Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse, 7 November 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre |
20.4% |
27.9% |
26.1–29.8% |
25.6–30.3% |
25.2–30.8% |
24.4–31.7% |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
21.0% |
19.4–22.7% |
19.0–23.2% |
18.6–23.6% |
17.8–24.5% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
13.2% |
11.9–14.7% |
11.6–15.1% |
11.2–15.5% |
10.7–16.2% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
8.2% |
7.2–9.4% |
6.9–9.8% |
6.6–10.1% |
6.2–10.7% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
6.6% |
5.7–7.7% |
5.4–8.0% |
5.2–8.3% |
4.8–8.9% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
5.3% |
4.5–6.3% |
4.3–6.6% |
4.1–6.9% |
3.7–7.4% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.9% |
3.1–5.2% |
2.9–5.4% |
2.7–5.9% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
3.9% |
3.2–4.8% |
3.0–5.1% |
2.9–5.3% |
2.6–5.8% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
3.6% |
2.9–4.5% |
2.8–4.7% |
2.6–5.0% |
2.3–5.4% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet |
0.3% |
3.4% |
2.8–4.3% |
2.6–4.5% |
2.4–4.7% |
2.2–5.2% |
Konservativt |
0.4% |
1.4% |
1.0–2.0% |
0.9–2.2% |
0.8–2.3% |
0.7–2.7% |
Pensjonistpartiet |
0.6% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.2% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.3–1.4% |
0.2–1.7% |
Liberalistene |
0.2% |
0.4% |
0.2–0.8% |
0.2–0.9% |
0.2–1.0% |
0.1–1.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
46 |
0.8% |
99.2% |
|
47 |
4% |
98% |
|
48 |
1.3% |
94% |
|
49 |
17% |
93% |
|
50 |
5% |
76% |
|
51 |
35% |
71% |
Median |
52 |
29% |
36% |
|
53 |
1.3% |
7% |
|
54 |
3% |
6% |
|
55 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
59 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
60 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
37 |
1.3% |
99.0% |
|
38 |
49% |
98% |
Median |
39 |
4% |
49% |
|
40 |
1.4% |
45% |
|
41 |
0.4% |
43% |
|
42 |
5% |
43% |
|
43 |
0.6% |
38% |
|
44 |
0.9% |
37% |
|
45 |
7% |
36% |
|
46 |
1.2% |
29% |
|
47 |
27% |
28% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
Last Result |
49 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
19 |
30% |
99.7% |
|
20 |
2% |
69% |
|
21 |
1.1% |
68% |
Last Result |
22 |
1.0% |
67% |
|
23 |
0.6% |
66% |
|
24 |
5% |
65% |
|
25 |
40% |
60% |
Median |
26 |
2% |
20% |
|
27 |
2% |
18% |
|
28 |
9% |
17% |
|
29 |
2% |
8% |
|
30 |
6% |
6% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
6% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.7% |
94% |
|
11 |
2% |
93% |
|
12 |
1.0% |
92% |
|
13 |
32% |
91% |
Last Result |
14 |
10% |
59% |
Median |
15 |
2% |
49% |
|
16 |
7% |
47% |
|
17 |
5% |
40% |
|
18 |
0.2% |
35% |
|
19 |
35% |
35% |
|
20 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
9 |
7% |
99.6% |
|
10 |
8% |
93% |
|
11 |
9% |
85% |
|
12 |
65% |
76% |
Median |
13 |
2% |
11% |
|
14 |
0.3% |
9% |
|
15 |
9% |
9% |
|
16 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
2 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
6 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
7 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
8 |
11% |
97% |
|
9 |
9% |
86% |
|
10 |
39% |
76% |
Median |
11 |
36% |
38% |
|
12 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
13 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
14 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
15 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
2% |
100% |
|
2 |
9% |
98% |
|
3 |
32% |
89% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
57% |
|
5 |
0% |
57% |
|
6 |
6% |
57% |
|
7 |
37% |
51% |
Median |
8 |
2% |
14% |
|
9 |
1.2% |
11% |
|
10 |
10% |
10% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
77% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
23% |
|
3 |
0% |
23% |
|
4 |
0% |
23% |
|
5 |
0% |
23% |
|
6 |
6% |
23% |
|
7 |
7% |
17% |
|
8 |
6% |
10% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
10 |
3% |
3% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
47% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
19% |
53% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
0% |
34% |
|
5 |
0% |
34% |
|
6 |
1.0% |
34% |
|
7 |
2% |
33% |
|
8 |
2% |
31% |
|
9 |
27% |
29% |
|
10 |
2% |
2% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
10% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0.4% |
90% |
|
2 |
67% |
90% |
Median |
3 |
10% |
23% |
|
4 |
0% |
13% |
|
5 |
0% |
13% |
|
6 |
6% |
13% |
|
7 |
1.0% |
7% |
|
8 |
5% |
6% |
|
9 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
96 |
101 |
100% |
95–105 |
94–105 |
93–108 |
91–110 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
71 |
97 |
99.9% |
91–102 |
90–105 |
87–105 |
86–105 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
68 |
90 |
96% |
87–95 |
85–95 |
84–99 |
81–101 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
65 |
88 |
60% |
83–91 |
82–92 |
81–92 |
78–94 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
95 |
77 |
0.2% |
69–82 |
68–82 |
68–82 |
