Opinion Poll by Norstat for Aftenposten and NRK, 5 September 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 29.2% | 26.9–31.7% | 26.2–32.4% | 25.7–33.0% | 24.6–34.2% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 18.4% | 16.5–20.6% | 15.9–21.2% | 15.5–21.7% | 14.6–22.8% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 14.2% | 12.5–16.2% | 12.0–16.7% | 11.6–17.2% | 10.8–18.2% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.9–11.0% | 7.5–11.5% | 7.2–11.9% | 6.6–12.8% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.7–7.1% | 4.4–7.6% | 4.1–7.9% | 3.7–8.6% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.6% | 4.5–7.0% | 4.2–7.4% | 4.0–7.7% | 3.5–8.4% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.8–6.8% | 3.6–7.1% | 3.1–7.8% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.5–5.7% | 3.2–6.0% | 3.0–6.4% | 2.6–7.0% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.5–4.3% | 2.2–4.7% | 2.1–5.0% | 1.8–5.6% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 1.9% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.2–3.0% | 1.0–3.3% | 0.8–3.8% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9–2.2% | 0.8–2.4% | 0.7–2.6% | 0.5–3.1% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.5% | 0.3–1.7% | 0.2–2.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 51 | 47–55 | 47–60 | 46–61 | 43–61 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 36 | 34–38 | 32–41 | 31–41 | 28–44 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 24 | 23–34 | 22–34 | 21–34 | 20–34 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 16 | 14–18 | 14–19 | 13–20 | 11–22 |
| Rødt | 8 | 10 | 8–11 | 8–13 | 7–13 | 1–14 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 9 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 7–13 | 1–15 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 3–12 | 3–12 | 3–12 | 2–13 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 7 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 1–11 | 1–12 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 2–7 | 2–7 | 1–8 | 0–9 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 45 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 46 | 3% | 98% | |
| 47 | 5% | 95% | |
| 48 | 4% | 90% | |
| 49 | 10% | 86% | |
| 50 | 2% | 76% | |
| 51 | 25% | 75% | Median |
| 52 | 30% | 49% | |
| 53 | 2% | 19% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 18% | |
| 55 | 8% | 17% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 9% | |
| 57 | 1.5% | 8% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 60 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 61 | 4% | 5% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 30 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 31 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 32 | 3% | 97% | |
| 33 | 2% | 94% | |
| 34 | 34% | 91% | |
| 35 | 6% | 57% | |
| 36 | 3% | 51% | Median |
| 37 | 30% | 48% | |
| 38 | 9% | 18% | |
| 39 | 2% | 9% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 41 | 4% | 7% | |
| 42 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 20 | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 21 | 1.1% | 98% | Last Result |
| 22 | 4% | 97% | |
| 23 | 30% | 93% | |
| 24 | 16% | 64% | Median |
| 25 | 2% | 48% | |
| 26 | 7% | 46% | |
| 27 | 1.1% | 39% | |
| 28 | 2% | 38% | |
| 29 | 2% | 36% | |
| 30 | 11% | 34% | |
| 31 | 1.0% | 23% | |
| 32 | 1.4% | 21% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 20% | |
| 34 | 20% | 20% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 13 | 2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 14 | 11% | 96% | |
| 15 | 12% | 85% | |
| 16 | 53% | 73% | Median |
| 17 | 2% | 20% | |
| 18 | 8% | 18% | |
| 19 | 6% | 9% | |
| 20 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 21 | 2% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 7 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 8 | 22% | 95% | Last Result |
| 9 | 5% | 74% | |
| 10 | 41% | 69% | Median |
| 11 | 19% | 28% | |
| 12 | 4% | 10% | |
| 13 | 4% | 5% | |
| 14 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 7 | 3% | 98% | |
| 8 | 6% | 95% | |
| 9 | 39% | 89% | Median |
| 10 | 30% | 50% | |
| 11 | 9% | 20% | |
| 12 | 5% | 11% | |
| 13 | 4% | 6% | |
| 14 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 9% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 89% | |
| 5 | 0% | 89% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 89% | |
| 7 | 2% | 89% | |
| 8 | 57% | 87% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 8% | 30% | |
| 10 | 7% | 22% | |
| 11 | 4% | 15% | |
| 12 | 10% | 11% | |
| 13 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 27% | 97% | |
| 3 | 10% | 71% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 61% | |
| 5 | 0% | 61% | |
| 6 | 0.7% | 61% | |
| 7 | 10% | 60% | Median |
| 8 | 34% | 50% | |
| 9 | 9% | 15% | |
| 10 | 2% | 6% | |
| 11 | 3% | 4% | |
| 12 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 2% | 98% | |
| 2 | 26% | 96% | |
| 3 | 37% | 70% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 33% | |
| 5 | 0% | 33% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 33% | |
| 7 | 30% | 33% | |
