Opinion Poll by Verian for TV2, 2 October 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre |
20.4% |
27.0% |
25.2–28.8% |
24.7–29.4% |
24.3–29.8% |
23.4–30.7% |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
20.6% |
19.0–22.3% |
18.5–22.8% |
18.2–23.2% |
17.4–24.1% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
12.6% |
11.3–14.0% |
10.9–14.4% |
10.6–14.8% |
10.1–15.5% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
8.7% |
7.7–10.0% |
7.4–10.3% |
7.1–10.6% |
6.6–11.3% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
6.5% |
5.6–7.6% |
5.3–7.9% |
5.1–8.2% |
4.7–8.8% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
6.1% |
5.2–7.2% |
5.0–7.5% |
4.8–7.8% |
4.4–8.3% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
4.9% |
4.1–5.9% |
3.9–6.1% |
3.7–6.4% |
3.3–6.9% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet |
0.3% |
4.3% |
3.5–5.2% |
3.3–5.5% |
3.2–5.7% |
2.9–6.2% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
4.1% |
3.4–5.0% |
3.2–5.2% |
3.0–5.5% |
2.7–6.0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
3.7% |
3.1–4.6% |
2.9–4.9% |
2.7–5.1% |
2.4–5.6% |
Pensjonistpartiet |
0.6% |
0.9% |
0.6–1.4% |
0.5–1.6% |
0.5–1.7% |
0.4–2.0% |
Konservativt |
0.4% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.1–0.8% |
0.1–0.9% |
0.1–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
43 |
4% |
99.1% |
|
44 |
7% |
95% |
|
45 |
0.7% |
88% |
|
46 |
6% |
87% |
|
47 |
2% |
82% |
|
48 |
13% |
80% |
|
49 |
18% |
67% |
Median |
50 |
3% |
48% |
|
51 |
0.6% |
45% |
|
52 |
42% |
44% |
|
53 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
55 |
2% |
2% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
34 |
4% |
99.7% |
|
35 |
2% |
96% |
|
36 |
1.3% |
94% |
|
37 |
42% |
92% |
|
38 |
18% |
51% |
Median |
39 |
3% |
33% |
|
40 |
5% |
30% |
|
41 |
5% |
25% |
|
42 |
5% |
20% |
|
43 |
0.8% |
15% |
|
44 |
9% |
14% |
|
45 |
4% |
5% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
48 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
Last Result |
49 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
18 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
19 |
2% |
98% |
|
20 |
5% |
96% |
|
21 |
46% |
91% |
Last Result, Median |
22 |
11% |
45% |
|
23 |
10% |
34% |
|
24 |
18% |
25% |
|
25 |
0.5% |
7% |
|
26 |
1.3% |
6% |
|
27 |
4% |
5% |
|
28 |
1.0% |
1.5% |
|
29 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
31 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
4% |
98% |
|
12 |
2% |
94% |
|
13 |
13% |
92% |
Last Result |
14 |
7% |
79% |
|
15 |
51% |
73% |
Median |
16 |
2% |
21% |
|
17 |
16% |
19% |
|
18 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
19 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
20 |
2% |
2% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
8 |
5% |
99.1% |
Last Result |
9 |
27% |
95% |
|
10 |
13% |
68% |
|
11 |
8% |
54% |
Median |
12 |
43% |
46% |
|
13 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
14 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
15 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
6 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
7 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
|
8 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
9 |
19% |
96% |
|
10 |
18% |
77% |
|
11 |
8% |
59% |
|
12 |
1.2% |
51% |
Median |
13 |
44% |
50% |
|
14 |
4% |
5% |
|
15 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
3% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
97% |
|
3 |
0% |
97% |
|
4 |
0% |
97% |
|
5 |
0% |
97% |
|
6 |
5% |
97% |
|
7 |
8% |
92% |
|
8 |
34% |
85% |
Last Result |
9 |
49% |
51% |
Median |
10 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
11 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
12 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0.2% |
99.0% |
|
2 |
17% |
98.8% |
|
3 |
57% |
82% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
25% |
|
5 |
0% |
25% |
|
6 |
2% |
25% |
|
7 |
10% |
24% |
|
8 |
10% |
14% |
|
9 |
3% |
4% |
|
10 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
3% |
100% |
|
3 |
53% |
97% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
0% |
44% |
|
5 |
0% |
44% |
|
6 |
2% |
44% |
|
7 |
14% |
41% |
|
8 |
26% |
27% |
|
9 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
2% |
100% |
|
2 |
10% |
98% |
|
3 |
67% |
88% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
0% |
21% |
|
5 |
0% |
21% |
|
6 |
2% |
21% |
|
7 |
17% |
19% |
|
8 |
2% |
2% |
|
9 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
10 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
96 |
100 |
100% |
91–101 |
90–101 |
90–103 |
88–106 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
71 |
91 |
97% |
87–93 |
