Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for ABC Nyheter and Altinget, 24–30 October 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 26.3% | 24.3–28.5% | 23.7–29.1% | 23.2–29.6% | 22.3–30.7% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 17.9% | 16.2–19.9% | 15.7–20.4% | 15.3–20.9% | 14.5–21.9% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 13.3% | 11.8–15.0% | 11.4–15.5% | 11.0–16.0% | 10.3–16.8% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 11.0% | 9.6–12.6% | 9.2–13.0% | 8.9–13.4% | 8.3–14.3% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.9% | 4.9–7.2% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.4–7.8% | 4.0–8.5% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8–7.0% | 4.5–7.4% | 4.3–7.7% | 3.9–8.3% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0–6.1% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.6–6.8% | 3.2–7.4% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.6–5.5% | 3.3–5.8% | 3.1–6.1% | 2.8–6.7% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1–4.9% | 2.9–5.2% | 2.7–5.5% | 2.3–6.1% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 3.7% | 2.9–4.8% | 2.7–5.1% | 2.5–5.3% | 2.2–5.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 48 | 42–51 | 41–54 | 40–54 | 39–55 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 34 | 32–39 | 31–40 | 30–41 | 29–44 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 23 | 21–27 | 20–29 | 19–31 | 18–34 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 19 | 16–22 | 15–23 | 15–23 | 13–27 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 11 | 8–13 | 7–14 | 7–14 | 2–16 |
| Venstre | 8 | 10 | 8–12 | 7–13 | 7–14 | 3–15 |
| Rødt | 8 | 8 | 1–10 | 1–11 | 1–11 | 1–13 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 7 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 1–11 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 1–10 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 2 | 2–8 | 1–9 | 0–9 | 0–10 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 39 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 41 | 3% | 96% | |
| 42 | 8% | 94% | |
| 43 | 4% | 85% | |
| 44 | 7% | 81% | |
| 45 | 8% | 74% | |
| 46 | 8% | 66% | |
| 47 | 7% | 57% | |
| 48 | 9% | 51% | Median |
| 49 | 11% | 41% | |
| 50 | 17% | 30% | |
| 51 | 4% | 13% | |
| 52 | 3% | 10% | |
| 53 | 2% | 7% | |
| 54 | 4% | 5% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 31 | 4% | 96% | |
| 32 | 11% | 92% | |
| 33 | 25% | 81% | |
| 34 | 17% | 56% | Median |
| 35 | 6% | 40% | |
| 36 | 8% | 33% | |
| 37 | 5% | 25% | |
| 38 | 4% | 20% | |
| 39 | 8% | 16% | |
| 40 | 4% | 8% | |
| 41 | 2% | 4% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 18 | 1.4% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 20 | 6% | 97% | |
| 21 | 15% | 91% | Last Result |
| 22 | 24% | 76% | |
| 23 | 14% | 52% | Median |
| 24 | 12% | 38% | |
| 25 | 8% | 26% | |
| 26 | 5% | 18% | |
| 27 | 4% | 13% | |
| 28 | 3% | 9% | |
| 29 | 2% | 6% | |
| 30 | 2% | 4% | |
| 31 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 32 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0.8% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 15 | 6% | 98% | |
| 16 | 12% | 92% | |
| 17 | 7% | 80% | |
| 18 | 13% | 73% | |
| 19 | 24% | 60% | Median |
| 20 | 15% | 36% | |
| 21 | 9% | 21% | |
| 22 | 7% | 12% | |
| 23 | 3% | 5% | |
| 24 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 6 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 7 | 7% | 98.7% | |
| 8 | 7% | 92% | |
| 9 | 14% | 85% | |
| 10 | 13% | 72% | |
| 11 | 12% | 58% | Median |
| 12 | 24% | 46% | |
| 13 | 15% | 22% | |
| 14 | 5% | 7% | |
