Opinion Poll by InFact for Nettavisen, 5 September 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 26.0% | 24.3–27.8% | 23.9–28.3% | 23.5–28.8% | 22.7–29.6% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 19.3% | 17.8–20.9% | 17.4–21.4% | 17.0–21.8% | 16.3–22.6% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 14.3% | 13.0–15.8% | 12.7–16.2% | 12.3–16.6% | 11.8–17.3% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.8–10.1% | 7.5–10.4% | 7.3–10.7% | 6.8–11.3% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.5–6.8% | 4.3–7.1% | 3.9–7.6% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.5% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.5–6.8% | 4.3–7.1% | 3.9–7.6% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.9–6.5% | 3.5–7.0% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.2–6.6% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.4% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.9–6.1% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 3.6% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–4.9% | 2.4–5.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 48 | 44–49 | 43–49 | 42–50 | 41–52 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 37 | 35–40 | 34–41 | 33–43 | 32–46 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 26 | 24–30 | 23–31 | 22–32 | 20–35 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 14 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 11–18 | 10–19 |
| Rødt | 8 | 9 | 8–10 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 1–13 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 9 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 7–13 | 2–14 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 7–10 | 6–10 | 3–10 | 2–12 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 7 | 6–9 | 3–9 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 7 | 3–8 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 1–10 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 3 | 2–7 | 2–7 | 1–7 | 0–8 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 42 | 2% | 98% | |
| 43 | 3% | 96% | |
| 44 | 4% | 93% | |
| 45 | 6% | 89% | |
| 46 | 5% | 83% | |
| 47 | 28% | 78% | |
| 48 | 11% | 50% | Median |
| 49 | 35% | 40% | |
| 50 | 3% | 5% | |
| 51 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 34 | 6% | 96% | |
| 35 | 3% | 91% | |
| 36 | 35% | 88% | |
| 37 | 12% | 53% | Median |
| 38 | 9% | 41% | |
| 39 | 6% | 32% | |
| 40 | 18% | 26% | |
| 41 | 4% | 9% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 43 | 3% | 4% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 21 | 1.1% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 22 | 2% | 98% | |
| 23 | 5% | 97% | |
| 24 | 24% | 92% | |
| 25 | 12% | 68% | |
| 26 | 30% | 56% | Median |
| 27 | 6% | 26% | |
| 28 | 4% | 20% | |
| 29 | 5% | 16% | |
| 30 | 4% | 11% | |
| 31 | 2% | 7% | |
| 32 | 3% | 4% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 12 | 11% | 97% | |
| 13 | 10% | 86% | Last Result |
| 14 | 40% | 76% | Median |
| 15 | 23% | 36% | |
| 16 | 5% | 13% | |
| 17 | 4% | 8% | |
| 18 | 2% | 4% | |
| 19 | 2% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 6 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 7 | 6% | 98% | |
| 8 | 35% | 92% | Last Result |
| 9 | 41% | 57% | Median |
| 10 | 9% | 16% | |
| 11 | 4% | 7% | |
| 12 | 2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 6 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 7 | 8% | 98% | |
| 8 | 12% | 90% | |
| 9 | 52% | 78% | Median |
| 10 | 6% | 26% | |
| 11 | 10% | 21% | |
| 12 | 7% | 11% | |
| 13 | 3% | 3% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 3 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 2% | 97% | |
| 7 | 27% | 95% | |
| 8 | 46% | 68% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 12% | 22% | |
| 10 | 8% | 10% | |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 5% | 97% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 92% | |
| 5 | 0% | 92% | |
| 6 | 3% | 92% | |
| 7 | 43% | 89% | Median |
| 8 | 34% | 46% | |
| 9 | 9% | 12% | |
| 10 | 2% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 2 | 7% | 99.2% | |
| 3 | 31% | 92% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 61% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 61% | |
| 6 | 6% | 61% | |
