Opinion Poll by InFact for Nettavisen, 3 August 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 26.8% | 25.0–28.6% | 24.6–29.1% | 24.1–29.5% | 23.4–30.4% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 19.1% | 17.6–20.7% | 17.1–21.2% | 16.8–21.6% | 16.1–22.4% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 13.8% | 12.5–15.2% | 12.1–15.6% | 11.8–16.0% | 11.2–16.7% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.6–9.9% | 7.3–10.2% | 7.1–10.5% | 6.6–11.1% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 7.3% | 6.4–8.5% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.9–9.1% | 5.5–9.6% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.1% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.4–6.7% | 4.2–7.0% | 3.8–7.5% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 4.6% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.7–5.8% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.2–6.6% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.2% | 2.3–4.4% | 2.0–4.9% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 47 | 44–50 | 43–51 | 42–52 | 41–54 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 36 | 34–38 | 33–40 | 33–41 | 31–43 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 24 | 22–27 | 21–28 | 21–29 | 20–31 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 15 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 11–20 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 13 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 9–17 |
| Venstre | 8 | 10 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 8–13 | 7–14 |
| Rødt | 8 | 9 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 7–12 | 1–13 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 8 | 3–10 | 3–10 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–7 | 1–7 | 1–8 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0–3 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 43 | 3% | 96% | |
| 44 | 5% | 93% | |
| 45 | 8% | 88% | |
| 46 | 21% | 80% | |
| 47 | 24% | 59% | Median |
| 48 | 10% | 36% | |
| 49 | 11% | 26% | |
| 50 | 7% | 15% | |
| 51 | 4% | 8% | |
| 52 | 2% | 4% | |
| 53 | 2% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 32 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 33 | 8% | 98% | |
| 34 | 8% | 91% | |
| 35 | 21% | 82% | |
| 36 | 17% | 61% | Median |
| 37 | 30% | 44% | |
| 38 | 5% | 14% | |
| 39 | 3% | 9% | |
| 40 | 3% | 7% | |
| 41 | 2% | 4% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 21 | 4% | 98% | Last Result |
| 22 | 12% | 94% | |
| 23 | 13% | 81% | |
| 24 | 27% | 68% | Median |
| 25 | 12% | 41% | |
| 26 | 13% | 29% | |
| 27 | 8% | 15% | |
| 28 | 3% | 7% | |
| 29 | 3% | 4% | |
| 30 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 13 | 13% | 95% | Last Result |
| 14 | 13% | 82% | |
| 15 | 26% | 69% | Median |
| 16 | 20% | 43% | |
| 17 | 17% | 23% | |
| 18 | 4% | 6% | |
| 19 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 9 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 11 | 6% | 96% | |
| 12 | 6% | 90% | |
| 13 | 36% | 83% | Median |
| 14 | 24% | 47% | |
| 15 | 20% | 23% | |
| 16 | 2% | 3% | |
| 17 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 3% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 9 | 23% | 96% | |
| 10 | 28% | 73% | Median |
| 11 | 29% | 44% | |
| 12 | 11% | 16% | |
| 13 | 3% | 4% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 7 | 3% | 98% | |
| 8 | 11% | 95% | Last Result |
| 9 | 35% | 84% | Median |
| 10 | 27% | 49% | |
| 11 | 18% | 22% | |
| 12 | 3% | 4% | |
| 13 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 8% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 89% | |
| 5 | 0% | 89% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 89% | |
| 7 | 31% | 89% | |
| 8 | 29% | 58% | Median |
| 9 | 17% | 28% | |
| 10 | 9% | 11% | |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28% | 100% | |
| 2 | 44% | 72% | Median |
