Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 3–4 October 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre 20.4% 26.5% 24.6–28.5% 24.0–29.1% 23.6–29.6% 22.7–30.6%
Arbeiderpartiet 26.2% 21.0% 19.3–22.9% 18.8–23.5% 18.4–23.9% 17.6–24.9%
Fremskrittspartiet 11.6% 12.8% 11.4–14.4% 11.0–14.8% 10.6–15.2% 10.0–16.0%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.6% 10.4% 9.2–11.9% 8.8–12.4% 8.5–12.7% 8.0–13.5%
Venstre 4.6% 5.6% 4.7–6.8% 4.4–7.1% 4.2–7.4% 3.8–8.0%
Senterpartiet 13.5% 5.5% 4.6–6.6% 4.3–7.0% 4.1–7.2% 3.7–7.8%
Rødt 4.7% 5.0% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.4% 3.7–6.7% 3.3–7.3%
Kristelig Folkeparti 3.8% 4.1% 3.4–5.2% 3.2–5.5% 3.0–5.7% 2.6–6.3%
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0.3% 4.1% 3.4–5.2% 3.2–5.5% 3.0–5.7% 2.6–6.3%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.9% 3.0% 2.4–4.0% 2.2–4.2% 2.1–4.5% 1.8–4.9%
Pensjonistpartiet 0.6% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.8% 0.3–2.1%
Konservativt 0.4% 0.7% 0.5–1.3% 0.4–1.4% 0.3–1.6% 0.2–1.9%
Liberalistene 0.2% 0.1% 0.1–0.5% 0.0–0.6% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre 36 49 46–49 44–50 42–52 42–53
Arbeiderpartiet 48 39 33–42 33–45 33–45 33–46
Fremskrittspartiet 21 24 20–30 19–30 19–30 18–30
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 13 17 13–20 13–22 13–24 13–24
Venstre 8 8 7–10 7–11 7–12 7–13
Senterpartiet 28 9 8–11 8–11 7–11 1–14
Rødt 8 8 6–8 1–9 1–10 1–11
Kristelig Folkeparti 3 7 3–8 3–8 2–8 2–9
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0 7 3–8 2–8 2–8 2–9
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3 2 1–7 1–7 1–7 1–8
Pensjonistpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Konservativt 0 0 0 0 0 0
Liberalistene 0 0 0 0 0 0

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0% 100% Last Result
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.1% 99.8%  
42 4% 99.7%  
43 0.2% 96%  
44 5% 96%  
45 0.8% 91%  
46 3% 90%  
47 0.9% 87%  
48 26% 86%  
49 53% 60% Median
50 3% 7%  
51 1.1% 4%  
52 3% 3%  
53 0.4% 0.6%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100%  
33 20% 99.9%  
34 0.1% 79%  
35 0.2% 79%  
36 0.7% 79%  
37 1.0% 78%  
38 5% 77%  
39 36% 72% Median
40 24% 36%  
41 0.4% 12%  
42 3% 11%  
43 2% 9%  
44 1.0% 7%  
45 4% 6%  
46 1.4% 2%  
47 0.3% 0.4%  
48 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.7% 99.9%  
19 5% 99.2%  
20 5% 94%  
21 2% 89% Last Result
22 22% 87%  
23 5% 65%  
24 22% 61% Median
25 4% 38%  
26 2% 34%  
27 1.1% 33%  
28 0.1% 32%  
29 0.3% 31%  
30 31% 31%  
31 0% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 34% 100% Last Result
14 0.8% 66%  
15 3% 66%  
16 0.8% 63%  
17 22% 62% Median
18 29% 40%  
19 0.5% 11%  
20 2% 11%  
21 2% 8%  
22 4% 7%  
23 0.1% 3%  
24 3% 3%  
25 0% 0.1%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 0.4% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.6%  
5 0% 99.6%  
6 0% 99.6%  
7 39% 99.6%  
8 25% 60% Last Result, Median
9 3% 35%  
10 23% 31%  
11 6% 8%  
12 2% 3%  
13 0.6% 0.8%  
14 0.1% 0.3%  
15 0.1% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0.8% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.1%  
3 0% 99.1%  
4 0% 99.1%  
5 0% 99.1%  
6 0% 99.1%  
7 2% 99.1%  
8 35% 97%  
9 24% 62% Median
10 27% 38%  
11 9% 11%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.2% 0.7%  
14 0.3% 0.5%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 6% 100%  
2 0% 94%  
3 0% 94%  
4 0% 94%  
5 0% 94%  
6 32% 94%  
7 6% 62%  
8 51% 56% Last Result, Median
9 0.6% 5%  
10 3% 4%  
11 1.1% 1.4%  
12 0.1% 0.3%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 3% 100%  
3 25% 97% Last Result
4 0% 72%  
5 0% 72%  
6 2% 72%  
7 59% 70% Median
8 11% 11%  
9 0.4% 0.8%  
10 0.3% 0.4%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Industri- og Næringspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 5% 100%  
3 6% 95%  
4 0% 88%  
5 0% 88%  
6 1.4% 88%  
7 73% 87% Median
8 12% 13%  
9 0.8% 1.3%  
10 0.4% 0.5%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 27% 100%  
2 45% 73% Median
3 5% 28% Last Result
4 0% 23%  
5 0% 23%  
6 0% 23%  
7 22% 23%  
8 1.0% 1.0%  
9 0% 0%  

Pensjonistpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Konservativt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Liberalistene

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 96 95 99.4% 92–101 91–101 86–101 84–105
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 71 92 91% 85–95 84–95 78–95 78–100
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 68 86 84% 83–93 81–93 76–93 76–98
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre 65 82 35% 75–86 74–86 73–86 73–90
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 95 71 0.1% 69–79 69–81 69–84 67–84
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 100 75 0.4% 68–79 68–82 68–84 67–84
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt 97 69 0.3% 66–76 66–79 66–82 65–82
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 57 72 0% 67–79 67–79 65–79 64–79
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 92 67 0% 62–73 62–76 62–76 60–79
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 72 66 0% 60–69 60–73 60–74 60–75
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet 89 61 0% 60–70 60–74 60–74 58–77
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 47 63 0% 61–64 58–66 57–68 57–72
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 82 56 0% 53–60 53–64 53–66 47–66
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 61 52 0% 51–60 51–63 51–64 51–67
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 79 54 0% 46–57 46–62 46–64 46–64
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 76 47 0% 43–51 43–55 43–56 43–57
Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 39 23 0% 22–26 21–29 20–29 13–32

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 0.6% 99.9%  
85 0.3% 99.4% Majority
86 3% 99.1%  
87 0.4% 96%  
88 0.1% 96%  
89 0.1% 96%  
90 0.2% 96%  
91 0.7% 96%  
92 5% 95%  
93 1.2% 90%  
94 6% 89%  
95 42% 83%  
96 4% 40% Last Result
97 0.9% 36% Median
98 0.9% 35%  