| 15 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 6 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 7 | 5% | 98% | |
| 8 | 15% | 94% | Last Result |
| 9 | 20% | 79% | |
| 10 | 16% | 59% | Median |
| 11 | 25% | 43% | |
| 12 | 10% | 18% | |
| 13 | 4% | 8% | |
| 14 | 3% | 4% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 86% | |
| 3 | 0% | 86% | |
| 4 | 0% | 86% | |
| 5 | 0% | 86% | |
| 6 | 2% | 86% | |
| 7 | 14% | 84% | |
| 8 | 25% | 71% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 31% | 46% | |
| 10 | 10% | 15% | |
| 11 | 4% | 5% | |
| 12 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 2 | 11% | 99.1% | |
| 3 | 11% | 88% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 77% | |
| 5 | 0% | 77% | |
| 6 | 8% | 77% | |
| 7 | 26% | 68% | Median |
| 8 | 26% | 43% | |
| 9 | 10% | 17% | |
| 10 | 5% | 7% | |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 33% | 99.3% | |
| 3 | 26% | 66% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 40% | |
| 5 | 0% | 40% | |
| 6 | 5% | 40% | |
| 7 | 14% | 36% | |
| 8 | 17% | 21% | |
| 9 | 4% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 3% | 97% | |
| 2 | 45% | 95% | Median |
| 3 | 15% | 50% | |
| 4 | 0% | 34% | |
| 5 | 0% | 34% | |
| 6 | 6% | 34% | |
| 7 | 15% | 28% | |
| 8 | 7% | 13% | |
| 9 | 5% | 6% | |
| 10 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 96 | 99.6% | 89–101 | 88–104 | 87–106 | 85–110 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 91 | 94% | 86–98 | 84–100 | 81–102 | 81–103 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 85 | 57% | 79–91 | 77–93 | 76–95 | 74–97 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 80 | 15% | 74–87 | 74–88 | 72–89 | 70–93 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 79 | 11% | 72–85 | 71–87 | 69–88 | 67–89 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 75 | 2% | 70–81 | 68–82 | 67–84 | 64–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 73 | 0.1% | 66–77 | 64–79 | 64–80 | 61–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 71 | 0.1% | 65–77 | 65–78 | 63–79 | 59–82 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 71 | 0.1% | 66–76 | 64–77 | 63–79 | 61–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 68 | 0% | 62–73 | 60–75 | 59–77 | 56–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 64 | 0% | 60–69 | 59–70 | 57–72 | 54–76 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 62 | 0% | 55–67 | 53–68 | 53–69 | 50–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 56 | 0% | 51–63 | 49–64 | 47–65 | 45–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 53 | 0% | 50–58 | 49–60 | 48–62 | 46–63 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 50 | 0% | 45–56 | 44–56 | 43–58 | 41–61 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 45 | 0% | 41–50 | 39–51 | 39–53 | 37–55 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 26 | 0% | 20–30 | 20–32 | 19–32 | 16–35 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 99.6% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 87 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 88 | 4% | 97% | |
| 89 | 4% | 93% | |
| 90 | 5% | 89% | |
| 91 | 6% | 84% | |
| 92 | 7% | 78% | |
| 93 | 6% | 71% | |
| 94 | 5% | 65% | |
| 95 | 6% | 59% | Median |
| 96 | 7% | 53% | Last Result |
| 97 | 4% | 46% | |
| 98 | 15% | 42% | |
| 99 | 5% | 27% | |
| 100 | 7% | 22% | |
| 101 | 5% | 15% | |
| 102 | 2% | 10% | |
| 103 | 2% | 7% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 105 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 106 | 2% | 4% | |
| 107 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 108 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 110 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 84 | 2% | 95% | |