| 3 | 18% | 28% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 10% | |
| 5 | 0% | 10% | |
| 6 | 0.9% | 10% | |
| 7 | 8% | 9% | |
| 8 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 100% | |
| 1 | 4% | 94% | |
| 2 | 81% | 90% | Median |
| 3 | 5% | 9% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 7 | 2% | 3% | |
| 8 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 98 | 100% | 94–101 | 93–103 | 92–104 | 90–107 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 86 | 74% | 83–90 | 82–92 | 81–93 | 79–96 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 83 | 36% | 81–88 | 79–90 | 79–90 | 77–94 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 81 | 22% | 79–86 | 77–87 | 77–88 | 75–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 77 | 0.2% | 73–80 | 71–81 | 70–82 | 68–84 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 75 | 0% | 70–77 | 69–78 | 68–79 | 65–81 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 71 | 0% | 68–75 | 67–77 | 66–78 | 65–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 69 | 0% | 66–73 | 64–74 | 62–75 | 61–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 67 | 0% | 64–71 | 62–72 | 61–73 | 59–74 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 65 | 0% | 61–67 | 60–69 | 58–70 | 57–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 63 | 0% | 60–67 | 58–68 | 57–70 | 55–71 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 59 | 0% | 56–63 | 56–64 | 55–65 | 53–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 54 | 0% | 51–57 | 49–59 | 48–60 | 46–63 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 52 | 0% | 48–54 | 47–56 | 46–57 | 44–59 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 51 | 0% | 49–54 | 47–56 | 46–57 | 45–58 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 50 | 0% | 47–52 | 45–53 | 44–54 | 43–56 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 26 | 0% | 23–28 | 23–29 | 22–30 | 20–32 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 91 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 92 | 2% | 98% | |
| 93 | 4% | 97% | |
| 94 | 5% | 92% | |
| 95 | 23% | 87% | |
| 96 | 6% | 64% | Last Result, Median |
| 97 | 6% | 57% | |
| 98 | 25% | 51% | |
| 99 | 4% | 26% | |
| 100 | 6% | 22% | |
| 101 | 6% | 16% | |
| 102 | 3% | 9% | |
| 103 | 2% | 6% | |
| 104 | 2% | 4% | |
| 105 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 82 | 4% | 97% | |
| 83 | 9% | 94% | |
| 84 | 10% | 84% | |
| 85 | 22% | 74% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 14% | 52% | |
| 87 | 9% | 37% | |
| 88 | 6% | 29% | |
| 89 | 9% | 23% | |
| 90 | 4% | 14% | |
| 91 | 3% | 10% | |
| 92 | 4% | 7% | |
| 93 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 94 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 96 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 79 | 4% | 98% | |
| 80 | 4% | 95% | |
| 81 | 7% | 91% | |
| 82 | 20% | 84% | |
| 83 | 20% | 64% | Median |
| 84 | 8% | 44% | |
| 85 | 12% | 36% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 24% | |
| 87 | 10% | 21% | |
| 88 | 2% | 11% | |
| 89 | 2% | 9% | |
| 90 | 4% | 6% | |
| 91 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 77 | 4% | 98% | |
| 78 | 4% | 94% | |
| 79 | 8% | 90% | |
| 80 | 20% | 83% | |
| 81 | 19% | 63% | Median |
| 82 | 9% | 44% | |
| 83 | 10% | 35% | |
| 84 | 3% | 25% | |
| 85 | 11% | 22% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 11% | |
| 87 | 3% | 8% | |
| 88 | 2% | 5% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 90 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 70 | 2% | 98% | |
| 71 | 2% | 97% | |
| 72 | 4% | 94% | |
| 73 | 4% | 91% | |
| 74 | 8% | 87% | |
| 75 | 14% | 79% | Median |
| 76 | 9% | 65% | |
| 77 | 12% | 56% | |
| 78 | 21% | 44% | |
| 79 | 10% | 23% | |
| 80 | 6% | 13% | |
| 81 | 3% | 7% | |
| 82 | 2% | 4% | |
| 83 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 68 | 2% | 98% | |
| 69 | 2% | 96% | |
| 70 | 6% | 94% | |
| 71 | 4% | 89% | |
| 72 | 11% | 85% | |
