Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 7–8 November 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 27.2% | 25.4–29.0% | 25.0–29.5% | 24.5–30.0% | 23.7–30.8% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 22.2% | 20.6–23.9% | 20.1–24.4% | 19.7–24.8% | 19.0–25.6% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.9–12.4% | 9.6–12.8% | 9.3–13.1% | 8.8–13.8% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.2–11.6% | 8.9–12.0% | 8.6–12.3% | 8.1–13.0% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.5% | 5.6–7.5% | 5.3–7.8% | 5.1–8.1% | 4.7–8.7% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.5–6.8% | 4.3–7.1% | 3.9–7.6% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–6.9% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.7–5.0% | 2.4–5.4% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 3.5% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.2% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 49 | 45–52 | 44–52 | 44–53 | 42–56 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 43 | 40–47 | 39–48 | 38–48 | 36–49 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 19 | 17–22 | 17–23 | 17–23 | 15–25 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 18 | 16–20 | 15–21 | 15–22 | 14–24 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 12 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 9–15 | 8–16 |
| Venstre | 8 | 10 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 7–12 | 3–13 |
| Rødt | 8 | 9 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 1–11 | 1–12 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–9 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 2 | 2–7 | 1–8 | 0–8 | 0–9 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–7 | 1–8 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 44 | 7% | 98.5% | |
| 45 | 6% | 92% | |
| 46 | 7% | 86% | |
| 47 | 8% | 79% | |
| 48 | 10% | 71% | |
| 49 | 15% | 61% | Median |
| 50 | 19% | 46% | |
| 51 | 14% | 26% | |
| 52 | 8% | 12% | |
| 53 | 3% | 4% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 38 | 2% | 98% | |
| 39 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 40 | 13% | 95% | |
| 41 | 7% | 82% | |
| 42 | 8% | 76% | |
| 43 | 24% | 68% | Median |
| 44 | 10% | 44% | |
| 45 | 7% | 34% | |
| 46 | 17% | 27% | |
| 47 | 5% | 10% | |
| 48 | 5% | 6% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 17 | 9% | 98% | |
| 18 | 21% | 89% | |
| 19 | 24% | 69% | Median |
| 20 | 22% | 45% | |
| 21 | 6% | 23% | Last Result |
| 22 | 12% | 17% | |
| 23 | 3% | 5% | |
| 24 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 14 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 6% | 98% | |
| 16 | 11% | 93% | |
| 17 | 24% | 82% | |
| 18 | 12% | 58% | Median |
| 19 | 22% | 46% | |
| 20 | 18% | 25% | |
| 21 | 3% | 7% | |
| 22 | 2% | 3% | |
| 23 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 24 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 10% | 98.6% | |
| 10 | 14% | 89% | |
| 11 | 23% | 75% | |
| 12 | 22% | 51% | Median |
| 13 | 20% | 29% | |
| 14 | 6% | 9% | |
| 15 | 3% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 7 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 8 | 19% | 97% | Last Result |
| 9 | 18% | 78% | |
| 10 | 24% | 60% | Median |
| 11 | 24% | 37% | |
| 12 | 11% | 12% | |
| 13 | 1.1% | 1.5% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 3 | 0% | 96% | |
| 4 | 0% | 96% | |
| 5 | 0% | 96% | |
| 6 | 0% | 96% | |
| 7 | 11% | 96% | |
| 8 | 20% | 85% | Last Result |
| 9 | 42% | 65% | Median |
| 10 | 18% | 23% | |
| 11 | 4% | 5% | |
| 12 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 54% | 99.6% | Median |
| 3 | 15% | 46% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 30% | |
| 5 | 0% | 30% | |
| 6 | 0.5% | 30% | |
| 7 | 15% | 30% | |
| 8 | 11% | 15% | |
| 9 | 3% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 4% | 96% | |
| 2 | 59% | 92% | Median |
| 3 | 18% | 33% | |
| 4 | 0% | 16% | |
| 5 | 0% | 16% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 16% | |
| 7 | 9% | 15% | |
| 8 | 5% | 6% | |
| 9 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 57% | 99.8% | Median |
