Opinion Poll by Norstat for Aftenposten and NRK, 23–30 October 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 24.5% | 22.8–26.4% | 22.4–26.9% | 22.0–27.3% | 21.2–28.2% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 20.1% | 18.6–21.8% | 18.1–22.3% | 17.7–22.7% | 17.0–23.6% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 12.9% | 11.6–14.3% | 11.2–14.8% | 10.9–15.1% | 10.3–15.8% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 10.6% | 9.4–11.9% | 9.1–12.3% | 8.8–12.6% | 8.3–13.3% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.4–7.5% | 5.2–7.8% | 5.0–8.0% | 4.6–8.6% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.6% | 4.8–6.7% | 4.6–7.0% | 4.4–7.3% | 4.0–7.8% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.2–6.6% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 4.3% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.8% | 2.9–6.3% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.7% | 2.8–6.2% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3–5.0% | 3.1–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 44 | 40–47 | 40–49 | 39–49 | 38–51 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 39 | 36–43 | 35–43 | 34–44 | 33–46 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 24 | 20–27 | 20–27 | 19–28 | 18–30 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 18 | 15–20 | 14–21 | 14–22 | 13–24 |
| Venstre | 8 | 10 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 8–14 | 7–15 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 9 | 7–12 | 7–13 | 7–14 | 1–14 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 7 | 3–9 | 3–10 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 7 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| Rødt | 8 | 6 | 1–8 | 1–9 | 1–9 | 1–11 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 6 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–10 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 4% | 99.4% | |
| 40 | 9% | 95% | |
| 41 | 13% | 86% | |
| 42 | 9% | 73% | |
| 43 | 5% | 65% | |
| 44 | 22% | 59% | Median |
| 45 | 13% | 37% | |
| 46 | 7% | 23% | |
| 47 | 6% | 16% | |
| 48 | 4% | 10% | |
| 49 | 4% | 6% | |
| 50 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 34 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 35 | 5% | 97% | |
| 36 | 7% | 91% | |
| 37 | 7% | 85% | |
| 38 | 15% | 77% | |
| 39 | 16% | 62% | Median |
| 40 | 15% | 46% | |
| 41 | 12% | 32% | |
| 42 | 5% | 20% | |
| 43 | 10% | 15% | |
| 44 | 3% | 5% | |
| 45 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 19 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 20 | 10% | 97% | |
| 21 | 12% | 87% | Last Result |
| 22 | 11% | 75% | |
| 23 | 12% | 64% | |
| 24 | 25% | 52% | Median |
| 25 | 10% | 27% | |
| 26 | 7% | 17% | |
| 27 | 7% | 10% | |
| 28 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 29 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 30 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 13 | 1.0% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 14 | 5% | 98.7% | |
| 15 | 10% | 94% | |
| 16 | 10% | 84% | |
| 17 | 15% | 75% | |
| 18 | 23% | 60% | Median |
| 19 | 16% | 37% | |
| 20 | 12% | 20% | |
| 21 | 5% | 8% | |
| 22 | 2% | 3% | |
| 23 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 12% | 98.9% | Last Result |
| 9 | 13% | 87% | |
| 10 | 25% | 74% | Median |
| 11 | 29% | 49% | |
| 12 | 13% | 21% | |
| 13 | 4% | 7% | |
