Opinion Poll by Respons Analyse for VG, 7–12 June 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 32.1% | 30.0–34.3% | 29.4–35.0% | 28.9–35.5% | 27.9–36.6% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 19.8% | 18.0–21.7% | 17.5–22.3% | 17.1–22.8% | 16.3–23.7% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.4–12.3% | 9.1–12.8% | 8.7–13.2% | 8.1–13.9% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.0–10.7% | 7.6–11.1% | 7.3–11.4% | 6.8–12.2% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.3–7.6% | 5.0–7.9% | 4.8–8.2% | 4.3–8.9% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.6% | 4.7–6.9% | 4.4–7.2% | 4.2–7.5% | 3.8–8.1% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0–6.0% | 3.7–6.3% | 3.5–6.6% | 3.2–7.2% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.9–4.7% | 2.7–5.0% | 2.5–5.3% | 2.2–5.8% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 3.3% | 2.6–4.3% | 2.4–4.5% | 2.2–4.8% | 1.9–5.3% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.2–4.3% | 2.0–4.5% | 1.7–5.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 56 | 52–62 | 51–64 | 51–65 | 48–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 38 | 34–43 | 33–44 | 33–45 | 32–48 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 18 | 17–22 | 16–22 | 16–23 | 13–26 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 16 | 13–19 | 13–19 | 12–20 | 11–22 |
| Rødt | 8 | 11 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 8–14 | 7–15 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 10 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 7–14 | 1–15 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 3–10 | 2–11 | 2–11 | 2–12 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 | 1–10 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 2 | 1–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 | 0–9 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 1–3 | 0–7 | 0–8 | 0–9 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 50 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 51 | 4% | 98% | |
| 52 | 13% | 94% | |
| 53 | 6% | 80% | |
| 54 | 7% | 74% | |
| 55 | 7% | 67% | |
| 56 | 11% | 61% | Median |
| 57 | 11% | 50% | |
| 58 | 10% | 39% | |
| 59 | 4% | 29% | |
| 60 | 8% | 25% | |
| 61 | 6% | 18% | |
| 62 | 3% | 12% | |
| 63 | 3% | 9% | |
| 64 | 2% | 6% | |
| 65 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 4% | 98.9% | |
| 34 | 14% | 94% | |
| 35 | 8% | 81% | |
| 36 | 10% | 73% | |
| 37 | 8% | 63% | |
| 38 | 17% | 55% | Median |
| 39 | 4% | 38% | |
| 40 | 5% | 33% | |
| 41 | 11% | 28% | |
| 42 | 6% | 18% | |
| 43 | 6% | 12% | |
| 44 | 2% | 6% | |
| 45 | 2% | 4% | |
| 46 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 0.9% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 15 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 16 | 3% | 98% | |
| 17 | 17% | 94% | |
| 18 | 34% | 77% | Median |
| 19 | 6% | 44% | |
| 20 | 13% | 37% | |
| 21 | 13% | 25% | Last Result |
| 22 | 8% | 12% | |
| 23 | 2% | 4% | |
| 24 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 11 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 12 | 4% | 98.7% | |
| 13 | 11% | 95% | Last Result |
| 14 | 7% | 84% | |
| 15 | 7% | 78% | |
| 16 | 30% | 70% | Median |
| 17 | 13% | 40% | |
| 18 | 14% | 28% | |
| 19 | 11% | 14% | |
| 20 | 2% | 3% | |
| 21 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 3% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 9 | 13% | 96% | |
| 10 | 17% | 83% | |
| 11 | 25% | 66% | Median |
| 12 | 12% | 41% | |
| 13 | 23% | 28% | |
| 14 | 4% | 5% | |
| 15 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 7 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 8 | 21% | 95% | |