| 85 | 4% | 94% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 90% | |
| 87 | 6% | 87% | |
| 88 | 7% | 81% | |
| 89 | 7% | 74% | |
| 90 | 10% | 67% | |
| 91 | 8% | 58% | Median |
| 92 | 4% | 49% | |
| 93 | 18% | 45% | |
| 94 | 5% | 27% | |
| 95 | 4% | 21% | |
| 96 | 4% | 17% | |
| 97 | 3% | 14% | |
| 98 | 3% | 11% | |
| 99 | 2% | 8% | |
| 100 | 2% | 6% | |
| 101 | 2% | 5% | |
| 102 | 2% | 3% | |
| 103 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 77 | 2% | 97% | |
| 78 | 4% | 95% | |
| 79 | 5% | 91% | |
| 80 | 4% | 86% | |
| 81 | 5% | 82% | |
| 82 | 10% | 77% | |
| 83 | 4% | 67% | |
| 84 | 7% | 64% | Median |
| 85 | 7% | 57% | Majority |
| 86 | 17% | 50% | |
| 87 | 7% | 33% | |
| 88 | 7% | 26% | |
| 89 | 4% | 19% | |
| 90 | 4% | 15% | |
| 91 | 4% | 12% | |
| 92 | 2% | 8% | |
| 93 | 0.8% | 6% | |
| 94 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 95 | 2% | 4% | |
| 96 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 72 | 2% | 98% | |
| 73 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 74 | 5% | 95% | |
| 75 | 4% | 90% | |
| 76 | 5% | 86% | |
| 77 | 6% | 81% | |
| 78 | 7% | 75% | |
| 79 | 11% | 67% | |
| 80 | 7% | 56% | |
| 81 | 6% | 49% | Median |
| 82 | 5% | 43% | |
| 83 | 20% | 38% | |
| 84 | 3% | 18% | |
| 85 | 2% | 15% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 13% | |
| 87 | 2% | 10% | |
| 88 | 4% | 8% | |
| 89 | 2% | 4% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 69 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 71 | 3% | 96% | |
| 72 | 5% | 93% | |
| 73 | 2% | 88% | |
| 74 | 5% | 86% | |
| 75 | 6% | 80% | |
| 76 | 9% | 74% | |
| 77 | 5% | 65% | |
| 78 | 5% | 60% | |
| 79 | 11% | 55% | Median |
| 80 | 17% | 44% | |
| 81 | 7% | 27% | |
| 82 | 2% | 20% | |
| 83 | 3% | 18% | |
| 84 | 4% | 15% | |
| 85 | 5% | 11% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 87 | 2% | 5% | |
| 88 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 89 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 67 | 2% | 98% | |
| 68 | 2% | 96% | |
| 69 | 4% | 94% | |
| 70 | 2% | 90% | |
| 71 | 7% | 88% | |
| 72 | 3% | 81% | |
| 73 | 5% | 78% | |
| 74 | 18% | 73% | Median |
| 75 | 8% | 55% | |
| 76 | 5% | 47% | |
| 77 | 9% | 42% | |
| 78 | 7% | 33% | |
| 79 | 13% | 26% | |
| 80 | 2% | 13% | |
| 81 | 3% | 10% | |
| 82 | 3% | 7% | |
| 83 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 84 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 63 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 64 | 3% | 98% | |
| 65 | 2% | 94% | |
| 66 | 6% | 92% | |
| 67 | 2% | 86% | |
| 68 | 6% | 84% | |
| 69 | 4% | 78% | |
| 70 | 8% | 73% | |
| 71 | 8% | 66% | |
| 72 | 7% | 58% | Median |
| 73 | 23% | 51% | |
| 74 | 5% | 29% | |
| 75 | 5% | 24% | |
| 76 | 4% | 19% | |
| 77 | 7% | 15% | |
| 78 | 2% | 9% | |
| 79 | 3% | 7% | |
| 80 | 2% | 4% | |
| 81 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 64 | 2% | 97% | |
| 65 | 6% | 95% | |
| 66 | 2% | 89% | |
| 67 | 9% | 87% | |
| 68 | 6% | 78% | |
| 69 | 5% | 73% | |
| 70 | 9% | 68% | |
| 71 | 24% | 60% | Median |
| 72 | 6% | 36% | |
| 73 | 6% | 30% | |
| 74 | 4% | 24% | |
| 75 | 5% | 20% | |
| 76 | 4% | 15% | |
| 77 | 5% | 11% | |
| 78 | 2% | 6% | |
| 79 | 2% | 4% | |
| 80 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 63 | 3% | 98% | |
| 64 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 65 | 4% | 94% | |
| 66 | 8% | 90% | |
| 67 | 6% | 83% | |
| 68 | 9% | 77% | |
| 69 | 9% | 67% | |
| 70 | 8% | 58% | |
| 71 | 10% | 51% | Median |
| 72 | 16% | 41% | |
| 73 | 5% | 26% | |
| 74 | 6% | 21% | |
| 75 | 4% | 15% | |
| 76 | 2% | 11% | |
| 77 | 5% | 9% | |