99 0.8% 34%  
100 0.5% 34%  
101 31% 33%  
102 0.3% 2%  
103 0.3% 2%  
104 0% 1.3%  
105 0.9% 1.3%  
106 0.2% 0.3%  
107 0.1% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100% Last Result
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 3% 99.9%  
79 0.4% 97%  
80 0.1% 97%  
81 0.1% 97%  
82 0.1% 97%  
83 0.2% 97%  
84 5% 96%  
85 6% 91% Majority
86 0.8% 86%  
87 21% 85%  
88 4% 64%  
89 2% 60%  
90 0.1% 58% Median
91 1.5% 58%  
92 23% 56%  
93 0.5% 34%  
94 0.2% 33%  
95 32% 33%  
96 0% 1.2%  
97 0% 1.1%  
98 0.1% 1.1%  
99 0% 1.1%  
100 1.1% 1.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 3% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 97%  
78 0.5% 97%  
79 0.1% 97%  
80 0.1% 97%  
81 5% 97%  
82 1.0% 92%  
83 5% 91%  
84 3% 86%  
85 22% 84% Majority
86 25% 62%  
87 1.2% 37%  
88 0.7% 36% Median
89 0.6% 35%  
90 0.7% 35%  
91 0.8% 34%  
92 0.5% 33%  
93 31% 33%  
94 0.4% 2%  
95 0% 1.1%  
96 0% 1.1%  
97 0.1% 1.1%  
98 0.9% 1.0%  
99 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100% Last Result
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.8%  
72 0.1% 99.7%  
73 3% 99.6%  
74 5% 97%  
75 4% 92%  
76 0.3% 88%  
77 1.1% 88%  
78 4% 87%  
79 23% 82%  
80 0.5% 59%  
81 2% 58% Median
82 21% 57%  
83 0.9% 36%  
84 0.5% 35%  
85 1.0% 35% Majority
86 32% 34%  
87 0.7% 2%  
88 0% 1.2%  
89 0.1% 1.1%  
90 1.0% 1.1%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.6% 99.8%  
68 1.0% 99.2%  
69 32% 98%  
70 0.2% 67%  
71 21% 66%  
72 0.8% 45%  
73 0.1% 44%  
74 23% 44% Median
75 1.1% 22%  
76 0.3% 20%  
77 1.1% 20%  
78 5% 19%  
79 5% 14%  
80 4% 9%  
81 0.9% 5%  
82 0.3% 5%  
83 0.1% 4%  
84 4% 4%  
85 0% 0.1% Majority
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 1.0% 99.9%  
68 31% 98.9%  
69 0.1% 68%  
70 0.4% 68%  
71 0.2% 67%  
72 0.8% 67%  
73 0% 66%  
74 0.8% 66%  
75 22% 65% Median
76 22% 43%  
77 4% 21%  
78 0.4% 16%  
79 8% 16%  
80 0.2% 7%  
81 2% 7%  
82 2% 6%  
83 0.9% 4%  
84 3% 3%  
85 0% 0.4% Majority
86 0% 0.4%  
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 1.1% 99.9%  
66 31% 98.8%  
67 0% 68%  
68 0.7% 68%  
69 20% 67%  
70 0.3% 47%  
71 0.7% 46%  
72 0.2% 46%  
73 2% 45% Median
74 23% 44%  
75 5% 21%  
76 6% 15%  
77 4% 9%  
78 0.3% 5%  
79 0.2% 5%  
80 0.8% 5%  
81 1.0% 4%  
82 3% 3%  
83 0% 0.4%  
84 0% 0.4%  
85 0.1% 0.3% Majority
86 0% 0.2%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100% Last Result
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.8%  
62 0% 99.7%  
63 0.1% 99.7%  
64 0.2% 99.6%  
65 3% 99.4%  
66 1.1% 97%  
67 8% 96%  
68 4% 87%  
69 3% 83%  
70 0.1% 80%  
71 24% 80%  
72 21% 57%  
73 1.4% 36% Median
74 0.3% 34%  
75 0.5% 34%  
76 0.7% 34%  
77 0.6% 33%  
78 0% 32%  
79 32% 32%  
80 0% 0.2%  
81 0% 0.2%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0% Majority

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 99.9%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0.9% 99.9%  
61 0% 98.9%  
62 31% 98.9%  
63 0.1% 68%  
64 0.8% 68%  
65 0.6% 67%  
66 1.1% 66%  