| 9 | 13% | 74% | |
| 10 | 22% | 61% | Median |
| 11 | 25% | 39% | |
| 12 | 7% | 14% | |
| 13 | 4% | 7% | |
| 14 | 2% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 6% | 100% | |
| 3 | 4% | 94% | |
| 4 | 0% | 89% | |
| 5 | 0% | 89% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 89% | |
| 7 | 9% | 89% | |
| 8 | 32% | 80% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 24% | 48% | |
| 10 | 16% | 24% | |
| 11 | 6% | 8% | |
| 12 | 2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19% | 100% | |
| 2 | 33% | 81% | Median |
| 3 | 10% | 48% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 38% | |
| 5 | 0% | 38% | |
| 6 | 0.9% | 38% | |
| 7 | 23% | 37% | |
| 8 | 9% | 14% | |
| 9 | 3% | 5% | |
| 10 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 4% | 90% | |
| 2 | 40% | 86% | Median |
| 3 | 33% | 46% | |
| 4 | 0% | 13% | |
| 5 | 0% | 13% | |
| 6 | 0.6% | 13% | |
| 7 | 8% | 12% | |
| 8 | 3% | 4% | |
| 9 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8% | 100% | |
| 1 | 19% | 92% | |
| 2 | 55% | 72% | Median |
| 3 | 8% | 17% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 9% | |
| 6 | 2% | 9% | |
| 7 | 4% | 7% | |
| 8 | 2% | 3% | |
| 9 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 96 | 99.1% | 91–101 | 89–103 | 88–104 | 84–106 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 90 | 94% | 85–96 | 84–97 | 82–98 | 78–103 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 86 | 64% | 80–91 | 80–93 | 79–95 | 75–97 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 84 | 48% | 78–89 | 78–90 | 76–93 | 73–95 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 79 | 20% | 74–85 | 72–85 | 71–86 | 69–89 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 76 | 3% | 70–81 | 70–83 | 69–85 | 67–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 76 | 0.4% | 70–79 | 68–82 | 67–82 | 63–84 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 71 | 0% | 65–75 | 63–77 | 62–78 | 60–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 70 | 0% | 64–74 | 63–76 | 62–77 | 59–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 68 | 0% | 63–73 | 61–75 | 60–76 | 58–78 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 67 | 0% | 62–72 | 62–74 | 59–76 | 57–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 65 | 0% | 59–69 | 58–70 | 56–72 | 54–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 54 | 0% | 48–59 | 47–61 | 47–62 | 43–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 54 | 0% | 50–59 | 48–61 | 47–62 | 46–64 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 51 | 0% | 45–54 | 45–57 | 43–59 | 41–60 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 48 | 0% | 44–52 | 43–54 | 41–55 | 40–57 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 20 | 0% | 16–24 | 14–26 | 13–27 | 11–28 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 88 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 89 | 3% | 97% | |
| 90 | 3% | 93% | |
| 91 | 14% | 91% | |
| 92 | 2% | 77% | |
| 93 | 6% | 75% | |
| 94 | 5% | 69% | Median |
| 95 | 6% | 64% | |
| 96 | 13% | 58% | Last Result |
| 97 | 12% | 45% | |
| 98 | 5% | 33% | |
| 99 | 10% | 28% | |
| 100 | 3% | 18% | |
| 101 | 5% | 14% | |
| 102 | 2% | 9% | |
| 103 | 4% | 7% | |
| 104 | 2% | 3% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 82 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 83 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 84 | 2% | 96% | |
| 85 | 4% | 94% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 90% | Median |
| 87 | 24% | 86% | |
| 88 | 6% | 62% | |
| 89 | 5% | 56% | |
| 90 | 8% | 51% | |
| 91 | 14% | 44% | |
| 92 | 3% | 30% | |