86–95 |
84–97 |
82–99 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
68 |
88 |
78% |
82–90 |
81–90 |
80–92 |
79–95 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
65 |
83 |
46% |
77–85 |
75–85 |
74–86 |
73–88 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
100 |
77 |
0.2% |
73–81 |
71–83 |
70–83 |
68–83 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
95 |
71 |
0.6% |
71–78 |
69–79 |
67–79 |
66–85 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt |
97 |
74 |
0% |
69–76 |
68–76 |
66–77 |
62–80 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
57 |
73 |
0% |
66–73 |
65–75 |
63–76 |
63–77 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
68 |
0% |
66–73 |
64–75 |
61–75 |
60–78 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
72 |
64 |
0% |
62–71 |
61–74 |
59–74 |
57–74 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet |
89 |
65 |
0% |
61–68 |
60–68 |
58–70 |
57–72 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
47 |
66 |
0% |
60–67 |
60–68 |
58–69 |
58–71 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
82 |
58 |
0% |
56–65 |
54–65 |
53–66 |
49–70 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
54 |
0% |
53–61 |
51–62 |
49–62 |
47–64 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
52 |
0% |
52–58 |
49–59 |
48–59 |
47–62 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
50 |
0% |
48–54 |
45–54 |
45–56 |
44–57 |
Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
39 |
28 |
0% |
24–28 |
21–32 |
21–32 |
19–35 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
88 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
90 |
4% |
99.2% |
|
91 |
9% |
95% |
|
92 |
2% |
86% |
|
93 |
0.7% |
84% |
|
94 |
1.0% |
84% |
|
95 |
2% |
83% |
|
96 |
1.0% |
81% |
Last Result, Median |
97 |
7% |
80% |
|
98 |
1.4% |
73% |
|
99 |
8% |
71% |
|
100 |
17% |
63% |
|
101 |
43% |
47% |
|
102 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
103 |
2% |
3% |
|
104 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
105 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
106 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
107 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
83 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
85 |
1.4% |
97% |
Majority |
86 |
5% |
96% |
|
87 |
1.2% |
90% |
Median |
88 |
4% |
89% |
|
89 |
7% |
85% |
|
90 |
4% |
77% |
|
91 |
43% |
73% |
|
92 |
0.7% |
30% |
|
93 |
19% |
29% |
|
94 |
3% |
10% |
|
95 |
3% |
7% |
|
96 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
97 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
98 |
0.9% |
1.4% |
|
99 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
101 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
80 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
81 |
5% |
97% |
|
82 |
8% |
92% |
|
83 |
5% |
84% |
|
84 |
1.2% |
79% |
Median |
85 |
2% |
78% |
Majority |
86 |
0.7% |
76% |
|
87 |
2% |
76% |
|
88 |
47% |
74% |
|
89 |
1.3% |
27% |
|
90 |
21% |
26% |
|
91 |
1.3% |
5% |
|
92 |
2% |
3% |
|
93 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
94 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
95 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
96 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
4% |
99.2% |
|
75 |
4% |
95% |
|
76 |
1.3% |
91% |
|
77 |
0.9% |
90% |
|
78 |
4% |
89% |
|
79 |
10% |
86% |
|
80 |
4% |
76% |
|
81 |
4% |
71% |
Median |
82 |
16% |
68% |
|
83 |
5% |
52% |
|
84 |
0.6% |
47% |
|
85 |
42% |
46% |
Majority |
86 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
87 |
2% |
2% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
89 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
91 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
70 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
71 |
4% |
97% |
|
72 |
2% |
92% |
|
73 |
1.3% |
91% |
|
74 |
1.0% |
89% |
|
75 |
3% |
88% |
|
76 |
16% |
86% |
|
77 |
51% |
70% |
Median |
78 |
3% |
19% |
|
79 |
1.0% |
16% |
|
80 |
5% |
15% |
|
81 |
1.1% |
10% |
|
82 |
0.7% |
9% |
|
83 |
8% |
8% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
66 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
67 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
68 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
69 |
2% |
96% |
|
70 |
1.4% |
94% |
|
71 |
44% |
93% |
Median |
72 |
1.2% |
49% |
|
73 |
3% |
48% |
|
74 |
2% |
45% |
|
75 |
0.6% |
43% |
|
76 |
16% |
43% |
|
77 |
7% |
27% |
|
78 |
13% |
19% |
|
79 |
4% |
6% |
|
80 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
81 |
0.4% |
1.5% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
66 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
67 |
0.8% |
96% |
|
68 |
5% |
96% |
|
69 |