| 73 | 9% | 74% | Median |
| 74 | 13% | 64% | |
| 75 | 15% | 51% | |
| 76 | 19% | 37% | |
| 77 | 10% | 18% | |
| 78 | 4% | 8% | |
| 79 | 2% | 4% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 66 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 67 | 3% | 96% | |
| 68 | 6% | 93% | |
| 69 | 7% | 86% | |
| 70 | 20% | 79% | |
| 71 | 21% | 59% | Median |
| 72 | 6% | 38% | |
| 73 | 8% | 33% | |
| 74 | 6% | 25% | |
| 75 | 11% | 19% | |
| 76 | 2% | 8% | |
| 77 | 3% | 6% | |
| 78 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 64 | 2% | 96% | |
| 65 | 3% | 94% | |
| 66 | 5% | 90% | |
| 67 | 9% | 85% | |
| 68 | 10% | 76% | Median |
| 69 | 24% | 66% | |
| 70 | 6% | 42% | |
| 71 | 19% | 36% | |
| 72 | 5% | 17% | |
| 73 | 6% | 12% | |
| 74 | 2% | 5% | |
| 75 | 2% | 4% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 61 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 62 | 2% | 96% | |
| 63 | 5% | 95% | |
| 64 | 5% | 90% | |
| 65 | 10% | 85% | |
| 66 | 10% | 75% | Median |
| 67 | 23% | 66% | |
| 68 | 9% | 43% | |
| 69 | 20% | 34% | |
| 70 | 4% | 14% | |
| 71 | 5% | 10% | |
| 72 | 2% | 5% | |
| 73 | 2% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 60 | 4% | 97% | |
| 61 | 3% | 93% | |
| 62 | 4% | 89% | |
| 63 | 13% | 85% | |
| 64 | 10% | 72% | Median |
| 65 | 24% | 62% | |
| 66 | 15% | 39% | |
| 67 | 14% | 23% | |
| 68 | 4% | 9% | |
| 69 | 2% | 5% | |
| 70 | 2% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 57 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 58 | 3% | 97% | |
| 59 | 3% | 94% | |
| 60 | 8% | 91% | |
| 61 | 10% | 83% | |
| 62 | 14% | 73% | Median |
| 63 | 18% | 59% | |
| 64 | 9% | 41% | |
| 65 | 10% | 32% | |
| 66 | 12% | 22% | |
| 67 | 4% | 11% | |
| 68 | 3% | 7% | |
| 69 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 70 | 2% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 55 | 3% | 98% | |
| 56 | 6% | 95% | |
| 57 | 5% | 89% | |
| 58 | 16% | 85% | |
| 59 | 24% | 69% | Median |
| 60 | 23% | 45% | |
| 61 | 4% | 22% | |
| 62 | 5% | 17% | |
| 63 | 6% | 13% | |
| 64 | 3% | 7% | |
| 65 | 2% | 4% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 48 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 49 | 3% | 97% | |
| 50 | 3% | 94% | |
| 51 | 5% | 91% | |
| 52 | 9% | 86% | |
| 53 | 12% | 76% | Median |
| 54 | 28% | 64% | |
| 55 | 15% | 36% | |
| 56 | 6% | 21% | |
| 57 | 6% | 16% | |
| 58 | 3% | 10% | |
| 59 | 3% | 7% | |
| 60 | 2% | 4% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 46 | 1.4% | 98.5% | |
| 47 | 4% | 97% | |
| 48 | 3% | 93% | |
| 49 | 5% | 90% | |
| 50 | 9% | 85% | |
| 51 | 14% | 76% | Median |
| 52 | 36% | 62% | |
| 53 | 12% | 26% | |
| 54 | 5% | 14% | |
| 55 | 2% | 9% | |
| 56 | 3% | 7% | |
| 57 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 58 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 47 | 3% | 97% | |
| 48 | 3% | 95% | |
| 49 | 15% | 91% | |
| 50 | 20% | 76% | |
| 51 | 8% | 56% | Median |
| 52 | 14% | 48% | |
| 53 | 13% | 34% | |
| 54 | 14% | 21% | |
| 55 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 56 | 2% | 5% | |
| 57 | 2% | 3% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 45 | 4% | 97% | |
| 46 | 3% | 94% | |
| 47 | 5% | 91% | |
| 48 | 10% | 86% | |
| 49 | 14% | 76% | Median |
| 50 | 37% | 62% | |
| 51 | 14% | 26% | |
| 52 | 5% | 12% | |
| 53 | 2% | 7% | |
| 54 | 3% | 5% | |
| 55 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 21 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 22 | 3% | 98% | |
| 23 | 6% | 95% | |
| 24 | 19% | 89% | |
| 25 | 19% | 70% | Median |
| 26 | 13% | 52% | |
| 27 | 13% | 39% | |
| 28 | 18% | 26% | |
| 29 | 3% | 7% | |
| 30 | 2% | 4% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 32 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: InFact
- Commissioner(s): Nettavisen
- Fieldwork period: 3 August 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1039
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.36%