Opinion Poll by Verian for TV2, 3 November 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 27.5% | 25.7–29.4% | 25.2–29.9% | 24.8–30.4% | 24.0–31.3% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 16.8% | 15.4–18.4% | 15.0–18.9% | 14.6–19.3% | 13.9–20.0% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.9–13.5% | 10.5–13.9% | 10.2–14.3% | 9.6–15.0% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.8–11.2% | 8.5–11.6% | 8.2–11.9% | 7.7–12.6% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.6% | 4.9–7.9% | 4.5–8.4% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.6% | 4.9–7.9% | 4.5–8.4% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8–6.6% | 4.5–7.0% | 4.3–7.2% | 4.0–7.7% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–6.0% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.2–6.7% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–6.0% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.2–6.7% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 4.3% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.9–6.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 48 | 45–51 | 44–52 | 43–53 | 41–56 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 33 | 31–35 | 31–36 | 30–38 | 29–39 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 22 | 20–24 | 19–24 | 18–25 | 16–28 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 16 | 14–18 | 13–19 | 12–20 | 12–21 |
| Venstre | 8 | 10 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 7–12 | 7–13 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 11 | 8–13 | 8–14 | 7–15 | 7–16 |
| Rødt | 8 | 9 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 1–12 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 7 | 6–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 7 | 3–9 | 3–9 | 2–10 | 2–10 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 7 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–10 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 43 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 44 | 2% | 97% | |
| 45 | 6% | 95% | |
| 46 | 11% | 89% | |
| 47 | 20% | 78% | |
| 48 | 12% | 57% | Median |
| 49 | 20% | 45% | |
| 50 | 11% | 25% | |
| 51 | 8% | 14% | |
| 52 | 3% | 7% | |
| 53 | 2% | 4% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 30 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 31 | 7% | 96% | |
| 32 | 31% | 89% | |
| 33 | 12% | 58% | Median |
| 34 | 33% | 46% | |
| 35 | 6% | 13% | |
| 36 | 3% | 7% | |
| 37 | 2% | 4% | |
| 38 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 39 | 2% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 18 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 19 | 6% | 96% | |
| 20 | 16% | 91% | |
| 21 | 19% | 74% | Last Result |
| 22 | 23% | 55% | Median |
| 23 | 11% | 32% | |
| 24 | 16% | 21% | |
| 25 | 3% | 5% | |
| 26 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 13 | 3% | 97% | Last Result |
| 14 | 14% | 95% | |
| 15 | 23% | 80% | |
| 16 | 24% | 57% | Median |
| 17 | 21% | 33% | |
| 18 | 5% | 12% | |
| 19 | 5% | 7% | |
| 20 | 2% | 3% | |
| 21 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 20% | 97% | Last Result |
| 9 | 13% | 77% | |
| 10 | 16% | 64% | Median |
| 11 | 35% | 48% | |
| 12 | 10% | 12% | |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 7 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 11% | 96% | |
| 9 | 25% | 85% | |
| 10 | 10% | 60% | |
| 11 | 6% | 50% | Median |
| 12 | 26% | 44% | |
| 13 | 11% | 18% | |
| 14 | 3% | 7% | |
| 15 | 3% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 6 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 7 | 11% | 98% | |
| 8 | 21% | 87% | Last Result |
| 9 | 33% | 66% | Median |
| 10 | 24% | 33% | |
| 11 | 7% | 9% | |
| 12 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 3% | 95% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 92% | |
| 5 | 0% | 92% | |
| 6 | 11% | 92% | |
| 7 | 42% | 80% | Median |
| 8 | 26% | 38% | |
| 9 | 10% | 12% | |
| 10 | 2% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 8% | 96% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 88% | |
| 5 | 0% | 88% | |
