Opinion Poll by InFact for Nettavisen, 2 October 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 25.0% | 23.3–26.7% | 22.8–27.3% | 22.4–27.7% | 21.7–28.6% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 20.7% | 19.1–22.3% | 18.7–22.8% | 18.3–23.2% | 17.6–24.1% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 14.0% | 12.7–15.4% | 12.3–15.9% | 12.0–16.2% | 11.4–16.9% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6–9.8% | 7.3–10.2% | 7.1–10.5% | 6.6–11.1% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.8% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.8–7.2% | 4.6–7.4% | 4.2–8.0% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5–6.3% | 4.3–6.5% | 4.1–6.8% | 3.7–7.3% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.4% | 4.0–6.7% | 3.6–7.2% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.2–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 45 | 42–49 | 42–49 | 41–50 | 40–51 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 40 | 37–46 | 36–46 | 35–46 | 34–48 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 25 | 22–29 | 22–30 | 21–31 | 20–33 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 15 | 11–17 | 11–17 | 10–18 | 9–20 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 10 | 8–12 | 7–13 | 7–13 | 6–15 |
| Venstre | 8 | 9 | 7–10 | 6–11 | 3–11 | 3–12 |
| Rødt | 8 | 8 | 7–10 | 6–11 | 1–11 | 1–12 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 6 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 6 | 2–7 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 1–10 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 7 | 2–8 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 1.5% | 99.6% | |
| 41 | 2% | 98% | |
| 42 | 8% | 96% | |
| 43 | 16% | 88% | |
| 44 | 14% | 72% | |
| 45 | 14% | 58% | Median |
| 46 | 17% | 44% | |
| 47 | 6% | 27% | |
| 48 | 10% | 21% | |
| 49 | 7% | 11% | |
| 50 | 2% | 3% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 36 | 4% | 97% | |
| 37 | 7% | 93% | |
| 38 | 7% | 87% | |
| 39 | 15% | 79% | |
| 40 | 30% | 64% | Median |
| 41 | 5% | 34% | |
| 42 | 7% | 29% | |
| 43 | 3% | 22% | |
| 44 | 2% | 18% | |
| 45 | 4% | 16% | |
| 46 | 10% | 12% | |
| 47 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 21 | 3% | 98% | Last Result |
| 22 | 17% | 96% | |
| 23 | 8% | 79% | |
| 24 | 12% | 71% | |
| 25 | 11% | 59% | Median |
| 26 | 9% | 47% | |
| 27 | 18% | 38% | |
| 28 | 8% | 21% | |
| 29 | 5% | 13% | |
| 30 | 5% | 8% | |
| 31 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 33 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 11 | 13% | 97% | |
| 12 | 6% | 83% | |
| 13 | 16% | 77% | Last Result |
| 14 | 10% | 61% | |
| 15 | 31% | 51% | Median |
| 16 | 9% | 20% | |
| 17 | 8% | 11% | |
| 18 | 2% | 3% | |
| 19 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 5% | 98% | |
| 8 | 15% | 93% | |
| 9 | 26% | 78% | |
| 10 | 26% | 53% | Median |
| 11 | 6% | 27% | |
| 12 | 12% | 21% | |
| 13 | 8% | 10% | |
| 14 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 3% | 97% | |
| 7 | 12% | 94% | |
| 8 | 24% | 83% | Last Result |
| 9 | 21% | 58% | Median |
| 10 | 28% | 37% | |
| 11 | 7% | 9% | |
| 12 | 2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 96% | |
| 3 | 0% | 96% | |
| 4 | 0% | 96% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 6 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 7 | 29% | 95% | |
| 8 | 20% | 66% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 32% | 46% | |
| 10 | 8% | 14% | |
| 11 | 5% | 5% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 19% | 100% | |
| 3 | 21% | 81% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 60% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 60% | |
| 6 | 17% | 60% | Median |
| 7 | 17% | 43% | |
| 8 | 19% | 26% | |
| 9 | 5% | 8% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 13% | 99.2% | |
| 3 | 34% | 86% | |
| 4 | 0% | 53% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 53% | |
| 6 | 19% | 52% | Median |
| 7 | 24% | 33% | |
| 8 | 6% | 9% | |
| 9 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 10 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6% | 100% | |
| 2 | 11% | 94% | |
| 3 | 24% | 84% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 60% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 60% | |
| 6 | 6% | 59% | |
| 7 | 36% | 53% | Median |