65–83 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt |
100 |
74 |
0.1% |
71–77 |
70–80 |
68–81 |
64–81 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
57 |
76 |
0.3% |
71–78 |
71–79 |
71–79 |
68–83 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt |
97 |
69 |
0% |
65–71 |
63–76 |
63–77 |
61–78 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
73 |
0% |
66–75 |
65–75 |
65–75 |
62–78 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
47 |
65 |
0% |
61–73 |
61–73 |
60–73 |
59–78 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt |
72 |
65 |
0% |
63–69 |
60–71 |
58–72 |
55–72 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet |
89 |
68 |
0% |
62–70 |
59–70 |
59–70 |
58–71 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
82 |
59 |
0% |
57–69 |
54–69 |
52–69 |
50–70 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
51 |
0% |
51–66 |
49–66 |
49–66 |
48–66 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
57 |
0% |
52–60 |
51–60 |
51–61 |
50–62 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
49 |
0% |
48–57 |
47–57 |
46–57 |
44–57 |
Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
39 |
25 |
0% |
21–31 |
20–31 |
20–31 |
20–32 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
88 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
91 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
92 |
0.3% |
98.9% |
|
93 |
3% |
98.6% |
|
94 |
3% |
96% |
|
95 |
5% |
93% |
|
96 |
3% |
89% |
Last Result |
97 |
1.1% |
86% |
|
98 |
1.3% |
85% |
|
99 |
7% |
84% |
|
100 |
0.7% |
76% |
|
101 |
35% |
76% |
Median |
102 |
27% |
41% |
|
103 |
0.4% |
13% |
|
104 |
0.6% |
13% |
|
105 |
8% |
12% |
|
106 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
107 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
108 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
109 |
2% |
2% |
|
110 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
111 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
112 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
84 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Majority |
86 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
87 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
90 |
6% |
96% |
|
91 |
0.9% |
90% |
|
92 |
1.1% |
89% |
|
93 |
0.5% |
88% |
|
94 |
3% |
88% |
|
95 |
29% |
85% |
|
96 |
0.7% |
56% |
|
97 |
42% |
55% |
|
98 |
2% |
14% |
Median |
99 |
0.6% |
12% |
|
100 |
0.8% |
11% |
|
101 |
0.3% |
11% |
|
102 |
2% |
10% |
|
103 |
0.6% |
9% |
|
104 |
0.1% |
8% |
|
105 |
8% |
8% |
|
106 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
99.0% |
|
84 |
3% |
98.8% |
|
85 |
4% |
96% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
92% |
|
87 |
3% |
92% |
|
88 |
4% |
89% |
|
89 |
2% |
85% |
|
90 |
36% |
83% |
|
91 |
6% |
48% |
Median |
92 |
27% |
41% |
|
93 |
0.5% |
14% |
|
94 |
0.9% |
13% |
|
95 |
8% |
12% |
|
96 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
97 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
98 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
99 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
100 |
2% |
2% |
|
101 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
102 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
103 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
77 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
78 |
0.8% |
99.6% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
98.7% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
98.6% |
|
81 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
82 |
3% |
97% |
|
83 |
31% |
95% |
|
84 |
4% |
64% |
|
85 |
1.5% |
60% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
59% |
|
87 |
2% |
55% |
|
88 |
41% |
54% |
Median |
89 |
0.2% |
13% |
|
90 |
2% |
13% |
|
91 |
1.1% |
11% |
|
92 |
8% |
10% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
94 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
97 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
99 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
100 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
67 |
0.9% |
99.1% |
|
68 |
6% |
98% |
|
69 |
3% |
92% |
|
70 |
3% |
89% |
|
71 |
2% |
86% |
|
72 |
1.1% |
84% |
Median |
73 |
1.4% |
83% |
|
74 |
4% |
82% |
|
75 |
10% |
78% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
67% |
|
77 |
37% |
67% |
|
78 |
1.0% |
30% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
29% |
|
80 |
0.5% |
29% |
|
81 |
1.0% |
29% |
|
82 |
27% |
28% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0% |
99.2% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
99.1% |
|
68 |
2% |
98% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
70 |
1.5% |
96% |
Median |
71 |
6% |
94% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
88% |
|
73 |
11% |
87% |
|
74 |
28% |
77% |
|
75 |
0.9% |
48% |
|
76 |
36% |
47% |
|
77 |
2% |
12% |
|
78 |
3% |
10% |
|
79 |
1.1% |
7% |
|
80 |
3% |
5% |
|
81 |
3% |
3% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
68 |
1.0% |
99.6% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
