Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for ABC Nyheter and Altinget, 23–30 May 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 32.1% | 29.9–34.4% | 29.3–35.0% | 28.7–35.6% | 27.7–36.7% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 16.2% | 14.6–18.1% | 14.1–18.7% | 13.7–19.1% | 13.0–20.1% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 13.2% | 11.7–14.9% | 11.2–15.4% | 10.9–15.9% | 10.2–16.7% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 8.5% | 7.3–10.0% | 7.0–10.5% | 6.7–10.8% | 6.2–11.6% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.1–9.7% | 6.7–10.2% | 6.5–10.5% | 5.9–11.3% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.2% | 4.3–6.4% | 4.0–6.8% | 3.8–7.1% | 3.4–7.7% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6–5.6% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.2–6.3% | 2.8–6.9% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.0–4.9% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.6–5.5% | 2.3–6.0% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.4–4.1% | 2.2–4.4% | 2.0–4.6% | 1.8–5.2% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 2.2% | 1.7–3.1% | 1.5–3.4% | 1.4–3.6% | 1.2–4.1% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.5% | 0.5–1.7% | 0.4–1.8% | 0.3–2.2% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.5% | 0.5–1.7% | 0.4–1.8% | 0.3–2.2% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3–1.1% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.2–1.4% | 0.1–1.8% |
| Folkets parti | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.0–0.7% | 0.0–0.8% | 0.0–1.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 55 | 52–65 | 51–65 | 50–65 | 49–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 33 | 28–39 | 28–39 | 25–39 | 25–39 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 22 | 20–30 | 19–30 | 19–30 | 19–31 |
| Rødt | 8 | 16 | 12–18 | 11–19 | 11–20 | 11–23 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 13 | 11–18 | 11–19 | 11–20 | 9–20 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 10 | 9–12 | 7–12 | 0–13 | 0–16 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 2–11 | 2–11 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 2–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 | 1–13 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 1–3 | 0–3 | 0–8 | 0–8 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–8 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Folkets parti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 50 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 51 | 7% | 97% | |
| 52 | 6% | 90% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 84% | |
| 54 | 8% | 83% | |
| 55 | 25% | 75% | Median |
| 56 | 4% | 50% | |
| 57 | 3% | 46% | |
| 58 | 7% | 43% | |
| 59 | 10% | 36% | |
| 60 | 5% | 26% | |
| 61 | 1.4% | 20% | |
| 62 | 1.3% | 19% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 18% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 17% | |
| 65 | 14% | 16% | |
| 66 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 28 | 8% | 95% | |
| 29 | 2% | 87% | |
| 30 | 3% | 85% | |
| 31 | 9% | 82% | |
| 32 | 11% | 73% | |
| 33 | 26% | 62% | Median |
| 34 | 2% | 35% | |
| 35 | 6% | 34% | |
| 36 | 1.1% | 28% | |
| 37 | 1.3% | 27% | |
| 38 | 1.3% | 25% | |
| 39 | 24% | 24% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 9% | 99.6% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 21 | 15% | 90% | Last Result |
| 22 | 28% | 74% | Median |
| 23 | 16% | 46% | |
| 24 | 7% | 30% | |
| 25 | 2% | 23% | |
| 26 | 1.1% | 21% | |
| 27 | 0.8% | 20% | |
| 28 | 3% | 19% | |
| 29 | 2% | 16% | |
| 30 | 14% | 15% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 8% | 99.6% | |
| 12 | 2% | 91% | |
| 13 | 2% | 89% | |
| 14 | 13% | 87% | |
| 15 | 16% | 74% | |
| 16 | 13% | 58% | Median |
| 17 | 27% | 45% | |
| 18 | 11% | 17% | |
| 19 | 3% | 6% | |
| 20 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 21 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 23 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 24 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 11 | 9% | 98.5% | |
| 12 | 2% | 90% | |
| 13 | 44% | 88% | Last Result, Median |
| 14 | 12% | 45% | |
| 15 | 4% | 33% | |
| 16 | 10% | 28% | |
| 17 | 7% | 18% | |
| 18 | 2% | 12% | |
| 19 | 5% | 10% | |
| 20 | 5% | 5% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 2% | 97% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 3 | 0% | 95% | |
| 4 | 0% | 95% | |
| 5 | 0% | 95% | |
| 6 | 0% | 95% | |
| 7 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 8 | 4% | 94% | |
| 9 | 7% | 90% | |
| 10 | 57% | 83% | Median |
| 11 | 4% | 26% | |
| 12 | 19% | 22% | |
| 13 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 16 | 1.5% | 1.5% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 13% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 10% | 86% | |
| 4 | 0% | 76% | |
| 5 | 0% | 76% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 76% | |
| 7 | 24% | 76% | |
| 8 | 28% | 52% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 5% | 24% | |
| 10 | 16% | 19% | |
| 11 | 2% | 3% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7% | 100% | |
| 2 | 60% | 93% | Median |
| 3 | 1.0% | 32% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 31% | |
| 5 | 0% | 31% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 31% | |
| 7 | 18% | 31% | |
| 8 | 8% | 13% | |
| 9 | 3% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 13 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7% | 100% | |
| 1 | 5% | 93% | |
| 2 | 66% | 88% | Median |
| 3 | 19% | 22% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 4% | |
| 7 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 8 | 2% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 55% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 2% | 45% | |
| 2 | 30% | 44% | |
| 3 | 12% | 14% | |
| 4 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
| 7 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 8 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Folkets parti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Folkets parti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 100 | 100% | 94–105 | 93–105 | 91–107 | 86–111 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 93 | 95% | 88–101 | 84–102 | 84–105 | 84–107 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 90 | 90% | 84–95 | 82–98 | 82–99 | 78–102 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 87 | 86% | 82–93 | 82–95 | 81–97 | 76–99 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 79 | 26% | 75–86 | 75–88 | 75–88 | 74–92 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 77 | 0.3% | 72–82 | 69–84 | 68–84 | 65–84 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 97 | 73 | 0% | 67–79 | 64–82 | 62–82 | 60–82 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 65 | 0% | 60–74 | 59–74 | 59–76 | 55–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 67 | 0% | 62–72 | 60–73 | 59–74 | 57–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 64 | 0% | 60–66 | 56–68 | 55–70 | 52–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 62 | 0% | 58–66 | 55–66 | 53–67 | 50–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 58 | 0% | 52–62 | 50–64 | 47–64 | 45–64 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 50 | 0% | 43–53 | 42–53 | 40–54 | 36–56 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 47 | 0% | 43–52 | 41–52 | 38–53 | 37–56 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 45 | 0% | 41–51 | 39–51 | 35–51 | 32–51 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 43 | 0% | 38–49 | 37–49 | 33–49 | 30–49 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 20 | 0% | 14–23 | 12–24 | 11–25 | 10–26 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 89 | 0.7% | 98.5% | |
| 90 | 0% | 98% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 92 | 0% | 97% | |
| 93 | 3% | 97% | |
| 94 | 6% | 95% | |
| 95 | 0.7% | 89% | |
| 96 | 2% | 88% | Last Result |
| 97 | 26% | 87% | Median |
| 98 | 1.4% | 61% | |
| 99 | 9% | 59% | |
| 100 | 20% | 51% | |
| 101 | 0.9% | 31% | |
| 102 | 0.6% | 30% | |
| 103 | 1.1% | 29% | |
| 104 | 5% | 28% | |
| 105 | 18% | 22% | |
| 106 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 107 | 3% | 5% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 109 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 111 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 5% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 95% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 94% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 90% | |
| 89 | 30% | 90% | Median |
| 90 | 0.9% | 60% | |
| 91 | 2% | 59% | |
| 92 | 2% | 57% | |
| 93 | 6% | 55% | |
| 94 | 1.5% | 48% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 47% | |
