Opinion Poll by Respons Analyse for VG, 20–22 September 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre |
20.4% |
27.2% |
25.5–29.1% |
25.0–29.6% |
24.5–30.1% |
23.7–31.0% |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
20.8% |
19.2–22.5% |
18.8–23.0% |
18.4–23.4% |
17.7–24.3% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
11.2% |
10.0–12.6% |
9.7–13.0% |
9.4–13.3% |
8.8–14.0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
8.7% |
7.7–10.0% |
7.3–10.3% |
7.1–10.6% |
6.6–11.2% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
7.7% |
6.7–8.9% |
6.4–9.2% |
6.2–9.5% |
5.8–10.1% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
7.2% |
6.2–8.4% |
6.0–8.7% |
5.7–9.0% |
5.3–9.6% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
5.6% |
4.8–6.6% |
4.5–7.0% |
4.3–7.2% |
4.0–7.7% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
4.3% |
3.6–5.2% |
3.4–5.5% |
3.2–5.7% |
2.9–6.2% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
2.9% |
2.3–3.7% |
2.2–3.9% |
2.0–4.1% |
1.8–4.6% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet |
0.3% |
2.6% |
2.1–3.4% |
1.9–3.6% |
1.8–3.8% |
1.6–4.2% |
Konservativt |
0.4% |
0.5% |
0.3–0.9% |
0.3–1.1% |
0.2–1.2% |
0.2–1.4% |
Norgesdemokratene |
1.1% |
0.4% |
0.2–0.8% |
0.2–0.9% |
0.2–1.0% |
0.1–1.3% |
Liberalistene |
0.2% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.0–0.9% |
Pensjonistpartiet |
0.6% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
84% |
99.9% |
Median |
45 |
0.4% |
16% |
|
46 |
2% |
15% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
13% |
|
48 |
2% |
13% |
|
49 |
1.4% |
11% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
9% |
|
51 |
0.5% |
9% |
|
52 |
0.7% |
8% |
|
53 |
7% |
8% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
1.1% |
99.5% |
|
36 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
38 |
84% |
97% |
Median |
39 |
2% |
13% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
11% |
|
41 |
7% |
10% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
43 |
0% |
3% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
45 |
0% |
2% |
|
46 |
2% |
2% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
18 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
19 |
85% |
96% |
Median |
20 |
8% |
12% |
|
21 |
1.0% |
4% |
Last Result |
22 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
23 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
24 |
2% |
2% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
2% |
100% |
|
13 |
8% |
98% |
Last Result |
14 |
2% |
90% |
|
15 |
3% |
88% |
|
16 |
0.6% |
85% |
|
17 |
84% |
84% |
Median |
18 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
19 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
20 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
21 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
|
12 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
13 |
9% |
97% |
|
14 |
0.5% |
88% |
|
15 |
2% |
87% |
|
16 |
0.3% |
85% |
|
17 |
84% |
85% |
Median |
18 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
10 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
11 |
3% |
96% |
|
12 |
85% |
94% |
Median |
13 |
0.4% |
9% |
|
14 |
0.7% |
8% |
|
15 |
7% |
8% |
|
16 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
7% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
0.3% |
93% |
Last Result |
9 |
1.3% |
92% |
|
10 |
87% |
91% |
Median |
11 |
2% |
4% |
|
12 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
13 |
2% |
2% |
|
14 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
2 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
3 |
9% |
98.8% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
90% |
|
5 |
0% |
90% |
|
6 |
0.2% |
90% |
|
7 |
84% |
90% |
Median |
8 |
3% |
6% |
|
9 |
3% |
3% |
|
10 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
1 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
2 |
91% |
99.1% |
Median |
3 |
8% |
9% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
0.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.9% |
|
6 |
0% |
0.9% |
|
7 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
11% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
2% |
89% |
|
2 |
86% |
88% |
Median |
3 |
1.1% |
1.4% |
|
4 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
7 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
96 |
94 |
100% |
94–97 |
94–104 |
94–104 |
89–104 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
71 |
84 |
16% |
84–89 |
84–94 |
84–94 |
83–97 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
68 |
77 |
9% |
77–83 |
77–91 |
77–91 |
77–91 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
100 |
89 |
90% |
84–89 |
77–89 |
77–89 |
77–89 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
65 |
75 |
8% |
75–81 |
75–88 |
75–88 |
75–88 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt |
97 |
82 |
0% |
77–82 |
74–82 |
74–82 |
71–83 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
95 |
81 |
0% |
75–81 |
73–81 |
73–81 |
73–81 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
79 |
0% |
72–79 |
70–79 |
70–79 |
68–79 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
72 |
72 |
0% |
70–72 |
64–72 |
64–73 |
64–77 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
57 |
63 |
0% |
63–70 |
63–73 |
63–73 |
63–73 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet |
89 |
72 |
0% |
67–72 |
67–72 |
66–72 |
60–73 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
47 |
58 |
0% |
58–63 |
58–71 |
58–71 |
58–71 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
82 |
64 |
0% |
60–64 |
60–64 |
59–67 |
58–69 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
57 |
0% |
57 |
56–57 |
53–60 |
51–61 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
55 |
0% |
54–55 |
54–55 |
52–58 |
50–60 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
55 |
0% |
54–55 |
54–55 |
51–57 |
45–59 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
39 |
31 |
0% |
31 |
27–31 |
25–31 |
24–32 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
88 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
89 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
90 |
0% |
98% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
92 |
0% |
98% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
94 |
85% |
98% |
Median |
95 |
0.3% |
13% |
|
96 |
0.5% |
13% |
Last Result |
97 |
3% |
12% |
|
98 |
0.7% |
10% |
|
99 |
1.1% |
9% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
8% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
8% |
|
102 |
0% |
8% |
|
103 |
0.1% |
8% |
|
104 |
7% |
8% |
|
105 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
84 |
84% |
99.4% |
Median |
85 |
2% |
16% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
14% |
|
87 |
0% |
12% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
12% |
|
89 |
2% |
11% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
10% |
|
91 |
0.6% |
9% |
|
92 |
0% |
9% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
9% |
|
94 |
7% |
9% |
|
95 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
96 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
|
97 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
98 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
77 |
86% |
99.7% |
Median |
78 |
0.1% |
14% |
|
79 |
0% |
14% |
|
80 |
1.1% |
14% |
|
81 |
0.9% |
13% |
|
82 |
2% |
12% |
|
83 |
0.9% |
10% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
9% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
9% |
Majority |
86 |
0.4% |
9% |
|
87 |
0% |
8% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
8% |
|
89 |
0.8% |
8% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
7% |
|
91 |
7% |
7% |
|
92 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
77 |
7% |
99.9% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
93% |
|
79 |
0.9% |
92% |
|
80 |
0% |
92% |
|
81 |
0% |
91% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
91% |
|
83 |
0.7% |
91% |
|
84 |
0.9% |
90% |
|
85 |
2% |
90% |
Majority |
86 |
0.6% |
87% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
87% |
|
88 |
0.7% |
86% |
|
89 |
85% |
86% |
Median |
90 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
92 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
86% |
99.9% |
Median |
76 |
0.1% |
14% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
14% |
|
78 |
1.2% |
14% |
|
79 |
0.9% |
13% |
|
80 |
2% |
12% |
|
81 |
0.4% |
10% |
|
82 |
1.0% |
10% |
|
83 |
0.7% |
9% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
8% |
|
85 |
0% |
8% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
8% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
8% |
|
88 |
7% |
7% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
98.8% |
|
74 |
7% |
98.8% |
|
75 |
0.4% |
91% |
|
76 |
0.9% |
91% |
|
77 |
0.8% |
90% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
89% |
|
79 |
0.9% |
89% |
|
80 |
2% |
88% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
86% |
|
82 |
85% |
86% |
Median |
83 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
73 |
7% |
99.6% |
|
74 |
2% |
92% |
|
75 |
1.4% |
90% |
|
76 |
0.9% |
89% |
|
77 |
0.6% |
88% |
|
78 |
0.6% |
87% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
87% |
|
80 |
0.7% |
86% |
|
81 |
85% |
86% |
Median |
82 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
|
70 |
7% |
98.9% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
91% |
|
72 |
2% |
91% |
|
73 |
0.7% |
90% |
|
74 |
1.5% |
89% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
88% |
|
76 |
0.7% |
87% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
87% |
|
78 |
0.8% |
86% |
|
79 |
85% |
86% |
Median |
80 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
7% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
92% |
|
66 |
0% |
92% |
|
67 |
0% |
92% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
92% |
|
69 |
1.2% |
92% |
|
70 |
2% |
91% |
|
71 |
1.5% |
88% |
|
72 |
84% |
87% |
Last Result, Median |
73 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
76 |
0% |
2% |
|
77 |
2% |
2% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
84% |
99.9% |
Median |
64 |
0.3% |
16% |
|
65 |
2% |
16% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
14% |
|
67 |
1.1% |
14% |
|
68 |
0.9% |
12% |
|
69 |
0.7% |
12% |
|
70 |
2% |
11% |
|
71 |
0.9% |
9% |
|
72 |
0% |
8% |
|
73 |
7% |
8% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.2% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
98.8% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
98.7% |
|
66 |
1.5% |
98% |
|
67 |
8% |
97% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
89% |
|
69 |
2% |
89% |
|
70 |
2% |
87% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
84% |
|
72 |
84% |
84% |
Median |
73 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
74 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
86% |
99.7% |
Median |
59 |
0.8% |
14% |
|
60 |
2% |
13% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
11% |
|
62 |
0.8% |
11% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
10% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
10% |
|
65 |
0.8% |
9% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
9% |
|
67 |
0.9% |
8% |
|
68 |
0% |
7% |
|
69 |
0% |
7% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
7% |
|
71 |
7% |
7% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
57 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
59 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
60 |
8% |
97% |
|
61 |
1.1% |
89% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
88% |
|
63 |
0.6% |
87% |
|
64 |
84% |
87% |
Median |
65 |
0% |
3% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
68 |
0% |
2% |
|
69 |
2% |
2% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
51 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
52 |
0.9% |
98.9% |
|
53 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
54 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
56 |
2% |
96% |
|
57 |
91% |
95% |
Median |
58 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
59 |
0% |
3% |
|
60 |
2% |
3% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
50 |
1.1% |
99.5% |
|
51 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
52 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
53 |
1.0% |
97% |
|
54 |
9% |
96% |
|
55 |
84% |
87% |
Median |
56 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
58 |
2% |
3% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
47 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
48 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
49 |
0.3% |
98.9% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
98.6% |
|
51 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
52 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
54 |
9% |
96% |
|
55 |
84% |
87% |
Median |
56 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
58 |
2% |
2% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
24 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
26 |
1.0% |
97% |
|
27 |
2% |
96% |
|
28 |
1.2% |
94% |
|
29 |
0.7% |
93% |
|
30 |
1.1% |
93% |
|
31 |
91% |
91% |
Median |
32 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
34 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Respons Analyse
- Commissioner(s): VG
- Fieldwork period: 20–22 September 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 4.34%