| 93 | 4% | 26% | |
| 94 | 6% | 22% | |
| 95 | 5% | 16% | |
| 96 | 5% | 11% | |
| 97 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 98 | 3% | 4% | |
| 99 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 103 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 80 | 14% | 96% | |
| 81 | 5% | 83% | |
| 82 | 3% | 78% | |
| 83 | 4% | 75% | |
| 84 | 6% | 70% | Median |
| 85 | 5% | 64% | Majority |
| 86 | 12% | 60% | |
| 87 | 6% | 48% | |
| 88 | 13% | 41% | |
| 89 | 13% | 29% | |
| 90 | 5% | 16% | |
| 91 | 3% | 12% | |
| 92 | 3% | 8% | |
| 93 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 94 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 95 | 2% | 4% | |
| 96 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 76 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 77 | 2% | 97% | |
| 78 | 14% | 95% | |
| 79 | 4% | 81% | |
| 80 | 5% | 77% | |
| 81 | 3% | 72% | |
| 82 | 9% | 69% | Median |
| 83 | 6% | 60% | |
| 84 | 6% | 54% | |
| 85 | 10% | 48% | Majority |
| 86 | 12% | 38% | |
| 87 | 3% | 26% | |
| 88 | 10% | 23% | |
| 89 | 5% | 13% | |
| 90 | 3% | 8% | |
| 91 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 92 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 93 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 94 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 95 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 71 | 2% | 98% | |
| 72 | 2% | 96% | |
| 73 | 4% | 94% | |
| 74 | 3% | 91% | |
| 75 | 6% | 87% | |
| 76 | 9% | 81% | |
| 77 | 6% | 73% | Median |
| 78 | 14% | 67% | |
| 79 | 5% | 52% | |
| 80 | 12% | 47% | |
| 81 | 4% | 35% | |
| 82 | 4% | 31% | |
| 83 | 1.3% | 27% | |
| 84 | 5% | 25% | |
| 85 | 17% | 20% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 87 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 69 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 70 | 13% | 95% | |
| 71 | 6% | 82% | |
| 72 | 3% | 76% | |
| 73 | 6% | 73% | |
| 74 | 5% | 67% | Median |
| 75 | 8% | 62% | |
| 76 | 16% | 55% | |
| 77 | 3% | 38% | |
| 78 | 13% | 35% | |
| 79 | 3% | 22% | |
| 80 | 8% | 19% | |
| 81 | 3% | 12% | |
| 82 | 3% | 9% | |
| 83 | 2% | 6% | |
| 84 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 85 | 2% | 3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 98.5% | |
| 67 | 2% | 98% | |
| 68 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 69 | 3% | 94% | |
| 70 | 5% | 92% | |
| 71 | 6% | 87% | |
| 72 | 4% | 80% | |
| 73 | 7% | 76% | |
| 74 | 10% | 69% | |
| 75 | 7% | 59% | Median |
| 76 | 9% | 52% | |
| 77 | 5% | 43% | |
| 78 | 17% | 38% | |
| 79 | 12% | 22% | |
| 80 | 2% | 10% | |
| 81 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 82 | 4% | 7% | |
| 83 | 2% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.4% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 63 | 2% | 97% | |
| 64 | 3% | 94% | |
| 65 | 2% | 92% | |
| 66 | 16% | 89% | |
| 67 | 5% | 73% | |
| 68 | 2% | 68% | Median |
| 69 | 3% | 65% | |
| 70 | 8% | 63% | |
| 71 | 17% | 55% | |
| 72 | 6% | 38% | |
| 73 | 3% | 32% | |
| 74 | 15% | 29% | |
| 75 | 4% | 14% | |
| 76 | 3% | 10% | |
| 77 | 2% | 6% | |
| 78 | 2% | 4% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 62 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 63 | 6% | 97% | |
| 64 | 5% | 91% | |
| 65 | 8% | 86% | |
| 66 | 5% | 78% | |
| 67 | 8% | 74% | Median |
| 68 | 10% | 65% | |
| 69 | 4% | 55% | |
| 70 | 11% | 51% | |
| 71 | 7% | 40% | |
| 72 | 5% | 33% | Last Result |
| 73 | 3% | 28% | |
| 74 | 15% | 25% | |
| 75 | 3% | 10% | |
| 76 | 2% | 6% | |
| 77 | 3% | 5% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 60 | 2% | 98% | |
| 61 | 3% | 97% | |
| 62 | 3% | 94% | |