| 7 | 33% | 54% | Median |
| 8 | 17% | 21% | |
| 9 | 3% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 3% | 98% | |
| 2 | 24% | 95% | |
| 3 | 32% | 71% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 40% | |
| 5 | 0% | 40% | |
| 6 | 6% | 40% | |
| 7 | 31% | 33% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 99 | 100% | 93–101 | 92–103 | 91–104 | 88–107 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 93 | 99.6% | 90–98 | 89–100 | 87–101 | 85–104 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 89 | 90% | 84–92 | 83–94 | 82–95 | 79–99 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 82 | 11% | 77–85 | 76–87 | 75–88 | 73–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 76 | 0.9% | 71–79 | 70–82 | 68–82 | 65–86 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 73 | 0% | 70–77 | 68–78 | 68–80 | 65–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 74 | 0.2% | 69–79 | 68–80 | 67–80 | 64–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 69 | 0% | 66–74 | 65–75 | 63–77 | 60–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 66 | 0% | 62–70 | 62–73 | 60–73 | 57–76 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 67 | 0% | 62–71 | 62–73 | 60–73 | 58–76 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 60 | 0% | 58–64 | 57–66 | 56–67 | 52–70 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 63 | 0% | 58–65 | 57–67 | 56–67 | 53–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 59 | 0% | 55–64 | 54–65 | 53–66 | 50–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 54 | 0% | 51–57 | 49–59 | 48–59 | 45–63 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 51 | 0% | 48–55 | 48–57 | 47–57 | 45–60 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 47 | 0% | 44–49 | 43–51 | 42–52 | 40–55 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 24 | 0% | 21–27 | 20–29 | 18–29 | 16–32 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0.2% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 91 | 3% | 98% | |
| 92 | 3% | 95% | |
| 93 | 3% | 93% | |
| 94 | 3% | 90% | |
| 95 | 15% | 87% | |
| 96 | 4% | 72% | Last Result |
| 97 | 6% | 68% | |
| 98 | 7% | 61% | Median |
| 99 | 38% | 55% | |
| 100 | 5% | 17% | |
| 101 | 5% | 12% | |
| 102 | 2% | 7% | |
| 103 | 2% | 5% | |
| 104 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 105 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 107 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 108 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 99.6% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 87 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 88 | 2% | 97% | |
| 89 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 90 | 5% | 94% | |
| 91 | 4% | 89% | |
| 92 | 4% | 84% | |
| 93 | 40% | 81% | |
| 94 | 6% | 41% | |
| 95 | 3% | 35% | |
| 96 | 14% | 31% | Median |
| 97 | 2% | 17% | |
| 98 | 9% | 16% | |
| 99 | 2% | 7% | |
| 100 | 2% | 5% | |
| 101 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 102 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 105 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 82 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 83 | 4% | 97% | |
| 84 | 3% | 93% | |
| 85 | 3% | 90% | Majority |
| 86 | 17% | 86% | |
| 87 | 5% | 70% | |
| 88 | 13% | 64% | |
| 89 | 5% | 51% | Median |
| 90 | 30% | 47% | |
| 91 | 6% | 17% | |
| 92 | 4% | 11% | |
| 93 | 2% | 7% | |
| 94 | 2% | 5% | |
| 95 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 96 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 75 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 76 | 4% | 97% | |
| 77 | 5% | 93% | |
| 78 | 17% | 89% | |
| 79 | 2% | 72% | |
| 80 | 13% | 71% | |
| 81 | 6% | 58% | |
| 82 | 6% | 52% | Median |
| 83 | 31% | 46% | |
| 84 | 3% | 14% | |
| 85 | 3% | 11% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 8% | |
| 87 | 2% | 6% | |
| 88 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 89 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 69 | 2% | 97% | |
| 70 | 2% | 96% | |
| 71 | 25% | 94% | |
| 72 | 2% | 69% | |
| 73 | 4% | 66% | |
| 74 | 6% | 62% | |
| 75 | 4% | 56% | |
| 76 | 10% | 52% | Median |
| 77 | 7% | 42% | |
| 78 | 13% | 35% | |
| 79 | 13% | 22% | |
| 80 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 81 | 2% | 8% | |
| 82 | 3% | 6% | |
