Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 31 July–4 August 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre |
20.4% |
31.5% |
29.7–33.5% |
29.2–34.0% |
28.7–34.5% |
27.8–35.5% |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
17.8% |
16.4–19.5% |
15.9–20.0% |
15.6–20.4% |
14.9–21.2% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
12.4% |
11.1–13.8% |
10.8–14.2% |
10.5–14.6% |
9.9–15.3% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
9.0% |
7.9–10.3% |
7.7–10.7% |
7.4–11.0% |
6.9–11.6% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
7.5% |
6.5–8.7% |
6.2–9.0% |
6.0–9.3% |
5.6–9.9% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
5.2% |
4.4–6.2% |
4.1–6.5% |
3.9–6.8% |
3.6–7.3% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
3.8% |
3.1–4.6% |
2.9–4.9% |
2.7–5.1% |
2.4–5.6% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
3.2% |
2.6–4.1% |
2.5–4.3% |
2.3–4.6% |
2.0–5.0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet |
0.3% |
3.0% |
2.4–3.9% |
2.3–4.1% |
2.1–4.3% |
1.9–4.8% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
2.5% |
2.0–3.3% |
1.8–3.5% |
1.7–3.7% |
1.5–4.1% |
Norgesdemokratene |
1.1% |
1.7% |
1.3–2.4% |
1.2–2.6% |
1.1–2.7% |
0.9–3.1% |
Konservativt |
0.4% |
1.2% |
0.9–1.8% |
0.8–2.0% |
0.7–2.1% |
0.6–2.4% |
Liberalistene |
0.2% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.0–0.9% |
Kystpartiet |
0.0% |
0.1% |
0.0–0.4% |
0.0–0.5% |
0.0–0.6% |
0.0–0.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
|
56 |
16% |
99.0% |
|
57 |
2% |
83% |
|
58 |
6% |
81% |
|
59 |
71% |
75% |
Median |
60 |
3% |
5% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
|
63 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
1.1% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
19% |
98.8% |
|
34 |
0.6% |
80% |
|
35 |
0.5% |
79% |
|
36 |
1.5% |
79% |
|
37 |
0.4% |
77% |
|
38 |
71% |
77% |
Median |
39 |
0% |
6% |
|
40 |
6% |
6% |
|
41 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
42 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
43 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
20 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
21 |
6% |
99.5% |
Last Result |
22 |
87% |
94% |
Median |
23 |
4% |
7% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
25 |
2% |
3% |
|
26 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
29 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
30 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
14 |
6% |
99.8% |
|
15 |
0.5% |
94% |
|
16 |
0.8% |
94% |
|
17 |
20% |
93% |
|
18 |
1.0% |
74% |
|
19 |
0.3% |
73% |
|
20 |
2% |
72% |
|
21 |
71% |
71% |
Median |
22 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
13 |
76% |
99.3% |
Median |
14 |
18% |
23% |
|
15 |
0.8% |
5% |
|
16 |
0.6% |
4% |
|
17 |
3% |
4% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
19 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
7 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
8 |
6% |
99.3% |
Last Result |
9 |
3% |
94% |
|
10 |
87% |
90% |
Median |
11 |
3% |
4% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
77% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
23% |
|
3 |
0% |
23% |
|
4 |
0% |
23% |
|
5 |
0% |
23% |
|
6 |
0% |
23% |
|
7 |
6% |
23% |
|
8 |
16% |
17% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
10 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
72% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
6% |
28% |
|
3 |
21% |
22% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
6 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
8 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.7% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
1.1% |
99.3% |
|
2 |
79% |
98% |
Median |
3 |
19% |
19% |
|
4 |
0% |
0.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.9% |
|
6 |
0% |
0.9% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
8 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
1 |
74% |
98.7% |
Median |
2 |
25% |
25% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kystpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kystpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.8% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
96 |
105 |
100% |
104–105 |
102–107 |
102–112 |
101–112 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
71 |
93 |
100% |
93 |
92–95 |
92–97 |
91–98 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
68 |
92 |
99.9% |
90–92 |
89–93 |
89–95 |
87–96 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
65 |
91 |
99.8% |
88–91 |
87–91 |
87–94 |
87–95 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
57 |
81 |
1.2% |
78–81 |
78–82 |
78–83 |
77–85 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
100 |
74 |
0% |
74–75 |
73–77 |
70–77 |
69–78 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
95 |
74 |
0% |
69–74 |
69–74 |
69–74 |
65–78 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt |
97 |
73 |
0% |
72–73 |
71–74 |
68–74 |
66–75 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
73 |
0% |
67–73 |
67–73 |
67–73 |
65–76 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
47 |
70 |
0% |
68–70 |
68–70 |
68–72 |
64–73 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet |
89 |
72 |
0% |
64–72 |
64–72 |
64–72 |
62–74 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
72 |
61 |
0% |
61 |
59–64 |
53–64 |
53–64 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
59 |
0% |
50–59 |
50–59 |
50–59 |
49–59 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
82 |
53 |
0% |
52–53 |
52–58 |
52–58 |
50–61 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
52 |
0% |
49–52 |
49–55 |
49–55 |
47–59 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
51 |
0% |
47–51 |
47–53 |
47–53 |
46–57 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
39 |
24 |
0% |
24–26 |
23–26 |
23–29 |
19–29 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
96 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
97 |
0% |
100% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
99 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
100 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
102 |
5% |
99.4% |
|
103 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
104 |
16% |
94% |
|
105 |
71% |
78% |
Median |
106 |
0.7% |
7% |
|
107 |
1.3% |
6% |
|
108 |
0.6% |
5% |
|
109 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