| 2 | 38% | 43% | |
| 3 | 2% | 5% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 7 | 2% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 93 | 99.7% | 88–99 | 87–99 | 86–100 | 85–102 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 84 | 41% | 79–88 | 78–89 | 76–91 | 75–92 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 84 | 41% | 79–87 | 78–88 | 77–89 | 75–91 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 82 | 22% | 78–87 | 76–88 | 75–89 | 73–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 82 | 20% | 77–85 | 76–85 | 75–87 | 73–88 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 78 | 4% | 74–83 | 73–84 | 73–85 | 70–87 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 78 | 5% | 74–83 | 73–84 | 72–85 | 70–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 75 | 0.1% | 71–78 | 70–79 | 69–80 | 67–84 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 73 | 0% | 70–76 | 68–77 | 67–78 | 65–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 73 | 0% | 67–75 | 66–78 | 65–78 | 63–79 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 68 | 0% | 64–72 | 64–74 | 63–74 | 60–76 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 62 | 0% | 58–67 | 57–68 | 56–69 | 55–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 62 | 0% | 57–65 | 57–67 | 56–67 | 54–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 60 | 0% | 56–65 | 55–66 | 54–67 | 52–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 59 | 0% | 55–63 | 54–64 | 53–65 | 50–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 55 | 0% | 52–59 | 51–59 | 49–59 | 48–62 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 25 | 0% | 21–29 | 21–31 | 20–31 | 18–33 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 2% | 99.7% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 87 | 4% | 97% | |
| 88 | 7% | 94% | |
| 89 | 5% | 87% | |
| 90 | 2% | 82% | |
| 91 | 7% | 80% | |
| 92 | 7% | 73% | Median |
| 93 | 25% | 66% | |
| 94 | 5% | 42% | |
| 95 | 5% | 37% | |
| 96 | 11% | 32% | Last Result |
| 97 | 3% | 21% | |
| 98 | 7% | 18% | |
| 99 | 7% | 12% | |
| 100 | 2% | 5% | |
| 101 | 2% | 2% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 1.5% | 99.0% | |
| 77 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 78 | 3% | 96% | |
| 79 | 4% | 93% | |
| 80 | 4% | 89% | |
| 81 | 17% | 85% | Median |
| 82 | 14% | 68% | |
| 83 | 3% | 54% | |
| 84 | 10% | 51% | |
| 85 | 13% | 41% | Majority |
| 86 | 7% | 27% | |
| 87 | 6% | 20% | |
| 88 | 6% | 14% | |
| 89 | 4% | 8% | |
| 90 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 91 | 2% | 3% | |
| 92 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 77 | 2% | 98% | |
| 78 | 5% | 96% | |
| 79 | 8% | 91% | |
| 80 | 2% | 83% | |
| 81 | 7% | 81% | |
| 82 | 16% | 74% | |
| 83 | 7% | 58% | Median |
| 84 | 9% | 51% | |
| 85 | 18% | 41% | Majority |
| 86 | 12% | 23% | |
| 87 | 6% | 11% | |
| 88 | 2% | 5% | |
| 89 | 2% | 3% | |
| 90 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 75 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 76 | 3% | 96% | |
| 77 | 2% | 93% | |
| 78 | 5% | 91% | |
| 79 | 7% | 85% | |
| 80 | 14% | 78% | Median |
| 81 | 12% | 65% | |
| 82 | 12% | 52% | |
| 83 | 7% | 40% | |
| 84 | 11% | 33% | |
| 85 | 6% | 22% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 16% | |
| 87 | 6% | 12% | |
| 88 | 4% | 6% | |
| 89 | 2% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 75 | 2% | 98% | |
| 76 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 77 | 6% | 95% | |
| 78 | 8% | 89% | |
| 79 | 6% | 81% | |
| 80 | 10% | 76% | |
| 81 | 15% | 66% | |
| 82 | 9% | 51% | Median |
| 83 | 6% | 42% | |
| 84 | 16% | 36% | |
| 85 | 15% | 20% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 87 | 2% | 4% | |
| 88 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 73 | 8% | 98% | |
| 74 | 6% | 90% | |
| 75 | 3% | 84% | |
| 76 | 7% | 81% | Median |
| 77 | 9% | 74% | |
| 78 | 16% | 64% | |
| 79 | 13% | 48% | |
| 80 | 5% | 34% | |
| 81 | 11% | 30% | |
| 82 | 4% | 19% | |
| 83 | 9% | 15% | |
| 84 | 2% | 6% | |
| 85 | 3% | 4% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 72 | 3% | 98% | |
| 73 | 2% | 95% | |
| 74 | 11% | 93% | |
| 75 | 4% | 82% | |
| 76 | 9% | 78% | |
| 77 | 11% | 69% | |
| 78 | 14% | 57% | Median |
| 79 | 12% | 43% | |
| 80 | 7% | 31% | |
| 81 | 9% | 24% | |
| 82 | 4% | 15% | |
| 83 | 3% | 10% | |
| 84 | 2% | 7% | |
| 85 | 4% | 5% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 68 | 1.4% | 99.1% | |
| 69 | 2% | 98% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 71 | 12% | 95% | |
| 72 | 7% | 83% | |
| 73 | 7% | 75% | |
| 74 | 11% | 68% | Median |
| 75 | 17% | 57% | |
| 76 | 15% | 41% | |
| 77 | 14% | 26% | |
| 78 | 6% | 12% | |
| 79 | 2% | 6% | |
| 80 | 2% | 4% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 67 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 68 | 2% | 97% | |
| 69 | 2% | 95% | |
| 70 | 17% | 92% | |
| 71 | 5% | 75% | |
| 72 | 8% | 70% | |
| 73 | 17% | 62% | Median |
| 74 | 8% | 44% | |
| 75 | 15% | 36% | |
| 76 | 16% | 21% | |
| 77 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 78 | 2% | 4% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 65 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 66 | 3% | 97% | |
| 67 | 6% | 93% | |
| 68 | 8% | 87% | |
| 69 | 9% | 80% | |
| 70 | 5% | 71% | |
| 71 | 8% | 66% | Median |
| 72 | 7% | 57% | Last Result |
| 73 | 25% | 50% | |
| 74 | 10% | 25% | |
| 75 | 6% | 15% | |
| 76 | 2% | 9% | |
| 77 | 1.5% | 7% | |
| 78 | 4% | 5% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 62 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 63 | 2% | 98% | |
| 64 | 10% | 96% | |
| 65 | 6% | 86% | |
| 66 | 7% | 80% | |
| 67 | 10% | 72% | |
| 68 | 16% | 62% | Median |
| 69 | 12% | 47% | |
| 70 | 15% | 35% | |
| 71 | 6% | 20% | |
| 72 | 3% | 13% | |
| 73 | 3% | 10% | |
| 74 | 5% | 7% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 2% | 98% | |
| 57 | 3% | 96% | |
| 58 | 4% | 92% | |
| 59 | 2% | 88% | |
| 60 | 4% | 86% | |
| 61 | 20% | 82% | Median |
| 62 | 13% | 62% | |
| 63 | 18% | 49% | |
| 64 | 10% | 31% | |
| 65 | 7% | 21% | |
| 66 | 3% | 13% | |
| 67 | 4% | 11% | |
| 68 | 3% | 7% | |
| 69 | 3% | 4% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 56 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 57 | 10% | 96% | |
| 58 | 6% | 86% | |
| 59 | 4% | 80% | |
| 60 | 8% | 75% | |
| 61 | 7% | 68% | Last Result, Median |
| 62 | 17% | 60% | |
| 63 | 27% | 44% | |
| 64 | 6% | 17% | |
| 65 | 3% | 10% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 67 | 5% | 7% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 54 | 1.5% | 98.9% | |
| 55 | 5% | 97% | |
| 56 | 4% | 92% | |
| 57 | 11% | 89% | |
| 58 | 15% | 78% | Median |
| 59 | 5% | 63% | |
| 60 | 10% | 58% | |
| 61 | 4% | 48% | |
| 62 | 19% | 44% | |
| 63 | 5% | 25% | |
| 64 | 9% | 20% | |
| 65 | 3% | 11% | |
| 66 | 5% | 8% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 52 | 1.3% | 99.1% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98% | |
| 54 | 5% | 96% | |
| 55 | 11% | 91% | |
| 56 | 7% | 80% | |
| 57 | 14% | 73% | Median |
| 58 | 6% | 59% | |
| 59 | 8% | 53% | |
| 60 | 9% | 45% | |
| 61 | 16% | 36% | |
| 62 | 8% | 20% | |
| 63 | 2% | 11% | |
| 64 | 4% | 9% | |
| 65 | 2% | 4% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 50 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 51 | 4% | 96% | |
| 52 | 6% | 92% | |
| 53 | 15% | 86% | |
| 54 | 18% | 71% | |
| 55 | 16% | 53% | Median |
| 56 | 7% | 36% | |
| 57 | 14% | 30% | |
| 58 | 5% | 16% | |
| 59 | 9% | 11% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 20 | 2% | 98% | |
| 21 | 11% | 96% | |
| 22 | 2% | 86% | |
| 23 | 17% | 84% | |
| 24 | 8% | 66% | Median |
| 25 | 17% | 58% | |
| 26 | 8% | 41% | |
| 27 | 11% | 33% | |
| 28 | 5% | 22% | |
| 29 | 9% | 17% | |
| 30 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 31 | 6% | 7% | |
| 32 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 33 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norfakta
- Commissioner(s): Klassekampen and Nationen
- Fieldwork period: 7–8 November 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1038
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.56%