | |
| 72 | 3% | 10% | |
| 73 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 77 | 2% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 1.1% | 99.2% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 59 | 5% | 96% | |
| 60 | 11% | 92% | |
| 61 | 9% | 80% | |
| 62 | 7% | 72% | |
| 63 | 4% | 65% | Median |
| 64 | 11% | 61% | |
| 65 | 10% | 50% | |
| 66 | 18% | 40% | |
| 67 | 3% | 22% | |
| 68 | 7% | 19% | |
| 69 | 4% | 12% | |
| 70 | 3% | 8% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 75 | 2% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 58 | 3% | 98% | |
| 59 | 6% | 95% | |
| 60 | 9% | 90% | |
| 61 | 6% | 81% | |
| 62 | 3% | 75% | |
| 63 | 9% | 72% | |
| 64 | 15% | 63% | |
| 65 | 19% | 48% | Median |
| 66 | 4% | 29% | |
| 67 | 3% | 25% | |
| 68 | 12% | 22% | |
| 69 | 2% | 10% | |
| 70 | 2% | 8% | |
| 71 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 72 | 2% | 4% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 56 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 57 | 3% | 98% | |
| 58 | 3% | 94% | |
| 59 | 6% | 91% | |
| 60 | 9% | 85% | |
| 61 | 9% | 76% | |
| 62 | 9% | 67% | Median |
| 63 | 7% | 58% | |
| 64 | 9% | 51% | |
| 65 | 14% | 43% | |
| 66 | 4% | 28% | |
| 67 | 8% | 25% | |
| 68 | 6% | 17% | |
| 69 | 5% | 11% | |
| 70 | 2% | 6% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 72 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 55 | 2% | 98% | |
| 56 | 2% | 97% | |
| 57 | 2% | 95% | |
| 58 | 15% | 93% | |
| 59 | 10% | 78% | |
| 60 | 6% | 68% | |
| 61 | 10% | 62% | Median |
| 62 | 9% | 52% | |
| 63 | 9% | 43% | |
| 64 | 14% | 34% | |
| 65 | 7% | 21% | |
| 66 | 4% | 13% | |
| 67 | 5% | 9% | |
| 68 | 2% | 4% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 48 | 9% | 97% | |
| 49 | 8% | 88% | |
| 50 | 7% | 80% | |
| 51 | 6% | 72% | |
| 52 | 7% | 66% | Median |
| 53 | 7% | 59% | |
| 54 | 14% | 53% | |
| 55 | 13% | 39% | |
| 56 | 5% | 26% | |
| 57 | 6% | 20% | |
| 58 | 4% | 14% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 10% | |
| 60 | 2% | 9% | |
| 61 | 2% | 6% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 65 | 2% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 44 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 45 | 2% | 98% | |
| 46 | 3% | 96% | |
| 47 | 16% | 93% | |
| 48 | 11% | 77% | |
| 49 | 6% | 67% | |
| 50 | 7% | 61% | Median |
| 51 | 9% | 54% | |
| 52 | 5% | 45% | |
| 53 | 21% | 39% | |
| 54 | 2% | 18% | |
| 55 | 6% | 16% | |
| 56 | 3% | 10% | |
| 57 | 4% | 7% | |
| 58 | 2% | 4% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 43 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 44 | 4% | 97% | |
| 45 | 11% | 93% | |
| 46 | 6% | 82% | |
| 47 | 13% | 76% | |
| 48 | 15% | 63% | Median |
| 49 | 8% | 47% | |
| 50 | 6% | 40% | |
| 51 | 15% | 33% | |
| 52 | 7% | 18% | |
| 53 | 3% | 11% | |
| 54 | 2% | 8% | |
| 55 | 4% | 6% | |
| 56 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 43 | 2% | 98% | |
| 44 | 4% | 97% | |
| 45 | 7% | 93% | |
| 46 | 10% | 85% | |
| 47 | 14% | 75% | |
| 48 | 10% | 61% | Median |
| 49 | 11% | 51% | |
| 50 | 15% | 40% | |
| 51 | 7% | 25% | |
| 52 | 6% | 18% | |
| 53 | 4% | 12% | |
| 54 | 3% | 8% | |
| 55 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 56 | 2% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 15 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 16 | 2% | 98% | |
| 17 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 18 | 3% | 95% | |
| 19 | 5% | 93% | |
| 20 | 9% | 87% | |
| 21 | 22% | 78% | |
| 22 | 10% | 57% | |
| 23 | 8% | 46% | Median |
| 24 | 16% | 38% | |
| 25 | 7% | 22% | |
| 26 | 4% | 15% | |
| 27 | 7% | 12% | |
| 28 | 2% | 5% | |
| 29 | 2% | 3% | |
| 30 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 31 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): Aftenposten and NRK
- Fieldwork period: 24–30 May 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 679
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.41%