Opinion Poll by Norstat for Dagbladet and Vårt Land, 12–17 June 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 30.9% | 29.1–32.8% | 28.5–33.4% | 28.1–33.9% | 27.2–34.8% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 20.1% | 18.5–21.8% | 18.0–22.3% | 17.7–22.7% | 16.9–23.5% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.3–13.0% | 10.0–13.4% | 9.7–13.7% | 9.1–14.4% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6–8.8% | 6.3–9.1% | 6.1–9.4% | 5.7–10.0% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.7% | 5.8–7.8% | 5.5–8.1% | 5.3–8.4% | 4.9–9.0% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.5–7.1% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.5–6.2% | 3.2–6.7% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.7% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.4–5.5% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 3.2% | 2.6–4.1% | 2.5–4.3% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.0–5.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 56 | 51–59 | 51–60 | 50–62 | 48–64 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 38 | 35–43 | 34–44 | 34–45 | 33–47 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 20 | 18–23 | 18–24 | 17–25 | 17–26 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 13 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–17 | 9–18 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 13 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–16 | 8–17 |
| Rødt | 8 | 9 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 1–12 | 1–12 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 3–10 | 3–10 | 2–11 | 2–12 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 6 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 1–10 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 3 | 2–8 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 3 | 1–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 | 0–9 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 50 | 2% | 98% | |
| 51 | 14% | 96% | |
| 52 | 4% | 82% | |
| 53 | 7% | 77% | |
| 54 | 11% | 70% | |
| 55 | 5% | 59% | |
| 56 | 13% | 54% | Median |
| 57 | 12% | 41% | |
| 58 | 11% | 29% | |
| 59 | 9% | 18% | |
| 60 | 4% | 9% | |
| 61 | 2% | 5% | |
| 62 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 4% | 98.8% | |
| 35 | 7% | 94% | |
| 36 | 6% | 88% | |
| 37 | 23% | 82% | |
| 38 | 13% | 59% | Median |
| 39 | 13% | 45% | |
| 40 | 12% | 32% | |
| 41 | 2% | 20% | |
| 42 | 2% | 18% | |
| 43 | 8% | 16% | |
| 44 | 3% | 8% | |
| 45 | 3% | 5% | |
| 46 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 18 | 19% | 96% | |
| 19 | 12% | 76% | |
| 20 | 18% | 64% | Median |
| 21 | 18% | 46% | Last Result |
| 22 | 9% | 28% | |
| 23 | 10% | 19% | |
| 24 | 6% | 9% | |
| 25 | 2% | 3% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 11 | 14% | 97% | |
| 12 | 30% | 83% | |
| 13 | 19% | 53% | Last Result, Median |
| 14 | 18% | 34% | |
| 15 | 6% | 16% | |
| 16 | 5% | 9% | |
| 17 | 4% | 5% | |
| 18 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 10 | 11% | 96% | |
| 11 | 15% | 85% | |
| 12 | 14% | 70% | |
| 13 | 40% | 56% | Median |
| 14 | 10% | 16% | |
| 15 | 3% | 5% | |
| 16 | 2% | 3% | |
| 17 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 96% | |
| 3 | 0% | 96% | |
| 4 | 0% | 96% | |
| 5 | 0% | 96% | |
| 6 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 7 | 5% | 95% | |
| 8 | 34% | 90% | Last Result |
| 9 | 23% | 56% | Median |
| 10 | 19% | 33% | |
| 11 | 10% | 14% | |
| 12 | 4% | 4% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 16% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 81% | |
| 5 | 0% | 81% | |
| 6 | 1.4% | 81% | |
| 7 | 29% | 79% | |
| 8 | 18% | 51% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 16% | 33% | |
| 10 | 13% | 17% | |
| 11 | 3% | 4% | |
| 12 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 26% | 99.3% | |
| 3 | 22% | 73% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 51% | |
| 5 | 0% | 51% | |
| 6 | 2% | 51% | Median |
| 7 | 24% | 50% | |
| 8 | 22% | 26% | |
| 9 | 3% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9% | 100% | |
| 2 | 30% | 91% | |
| 3 | 20% | 61% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 41% | |
| 5 | 0% | 41% | |
| 6 | 0.7% | 41% | |
| 7 | 30% | 40% | |
| 8 | 8% | 10% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 2% | 90% | |
| 2 | 30% | 88% | |
| 3 | 47% | 58% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 11% | |
| 5 | 0% | 11% | |
| 6 | 0.9% | 11% | |
| 7 | 6% | 10% | |
| 8 | 4% | 4% | |