| 8 | 16% | 17% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 94 | 99.3% | 90–99 | 89–102 | 87–102 | 84–105 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 90 | 93% | 86–95 | 83–97 | 82–98 | 81–100 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 84 | 46% | 80–90 | 79–91 | 78–94 | 74–95 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 79 | 9% | 75–84 | 73–85 | 72–88 | 70–88 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 78 | 2% | 72–82 | 71–83 | 70–84 | 68–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 76 | 0.7% | 70–79 | 67–80 | 65–81 | 64–85 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 73 | 0.1% | 68–76 | 67–78 | 65–79 | 64–82 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 71 | 0% | 67–75 | 66–77 | 65–78 | 63–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 70 | 0% | 64–74 | 63–74 | 61–76 | 60–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 68 | 0% | 63–72 | 62–74 | 61–75 | 58–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 65 | 0% | 60–68 | 58–69 | 58–70 | 56–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 61 | 0% | 56–68 | 54–68 | 51–68 | 51–69 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 60 | 0% | 55–63 | 54–65 | 53–66 | 51–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 55 | 0% | 51–61 | 50–61 | 48–62 | 48–64 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 55 | 0% | 51–58 | 50–59 | 49–60 | 47–62 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 50 | 0% | 46–55 | 45–55 | 45–55 | 43–58 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 23 | 0% | 20–29 | 19–31 | 18–31 | 17–32 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 99.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 98.5% | |
| 87 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 88 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 89 | 5% | 96% | |
| 90 | 3% | 91% | |
| 91 | 14% | 88% | |
| 92 | 5% | 74% | |
| 93 | 13% | 69% | |
| 94 | 8% | 56% | |
| 95 | 5% | 47% | Median |
| 96 | 15% | 42% | Last Result |
| 97 | 4% | 28% | |
| 98 | 5% | 23% | |
| 99 | 11% | 18% | |
| 100 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 101 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 102 | 4% | 6% | |
| 103 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 104 | 2% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 82 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 83 | 2% | 97% | |
| 84 | 2% | 95% | |
| 85 | 2% | 93% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 91% | |
| 87 | 9% | 85% | |
| 88 | 4% | 76% | |
| 89 | 14% | 72% | |
| 90 | 14% | 58% | |
| 91 | 18% | 44% | |
| 92 | 5% | 26% | Median |
| 93 | 6% | 21% | |
| 94 | 5% | 15% | |
| 95 | 4% | 10% | |
| 96 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 97 | 2% | 6% | |
| 98 | 2% | 4% | |
| 99 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 78 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 79 | 2% | 97% | |
| 80 | 6% | 95% | |
| 81 | 3% | 89% | |
| 82 | 14% | 86% | |
| 83 | 14% | 72% | |
| 84 | 12% | 58% | |
| 85 | 5% | 46% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 12% | 41% | |
| 87 | 11% | 29% | |
| 88 | 5% | 18% | |
| 89 | 3% | 13% | |
| 90 | 2% | 10% | |
| 91 | 4% | 8% | |
| 92 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 93 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 94 | 2% | 3% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 72 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 73 | 2% | 97% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 75 | 5% | 94% | |
| 76 | 13% | 89% | |
| 77 | 8% | 76% | |
| 78 | 11% | 68% | |
| 79 | 16% | 57% | Median |
| 80 | 4% | 41% | |
| 81 | 11% | 37% | |
| 82 | 9% | 27% | |
| 83 | 4% | 17% | |
| 84 | 4% | 14% | |
| 85 | 5% | 9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 88 | 3% | 3% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 70 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 71 | 4% | 95% | |
| 72 | 3% | 92% | |
| 73 | 2% | 89% | |
| 74 | 6% | 86% | |
| 75 | 10% | 80% | |
| 76 | 8% | 69% | |
| 77 | 6% | 61% | |
| 78 | 8% | 55% | |
| 79 | 5% | 47% | |
| 80 | 14% | 42% | Median |
| 81 | 7% | 28% | |
| 82 | 14% | 21% | |
| 83 | 4% | 7% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 67 | 3% | 97% | |
| 68 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 69 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 70 | 5% | 91% | |
| 71 | 2% | 86% | |
| 72 | 5% | 84% | |
| 73 | 10% | 79% | |
| 74 | 5% | 70% | |
| 75 | 12% | 65% | |
| 76 | 12% | 53% | |