| 14 | 2% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 6 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 7 | 11% | 98% | |
| 8 | 16% | 87% | |
| 9 | 28% | 72% | Median |
| 10 | 18% | 43% | |
| 11 | 12% | 26% | |
| 12 | 6% | 14% | |
| 13 | 5% | 8% | |
| 14 | 3% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 13% | 95% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 82% | |
| 5 | 0% | 82% | |
| 6 | 6% | 82% | |
| 7 | 28% | 76% | Median |
| 8 | 32% | 48% | |
| 9 | 6% | 16% | |
| 10 | 9% | 10% | |
| 11 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 11% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 12% | 89% | |
| 4 | 0% | 76% | |
| 5 | 0% | 76% | |
| 6 | 12% | 76% | |
| 7 | 24% | 65% | Median |
| 8 | 22% | 41% | |
| 9 | 16% | 19% | |
| 10 | 2% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 36% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 64% | |
| 3 | 0% | 63% | |
| 4 | 0% | 63% | |
| 5 | 0% | 63% | |
| 6 | 15% | 63% | Median |
| 7 | 29% | 49% | |
| 8 | 10% | 19% | Last Result |
| 9 | 7% | 10% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 18% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 25% | 82% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 57% | |
| 5 | 0% | 57% | |
| 6 | 14% | 57% | Median |
| 7 | 21% | 43% | |
| 8 | 18% | 22% | |
| 9 | 3% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 92 | 98.7% | 87–98 | 86–99 | 86–100 | 82–103 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 90 | 86% | 83–95 | 82–97 | 80–98 | 80–101 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 83 | 35% | 77–88 | 76–90 | 76–91 | 73–94 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 79 | 10% | 74–84 | 72–86 | 71–86 | 69–89 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt | 100 | 78 | 8% | 74–84 | 71–86 | 70–86 | 67–90 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 78 | 2% | 72–82 | 71–83 | 70–84 | 69–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 73 | 0.2% | 69–80 | 67–81 | 65–83 | 64–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 72 | 0% | 66–77 | 64–79 | 63–80 | 60–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt | 72 | 69 | 0% | 63–75 | 63–75 | 62–76 | 60–79 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 68 | 0% | 62–72 | 61–73 | 60–74 | 59–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 66 | 0% | 63–73 | 61–73 | 59–73 | 57–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 60 | 0% | 57–66 | 55–67 | 54–68 | 51–71 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 59 | 0% | 54–64 | 54–66 | 52–67 | 52–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 57 | 0% | 53–62 | 52–62 | 50–63 | 49–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 55 | 0% | 50–58 | 49–60 | 48–61 | 45–63 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 49 | 0% | 45–53 | 44–54 | 43–54 | 40–56 |
| Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 25 | 0% | 21–29 | 19–31 | 18–32 | 18–33 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 98.7% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 98% | |
| 87 | 9% | 93% | |
| 88 | 5% | 84% | |
| 89 | 11% | 79% | |
| 90 | 8% | 68% | |
| 91 | 6% | 61% | |
| 92 | 6% | 55% | |
| 93 | 12% | 49% | Median |
| 94 | 5% | 37% | |
| 95 | 5% | 32% | |
| 96 | 14% | 28% | Last Result |
| 97 | 3% | 14% | |
| 98 | 5% | 11% | |
| 99 | 2% | 6% | |
