Opinion Poll by InFact for Nettavisen, 13 December 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre |
20.4% |
24.5% |
22.9–26.1% |
22.5–26.6% |
22.1–27.0% |
21.3–27.8% |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
18.9% |
17.5–20.4% |
17.1–20.8% |
16.7–21.2% |
16.0–22.0% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
14.2% |
13.0–15.6% |
12.6–16.0% |
12.3–16.4% |
11.7–17.0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
9.7% |
8.7–10.9% |
8.4–11.3% |
8.2–11.6% |
7.7–12.2% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
7.8% |
6.9–8.9% |
6.6–9.3% |
6.4–9.5% |
6.0–10.1% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
6.0% |
5.2–7.0% |
5.0–7.3% |
4.8–7.6% |
4.4–8.1% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
5.7% |
4.9–6.7% |
4.7–6.9% |
4.5–7.2% |
4.1–7.7% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet |
0.3% |
4.7% |
4.0–5.6% |
3.8–5.9% |
3.7–6.1% |
3.3–6.6% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
3.5% |
2.9–4.3% |
2.8–4.6% |
2.6–4.8% |
2.3–5.2% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
3.3% |
2.7–4.1% |
2.5–4.3% |
2.4–4.5% |
2.1–4.9% |
Norgesdemokratene |
1.1% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.0–0.6% |
0.0–0.8% |
Folkets parti |
0.1% |
0.1% |
0.0–0.3% |
0.0–0.4% |
0.0–0.5% |
0.0–0.6% |
Liberalistene |
0.2% |
0.1% |
0.0–0.3% |
0.0–0.4% |
0.0–0.5% |
0.0–0.6% |
Konservativt |
0.4% |
0.1% |
0.0–0.3% |
0.0–0.4% |
0.0–0.5% |
0.0–0.6% |
Pensjonistpartiet |
0.6% |
0.1% |
0.0–0.3% |
0.0–0.4% |
0.0–0.5% |
0.0–0.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
37 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
4% |
99.7% |
|
39 |
2% |
96% |
|
40 |
2% |
94% |
|
41 |
40% |
92% |
|
42 |
0.9% |
53% |
|
43 |
15% |
52% |
Median |
44 |
0.5% |
37% |
|
45 |
34% |
36% |
|
46 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
47 |
2% |
2% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
26% |
99.7% |
|
32 |
0.3% |
74% |
|
33 |
6% |
74% |
|
34 |
2% |
67% |
|
35 |
8% |
65% |
|
36 |
20% |
57% |
Median |
37 |
16% |
37% |
|
38 |
21% |
22% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
41 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
19 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
21 |
11% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
22 |
8% |
89% |
|
23 |
6% |
81% |
|
24 |
26% |
74% |
Median |
25 |
18% |
48% |
|
26 |
26% |
30% |
|
27 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
28 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
29 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
30 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
32 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
33 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
14 |
1.0% |
98.9% |
|
15 |
42% |
98% |
|
16 |
2% |
56% |
|
17 |
29% |
54% |
Median |
18 |
1.1% |
26% |
|
19 |
4% |
24% |
|
20 |
0.4% |
20% |
|
21 |
20% |
20% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
24 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
99.0% |
|
12 |
1.2% |
98.7% |
|
13 |
20% |
98% |
|
14 |
58% |
77% |
Median |
15 |
2% |
19% |
|
16 |
15% |
17% |
|
17 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
18 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
19 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
7 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
8 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
Last Result |
9 |
7% |
98.6% |
|
10 |
48% |
92% |
Median |
11 |
18% |
44% |
|
12 |
24% |
26% |
|
13 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
14 |
1.3% |
1.4% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
6 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
7 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
8 |
15% |
97% |
Last Result |
9 |
2% |
82% |
|
10 |
73% |
80% |
Median |
11 |
5% |
7% |
|
12 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
13 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
3 |
1.3% |
99.7% |
|
4 |
0% |
98% |
|
5 |
0% |
98% |
|
6 |
0% |
98% |
|
7 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
8 |
14% |
97% |
|
9 |
39% |
83% |
Median |
10 |
39% |
44% |
|
11 |
0.5% |
5% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
13 |
4% |
4% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
51% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
46% |
49% |
|
3 |
2% |
3% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
2% |
|
5 |
0% |
2% |
|
6 |
0% |
2% |
|
7 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
8 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
10 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
62% |
99.0% |
Median |
3 |
2% |
37% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
35% |
|
5 |