| 9 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 99 | 100% | 96–106 | 94–106 | 92–107 | 91–113 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 93 | 98% | 88–96 | 86–98 | 85–99 | 83–102 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 88 | 87% | 84–94 | 82–94 | 80–95 | 78–100 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 83 | 42% | 77–89 | 77–90 | 76–92 | 73–93 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 77 | 2% | 72–82 | 70–83 | 69–84 | 65–87 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 76 | 1.0% | 72–80 | 71–81 | 70–83 | 68–85 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 72 | 0% | 69–76 | 67–79 | 66–81 | 64–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 73 | 0.4% | 68–80 | 66–81 | 65–81 | 64–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 68 | 0% | 63–73 | 62–74 | 61–76 | 60–78 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 68 | 0% | 63–74 | 62–74 | 60–75 | 58–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 65 | 0% | 60–69 | 59–71 | 57–73 | 53–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 64 | 0% | 60–68 | 59–70 | 58–71 | 57–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 59 | 0% | 55–67 | 53–68 | 52–68 | 51–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 57 | 0% | 51–61 | 51–61 | 49–64 | 47–66 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 51 | 0% | 48–55 | 47–57 | 46–59 | 44–60 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 51 | 0% | 47–55 | 46–56 | 45–57 | 44–59 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 25 | 0% | 21–28 | 19–30 | 18–31 | 15–33 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 91 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 92 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 93 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 94 | 2% | 96% | |
| 95 | 2% | 93% | |
| 96 | 2% | 91% | Last Result |
| 97 | 5% | 89% | |
| 98 | 12% | 84% | |
| 99 | 26% | 73% | |
| 100 | 4% | 47% | |
| 101 | 6% | 43% | |
| 102 | 6% | 38% | |
| 103 | 7% | 31% | Median |
| 104 | 5% | 24% | |
| 105 | 8% | 18% | |
| 106 | 7% | 11% | |
| 107 | 2% | 4% | |
| 108 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 109 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 110 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 113 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 84 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 85 | 3% | 98% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 96% | |
| 87 | 2% | 94% | |
| 88 | 4% | 93% | |
| 89 | 3% | 88% | |
| 90 | 10% | 85% | |
| 91 | 8% | 75% | |
| 92 | 16% | 66% | |
| 93 | 22% | 51% | Median |
| 94 | 3% | 29% | |
| 95 | 8% | 26% | |
| 96 | 9% | 18% | |
| 97 | 3% | 9% | |
| 98 | 2% | 6% | |
| 99 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 100 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 101 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 102 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 80 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 81 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 82 | 3% | 96% | |
| 83 | 3% | 93% | |
| 84 | 3% | 90% | |
| 85 | 12% | 87% | Majority |
| 86 | 16% | 75% | |
| 87 | 5% | 59% | |
| 88 | 9% | 55% | |
| 89 | 9% | 45% | |
| 90 | 10% | 37% | Median |
| 91 | 6% | 26% | |
| 92 | 8% | 21% | |
| 93 | 2% | 12% | |
| 94 | 7% | 10% | |
| 95 | 2% | 4% | |
| 96 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 101 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 75 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 77 | 8% | 97% | |
| 78 | 4% | 89% | |
| 79 | 18% | 85% | |
| 80 | 5% | 68% | |
| 81 | 5% | 63% | |
| 82 | 5% | 58% | |
| 83 | 4% | 53% | |
| 84 | 8% | 50% | Median |
| 85 | 7% | 42% | Majority |
| 86 | 8% | 35% | |
| 87 | 7% | 27% | |
| 88 | 8% | 20% | |
| 89 | 7% | 12% | |
| 90 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 91 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 92 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 93 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 70 | 2% | 97% | |
| 71 | 2% | 95% | |
| 72 | 5% | 93% | |
| 73 | 9% | 88% | |
| 74 | 9% | 79% | |
| 75 | 9% | 70% | |
| 76 | 6% | 61% | Median |
| 77 | 10% | 55% | |
| 78 | 4% | 45% | |
| 79 | 17% | 41% | |
| 80 | 4% | 24% | |
| 81 | 10% | 20% | |
| 82 | 3% | 10% | |
| 83 | 4% | 7% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 85 | 1.1% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 70 | 2% | 98% | |
| 71 | 3% | 95% | |
| 72 | 18% | 92% | |
| 73 | 5% | 74% | |
| 74 | 10% | 69% | |
| 75 | 7% | 59% | |
| 76 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 77 | 11% | 48% | |
| 78 | 12% | 37% | |
| 79 | 7% | 25% | |
| 80 | 11% | 18% | |
| 81 | 2% | 7% | |
| 82 | 2% | 5% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.6% | 1.0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 2% | 97% | |
| 68 | 3% | 94% | |
| 69 | 5% | 91% | |
| 70 | 12% | 86% | |
| 71 | 4% | 74% | |
| 72 | 25% | 70% | |
| 73 | 8% | 45% | Median |
| 74 | 11% | 37% | |
| 75 | 10% | 26% | |
| 76 | 6% | 16% | |
| 77 | 2% | 10% | |
| 78 | 2% | 7% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 80 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 81 | 3% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 65 | 2% | 98% | |
| 66 | 4% | 96% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 68 | 7% | 91% | |
| 69 | 9% | 83% | |
| 70 | 6% | 75% | |
| 71 | 7% | 69% | |
| 72 | 4% | 61% | |
| 73 | 9% | 57% | Median |
| 74 | 6% | 48% | |
| 75 | 4% | 42% | |
| 76 | 16% | 38% | |
| 77 | 3% | 21% | |
| 78 | 4% | 18% | |
| 79 | 4% | 15% | |
| 80 | 1.3% | 10% | |
| 81 | 8% | 9% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.4% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 62 | 3% | 97% | |
| 63 | 5% | 95% | |
| 64 | 6% | 90% | |
| 65 | 13% | 84% | |
| 66 | 5% | 72% | |
| 67 | 8% | 67% | Median |
| 68 | 13% | 59% | |
| 69 | 15% | 46% | |
| 70 | 3% | 30% | |
| 71 | 4% | 27% | |
| 72 | 8% | 23% | |
| 73 | 9% | 15% | |
| 74 | 2% | 6% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 76 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 61 | 2% | 97% | |
| 62 | 4% | 96% | |
| 63 | 4% | 91% | |
| 64 | 2% | 87% | |
| 65 | 14% | 84% | |
| 66 | 8% | 70% | |
| 67 | 10% | 62% | |
| 68 | 6% | 52% | |
| 69 | 23% | 47% | |
| 70 | 6% | 24% | Median |
| 71 | 3% | 18% | |
| 72 | 4% | 16% | |
| 73 | 2% | 12% | |
| 74 | 8% | 10% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 57 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 58 | 2% | 97% | |
| 59 | 2% | 96% | |
| 60 | 9% | 94% | |
| 61 | 5% | 84% | |
| 62 | 15% | 80% | |
| 63 | 6% | 65% | Median |
| 64 | 5% | 59% | |
| 65 | 5% | 55% | |
| 66 | 23% | 50% | |
| 67 | 4% | 27% | |
| 68 | 11% | 23% | |
| 69 | 4% | 12% | |
| 70 | 2% | 8% | |
| 71 | 2% | 6% | |
| 72 | 2% | 5% | Last Result |
| 73 | 2% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 58 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 59 | 3% | 97% | |
| 60 | 4% | 94% | |
| 61 | 7% | 90% | |
| 62 | 23% | 83% | |
| 63 | 10% | 60% | |
| 64 | 9% | 50% | Median |
| 65 | 9% | 41% | |
| 66 | 16% | 32% | |
| 67 | 5% | 16% | |
| 68 | 2% | 11% | |
| 69 | 4% | 9% | |
| 70 | 2% | 5% | |
| 71 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 72 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 52 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 53 | 4% | 96% | |
| 54 | 1.4% | 92% | |
| 55 | 6% | 91% | |
| 56 | 5% | 85% | |
| 57 | 13% | 80% | |
| 58 | 4% | 67% | |
| 59 | 15% | 63% | |
| 60 | 3% | 49% | Median |
| 61 | 2% | 45% | |
| 62 | 7% | 43% | |
| 63 | 4% | 36% | |
| 64 | 16% | 33% | |
| 65 | 5% | 17% | |
| 66 | 2% | 12% | |
| 67 | 2% | 11% | |
| 68 | 8% | 9% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 50 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 51 | 8% | 96% | |
| 52 | 4% | 88% | |
| 53 | 6% | 84% | |
| 54 | 14% | 78% | |
| 55 | 6% | 64% | |
| 56 | 5% | 57% | |
| 57 | 25% | 53% | Median |
| 58 | 6% | 27% | |
| 59 | 5% | 21% | |
| 60 | 3% | 16% | |
| 61 | 8% | 13% | |
| 62 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 64 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 46 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 47 | 4% | 97% | |
| 48 | 4% | 93% | |
| 49 | 21% | 90% | |
| 50 | 8% | 69% | |
| 51 | 16% | 60% | Median |
| 52 | 5% | 44% | |
| 53 | 13% | 39% | |
| 54 | 5% | 26% | |
| 55 | 11% | 21% | |
| 56 | 3% | 10% | |
| 57 | 3% | 7% | |
| 58 | 2% | 5% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 60 | 2% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 46 | 3% | 97% | |
| 47 | 4% | 94% | |
| 48 | 6% | 90% | |
| 49 | 14% | 84% | |
| 50 | 17% | 70% | |
| 51 | 14% | 53% | Median |
| 52 | 9% | 39% | |
| 53 | 12% | 30% | |
| 54 | 7% | 17% | |
| 55 | 4% | 10% | |
| 56 | 3% | 7% | |
| 57 | 2% | 4% | |
| 58 | 2% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 16 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 17 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 18 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 19 | 3% | 97% | |
| 20 | 3% | 94% | |
| 21 | 6% | 91% | |
| 22 | 10% | 85% | |
| 23 | 6% | 75% | |
| 24 | 16% | 69% | |
| 25 | 17% | 53% | |
| 26 | 6% | 37% | |
| 27 | 18% | 31% | Median |
| 28 | 3% | 12% | |
| 29 | 4% | 9% | |
| 30 | 3% | 6% | |
| 31 | 2% | 3% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): Dagbladet and Vårt Land
- Fieldwork period: 12–17 June 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 987
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.66%