| 77 | 13% | 40% | |
| 78 | 6% | 28% | Median |
| 79 | 15% | 21% | |
| 80 | 3% | 6% | |
| 81 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 82 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 0.7% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 65 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 67 | 5% | 96% | |
| 68 | 5% | 91% | |
| 69 | 7% | 85% | |
| 70 | 5% | 79% | |
| 71 | 9% | 74% | |
| 72 | 7% | 65% | |
| 73 | 14% | 58% | Median |
| 74 | 19% | 44% | |
| 75 | 13% | 25% | |
| 76 | 3% | 12% | |
| 77 | 4% | 10% | |
| 78 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 79 | 2% | 5% | |
| 80 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 65 | 3% | 98% | |
| 66 | 4% | 95% | |
| 67 | 7% | 91% | |
| 68 | 17% | 84% | |
| 69 | 12% | 68% | |
| 70 | 5% | 56% | Median |
| 71 | 17% | 51% | |
| 72 | 8% | 34% | |
| 73 | 6% | 25% | |
| 74 | 3% | 19% | |
| 75 | 7% | 16% | |
| 76 | 3% | 8% | |
| 77 | 2% | 5% | |
| 78 | 2% | 3% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 62 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 63 | 2% | 96% | |
| 64 | 6% | 94% | |
| 65 | 3% | 88% | |
| 66 | 7% | 86% | |
| 67 | 8% | 79% | |
| 68 | 6% | 71% | |
| 69 | 9% | 65% | |
| 70 | 12% | 56% | |
| 71 | 7% | 44% | |
| 72 | 3% | 37% | Median |
| 73 | 19% | 34% | |
| 74 | 11% | 15% | |
| 75 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 76 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 61 | 2% | 98% | |
| 62 | 3% | 96% | |
| 63 | 7% | 93% | |
| 64 | 4% | 86% | |
| 65 | 10% | 82% | |
| 66 | 10% | 72% | |
| 67 | 10% | 62% | |
| 68 | 6% | 52% | |
| 69 | 5% | 46% | |
| 70 | 8% | 41% | Median |
| 71 | 14% | 33% | |
| 72 | 12% | 19% | Last Result |
| 73 | 2% | 8% | |
| 74 | 3% | 6% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 76 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 58 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 60 | 8% | 93% | |
| 61 | 6% | 86% | |
| 62 | 6% | 79% | |
| 63 | 8% | 73% | |
| 64 | 6% | 65% | |
| 65 | 17% | 59% | Median |
| 66 | 16% | 42% | |
| 67 | 15% | 26% | |
| 68 | 5% | 11% | |
| 69 | 2% | 6% | |
| 70 | 2% | 4% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 54 | 3% | 96% | |
| 55 | 2% | 93% | |
| 56 | 3% | 91% | |
| 57 | 5% | 88% | |
| 58 | 8% | 83% | |
| 59 | 4% | 74% | |
| 60 | 18% | 71% | |
| 61 | 9% | 52% | |
| 62 | 11% | 43% | |
| 63 | 6% | 33% | Median |
| 64 | 7% | 27% | |
| 65 | 4% | 19% | |
| 66 | 3% | 16% | |
| 67 | 2% | 13% | |
| 68 | 10% | 11% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98% | |
| 54 | 5% | 96% | |
| 55 | 2% | 91% | |
| 56 | 11% | 89% | |
| 57 | 9% | 79% | |
| 58 | 8% | 70% | |
| 59 | 11% | 62% | |
| 60 | 16% | 51% | Median |
| 61 | 8% | 35% | |
| 62 | 14% | 27% | |
| 63 | 3% | 13% | |
| 64 | 4% | 10% | |
| 65 | 2% | 6% | |
| 66 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 69 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 50 | 2% | 96% | |
| 51 | 4% | 93% | |
| 52 | 13% | 89% | |
| 53 | 9% | 76% | |
| 54 | 5% | 67% | |
| 55 | 13% | 62% | |
| 56 | 4% | 49% | Median |
| 57 | 12% | 45% | |
| 58 | 6% | 32% | |
| 59 | 5% | 26% | |
| 60 | 6% | 22% | |
| 61 | 12% | 15% | |
| 62 | 2% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 49 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 50 | 5% | 97% | |
| 51 | 9% | 92% | |
| 52 | 8% | 83% | |
| 53 | 6% | 75% | |
| 54 | 9% | 69% | |
| 55 | 27% | 60% | Median |
| 56 | 6% | 33% | |
| 57 | 15% | 27% | |
| 58 | 5% | 12% | |
| 59 | 4% | 7% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 61 | 0.9% | 2% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 45 | 6% | 98.9% | |
| 46 | 5% | 93% | |
| 47 | 8% | 89% | |
| 48 | 8% | 81% | |
| 49 | 9% | 73% | |
| 50 | 21% | 64% | Median |
| 51 | 8% | 42% | |
| 52 | 10% | 34% | |
| 53 | 6% | 24% | |
| 54 | 5% | 19% | |
| 55 | 12% | 14% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 18 | 2% | 98% | |
| 19 | 3% | 96% | |
| 20 | 5% | 93% | |
| 21 | 8% | 88% | |
| 22 | 15% | 80% | |
| 23 | 17% | 66% | |
| 24 | 10% | 49% | |
| 25 | 9% | 39% | Median |
| 26 | 6% | 30% | |
| 27 | 10% | 24% | |
| 28 | 3% | 14% | |
| 29 | 4% | 11% | |
| 30 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 31 | 5% | 5% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: InFact
- Commissioner(s): Nettavisen
- Fieldwork period: 2 October 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1045
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.86%