0% |
35% |
|
6 |
0.2% |
35% |
|
7 |
35% |
35% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Folkets parti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Folkets parti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
96 |
95 |
100% |
92–98 |
91–99 |
90–100 |
88–102 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
71 |
82 |
39% |
80–86 |
79–87 |
76–88 |
76–90 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
68 |
81 |
5% |
78–84 |
76–84 |
74–86 |
73–88 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
100 |
78 |
5% |
74–79 |
74–85 |
73–86 |
70–87 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt |
97 |
77 |
0.1% |
72–78 |
72–81 |
72–84 |
69–84 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
65 |
77 |
0.7% |
76–79 |
73–79 |
72–83 |
70–86 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
95 |
71 |
0% |
70–73 |
69–77 |
68–77 |
63–78 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
68 |
0% |
64–71 |
64–74 |
64–75 |
61–76 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet |
89 |
67 |
0% |
62–70 |
62–71 |
62–73 |
59–73 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
57 |
67 |
0% |
65–69 |
64–69 |
61–71 |
61–75 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
72 |
63 |
0% |
60–66 |
60–69 |
59–70 |
58–71 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
47 |
57 |
0% |
54–61 |
51–62 |
51–62 |
50–63 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
82 |
54 |
0% |
52–58 |
50–58 |
50–59 |
47–62 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
53 |
0% |
51–56 |
48–56 |
48–58 |
45–58 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
52 |
0% |
48–57 |
48–57 |
48–57 |
47–58 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
49 |
0% |
45–53 |
45–53 |
45–53 |
43–54 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
39 |
29 |
0% |
26–32 |
24–33 |
24–33 |
22–33 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
85 |
0.2% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
89 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
90 |
4% |
99.0% |
|
91 |
5% |
95% |
|
92 |
1.3% |
90% |
|
93 |
15% |
89% |
Median |
94 |
2% |
74% |
|
95 |
32% |
71% |
|
96 |
0.6% |
39% |
Last Result |
97 |
0.4% |
39% |
|
98 |
33% |
38% |
|
99 |
0.9% |
6% |
|
100 |
3% |
5% |
|
101 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
102 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
|
103 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
104 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
4% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
96% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
79 |
0.6% |
95% |
|
80 |
15% |
95% |
Median |
81 |
16% |
80% |
|
82 |
23% |
64% |
|
83 |
1.3% |
41% |
|
84 |
1.3% |
40% |
|
85 |
0.9% |
39% |
Majority |
86 |
33% |
38% |
|
87 |
3% |
5% |
|
88 |
2% |
3% |
|
89 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
92 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
93 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
94 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
73 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
74 |
4% |
99.0% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
95% |
|
76 |
0.9% |
95% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
94% |
|
78 |
4% |
94% |
|
79 |
12% |
90% |
Median |
80 |
15% |
78% |
|
81 |
23% |
63% |
|
82 |
1.3% |
40% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
39% |
|
84 |
33% |
38% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
5% |
Majority |
86 |
4% |
5% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
88 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
|
73 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
74 |
25% |
97% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
72% |
|
76 |
9% |
71% |
|
77 |
6% |
62% |
|
78 |
21% |
56% |
Median |
79 |
27% |
35% |
|
80 |
0.7% |
8% |
|
81 |
0.5% |
7% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
7% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
6% |
|
84 |
0.8% |
6% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
5% |
Majority |
86 |
4% |
5% |
|
87 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
90 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
69 |
0.9% |
99.7% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
98.8% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
98.7% |
|
72 |
27% |
98.5% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
71% |
|
74 |
9% |
71% |
|
75 |
5% |
62% |
|
76 |
3% |
57% |
|
77 |
23% |
55% |
Median |
78 |
25% |
32% |
|
79 |
0.7% |
7% |
|
80 |
0.7% |
6% |
|
81 |
0.6% |
5% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
5% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
84 |
4% |
4% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
72 |
4% |
99.0% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
95% |
|
74 |
1.0% |
95% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
94% |
|
76 |
5% |
94% |
|
77 |
43% |
89% |
Median |
78 |
15% |
45% |
|
79 |
25% |
30% |
|
80 |
0.6% |
5% |
|
81 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
82 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
84 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
Majority |
86 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
98.9% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
98.7% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
68 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
69 |
6% |
97% |
|
70 |
20% |
91% |
Median |
71 |
37% |
70% |
|
72 |
1.3% |
33% |
|
73 |
23% |
32% |
|
74 |
3% |
10% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
7% |
|
76 |
1.3% |
6% |
|
77 |
4% |
5% |
|
78 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
62 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
63 |
1.1% |
99.5% |
|
64 |
25% |
98% |
|
65 |
0.5% |
73% |
|
66 |
9% |
73% |
|
67 |
9% |
64% |
|
68 |
20% |
56% |
Median |
69 |
12% |
36% |
|
70 |
1.1% |
23% |
|
71 |
15% |
22% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
7% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
6% |
|
74 |
2% |
6% |
|
75 |
4% |
4% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
61 |
1.3% |
99.3% |
|
62 |
25% |
98% |
|
63 |
0.8% |
73% |
|
64 |
8% |
72% |
|
65 |
5% |
64% |
|
66 |
5% |
59% |
|
67 |
22% |
55% |
Median |
68 |
12% |
32% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
21% |
|
70 |
15% |
21% |
|
71 |
1.0% |
5% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
73 |
4% |
4% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
95% |
|
64 |
0.9% |
95% |
|
65 |
9% |
94% |
|
66 |
25% |
85% |
|
67 |
30% |
60% |
Median |
68 |
4% |
30% |
|
69 |
22% |
27% |
|
70 |
2% |
4% |
|
71 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
72 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
75 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
59 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
60 |
25% |
97% |
|
61 |
1.1% |
72% |
|
62 |
8% |
71% |
|
63 |
13% |
63% |
|
64 |
25% |
49% |
Median |
65 |
1.3% |
25% |
|
66 |
15% |
23% |
|
67 |
1.2% |
8% |
|
68 |
1.2% |
7% |
|
69 |
1.1% |
6% |
|
70 |
4% |
4% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
73 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
4% |
99.0% |
|
52 |
0.9% |
95% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
94% |
|
54 |
6% |
93% |
|
55 |
15% |
87% |
Median |
56 |
1.3% |
72% |
|
57 |
23% |
71% |
|
58 |
36% |
48% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
12% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
12% |
|
61 |
3% |
12% |
|
62 |
7% |
9% |
|
63 |
1.3% |
1.4% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
48 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
49 |
0.3% |
98.7% |
|
50 |
5% |
98% |
|
51 |
0.7% |
94% |
|
52 |
15% |
93% |
|
53 |
0.5% |
78% |
Median |
54 |
29% |
77% |
|
55 |
21% |
49% |
|
56 |
14% |
28% |
|
57 |
0.7% |
13% |
|
58 |
8% |
13% |
|
59 |
3% |
4% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
61 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
98.6% |
|
48 |
5% |
98% |
|
49 |
0.8% |
93% |
|
50 |
0.6% |
92% |
|
51 |
15% |
92% |
|
52 |
26% |
77% |
Median |
53 |
4% |
50% |
|
54 |
24% |
46% |
|
55 |
11% |
22% |
|
56 |
8% |
11% |
|
57 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
58 |
2% |
3% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
1.1% |
99.7% |
|
48 |
25% |
98.6% |
|
49 |
0.9% |
73% |
|
50 |
9% |
73% |
|
51 |
2% |
64% |
|
52 |
18% |
62% |
|
53 |
21% |
43% |
Median |
54 |
1.4% |
22% |
|
55 |
1.0% |
21% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
20% |
|
57 |
19% |
20% |
|
58 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
60 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
45 |
26% |
99.1% |
|
46 |
5% |
73% |
|
47 |
1.0% |
68% |
|
48 |
0.5% |
67% |
|
49 |
23% |
67% |
|
50 |
2% |
44% |
Median |
51 |
6% |
42% |
|
52 |
24% |
36% |
|
53 |
11% |
12% |
|
54 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
22 |
1.0% |
99.6% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
98.7% |
|
24 |
5% |
98.5% |
|
25 |
0.8% |
94% |
|
26 |
23% |
93% |
Median |
27 |
17% |
70% |
|
28 |
1.0% |
53% |
|
29 |
15% |
52% |
|
30 |
1.1% |
37% |
|
31 |
25% |
36% |
|
32 |
3% |
11% |
|
33 |
7% |
8% |
|
34 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: InFact
- Commissioner(s): Nettavisen
- Fieldwork period: 13 December 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1161
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.99%