| 6 | 14% | 88% | |
| 7 | 28% | 74% | Median |
| 8 | 35% | 46% | |
| 9 | 9% | 11% | |
| 10 | 3% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 18% | 99.5% | |
| 3 | 16% | 81% | |
| 4 | 0% | 65% | |
| 5 | 0% | 65% | |
| 6 | 9% | 65% | |
| 7 | 35% | 56% | Median |
| 8 | 16% | 21% | |
| 9 | 4% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 98 | 100% | 94–101 | 93–101 | 91–103 | 89–105 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 95 | 99.7% | 90–97 | 89–98 | 88–100 | 86–101 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 87 | 76% | 83–90 | 81–92 | 81–92 | 79–95 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 80 | 3% | 77–83 | 75–84 | 74–85 | 72–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 76 | 0.6% | 71–79 | 71–80 | 69–82 | 67–85 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 74 | 0% | 70–77 | 69–79 | 68–80 | 65–83 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 70 | 0% | 66–73 | 66–74 | 64–75 | 62–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 69 | 0% | 64–72 | 64–73 | 63–74 | 61–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 67 | 0% | 64–70 | 62–71 | 61–73 | 59–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 65 | 0% | 61–68 | 61–69 | 60–71 | 57–72 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 65 | 0% | 61–69 | 61–70 | 60–71 | 58–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 60 | 0% | 56–63 | 56–64 | 55–65 | 53–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 58 | 0% | 54–62 | 53–63 | 51–64 | 49–66 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 51 | 0% | 47–55 | 46–56 | 45–56 | 42–58 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 49 | 0% | 47–52 | 46–53 | 45–54 | 44–56 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 44 | 0% | 40–47 | 40–48 | 39–49 | 37–50 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 27 | 0% | 24–31 | 23–32 | 22–33 | 20–35 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 90 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 91 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 92 | 2% | 97% | |
| 93 | 2% | 95% | |
| 94 | 6% | 93% | |
| 95 | 4% | 87% | |
| 96 | 18% | 82% | Last Result |
| 97 | 5% | 64% | |
| 98 | 19% | 59% | Median |
| 99 | 22% | 41% | |
| 100 | 8% | 18% | |
| 101 | 5% | 10% | |
| 102 | 2% | 5% | |
| 103 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 104 | 2% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.7% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 87 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 88 | 3% | 98% | |
| 89 | 5% | 95% | |
| 90 | 8% | 90% | |
| 91 | 3% | 82% | |
| 92 | 11% | 80% | |
| 93 | 5% | 68% | |
| 94 | 8% | 63% | Median |
| 95 | 28% | 55% | |
| 96 | 15% | 27% | |
| 97 | 6% | 13% | |
| 98 | 2% | 7% | |
| 99 | 2% | 5% | |
| 100 | 2% | 3% | |
| 101 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 80 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 81 | 3% | 98% | |
| 82 | 3% | 95% | |
| 83 | 5% | 92% | |
| 84 | 10% | 86% | |
| 85 | 3% | 76% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 74% | |
| 87 | 24% | 67% | Median |
| 88 | 9% | 43% | |
| 89 | 21% | 34% | |
| 90 | 5% | 13% | |
| 91 | 2% | 7% | |
| 92 | 3% | 5% | |
| 93 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 73 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 74 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 75 | 4% | 97% | |
| 76 | 2% | 93% | |
| 77 | 12% | 91% | |
| 78 | 5% | 79% | |
| 79 | 8% | 75% | |
| 80 | 22% | 67% | Median |
| 81 | 25% | 45% | |
| 82 | 6% | 20% | |
| 83 | 8% | 14% | |
| 84 | 3% | 6% | |
| 85 | 2% | 3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 69 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 70 | 2% | 97% | |
| 71 | 7% | 96% | |
| 72 | 11% | 89% | |
| 73 | 10% | 78% | |
| 74 | 8% | 67% | |
| 75 | 9% | 60% | |
| 76 | 7% | 51% | Median |
| 77 | 13% | 43% | |
| 78 | 5% | 30% | |
| 79 | 16% | 25% | |
| 80 | 5% | 9% | |
| 81 | 2% | 5% | |
| 82 | 2% | 3% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 0.6% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 67 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 68 | 2% | 98% | |