| 63 | 4% | 91% | |
| 64 | 6% | 88% | |
| 65 | 14% | 82% | |
| 66 | 7% | 68% | Median |
| 67 | 4% | 61% | |
| 68 | 8% | 58% | |
| 69 | 13% | 50% | |
| 70 | 8% | 37% | |
| 71 | 4% | 29% | |
| 72 | 13% | 25% | |
| 73 | 3% | 12% | |
| 74 | 3% | 9% | |
| 75 | 3% | 6% | |
| 76 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 59 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 61 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 62 | 16% | 96% | |
| 63 | 3% | 80% | |
| 64 | 7% | 77% | |
| 65 | 6% | 70% | |
| 66 | 8% | 64% | Median |
| 67 | 8% | 56% | |
| 68 | 13% | 48% | |
| 69 | 8% | 35% | |
| 70 | 10% | 27% | |
| 71 | 7% | 18% | |
| 72 | 1.2% | 10% | |
| 73 | 3% | 9% | |
| 74 | 2% | 6% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 77 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 56 | 2% | 98% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 58 | 4% | 96% | |
| 59 | 3% | 92% | |
| 60 | 4% | 89% | |
| 61 | 10% | 85% | |
| 62 | 9% | 75% | |
| 63 | 10% | 65% | |
| 64 | 5% | 56% | Median |
| 65 | 19% | 51% | |
| 66 | 5% | 32% | |
| 67 | 7% | 27% | |
| 68 | 7% | 20% | |
| 69 | 5% | 13% | |
| 70 | 3% | 7% | |
| 71 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 72 | 2% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 47 | 7% | 98% | |
| 48 | 5% | 91% | |
| 49 | 4% | 86% | |
| 50 | 4% | 82% | |
| 51 | 5% | 78% | |
| 52 | 6% | 73% | Median |
| 53 | 9% | 67% | |
| 54 | 10% | 58% | |
| 55 | 10% | 48% | |
| 56 | 4% | 38% | |
| 57 | 4% | 33% | |
| 58 | 17% | 30% | |
| 59 | 3% | 12% | |
| 60 | 2% | 9% | |
| 61 | 3% | 8% | |
| 62 | 3% | 4% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 48 | 2% | 96% | |
| 49 | 2% | 95% | |
| 50 | 11% | 92% | |
| 51 | 6% | 81% | |
| 52 | 7% | 75% | |
| 53 | 9% | 68% | |
| 54 | 19% | 59% | Median |
| 55 | 9% | 40% | |
| 56 | 5% | 31% | |
| 57 | 2% | 26% | |
| 58 | 6% | 23% | |
| 59 | 8% | 17% | |
| 60 | 3% | 9% | |
| 61 | 2% | 6% | Last Result |
| 62 | 2% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 43 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 44 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 45 | 8% | 95% | |
| 46 | 7% | 88% | |
| 47 | 10% | 81% | |
| 48 | 7% | 71% | |
| 49 | 6% | 65% | |
| 50 | 4% | 58% | Median |
| 51 | 19% | 54% | |
| 52 | 11% | 35% | |
| 53 | 7% | 24% | |
| 54 | 7% | 17% | |
| 55 | 1.1% | 10% | |
| 56 | 3% | 9% | |
| 57 | 2% | 6% | |
| 58 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 59 | 2% | 3% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 41 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 42 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 43 | 2% | 96% | |
| 44 | 13% | 94% | |
| 45 | 11% | 81% | |
| 46 | 4% | 69% | |
| 47 | 11% | 66% | |
| 48 | 5% | 55% | Median |
| 49 | 19% | 49% | |
| 50 | 5% | 31% | |
| 51 | 12% | 26% | |
| 52 | 7% | 14% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 54 | 2% | 6% | |
| 55 | 2% | 4% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 57 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 13 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 14 | 3% | 97% | |
| 15 | 3% | 94% | |
| 16 | 2% | 91% | |
| 17 | 4% | 89% | |
| 18 | 9% | 85% | |
| 19 | 12% | 76% | |
| 20 | 16% | 63% | Median |
| 21 | 19% | 47% | |
| 22 | 6% | 28% | |
| 23 | 11% | 22% | |
| 24 | 3% | 11% | |
| 25 | 4% | 9% | |
| 26 | 2% | 5% | |
| 27 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 28 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Respons Analyse
- Commissioner(s): VG
- Fieldwork period: 7–12 June 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 763
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.18%