| 100 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 101 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 102 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 103 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 82 | 4% | 96% | |
| 83 | 3% | 92% | |
| 84 | 2% | 88% | |
| 85 | 8% | 86% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 78% | |
| 87 | 5% | 73% | |
| 88 | 12% | 68% | |
| 89 | 4% | 56% | |
| 90 | 5% | 52% | |
| 91 | 9% | 47% | Median |
| 92 | 8% | 37% | |
| 93 | 7% | 29% | |
| 94 | 3% | 22% | |
| 95 | 10% | 19% | |
| 96 | 2% | 9% | |
| 97 | 3% | 6% | |
| 98 | 2% | 3% | |
| 99 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 76 | 5% | 98% | |
| 77 | 5% | 94% | |
| 78 | 8% | 89% | |
| 79 | 7% | 80% | |
| 80 | 6% | 74% | |
| 81 | 6% | 67% | |
| 82 | 9% | 61% | |
| 83 | 10% | 52% | |
| 84 | 7% | 42% | Median |
| 85 | 7% | 35% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 28% | |
| 87 | 13% | 23% | |
| 88 | 1.3% | 10% | |
| 89 | 3% | 9% | |
| 90 | 4% | 6% | |
| 91 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 92 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 71 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 72 | 2% | 97% | |
| 73 | 4% | 95% | |
| 74 | 3% | 91% | |
| 75 | 5% | 88% | |
| 76 | 17% | 83% | |
| 77 | 9% | 66% | |
| 78 | 6% | 57% | |
| 79 | 8% | 51% | Median |
| 80 | 6% | 43% | |
| 81 | 15% | 37% | |
| 82 | 5% | 22% | |
| 83 | 5% | 17% | |
| 84 | 2% | 12% | |
| 85 | 1.4% | 10% | Majority |
| 86 | 7% | 9% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 88 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 70 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 71 | 2% | 97% | |
| 72 | 2% | 95% | |
| 73 | 2% | 93% | |
| 74 | 14% | 91% | |
| 75 | 5% | 77% | |
| 76 | 9% | 72% | |
| 77 | 4% | 63% | |
| 78 | 9% | 59% | |
| 79 | 7% | 50% | Median |
| 80 | 7% | 43% | |
| 81 | 10% | 36% | |
| 82 | 4% | 27% | |
| 83 | 9% | 23% | |
| 84 | 6% | 13% | |
| 85 | 2% | 8% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 5% | |
| 87 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 71 | 5% | 95% | |
| 72 | 1.4% | 90% | |
| 73 | 3% | 89% | |
| 74 | 10% | 86% | |
| 75 | 6% | 76% | |
| 76 | 11% | 70% | |
| 77 | 8% | 60% | |
| 78 | 5% | 52% | Median |
| 79 | 17% | 47% | |
| 80 | 10% | 30% | |
| 81 | 5% | 21% | |
| 82 | 8% | 15% | |
| 83 | 3% | 7% | |
| 84 | 2% | 4% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 87 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 1.5% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 66 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 68 | 2% | 95% | |
| 69 | 5% | 92% | |
| 70 | 7% | 87% | |
| 71 | 7% | 80% | |
| 72 | 5% | 73% | |
| 73 | 23% | 68% | Median |
| 74 | 14% | 45% | |
| 75 | 7% | 32% | |
| 76 | 7% | 25% | |
| 77 | 4% | 18% | |
| 78 | 2% | 14% | |
| 79 | 1.3% | 11% | |
| 80 | 4% | 10% | |
| 81 | 2% | 6% | |
| 82 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 83 | 3% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 63 | 2% | 98% | |
| 64 | 2% | 97% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 66 | 10% | 94% | |
| 67 | 3% | 83% | |
| 68 | 5% | 80% | |
| 69 | 8% | 75% | |
| 70 | 4% | 67% | |
| 71 | 13% | 63% | |
| 72 | 7% | 50% | Median |
| 73 | 8% | 44% | |
| 74 | 11% | 35% | |
| 75 | 4% | 24% | |
| 76 | 3% | 20% | |
| 77 | 8% | 17% | |
| 78 | 0.9% | 9% | |
| 79 | 3% | 8% | |
| 80 | 3% | 5% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 62 | 3% | 98% | |
| 63 | 7% | 95% | |
| 64 | 2% | 88% | |