| 69 | 3% | 96% | |
| 70 | 8% | 93% | |
| 71 | 8% | 85% | |
| 72 | 16% | 77% | |
| 73 | 10% | 61% | |
| 74 | 11% | 51% | Median |
| 75 | 9% | 40% | |
| 76 | 17% | 30% | |
| 77 | 5% | 14% | |
| 78 | 3% | 9% | |
| 79 | 2% | 5% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 65 | 2% | 97% | |
| 66 | 8% | 96% | |
| 67 | 3% | 87% | |
| 68 | 6% | 84% | |
| 69 | 26% | 78% | |
| 70 | 14% | 52% | Median |
| 71 | 8% | 38% | |
| 72 | 10% | 30% | |
| 73 | 15% | 20% | |
| 74 | 3% | 5% | |
| 75 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 62 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 63 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 64 | 7% | 97% | |
| 65 | 7% | 90% | |
| 66 | 12% | 83% | |
| 67 | 7% | 70% | |
| 68 | 9% | 63% | |
| 69 | 14% | 54% | Median |
| 70 | 6% | 40% | |
| 71 | 20% | 34% | |
| 72 | 5% | 14% | |
| 73 | 5% | 8% | |
| 74 | 2% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 61 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 62 | 2% | 97% | |
| 63 | 3% | 94% | |
| 64 | 23% | 92% | |
| 65 | 10% | 69% | |
| 66 | 7% | 59% | |
| 67 | 9% | 52% | Median |
| 68 | 13% | 43% | |
| 69 | 17% | 30% | |
| 70 | 6% | 13% | |
| 71 | 3% | 7% | |
| 72 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 73 | 2% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 60 | 2% | 98% | |
| 61 | 6% | 96% | |
| 62 | 9% | 89% | |
| 63 | 13% | 81% | |
| 64 | 7% | 67% | |
| 65 | 18% | 60% | Median |
| 66 | 12% | 42% | |
| 67 | 19% | 30% | |
| 68 | 4% | 11% | |
| 69 | 3% | 8% | |
| 70 | 2% | 5% | |
| 71 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 1.2% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 60 | 2% | 98% | |
| 61 | 7% | 96% | |
| 62 | 4% | 89% | |
| 63 | 13% | 85% | |
| 64 | 4% | 72% | |
| 65 | 29% | 68% | Median |
| 66 | 13% | 39% | |
| 67 | 6% | 26% | |
| 68 | 8% | 20% | |
| 69 | 6% | 12% | |
| 70 | 2% | 6% | |
| 71 | 2% | 4% | |
| 72 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 55 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 56 | 8% | 97% | |
| 57 | 9% | 89% | |
| 58 | 18% | 80% | |
| 59 | 7% | 63% | |
| 60 | 16% | 56% | Median |
| 61 | 20% | 39% | |
| 62 | 7% | 20% | |
| 63 | 6% | 13% | |
| 64 | 4% | 7% | |
| 65 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 50 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 51 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 52 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 53 | 5% | 96% | |
| 54 | 8% | 91% | |
| 55 | 8% | 83% | |
| 56 | 6% | 75% | |
| 57 | 17% | 69% | |
| 58 | 12% | 53% | Median |
| 59 | 15% | 41% | |
| 60 | 3% | 26% | |
| 61 | 10% | 23% | |
| 62 | 5% | 13% | |
| 63 | 4% | 8% | |
| 64 | 2% | 4% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 46 | 4% | 97% | |
| 47 | 12% | 93% | |
| 48 | 5% | 81% | |
| 49 | 7% | 76% | |
| 50 | 6% | 70% | |
| 51 | 29% | 64% | Median |
| 52 | 6% | 35% | |
| 53 | 10% | 29% | |
| 54 | 4% | 18% | |
| 55 | 8% | 14% | |
| 56 | 4% | 6% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 58 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 46 | 4% | 97% | |
| 47 | 5% | 94% | |
| 48 | 29% | 88% | |
| 49 | 33% | 59% | Median |
| 50 | 10% | 26% | |
| 51 | 4% | 16% | |
| 52 | 6% | 12% | |
| 53 | 3% | 6% | |
| 54 | 2% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 39 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 40 | 7% | 97% | |
| 41 | 10% | 90% | |
| 42 | 9% | 80% | |
| 43 | 18% | 72% | |
| 44 | 20% | 53% | Median |
| 45 | 4% | 33% | |
| 46 | 13% | 29% | |
| 47 | 9% | 16% | |
| 48 | 3% | 7% | |
| 49 | 3% | 4% | |
| 50 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 22 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 23 | 3% | 96% | |
| 24 | 7% | 94% | |
| 25 | 11% | 87% | |
| 26 | 16% | 75% | |
| 27 | 9% | 59% | |
| 28 | 8% | 50% | Median |
| 29 | 5% | 42% | |
| 30 | 21% | 37% | |
| 31 | 10% | 16% | |
| 32 | 2% | 6% | |
| 33 | 2% | 4% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Verian
- Commissioner(s): TV2
- Fieldwork period: 3 November 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.39%