98.7% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
71 |
30% |
98% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
68% |
|
73 |
5% |
67% |
|
74 |
4% |
62% |
|
75 |
4% |
58% |
|
76 |
36% |
54% |
Median |
77 |
8% |
18% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
10% |
|
79 |
8% |
10% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
81 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
82 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
62 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
63 |
8% |
98% |
Median |
64 |
0.3% |
91% |
|
65 |
6% |
90% |
|
66 |
3% |
85% |
|
67 |
0.4% |
82% |
|
68 |
3% |
82% |
|
69 |
35% |
78% |
|
70 |
5% |
43% |
|
71 |
30% |
38% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
8% |
|
73 |
1.3% |
7% |
|
74 |
0.7% |
6% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
5% |
|
76 |
3% |
5% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
78 |
2% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
63 |
0.7% |
99.1% |
|
64 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
65 |
6% |
98% |
|
66 |
4% |
92% |
|
67 |
2% |
87% |
|
68 |
3% |
85% |
|
69 |
2% |
82% |
Median |
70 |
2% |
80% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
78% |
|
72 |
11% |
77% |
|
73 |
30% |
67% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
37% |
|
75 |
35% |
37% |
|
76 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
1.4% |
|
78 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
60 |
4% |
99.1% |
|
61 |
7% |
95% |
|
62 |
3% |
89% |
|
63 |
4% |
86% |
|
64 |
1.0% |
82% |
|
65 |
35% |
81% |
|
66 |
3% |
46% |
Median |
67 |
8% |
43% |
|
68 |
2% |
35% |
|
69 |
1.1% |
33% |
|
70 |
0.8% |
32% |
|
71 |
0.8% |
31% |
|
72 |
0.9% |
30% |
|
73 |
28% |
29% |
|
74 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
77 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
79 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
|
58 |
1.4% |
98.8% |
|
59 |
2% |
97% |
|
60 |
1.2% |
96% |
Median |
61 |
0.8% |
95% |
|
62 |
1.0% |
94% |
|
63 |
13% |
93% |
|
64 |
28% |
80% |
|
65 |
37% |
51% |
|
66 |
0.7% |
14% |
|
67 |
2% |
14% |
|
68 |
1.5% |
12% |
|
69 |
1.0% |
10% |
|
70 |
4% |
9% |
|
71 |
2% |
5% |
|
72 |
3% |
3% |
Last Result |
73 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
56 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
59 |
6% |
99.2% |
|
60 |
1.0% |
94% |
|
61 |
2% |
93% |
|
62 |
8% |
90% |
Median |
63 |
6% |
82% |
|
64 |
1.1% |
76% |
|
65 |
4% |
75% |
|
66 |
3% |
71% |
|
67 |
2% |
68% |
|
68 |
34% |
66% |
|
69 |
2% |
32% |
|
70 |
29% |
30% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
52 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
54 |
0.7% |
95% |
|
55 |
1.2% |
95% |
|
56 |
1.3% |
93% |
|
57 |
3% |
92% |
|
58 |
38% |
89% |
Median |
59 |
8% |
52% |
|
60 |
3% |
44% |
|
61 |
9% |
41% |
|
62 |
1.3% |
32% |
|
63 |
0.6% |
31% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
30% |
|
65 |
0.8% |
30% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
29% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
29% |
|
68 |
1.2% |
29% |
|
69 |
27% |
28% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
48 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
49 |
5% |
98% |
|
50 |
0.7% |
93% |
|
51 |
43% |
92% |
Median |
52 |
0.9% |
49% |
|
53 |
6% |
48% |
|
54 |
0.5% |
42% |
|
55 |
4% |
41% |
|
56 |
3% |
38% |
|
57 |
1.1% |
34% |
|
58 |
3% |
33% |
|
59 |
1.0% |
30% |
|
60 |
0.7% |
29% |
|
61 |
0.5% |
28% |
|
62 |
0.6% |
28% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
27% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
27% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
27% |
|
66 |
27% |
27% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
50 |
1.2% |
99.6% |
|
51 |
6% |
98% |
|
52 |
9% |
92% |
Median |
53 |
0.8% |
83% |
|
54 |
4% |
82% |
|
55 |
4% |
78% |
|
56 |
3% |
74% |
|
57 |
36% |
71% |
|
58 |
4% |
35% |
|
59 |
1.4% |
31% |
|
60 |
27% |
30% |
|
61 |
2% |
3% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
45 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
46 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
47 |
4% |
95% |
|
48 |
10% |
92% |
Median |
49 |
36% |
82% |
|
50 |
7% |
45% |
|
51 |
1.1% |
39% |
|
52 |
2% |
38% |
|
53 |
3% |
35% |
|
54 |
3% |
33% |
|
55 |
1.2% |
30% |
|
56 |
1.3% |
29% |
|
57 |
27% |
27% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
17 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
18 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
19 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
20 |
5% |
99.5% |
|
21 |
8% |
94% |
|
22 |
6% |
86% |
|
23 |
2% |
81% |
|
24 |
2% |
79% |
|
25 |
35% |
77% |
Median |
26 |
0.9% |
42% |
|
27 |
0.6% |
41% |
|
28 |
9% |
40% |
|
29 |
0.5% |
31% |
|
30 |
2% |
30% |
|
31 |
28% |
28% |
|
32 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
33 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse
- Fieldwork period: 7 November 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.41%