| 65 | 12% | 86% | |
| 66 | 4% | 74% | |
| 67 | 7% | 70% | |
| 68 | 5% | 63% | |
| 69 | 8% | 57% | |
| 70 | 10% | 49% | Median |
| 71 | 7% | 39% | |
| 72 | 8% | 33% | Last Result |
| 73 | 11% | 25% | |
| 74 | 3% | 13% | |
| 75 | 7% | 10% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 61 | 5% | 96% | |
| 62 | 3% | 91% | |
| 63 | 4% | 89% | |
| 64 | 9% | 85% | |
| 65 | 5% | 76% | |
| 66 | 13% | 71% | |
| 67 | 6% | 57% | |
| 68 | 21% | 51% | Median |
| 69 | 7% | 30% | |
| 70 | 8% | 23% | |
| 71 | 3% | 15% | |
| 72 | 6% | 12% | |
| 73 | 2% | 5% | |
| 74 | 2% | 4% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 61 | 2% | 96% | |
| 62 | 3% | 94% | |
| 63 | 9% | 91% | |
| 64 | 7% | 82% | |
| 65 | 18% | 75% | |
| 66 | 11% | 57% | Median |
| 67 | 12% | 46% | |
| 68 | 6% | 35% | |
| 69 | 4% | 29% | |
| 70 | 9% | 24% | |
| 71 | 3% | 15% | |
| 72 | 1.1% | 12% | |
| 73 | 9% | 11% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 54 | 2% | 98% | |
| 55 | 2% | 96% | |
| 56 | 4% | 95% | |
| 57 | 11% | 90% | |
| 58 | 3% | 79% | |
| 59 | 17% | 76% | |
| 60 | 9% | 58% | |
| 61 | 5% | 49% | Median |
| 62 | 4% | 44% | |
| 63 | 16% | 40% | |
| 64 | 3% | 24% | |
| 65 | 11% | 21% | |
| 66 | 2% | 10% | |
| 67 | 4% | 8% | |
| 68 | 3% | 4% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 54 | 9% | 96% | |
| 55 | 5% | 87% | |
| 56 | 4% | 82% | |
| 57 | 5% | 78% | |
| 58 | 15% | 72% | |
| 59 | 12% | 58% | |
| 60 | 9% | 46% | Median |
| 61 | 8% | 37% | |
| 62 | 4% | 29% | |
| 63 | 13% | 24% | |
| 64 | 2% | 11% | |
| 65 | 3% | 9% | |
| 66 | 3% | 6% | |
| 67 | 2% | 3% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 49 | 1.4% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 51 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 52 | 2% | 96% | |
| 53 | 8% | 94% | |
| 54 | 7% | 86% | |
| 55 | 5% | 79% | |
| 56 | 19% | 74% | |
| 57 | 8% | 55% | Median |
| 58 | 14% | 46% | |
| 59 | 10% | 33% | |
| 60 | 7% | 23% | |
| 61 | 5% | 16% | Last Result |
| 62 | 7% | 11% | |
| 63 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 64 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 47 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 48 | 2% | 98% | |
| 49 | 4% | 96% | |
| 50 | 9% | 92% | |
| 51 | 8% | 83% | |
| 52 | 9% | 75% | |
| 53 | 11% | 66% | |
| 54 | 5% | 55% | Median |
| 55 | 15% | 51% | |
| 56 | 16% | 36% | |
| 57 | 8% | 20% | |
| 58 | 4% | 12% | |
| 59 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 60 | 3% | 7% | |
| 61 | 2% | 4% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 43 | 2% | 98% | |
| 44 | 6% | 97% | |
| 45 | 3% | 91% | |
| 46 | 8% | 88% | |
| 47 | 16% | 80% | |
| 48 | 10% | 64% | Median |
| 49 | 15% | 54% | |
| 50 | 11% | 39% | |
| 51 | 7% | 27% | |
| 52 | 5% | 21% | |
| 53 | 10% | 16% | |
| 54 | 4% | 6% | |
| 55 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 18 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 19 | 2% | 97% | |
| 20 | 3% | 95% | |
| 21 | 6% | 92% | |
| 22 | 9% | 86% | |
| 23 | 10% | 78% | |
| 24 | 7% | 68% | |
| 25 | 12% | 61% | Median |
| 26 | 16% | 48% | |
| 27 | 6% | 33% | |
| 28 | 15% | 26% | |
| 29 | 3% | 11% | |
| 30 | 3% | 8% | |
| 31 | 3% | 6% | |
| 32 | 2% | 3% | |
| 33 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): Aftenposten and NRK
- Fieldwork period: 23–30 October 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 994
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.10%