| 96 | 0.5% | 46% | |
| 97 | 32% | 46% | |
| 98 | 1.1% | 14% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 13% | |
| 100 | 2% | 13% | |
| 101 | 5% | 11% | |
| 102 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 103 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 104 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 105 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 107 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 108 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 81 | 0% | 98.5% | |
| 82 | 5% | 98% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 84 | 3% | 93% | |
| 85 | 1.5% | 90% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 88% | |
| 87 | 32% | 88% | Median |
| 88 | 1.1% | 56% | |
| 89 | 4% | 55% | |
| 90 | 16% | 51% | |
| 91 | 3% | 35% | |
| 92 | 5% | 32% | |
| 93 | 5% | 28% | |
| 94 | 0.7% | 23% | |
| 95 | 15% | 22% | |
| 96 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 98 | 3% | 6% | |
| 99 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 100 | 2% | 2% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 76 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 78 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 81 | 3% | 98% | |
| 82 | 6% | 95% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 89% | |
| 84 | 3% | 88% | |
| 85 | 31% | 86% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 55% | |
| 87 | 10% | 53% | |
| 88 | 9% | 43% | |
| 89 | 1.3% | 34% | |
| 90 | 9% | 33% | |
| 91 | 2% | 23% | |
| 92 | 1.2% | 22% | |
| 93 | 15% | 20% | |
| 94 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 95 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 97 | 2% | 4% | |
| 98 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 1.4% | 99.7% | |
| 75 | 11% | 98% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 87% | |
| 77 | 27% | 87% | Median |
| 78 | 9% | 60% | |
| 79 | 4% | 51% | |
| 80 | 1.2% | 47% | |
| 81 | 1.4% | 46% | |
| 82 | 4% | 44% | |
| 83 | 5% | 41% | |
| 84 | 10% | 35% | |
| 85 | 1.1% | 26% | Majority |
| 86 | 16% | 25% | |
| 87 | 1.2% | 9% | |
| 88 | 6% | 7% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 67 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 68 | 2% | 98% | |
| 69 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 70 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 72 | 4% | 93% | |
| 73 | 15% | 89% | |
| 74 | 5% | 75% | Median |
| 75 | 10% | 69% | |
| 76 | 8% | 60% | |
| 77 | 3% | 52% | |
| 78 | 3% | 50% | |
| 79 | 9% | 47% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 38% | |
| 81 | 27% | 38% | |
| 82 | 4% | 11% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 84 | 6% | 6% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 62 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 64 | 3% | 96% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 93% | |
| 66 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 67 | 2% | 91% | |
| 68 | 10% | 89% | |
| 69 | 8% | 79% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 71% | |
| 71 | 16% | 70% | |
| 72 | 2% | 54% | Median |
| 73 | 5% | 52% | |
| 74 | 2% | 47% | |
| 75 | 2% | 46% | |
| 76 | 4% | 44% | |
| 77 | 6% | 40% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 34% | |
| 79 | 24% | 33% | |
| 80 | 3% | 9% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 82 | 5% | 5% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0% | 98% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 59 | 5% | 98% | |
| 60 | 8% | 92% | |
| 61 | 5% | 84% | |
| 62 | 6% | 80% | |
| 63 | 7% | 73% | |
| 64 | 1.5% | 66% | |
| 65 | 24% | 64% | Median |
| 66 | 2% | 40% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 38% | |
| 68 | 3% | 37% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 34% | |
| 70 | 6% | 34% | |
| 71 | 9% | 29% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 20% | |
| 73 | 1.3% | 19% | |
| 74 | 15% | 18% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 76 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 77 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 60 | 3% | 97% | |
| 61 | 2% | 94% | |
| 62 | 5% | 92% | |
| 63 | 15% | 87% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 73% | Median |
| 65 | 9% | 71% | |
| 66 | 8% | 63% | |
| 67 | 8% | 54% | |
| 68 | 3% | 46% | |
| 69 | 4% | 44% | |
| 70 | 3% | 40% | |
| 71 | 26% | 37% | |
| 72 | 5% | 12% | Last Result |
| 73 | 3% | 6% | |