| 83 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 0.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 68 | 6% | 98% | |
| 69 | 2% | 93% | |
| 70 | 3% | 90% | |
| 71 | 18% | 87% | |
| 72 | 11% | 69% | |
| 73 | 9% | 58% | |
| 74 | 7% | 49% | Median |
| 75 | 28% | 42% | |
| 76 | 3% | 15% | |
| 77 | 3% | 11% | |
| 78 | 3% | 8% | |
| 79 | 2% | 5% | |
| 80 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 68 | 2% | 97% | |
| 69 | 25% | 95% | |
| 70 | 4% | 70% | |
| 71 | 5% | 66% | |
| 72 | 4% | 61% | |
| 73 | 3% | 57% | |
| 74 | 8% | 54% | Median |
| 75 | 8% | 46% | |
| 76 | 8% | 38% | |
| 77 | 2% | 30% | |
| 78 | 10% | 28% | |
| 79 | 13% | 19% | |
| 80 | 3% | 5% | |
| 81 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 64 | 2% | 97% | |
| 65 | 2% | 95% | |
| 66 | 4% | 94% | |
| 67 | 5% | 90% | |
| 68 | 28% | 84% | |
| 69 | 11% | 56% | Median |
| 70 | 12% | 46% | |
| 71 | 7% | 33% | |
| 72 | 13% | 26% | |
| 73 | 3% | 13% | |
| 74 | 3% | 10% | |
| 75 | 3% | 7% | |
| 76 | 2% | 4% | |
| 77 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 60 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 61 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 62 | 26% | 96% | |
| 63 | 4% | 70% | |
| 64 | 7% | 66% | |
| 65 | 6% | 58% | |
| 66 | 7% | 52% | |
| 67 | 11% | 46% | Median |
| 68 | 8% | 35% | |
| 69 | 4% | 27% | |
| 70 | 15% | 23% | |
| 71 | 2% | 8% | |
| 72 | 1.1% | 6% | Last Result |
| 73 | 3% | 5% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 98.6% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 61 | 2% | 97% | |
| 62 | 25% | 96% | |
| 63 | 4% | 71% | |
| 64 | 3% | 67% | |
| 65 | 5% | 64% | |
| 66 | 8% | 59% | |
| 67 | 9% | 51% | Median |
| 68 | 5% | 42% | |
| 69 | 7% | 37% | |
| 70 | 9% | 30% | |
| 71 | 14% | 21% | |
| 72 | 2% | 7% | |
| 73 | 3% | 5% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 56 | 2% | 98% | |
| 57 | 3% | 95% | |
| 58 | 3% | 92% | |
| 59 | 31% | 89% | |
| 60 | 10% | 58% | Median |
| 61 | 7% | 48% | |
| 62 | 12% | 41% | |
| 63 | 4% | 28% | |
| 64 | 15% | 24% | |
| 65 | 3% | 9% | |
| 66 | 3% | 6% | |
| 67 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 57 | 4% | 97% | |
| 58 | 3% | 93% | |
| 59 | 3% | 90% | |
| 60 | 6% | 87% | |
| 61 | 6% | 81% | |
| 62 | 19% | 75% | |
| 63 | 13% | 55% | Median |
| 64 | 29% | 42% | |
| 65 | 5% | 13% | |
| 66 | 3% | 9% | |
| 67 | 4% | 6% | |
| 68 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 52 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 54 | 2% | 97% | |
| 55 | 27% | 94% | |
| 56 | 3% | 67% | |
| 57 | 3% | 64% | |
| 58 | 4% | 60% | |
| 59 | 8% | 57% | |
| 60 | 3% | 49% | Median |
| 61 | 5% | 45% | |
| 62 | 4% | 40% | |
| 63 | 8% | 37% | |
| 64 | 22% | 28% | |
| 65 | 3% | 7% | |
| 66 | 2% | 4% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 48 | 2% | 98% | |
| 49 | 3% | 96% | |
| 50 | 3% | 93% | |
| 51 | 6% | 90% | |
| 52 | 29% | 85% | |
| 53 | 4% | 56% | Median |
| 54 | 6% | 52% | |
| 55 | 7% | 46% | |
| 56 | 16% | 39% | |
| 57 | 15% | 23% | |
| 58 | 2% | 8% | |
| 59 | 3% | 5% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 47 | 4% | 98.8% | |
| 48 | 7% | 95% | |
| 49 | 3% | 88% | |
| 50 | 27% | 86% | |
| 51 | 17% | 59% | Median |
| 52 | 10% | 42% | |
| 53 | 7% | 33% | |
| 54 | 4% | 26% | |
| 55 | 14% | 22% | |
| 56 | 3% | 8% | |
| 57 | 3% | 5% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 42 | 2% | 98% | |
| 43 | 3% | 96% | |
| 44 | 7% | 93% | |
| 45 | 30% | 86% | |
| 46 | 5% | 56% | Median |
| 47 | 9% | 51% | |
| 48 | 15% | 42% | |
| 49 | 18% | 27% | |
| 50 | 4% | 9% | |
| 51 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 52 | 3% | 4% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 17 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 18 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 19 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 20 | 4% | 96% | |
| 21 | 4% | 92% | |
| 22 | 5% | 88% | |
| 23 | 7% | 83% | |
| 24 | 42% | 76% | Median |
| 25 | 5% | 34% | |
| 26 | 6% | 29% | |
| 27 | 14% | 23% | |
| 28 | 2% | 9% | |
| 29 | 5% | 7% | |
| 30 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: InFact
- Commissioner(s): Nettavisen
- Fieldwork period: 5 September 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1053
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.97%