| 8 | 2% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 89% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.8% | 11% | |
| 2 | 8% | 10% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 95% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 5% | 5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 100 | 99.6% | 94–105 | 92–105 | 90–106 | 88–111 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 98 | 99.9% | 92–98 | 89–101 | 89–103 | 87–107 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 90 | 88% | 84–96 | 82–96 | 80–96 | 79–102 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 87 | 55% | 81–93 | 79–93 | 78–93 | 76–99 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 78 | 5% | 72–83 | 72–84 | 71–88 | 66–88 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 77 | 27% | 73–85 | 72–85 | 70–85 | 68–88 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 70 | 0% | 70–76 | 67–77 | 65–79 | 61–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 71 | 0.1% | 67–76 | 66–78 | 64–79 | 60–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 68 | 0% | 64–72 | 63–74 | 61–77 | 57–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 68 | 0.4% | 63–73 | 63–76 | 62–76 | 57–80 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 63 | 0% | 58–69 | 56–70 | 56–70 | 53–76 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 61 | 0% | 60–65 | 56–67 | 56–68 | 52–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 55 | 0% | 51–59 | 50–61 | 47–61 | 45–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 52 | 0% | 50–56 | 49–56 | 47–57 | 43–63 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 50 | 0% | 45–51 | 43–54 | 41–55 | 39–57 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 46 | 0% | 43–49 | 41–49 | 40–52 | 36–54 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 22 | 0% | 17–25 | 17–26 | 14–28 | 5–30 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.6% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 87 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 90 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 92 | 4% | 97% | |
| 93 | 3% | 93% | |
| 94 | 2% | 90% | |
| 95 | 3% | 88% | Median |
| 96 | 1.1% | 86% | Last Result |
| 97 | 4% | 84% | |
| 98 | 7% | 80% | |
| 99 | 5% | 73% | |
| 100 | 28% | 68% | |
| 101 | 0.7% | 40% | |
| 102 | 6% | 39% | |
| 103 | 9% | 33% | |
| 104 | 1.5% | 24% | |
| 105 | 20% | 22% | |
| 106 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 110 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 113 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 87 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 89 | 4% | 98.8% | |
| 90 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 91 | 3% | 93% | |
| 92 | 2% | 90% | |
| 93 | 9% | 88% | Median |
| 94 | 2% | 79% | |
| 95 | 3% | 77% | |
| 96 | 7% | 74% | |
| 97 | 11% | 67% | |
| 98 | 47% | 56% | |
| 99 | 2% | 9% | |
| 100 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 101 | 2% | 5% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 103 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 104 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 80 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 81 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 82 | 2% | 95% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 84 | 5% | 93% | |
| 85 | 2% | 88% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 86% | Median |
| 87 | 1.0% | 84% | |
| 88 | 3% | 83% | |
| 89 | 12% | 80% | |
| 90 | 28% | 68% | |
| 91 | 6% | 41% | |
| 92 | 3% | 35% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 32% | |
| 94 | 8% | 32% | |
| 95 | 1.3% | 23% | |
| 96 | 20% | 22% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 102 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 78 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 79 | 2% | 96% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 81 | 4% | 93% | |
| 82 | 4% | 89% | |
| 83 | 29% | 85% | Median |
| 84 | 0.9% | 56% | |
| 85 | 2% | 55% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 53% | |
| 87 | 10% | 51% | |
| 88 | 5% | 40% | |
| 89 | 2% | 35% | |
| 90 | 2% | 33% | |
| 91 | 8% | 31% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 23% | |
| 93 | 20% | 22% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 98.5% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 72 | 20% | 97% | |
| 73 | 1.4% | 77% | |
| 74 | 10% | 76% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 66% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 65% | |
| 77 | 6% | 65% | |
| 78 | 31% | 59% | Median |
| 79 | 10% | 28% | |
| 80 | 2% | 18% | |
| 81 | 2% | 16% | |
| 82 | 3% | 14% | |
| 83 | 2% | 11% | |
| 84 | 4% | 9% | |
| 85 | 0.6% | 5% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 88 | 3% | 3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 70 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 71 | 2% | 97% | |
| 72 | 3% | 95% | |
| 73 | 4% | 92% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 88% | |
| 75 | 31% | 87% | Median |
| 76 | 2% | 57% | |
| 77 | 6% | 55% | |
| 78 | 3% | 49% | |
| 79 | 15% | 46% | |
| 80 | 2% | 31% | |