| 74 | 2% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 77 | 1.3% | 1.5% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 54 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 56 | 2% | 97% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 58 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 60 | 14% | 92% | Median |
| 61 | 5% | 78% | |
| 62 | 7% | 73% | |
| 63 | 14% | 66% | |
| 64 | 3% | 52% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 49% | |
| 66 | 40% | 49% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 9% | |
| 68 | 3% | 7% | |
| 69 | 2% | 5% | |
| 70 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 52 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 53 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 54 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 55 | 3% | 95% | |
| 56 | 1.4% | 92% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 91% | |
| 58 | 18% | 90% | Median |
| 59 | 1.4% | 73% | |
| 60 | 12% | 71% | |
| 61 | 8% | 59% | |
| 62 | 3% | 51% | |
| 63 | 3% | 48% | |
| 64 | 32% | 45% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 12% | |
| 66 | 8% | 12% | |
| 67 | 2% | 4% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 47 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 49 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 50 | 4% | 96% | |
| 51 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 52 | 2% | 91% | |
| 53 | 10% | 89% | |
| 54 | 3% | 80% | |
| 55 | 2% | 76% | |
| 56 | 14% | 74% | Median |
| 57 | 9% | 60% | |
| 58 | 3% | 51% | |
| 59 | 12% | 48% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 36% | |
| 61 | 3% | 36% | |
| 62 | 24% | 32% | |
| 63 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 64 | 7% | 7% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 39 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 41 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 42 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 43 | 5% | 95% | |
| 44 | 1.1% | 89% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 88% | |
| 46 | 3% | 88% | |
| 47 | 22% | 85% | Median |
| 48 | 6% | 63% | |
| 49 | 7% | 57% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 50% | |
| 51 | 3% | 49% | |
| 52 | 18% | 46% | |
| 53 | 25% | 29% | |
| 54 | 3% | 4% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 41 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 43 | 12% | 94% | |
| 44 | 4% | 82% | |
| 45 | 2% | 78% | |
| 46 | 15% | 77% | Median |
| 47 | 20% | 61% | |
| 48 | 1.0% | 41% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 40% | |
| 50 | 2% | 39% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 37% | |
| 52 | 33% | 37% | |
| 53 | 3% | 4% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 32 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 98.5% | |
| 35 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 39 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 40 | 4% | 94% | |
| 41 | 3% | 90% | |
| 42 | 5% | 87% | |
| 43 | 3% | 82% | |
| 44 | 4% | 79% | |
| 45 | 38% | 75% | Median |
| 46 | 4% | 37% | |
| 47 | 7% | 33% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 26% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 25% | |
| 50 | 0.9% | 25% | |
| 51 | 24% | 24% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 30 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 33 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 34 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 37 | 5% | 96% | |
| 38 | 4% | 91% | |
| 39 | 2% | 87% | |
| 40 | 5% | 85% | |
| 41 | 6% | 81% | |
| 42 | 10% | 75% | |
| 43 | 29% | 65% | Median |
| 44 | 4% | 36% | |
| 45 | 2% | 32% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 30% | |
| 47 | 6% | 30% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 24% | |
| 49 | 24% | 24% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 12 | 2% | 97% | |
| 13 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 14 | 6% | 94% | |
| 15 | 1.0% | 88% | |
| 16 | 14% | 87% | |
| 17 | 1.0% | 73% | |
| 18 | 1.3% | 73% | |
| 19 | 21% | 71% | |
| 20 | 24% | 50% | Median |
| 21 | 1.2% | 26% | |
| 22 | 14% | 25% | |
| 23 | 1.5% | 11% | |
| 24 | 6% | 9% | |
| 25 | 2% | 4% | |
| 26 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): ABC Nyheter and Altinget
- Fieldwork period: 23–30 May 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 714
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 4.54%