| 78 | 2% | 4% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 80 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 59 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 60 | 2% | 97% | |
| 61 | 2% | 94% | |
| 62 | 3% | 92% | |
| 63 | 7% | 89% | |
| 64 | 4% | 82% | |
| 65 | 11% | 78% | |
| 66 | 6% | 67% | |
| 67 | 7% | 61% | |
| 68 | 15% | 54% | Median |
| 69 | 9% | 39% | |
| 70 | 6% | 30% | |
| 71 | 5% | 24% | |
| 72 | 5% | 19% | Last Result |
| 73 | 5% | 15% | |
| 74 | 3% | 9% | |
| 75 | 2% | 6% | |
| 76 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 77 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 57 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 58 | 2% | 97% | |
| 59 | 4% | 95% | |
| 60 | 4% | 91% | |
| 61 | 5% | 87% | |
| 62 | 6% | 81% | |
| 63 | 13% | 75% | |
| 64 | 24% | 62% | Median |
| 65 | 7% | 38% | |
| 66 | 5% | 31% | |
| 67 | 8% | 26% | |
| 68 | 4% | 18% | |
| 69 | 6% | 14% | |
| 70 | 4% | 9% | |
| 71 | 2% | 5% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 76 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 53 | 4% | 98% | |
| 54 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 55 | 4% | 93% | |
| 56 | 2% | 89% | |
| 57 | 5% | 87% | |
| 58 | 5% | 82% | |
| 59 | 6% | 77% | |
| 60 | 8% | 71% | |
| 61 | 8% | 63% | Median |
| 62 | 8% | 55% | |
| 63 | 5% | 47% | |
| 64 | 20% | 42% | |
| 65 | 5% | 22% | |
| 66 | 4% | 17% | |
| 67 | 5% | 12% | |
| 68 | 4% | 7% | |
| 69 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 47 | 2% | 98% | |
| 48 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 50 | 2% | 94% | |
| 51 | 6% | 93% | |
| 52 | 2% | 86% | |
| 53 | 5% | 84% | |
| 54 | 5% | 79% | |
| 55 | 20% | 75% | Median |
| 56 | 6% | 54% | |
| 57 | 6% | 48% | |
| 58 | 5% | 41% | |
| 59 | 12% | 36% | |
| 60 | 4% | 24% | |
| 61 | 7% | 20% | |
| 62 | 3% | 13% | |
| 63 | 5% | 10% | |
| 64 | 2% | 5% | |
| 65 | 2% | 3% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 48 | 2% | 98% | |
| 49 | 5% | 97% | |
| 50 | 7% | 92% | |
| 51 | 8% | 85% | |
| 52 | 23% | 77% | |
| 53 | 12% | 54% | Median |
| 54 | 9% | 42% | |
| 55 | 9% | 33% | |
| 56 | 5% | 24% | |
| 57 | 8% | 19% | |
| 58 | 3% | 11% | |
| 59 | 2% | 8% | |
| 60 | 2% | 6% | |
| 61 | 2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 62 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 43 | 2% | 98% | |
| 44 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 45 | 7% | 95% | |
| 46 | 5% | 88% | |
| 47 | 6% | 83% | |
| 48 | 21% | 76% | Median |
| 49 | 5% | 55% | |
| 50 | 8% | 50% | |
| 51 | 8% | 42% | |
| 52 | 6% | 34% | |
| 53 | 6% | 28% | |
| 54 | 7% | 22% | |
| 55 | 4% | 15% | |
| 56 | 6% | 11% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 58 | 2% | 3% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 39 | 5% | 99.1% | |
| 40 | 3% | 94% | |
| 41 | 4% | 91% | |
| 42 | 3% | 88% | |
| 43 | 11% | 85% | |
| 44 | 7% | 74% | |
| 45 | 20% | 67% | Median |
| 46 | 11% | 47% | |
| 47 | 10% | 37% | |
| 48 | 10% | 27% | |
| 49 | 5% | 17% | |
| 50 | 2% | 12% | |
| 51 | 6% | 9% | |
| 52 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 53 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 18 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 19 | 2% | 98% | |
| 20 | 7% | 96% | |
| 21 | 4% | 89% | |
| 22 | 7% | 85% | |
| 23 | 9% | 78% | |
| 24 | 10% | 69% | Median |
| 25 | 7% | 59% | |
| 26 | 21% | 52% | |
| 27 | 7% | 31% | |
| 28 | 4% | 24% | |
| 29 | 8% | 20% | |
| 30 | 4% | 11% | |
| 31 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 32 | 4% | 7% | |
| 33 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): ABC Nyheter and Altinget
- Fieldwork period: 24–30 October 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 730
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.97%