| 81 | 1.5% | 30% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 28% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 27% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 27% | |
| 85 | 24% | 27% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 65 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 67 | 4% | 96% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 91% | |
| 70 | 47% | 91% | |
| 71 | 13% | 44% | Median |
| 72 | 6% | 31% | |
| 73 | 6% | 25% | |
| 74 | 2% | 19% | |
| 75 | 7% | 17% | |
| 76 | 3% | 10% | |
| 77 | 2% | 7% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 79 | 3% | 4% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 64 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 65 | 2% | 97% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 67 | 27% | 95% | |
| 68 | 2% | 67% | |
| 69 | 5% | 65% | |
| 70 | 10% | 60% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 51% | Median |
| 72 | 4% | 50% | |
| 73 | 3% | 45% | |
| 74 | 4% | 43% | |
| 75 | 28% | 38% | |
| 76 | 2% | 10% | |
| 77 | 3% | 8% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 79 | 3% | 5% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 58 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 63 | 2% | 97% | |
| 64 | 28% | 95% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 67% | |
| 66 | 7% | 66% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 58% | |
| 68 | 36% | 58% | Median |
| 69 | 0.4% | 22% | |
| 70 | 7% | 21% | |
| 71 | 2% | 15% | |
| 72 | 4% | 13% | |
| 73 | 1.2% | 9% | |
| 74 | 3% | 8% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 77 | 3% | 4% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 62 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 63 | 20% | 97% | |
| 64 | 1.3% | 77% | |
| 65 | 10% | 76% | |
| 66 | 5% | 65% | |
| 67 | 4% | 60% | |
| 68 | 29% | 57% | |
| 69 | 2% | 28% | Median |
| 70 | 7% | 26% | |
| 71 | 5% | 19% | |
| 72 | 2% | 14% | Last Result |
| 73 | 5% | 12% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 75 | 2% | 7% | |
| 76 | 3% | 5% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.4% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 56 | 5% | 98.6% | |
| 57 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 58 | 3% | 93% | |
| 59 | 10% | 89% | |
| 60 | 2% | 79% | |
| 61 | 2% | 78% | |
| 62 | 25% | 76% | Median |
| 63 | 3% | 51% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 48% | |
| 65 | 1.3% | 48% | |
| 66 | 2% | 46% | |
| 67 | 32% | 44% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 12% | |
| 69 | 1.4% | 11% | |
| 70 | 8% | 10% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 56 | 3% | 98% | |
| 57 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 58 | 2% | 94% | |
| 59 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 60 | 29% | 91% | |
| 61 | 15% | 61% | Median |
| 62 | 21% | 46% | |
| 63 | 5% | 24% | |
| 64 | 9% | 19% | |
| 65 | 2% | 10% | |
| 66 | 2% | 8% | |
| 67 | 3% | 7% | |
| 68 | 3% | 4% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 47 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 50 | 2% | 96% | |
| 51 | 26% | 94% | |
| 52 | 0.9% | 67% | |
| 53 | 9% | 67% | |
| 54 | 4% | 58% | |
| 55 | 7% | 54% | Median |
| 56 | 2% | 47% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 45% | |
| 58 | 2% | 45% | |
| 59 | 33% | 42% | |
| 60 | 4% | 10% | |
| 61 | 3% | 5% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 45 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 48 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 49 | 5% | 96% | |
| 50 | 31% | 91% | |
| 51 | 2% | 60% | |
| 52 | 18% | 58% | Median |
| 53 | 26% | 41% | |
| 54 | 1.1% | 15% | |
| 55 | 3% | 14% | |
| 56 | 7% | 11% | |
| 57 | 2% | 3% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 43 | 3% | 97% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 94% | |
| 45 | 4% | 93% | |
| 46 | 2% | 90% | |
| 47 | 3% | 88% | |
| 48 | 7% | 85% | Median |
| 49 | 25% | 78% | |
| 50 | 12% | 53% | |
| 51 | 34% | 41% | |
| 52 | 2% | 8% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 54 | 2% | 5% | |
| 55 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 56 | 2% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 38 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 41 | 4% | 97% | |
| 42 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 43 | 6% | 92% | |
| 44 | 28% | 86% | |
| 45 | 1.2% | 58% | Median |
| 46 | 32% | 57% | |
| 47 | 12% | 25% | |
| 48 | 2% | 13% | |
| 49 | 7% | 11% | |
| 50 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 53 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 14 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 16 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 17 | 8% | 96% | |
| 18 | 1.4% | 88% | |
| 19 | 8% | 87% | |
| 20 | 26% | 79% | Median |
| 21 | 3% | 53% | |
| 22 | 4% | 51% | |
| 23 | 3% | 47% | |
| 24 | 10% | 44% | |
| 25 | 30% | 35% | |
| 26 | 2% | 5% | |
| 27 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 28 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 30 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): Aftenposten and NRK
- Fieldwork period: 5 September 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 593
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.35%