110 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
111 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
112 |
3% |
3% |
|
113 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
114 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
115 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
116 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
117 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
87 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
88 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
89 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
91 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
92 |
6% |
99.3% |
|
93 |
86% |
93% |
Median |
94 |
0.7% |
7% |
|
95 |
1.5% |
6% |
|
96 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
97 |
3% |
4% |
|
98 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
101 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
102 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
103 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
104 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
99.9% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
88 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
89 |
6% |
99.4% |
|
90 |
16% |
93% |
|
91 |
0.7% |
77% |
|
92 |
71% |
77% |
Median |
93 |
1.3% |
5% |
|
94 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
95 |
3% |
4% |
|
96 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
98 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
99 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
87 |
6% |
99.5% |
|
88 |
16% |
93% |
|
89 |
0.6% |
77% |
|
90 |
0.2% |
77% |
|
91 |
72% |
76% |
Median |
92 |
0.9% |
5% |
|
93 |
0% |
4% |
|
94 |
3% |
4% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
96 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
97 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
98 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
99 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
78 |
16% |
99.5% |
|
79 |
6% |
83% |
|
80 |
0.7% |
78% |
|
81 |
71% |
77% |
Median |
82 |
2% |
6% |
|
83 |
3% |
4% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
|
85 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
68 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
70 |
3% |
99.1% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
73 |
1.3% |
96% |
|
74 |
71% |
94% |
Median |
75 |
16% |
23% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
7% |
|
77 |
6% |
7% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
67 |
0% |
99.4% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
69 |
16% |
99.2% |
|
70 |
4% |
83% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
80% |
|
72 |
6% |
79% |
|
73 |
0.8% |
74% |
|
74 |
72% |
73% |
Median |
75 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.8% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
78 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
68 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
96% |
|
71 |
2% |
95% |
|
72 |
16% |
94% |
|
73 |
71% |
77% |
Median |
74 |
6% |
7% |
|
75 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
67 |
16% |
99.1% |
|
68 |
1.1% |
83% |
|
69 |
3% |
82% |
|
70 |
5% |
79% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
74% |
|
72 |
1.3% |
73% |
|
73 |
71% |
72% |
Median |
74 |
0% |
0.8% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
76 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
0% |
99.0% |
|
66 |
0.6% |
99.0% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
68 |
23% |
98% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
75% |
|
70 |
71% |
75% |
Median |
71 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
72 |
3% |
4% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
64 |
16% |
99.0% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
83% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
83% |
|
67 |
9% |
82% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
74% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
74% |
|
70 |
2% |
73% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
72% |
|
72 |
71% |
71% |
Median |
73 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
53 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
54 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
55 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
95% |
|
59 |
1.3% |
95% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
94% |
|
61 |
87% |
93% |
Median |
62 |
0.1% |
7% |
|
63 |
0.5% |
6% |
|
64 |
5% |
6% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
49 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
50 |
19% |
99.4% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
80% |
|
52 |
1.1% |
80% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
79% |
|
54 |
6% |
78% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
73% |
|
56 |
2% |
73% |
|
57 |
0% |
71% |
|
58 |
0% |
71% |
|
59 |
71% |
71% |
Median |
60 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
52 |
16% |
99.2% |
|
53 |
74% |
83% |
Median |
54 |
1.3% |
9% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
7% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
7% |
|
57 |
0.7% |
7% |
|
58 |
6% |
6% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
49 |
16% |
99.2% |
|
50 |
0.8% |
83% |
|
51 |
3% |
82% |
|
52 |
72% |
79% |
Median |
53 |
0.2% |
7% |
|
54 |
0.4% |
7% |
|
55 |
6% |
6% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
47 |
16% |
99.3% |
|
48 |
0.7% |
83% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
83% |
|
50 |
5% |
82% |
|
51 |
71% |
78% |
Median |
52 |
0.5% |
7% |
|
53 |
6% |
6% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
56 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
57 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
19 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
22 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
23 |
6% |
99.0% |
|
24 |
71% |
93% |
Median |
25 |
2% |
22% |
|
26 |
16% |
21% |
|
27 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
28 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
29 |
4% |
4% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
31 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar TNS
- Commissioner(s): TV2
- Fieldwork period: 31 July–4 August 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 986
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.82%