2% |
91% |
|
70 |
3% |
89% |
|
71 |
2% |
85% |
|
72 |
2% |
83% |
|
73 |
20% |
81% |
|
74 |
46% |
61% |
Median |
75 |
4% |
16% |
|
76 |
9% |
11% |
|
77 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
80 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.9% |
96% |
|
65 |
5% |
95% |
|
66 |
0.8% |
90% |
|
67 |
3% |
89% |
|
68 |
1.4% |
86% |
|
69 |
2% |
85% |
|
70 |
9% |
83% |
Median |
71 |
4% |
74% |
|
72 |
3% |
70% |
|
73 |
62% |
67% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
5% |
|
75 |
2% |
5% |
|
76 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
77 |
2% |
2% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
60 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
63 |
2% |
97% |
|
64 |
4% |
95% |
|
65 |
0.9% |
92% |
|
66 |
3% |
91% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
88% |
|
68 |
56% |
87% |
Median |
69 |
5% |
31% |
|
70 |
6% |
26% |
|
71 |
8% |
21% |
|
72 |
3% |
13% |
|
73 |
0.5% |
10% |
|
74 |
0.8% |
10% |
|
75 |
8% |
9% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
77 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
78 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
2% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
59 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
60 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
61 |
2% |
96% |
|
62 |
5% |
94% |
|
63 |
4% |
89% |
|
64 |
42% |
85% |
|
65 |
1.2% |
43% |
Median |
66 |
19% |
42% |
|
67 |
2% |
22% |
|
68 |
5% |
20% |
|
69 |
0.6% |
16% |
|
70 |
3% |
15% |
|
71 |
4% |
12% |
|
72 |
0.5% |
8% |
Last Result |
73 |
0.5% |
7% |
|
74 |
7% |
7% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
58 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
59 |
2% |
97% |
|
60 |
2% |
95% |
|
61 |
5% |
94% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
89% |
|
63 |
4% |
89% |
|
64 |
6% |
85% |
|
65 |
57% |
79% |
Median |
66 |
2% |
22% |
|
67 |
4% |
20% |
|
68 |
13% |
16% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
72 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
58 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
59 |
1.0% |
97% |
|
60 |
9% |
96% |
|
61 |
5% |
87% |
|
62 |
5% |
82% |
|
63 |
5% |
78% |
Median |
64 |
2% |
73% |
|
65 |
8% |
71% |
|
66 |
16% |
63% |
|
67 |
42% |
48% |
|
68 |
2% |
6% |
|
69 |
3% |
4% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
1.3% |
|
71 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0% |
99.2% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
98.8% |
|
53 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
54 |
2% |
97% |
|
55 |
2% |
95% |
|
56 |
41% |
93% |
Median |
57 |
2% |
52% |
|
58 |
2% |
50% |
|
59 |
16% |
48% |
|
60 |
4% |
33% |
|
61 |
1.3% |
29% |
|
62 |
1.1% |
28% |
|
63 |
9% |
26% |
|
64 |
6% |
17% |
|
65 |
8% |
11% |
|
66 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
67 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
68 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
48 |
1.4% |
99.0% |
|
49 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
50 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
51 |
2% |
96% |
|
52 |
2% |
94% |
|
53 |
41% |
91% |
Median |
54 |
2% |
50% |
|
55 |
1.0% |
49% |
|
56 |
22% |
48% |
|
57 |
7% |
25% |
|
58 |
4% |
19% |
|
59 |
2% |
14% |
|
60 |
2% |
12% |
|
61 |
1.0% |
10% |
|
62 |
7% |
9% |
|
63 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
47 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
2% |
98% |
|
49 |
2% |
96% |
|
50 |
1.5% |
95% |
|
51 |
2% |
93% |
|
52 |
47% |
91% |
|
53 |
0.9% |
44% |
Median |
54 |
5% |
43% |
|
55 |
20% |
38% |
|
56 |
2% |
19% |
|
57 |
1.2% |
16% |
|
58 |
6% |
15% |
|
59 |
8% |
9% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
|
45 |
4% |
98.7% |
|
46 |
0.6% |
95% |
|
47 |
2% |
94% |
|
48 |
18% |
92% |
|
49 |
1.2% |
74% |
|
50 |
47% |
73% |
Median |
51 |
5% |
26% |
|
52 |
0.8% |
21% |
|
53 |
8% |
20% |
|
54 |
8% |
12% |
|
55 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
56 |
2% |
4% |
|
57 |
2% |
2% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
19 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
|
21 |
7% |
98.7% |
|
22 |
0.3% |
92% |
|
23 |
0.5% |
91% |
|
24 |
3% |
91% |
|
25 |
4% |
88% |
|
26 |
11% |
84% |
Median |
27 |
20% |
73% |
|
28 |
43% |
52% |
|
29 |
2% |
9% |
|
30 |
0.8% |
8% |
|
31 |
0.9% |
7% |
|
32 |
4% |
6% |
|
33 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
34 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
35 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Verian
- Commissioner(s): TV2
- Fieldwork period: 2 October 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 987
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.61%