67 22% 65% Median
68 21% 43%  
69 1.4% 22%  
70 0.4% 21%  
71 5% 20%  
72 5% 16%  
73 2% 11%  
74 0.6% 9%  
75 0.4% 8%  
76 6% 8%  
77 0.4% 1.1%  
78 0.1% 0.7%  
79 0.2% 0.6%  
80 0.1% 0.4%  
81 0.4% 0.4%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0% 99.8%  
60 32% 99.8%  
61 0.1% 68%  
62 0.8% 67%  
63 0.3% 67%  
64 0.3% 66%  
65 0.3% 66%  
66 46% 66% Median
67 2% 20%  
68 6% 19%  
69 5% 13%  
70 0.9% 8%  
71 0.5% 7%  
72 1.4% 7% Last Result
73 1.4% 5%  
74 3% 4%  
75 0.9% 1.3%  
76 0% 0.3%  
77 0.1% 0.3%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0% 99.9%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 1.5% 99.9%  
59 0% 98%  
60 31% 98%  
61 20% 67%  
62 0.1% 47%  
63 0.9% 47%  
64 1.1% 46%  
65 0.6% 45% Median
66 24% 44%  
67 1.3% 20%  
68 5% 19%  
69 0.7% 14%  
70 4% 13%  
71 1.0% 9%  
72 0.6% 8%  
73 0.1% 8%  
74 7% 8%  
75 0.1% 1.1%  
76 0.5% 1.0%  
77 0.1% 0.6%  
78 0.1% 0.4%  
79 0.4% 0.4%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100% Last Result
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.1% 99.8%  
56 0.1% 99.7%  
57 3% 99.6%  
58 5% 97%  
59 0.4% 92%  
60 2% 92%  
61 24% 90%  
62 1.0% 66%  
63 36% 65%  
64 23% 29% Median
65 1.2% 7%  
66 2% 5%  
67 0.1% 3%  
68 1.3% 3%  
69 0% 2%  
70 0.2% 2%  
71 1.0% 2%  
72 0.5% 0.5%  
73 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0% 99.9%  
45 0% 99.9%  
46 0.1% 99.9%  
47 0.6% 99.9%  
48 0% 99.3%  
49 0% 99.3%  
50 0.5% 99.2%  
51 0.2% 98.7%  
52 0.1% 98.5%  
53 20% 98%  
54 1.4% 78%  
55 5% 77%  
56 32% 72%  
57 23% 40% Median
58 4% 18%  
59 0.9% 14%  
60 5% 13%  
61 0.2% 8%  
62 0.5% 8%  
63 0.8% 8%  
64 2% 7%  
65 0.6% 4%  
66 4% 4%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 22% 99.9%  
52 31% 78%  
53 0.4% 47%  
54 1.3% 47%  
55 0.5% 46%  
56 0.2% 45% Median
57 28% 45%  
58 2% 17%  
59 1.1% 15%  
60 4% 14%  
61 0.3% 10% Last Result
62 1.1% 10%  
63 4% 9%  
64 3% 4%  
65 0.5% 2%  
66 0% 1.0%  
67 1.0% 1.0%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0% 99.9%  
43 0% 99.9%  
44 0% 99.9%  
45 0.1% 99.9%  
46 21% 99.8%  
47 0.4% 79%  
48 0.5% 79%  
49 1.2% 78%  
50 0.1% 77%  
51 0.2% 77%  
52 0.1% 77%  
53 4% 77%  
54 32% 72%  
55 1.0% 40% Median
56 25% 39%  
57 6% 14%  
58 0.9% 8%  
59 0.4% 7%  
60 0.4% 7%  
61 0.7% 6%  
62 2% 6%  
63 0.2% 4%  
64 4% 4%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 99.9%  
40 0% 99.9%  
41 0.1% 99.9%  
42 0.1% 99.8%  
43 21% 99.7%  
44 0.6% 79%  
45 2% 79%  
46 0.7% 77%  
47 32% 76%  
48 4% 44% Median
49 21% 40%  
50 7% 19%  
51 3% 11%  
52 0.9% 8%  
53 0.7% 8%  
54 2% 7%  
55 1.1% 5%  
56 4% 4%  
57 0.4% 0.5%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.5% 100%  
14 0.1% 99.5%  
15 0.3% 99.3%  
16 0% 99.1%  
17 0.1% 99.1%  
18 0.3% 98.9%  
19 0.1% 98.7%  
20 1.3% 98.6%  
21 3% 97%  
22 33% 94%  
23 21% 62%  
24 23% 41% Median
25 6% 18%  
26 5% 12%  
27 0.5% 7%  
28 1.3% 7%  
29 4% 5%  
30 0.8% 1.4%  
31 0.1% 0.6%  
32 0.1% 0.5%  
33 0.2% 0.5%  
34 0.2% 0.3%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations