Opinion Poll by Norstat for Aftenposten and NRK, 27 November–2 December 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre 20.4% 26.3% 24.6–28.2% 24.1–28.7% 23.7–29.1% 22.8–30.0%
Arbeiderpartiet 26.2% 18.6% 17.1–20.3% 16.7–20.7% 16.3–21.1% 15.6–21.9%
Fremskrittspartiet 11.6% 13.6% 12.3–15.1% 11.9–15.5% 11.6–15.9% 11.0–16.6%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.6% 11.4% 10.2–12.8% 9.9–13.2% 9.6–13.5% 9.0–14.2%
Senterpartiet 13.5% 6.1% 5.2–7.2% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.8% 4.4–8.3%
Rødt 4.7% 4.8% 4.0–5.8% 3.8–6.1% 3.6–6.3% 3.3–6.8%
Kristelig Folkeparti 3.8% 4.7% 3.9–5.7% 3.7–6.0% 3.6–6.2% 3.2–6.7%
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0.3% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–6.0%
Venstre 4.6% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.9% 3.9% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.1% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.8%
Norgesdemokratene 1.1% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
Pensjonistpartiet 0.6% 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.6% 0.3–1.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre 36 46 45–53 44–53 42–53 40–53
Arbeiderpartiet 48 37 33–38 33–38 32–39 30–42
Fremskrittspartiet 21 26 21–27 21–29 21–29 19–32
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 13 19 18–21 17–23 16–23 15–25
Senterpartiet 28 10 9–13 9–13 8–14 7–15
Rødt 8 7 1–9 1–10 1–11 1–12
Kristelig Folkeparti 3 8 3–9 3–10 3–11 2–12
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0 7 2–9 2–9 2–9 2–9
Venstre 8 3 2–8 2–8 2–9 2–10
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3 8 2–8 2–8 2–9 1–10
Norgesdemokratene 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pensjonistpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0% 100% Last Result
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0.1% 100%  
40 1.2% 99.9%  
41 0.7% 98.7%  
42 2% 98%  
43 0.6% 96%  
44 2% 95%  
45 40% 93%  
46 5% 53% Median
47 3% 49%  
48 10% 46%  
49 8% 36%  
50 4% 28%  
51 1.4% 23%  
52 2% 22%  
53 20% 20%  
54 0.3% 0.4%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.7% 99.9%  
31 0.5% 99.2%  
32 2% 98.7%  
33 21% 97%  
34 10% 75%  
35 4% 66%  
36 9% 61%  
37 40% 52% Median
38 8% 12%  
39 3% 5%  
40 0.3% 2%  
41 0.5% 2%  
42 0.8% 1.1%  
43 0.1% 0.3%  
44 0.1% 0.2%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.1% 99.9%  
19 1.1% 99.8%  
20 1.1% 98.8%  
21 22% 98% Last Result
22 2% 76%  
23 4% 74%  
24 6% 69%  
25 5% 64%  
26 41% 59% Median
27 10% 17%  
28 0.5% 8%  
29 5% 7%  
30 0.6% 2%  
31 0.9% 2%  
32 0.4% 0.7%  
33 0.2% 0.3%  
34 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0% 100% Last Result
14 0.3% 100%  
15 0.8% 99.7%  
16 4% 98.9%  
17 2% 95%  
18 6% 93%  
19 41% 87% Median
20 8% 46%  
21 28% 38%  
22 3% 9%  
23 5% 6%  
24 0.3% 1.0%  
25 0.5% 0.7%  
26 0.1% 0.2%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.2% 100%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0.7% 99.7%  
8 2% 99.0%  
9 39% 97%  
10 34% 58% Median
11 4% 24%  
12 4% 21%  
13 14% 17%  
14 2% 3%  
15 1.3% 1.3%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 19% 100%  
2 0% 81%  
3 0% 81%  
4 0% 81%  
5 0% 81%  
6 0.8% 81%  
7 39% 80% Median
8 12% 41% Last Result
9 22% 29%  
10 4% 7%  
11 2% 3%  
12 0.4% 0.6%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 2% 100%  
3 14% 98% Last Result
4 0% 85%  
5 0% 85%  
6 0.7% 85%  
7 5% 84%  
8 44% 78% Median
9 25% 34%  
10 6% 9%  
11 2% 3%  
12 0.5% 0.6%  
13 0% 0%  

Industri- og Næringspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 99.7%  
2 17% 99.6%  
3 22% 83%  
4 0% 61%  
5 0% 61%  
6 0.3% 61%  
7 42% 60% Median
8 8% 19%  
9 10% 11%  
10 0.4% 0.4%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 48% 99.9%  
3 10% 52% Median
4 0% 42%  
5 0% 42%  
6 0.9% 42%  
7 25% 41%  
8 12% 16% Last Result
9 3% 4%  
10 1.0% 1.1%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 2% 100%  
2 26% 98%  
3 8% 71% Last Result
4 0% 64%  
5 0% 64%  
6 0.2% 64%  
7 7% 63%  
8 53% 57% Median
9 3% 4%  
10 0.7% 0.8%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Norgesdemokratene

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Pensjonistpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 94 99.7% 90–100 90–101 90–104 85–106
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 71 89 95% 87–93 85–95 83–97 79–99
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 68 82 42% 81–90 80–90 78–92 75–96
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 95 81 4% 75–82 75–83 72–86 66–89
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 100 79 3% 75–81 74–84 72–85 67–89
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre 65 76 2% 73–81 72–84 71–84 68–87
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt 97 72 0.1% 69–75 68–77 67–79 65–83
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 92 73 0% 66–76 66–78 65–78 60–80
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 57 71 0% 69–77 67–77 65–78 64–79
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 72 68 0% 64–71 63–72 61–74 57–76
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet 89 65 0% 64–69 62–70 61–72 58–74
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 47 56 0% 55–69 55–69 53–69 50–70
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 82 61 0% 54–63 54–65 52–66 48–69
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 61 56 0% 53–58 52–60 51–61 49–64
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 79 54 0% 50–56 50–58 49–61 43–63
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 76 46 0% 43–49 43–49 42–52 40–53
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 39 20 0% 19–27 19–29 17–30 14–31

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.3% 100%  
85 0.6% 99.7% Majority
86 0.1% 99.1%  
87 0.3% 99.1%  
88 0.5% 98.7%  
89 0.6% 98%  
90 37% 98%  
91 1.2% 60%  
92 2% 59%  
93 4% 57% Median
94 3% 53%  
95 9% 50%  
96 5% 41% Last Result
97 4% 36%  
98 6% 32%  
99 0.8% 26%  
100 21% 26%  
101 0.5% 5%  
102 1.5% 5%  
103 0.3% 3%  
104 1.2% 3%  
105 0.9% 1.5%  
106 0.1% 0.5%  
107 0% 0.5%  
108 0.4% 0.4%  
109 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100% Last Result
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.2% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 99.7%  
80 0.2% 99.5%  
81 0.4% 99.3%  
82 1.2% 98.9%  
83 1.1% 98%  
84 1.3% 97%  
85 1.3% 95% Majority
86 2% 94%  
87 3% 92%  
88 2% 89%  
89 39% 87%  
90 8% 49%  
91 2% 40% Median
92 22% 38%  
93 8% 17%  
94 1.1% 9%  
95 4% 8%  
96 0.9% 4%  
97 2% 3%  
98 0.2% 1.0%  
99 0.7% 0.8%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 1.0% 99.9%  
76 0.4% 98.9%  
77 0.8% 98.5%  
78 0.4% 98%  
79 1.2% 97%  
80 2% 96%  
81 37% 94%  
82 11% 58%  
83 2% 46% Median
84 3% 45%  
85 4% 42% Majority
86 5% 37%  
87 5% 33%  
88 1.0% 28%  
89 2% 27%  
90 21% 25%  
91 0.2% 3%  
92 0.8% 3%  
93 0.2% 2%  
94 1.3% 2%  
95 0.1% 0.6%  
96 0.5% 0.5%  
97 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.2% 100%  
65 0% 99.8%  
66 0.3% 99.8%  
67 0% 99.5%  
68 0.1% 99.5%  
69 0.8% 99.4%  
70 0.2% 98.6%  
71 0.3% 98%  
72 0.8% 98%  
73 1.0% 97%  
74 0.7% 96%  
75 21% 96%  
76 4% 75%  
77 2% 71%  
78 3% 70%  
79 11% 67%  
80 5% 56%  
81 41% 52%  
82 1.1% 11% Median
83 5% 9%  
84 0.4% 4%  
85 0.3% 4% Majority
86 1.4% 4%  
87 2% 2%  
88 0.1% 0.9%  
89 0.6% 0.7%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.4% 99.8%  
68 0% 99.5%  
69 0.5% 99.5%  
70 0% 99.0%  
71 1.3% 98.9%  
72 1.5% 98%  
73 0.4% 96%  
74 4% 96%  
75 21% 92%  
76 3% 71%  
77 12% 68%  
78 2% 56%  
79 4% 54%  
80 38% 50%  
81 5% 12% Median
82 1.2% 7%  
83 0.4% 6%  
84 2% 5%  
85 1.4% 3% Majority
86 0.9% 2%  
87 0.1% 0.8%  
88 0% 0.7%  
89 0.5% 0.6%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100% Last Result
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.3% 99.8%  
69 0.8% 99.5%  
70 0.4% 98.7%  
71 2% 98%  
72 2% 96%  
73 37% 94%  
74 2% 57%  
75 2% 55% Median
76 6% 53%  
77 2% 47%  
78 4% 46%  
79 11% 42%  
80 1.3% 31%  
81 22% 29%  
82 1.0% 8%  
83 0.4% 7%  
84 5% 6%  
85 0.4% 2% Majority
86 0.3% 1.2%  
87 0.9% 0.9%  
88 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.8%  
65 0.3% 99.7%  
66 0.7% 99.4%  
67 3% 98.7%  
68 1.4% 96%  
69 10% 94%  
70 1.3% 84%  
71 5% 83%  
72 38% 78%  
73 24% 40% Median
74 4% 16%  
75 2% 11%  
76 2% 10%  
77 3% 7%  
78 0.8% 4%  
79 2% 3%  
80 0.4% 2%  
81 0.3% 1.2%  
82 0.2% 0.8%  
83 0.4% 0.6%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0% 0.1% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.2% 100%  
58 0.1% 99.8%  
59 0% 99.7%  
60 0.4% 99.7%  
61 0.1% 99.3%  
62 0.1% 99.3%  
63 0.2% 99.2%  
64 1.2% 99.0%  
65 0.7% 98%  
66 19% 97%  
67 2% 78%  
68 4% 76%  
69 4% 72%  
70 1.4% 68%  
71 3% 67%  
72 1.3% 64%  
73 42% 62%  
74 2% 20% Median
75 1.1% 18%  
76 11% 17%  
77 0.5% 6%  
78 3% 6%  
79 1.4% 2%  
80 0.6% 0.8%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100% Last Result
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.8%  
63 0.2% 99.7%  
64 1.0% 99.5%  
65 1.4% 98%  
66 1.4% 97%  
67 1.4% 96%  
68 4% 94%  
69 2% 90%  
70 5% 88%  
71 38% 83%  
72 1.0% 46% Median
73 2% 45%  
74 23% 42%  
75 1.3% 19%  
76 7% 18%  
77 7% 11%  
78 0.9% 3%  
79 2% 2%  
80 0.3% 0.4%  
81 0% 0.2%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0% Majority

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.5% 99.9%  
58 0% 99.4%  
59 1.4% 99.4%  
60 0.2% 98%  
61 1.0% 98%  
62 1.4% 97%  
63 0.8% 95%  
64 11% 95%  
65 21% 83%  
66 4% 62%  
67 2% 58%  
68 8% 56%  
69 4% 48%  
70 2% 44%  
71 37% 42% Median
72 0.6% 6% Last Result
73 1.3% 5%  
74 2% 4%  
75 0.1% 2%  
76 1.3% 2%  
77 0.3% 0.4%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.2% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.8%  
57 0% 99.7%  
58 0.3% 99.6%  
59 0.2% 99.3%  
60 0.7% 99.1%  
61 1.4% 98%  
62 3% 97%  
63 0.9% 94%  
64 20% 93%  
65 41% 73%  
66 8% 33% Median
67 3% 25%  
68 10% 21%  
69 3% 12%  
70 4% 9%  
71 1.5% 5%  
72 2% 4%  
73 1.4% 2%  
74 0.2% 0.5%  
75 0% 0.3%  
76 0% 0.3%  
77 0.2% 0.2%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100% Last Result
48 0% 100%  
49 0.2% 100%  
50 0.7% 99.7%  
51 0.1% 99.1%  
52 1.0% 99.0%  
53 1.5% 98%  
54 1.4% 97%  
55 45% 95%  
56 0.9% 50%  
57 0.8% 50% Median
58 5% 49%  
59 1.3% 44%  
60 4% 43%  
61 7% 38%  
62 3% 31%  
63 1.4% 29%  
64 4% 27%  
65 2% 24%  
66 0.3% 22%  
67 0.4% 22%  
68 0.8% 21%  
69 20% 20%  
70 0.1% 0.5%  
71 0.4% 0.4%  
72 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0% 100%  
47 0.2% 99.9%  
48 0.4% 99.8%  
49 0% 99.3%  
50 1.1% 99.3%  
51 0.4% 98%  
52 2% 98%  
53 0.3% 96%  
54 19% 96%  
55 0.5% 77%  
56 2% 76%  
57 3% 75%  
58 13% 72%  
59 4% 59%  
60 2% 55%  
61 3% 53%  
62 38% 50%  
63 3% 12% Median
64 4% 9%  
65 1.0% 5%  
66 2% 4%  
67 0.2% 2%  
68 0.9% 2%  
69 0.5% 0.6%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.2% 100%  
48 0.2% 99.8%  
49 0.3% 99.6%  
50 1.4% 99.2%  
51 2% 98%  
52 6% 96%  
53 1.2% 90%  
54 22% 89%  
55 8% 67%  
56 43% 59% Median
57 4% 16%  
58 4% 12%  
59 1.1% 8%  
60 4% 7%  
61 2% 3% Last Result
62 0.4% 1.2%  
63 0.3% 0.8%  
64 0.4% 0.6%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.5% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.5%  
45 0.3% 99.4%  
46 0.4% 99.1%  
47 0.2% 98.7%  
48 0.8% 98%  
49 0.7% 98%  
50 12% 97%  
51 3% 85%  
52 21% 81%  
53 0.8% 61%  
54 38% 60%  
55 3% 22% Median
56 10% 19%  
57 2% 10%  
58 2% 7%  
59 1.3% 5%  
60 0.6% 4%  
61 1.3% 3%  
62 0.4% 2%  
63 1.2% 1.4%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.2% 100%  
38 0% 99.8%  
39 0.1% 99.7%  
40 0.8% 99.6%  
41 0.7% 98.8%  
42 1.4% 98%  
43 21% 97%  
44 1.0% 76%  
45 3% 75%  
46 42% 72%  
47 12% 30% Median
48 6% 18%  
49 8% 13%  
50 1.4% 5%  
51 0.7% 3%  
52 0.5% 3%  
53 2% 2%  
54 0.3% 0.5%  
55 0% 0.2%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.4% 100%  
14 0.6% 99.6%  
15 1.3% 99.0%  
16 0.2% 98%  
17 0.3% 98%  
18 1.4% 97%  
19 43% 96%  
20 4% 53%  
21 2% 48% Median
22 4% 46%  
23 2% 42%  
24 2% 40%  
25 4% 38%  
26 22% 34%  
27 3% 12%  
28 4% 9%  
29 2% 5%  
30 2% 3%  
31 0.6% 0.9%  
32 0.2% 0.3%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations