Opinion Poll by InFact for Nettavisen, 3 January 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 23.5% | 21.9–25.2% | 21.4–25.7% | 21.0–26.1% | 20.3–26.9% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 18.5% | 17.0–20.1% | 16.6–20.5% | 16.3–20.9% | 15.6–21.7% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 14.4% | 13.2–15.9% | 12.8–16.3% | 12.5–16.7% | 11.9–17.4% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.1–10.3% | 7.8–10.7% | 7.5–11.0% | 7.1–11.6% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 7.8% | 6.9–9.0% | 6.6–9.3% | 6.4–9.6% | 5.9–10.2% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 6.1% | 5.2–7.1% | 5.0–7.4% | 4.8–7.7% | 4.4–8.2% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8–6.6% | 4.6–6.9% | 4.4–7.1% | 4.0–7.7% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6–6.3% | 4.3–6.6% | 4.1–6.8% | 3.8–7.3% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% | 3.5–6.0% | 3.2–6.5% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.0–4.4% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–4.9% | 2.4–5.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 41 | 38–45 | 37–45 | 36–46 | 35–47 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 35 | 33–38 | 32–39 | 31–39 | 31–40 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 25 | 22–29 | 22–30 | 21–31 | 20–32 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 15 | 12–17 | 12–18 | 11–18 | 11–19 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 13 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 10–16 | 9–17 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 10 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 7–12 | 7–14 |
| Rødt | 8 | 9 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 7–12 | 1–13 |
| Venstre | 8 | 9 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 3–12 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 8 | 3–9 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–11 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 3 | 2–7 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 1–8 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 1.4% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 37 | 3% | 96% | |
| 38 | 9% | 93% | |
| 39 | 4% | 85% | |
| 40 | 22% | 80% | |
| 41 | 11% | 58% | Median |
| 42 | 15% | 47% | |
| 43 | 14% | 32% | |
| 44 | 6% | 19% | |
| 45 | 8% | 12% | |
| 46 | 3% | 4% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 31 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 6% | 97% | |
| 33 | 11% | 91% | |
| 34 | 12% | 80% | |
| 35 | 34% | 68% | Median |
| 36 | 11% | 34% | |
| 37 | 8% | 23% | |
| 38 | 9% | 15% | |
| 39 | 4% | 6% | |
| 40 | 2% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 3% | 98.9% | Last Result |
| 22 | 7% | 95% | |
| 23 | 14% | 88% | |
| 24 | 21% | 74% | |
| 25 | 10% | 53% | Median |
| 26 | 14% | 43% | |
| 27 | 14% | 29% | |
| 28 | 3% | 15% | |
| 29 | 6% | 12% | |
| 30 | 2% | 6% | |
| 31 | 3% | 4% | |
| 32 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 12 | 10% | 97% | |
| 13 | 12% | 88% | Last Result |
| 14 | 22% | 75% | |
| 15 | 13% | 53% | Median |
| 16 | 24% | 40% | |
| 17 | 5% | 15% | |
| 18 | 8% | 10% | |
| 19 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 6% | 99.5% | |
| 11 | 4% | 94% | |
| 12 | 4% | 90% | |
| 13 | 35% | 85% | Median |
| 14 | 23% | 50% | |
| 15 | 19% | 26% | |
| 16 | 6% | 7% | |
| 17 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 13% | 97% | |
| 9 | 24% | 83% | |
| 10 | 27% | 59% | Median |
| 11 | 20% | 33% | |
| 12 | 11% | 13% | |
| 13 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 6 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 7 | 11% | 98% | |
| 8 | 17% | 87% | Last Result |
| 9 | 39% | 70% | Median |
| 10 | 18% | 31% | |
| 11 | 8% | 12% | |
| 12 | 4% | 5% | |
| 13 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 6 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 7 | 16% | 98% | |
| 8 | 26% | 82% | Last Result |
| 9 | 26% | 57% | Median |
| 10 | 18% | 30% | |
| 11 | 12% | 13% | |
| 12 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 6% | 100% | |
| 3 | 9% | 94% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 85% | |
| 5 | 0% | 85% | |
| 6 | 2% | 85% | |
| 7 | 33% | 83% | |
| 8 | 34% | 51% | Median |
| 9 | 14% | 16% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9% | 100% | |
| 2 | 32% | 91% | |
| 3 | 35% | 59% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 24% | |
| 5 | 0% | 24% | |
| 6 | 9% | 24% | |
| 7 | 11% | 15% | |
| 8 | 4% | 4% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 96 | 99.9% | 92–100 | 91–101 | 89–102 | 88–104 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 86 | 71% | 81–89 | 81–90 | 80–91 | 78–94 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 83 | 23% | 79–86 | 77–87 | 76–88 | 74–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 76 | 0.2% | 72–80 | 72–81 | 70–82 | 69–84 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 75 | 0.1% | 72–78 | 71–80 | 69–81 | 68–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 73 | 0% | 70–78 | 69–80 | 68–80 | 66–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 72 | 0% | 69–76 | 68–77 | 67–79 | 66–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 67 | 0% | 63–71 | 63–72 | 62–73 | 60–74 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 66 | 0% | 63–70 | 62–71 | 61–72 | 60–74 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 63 | 0% | 61–67 | 60–67 | 59–68 | 57–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 62 | 0% | 58–67 | 58–68 | 56–68 | 55–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 59 | 0% | 55–63 | 53–64 | 53–65 | 50–68 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 58 | 0% | 53–60 | 51–61 | 51–62 | 49–64 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 56 | 0% | 53–59 | 50–60 | 49–61 | 46–62 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 50 | 0% | 47–53 | 46–54 | 45–54 | 44–56 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 49 | 0% | 46–52 | 45–53 | 45–53 | 43–55 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 30 | 0% | 26–32 | 24–33 | 24–33 | 22–35 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 89 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 90 | 2% | 97% | |
| 91 | 4% | 95% | |
| 92 | 6% | 91% | |
| 93 | 5% | 86% | |
| 94 | 14% | 81% | |
| 95 | 15% | 67% | |
| 96 | 9% | 52% | Last Result, Median |
| 97 | 13% | 43% | |
| 98 | 11% | 30% | |
| 99 | 7% | 19% | |
| 100 | 6% | 12% | |
| 101 | 2% | 5% | |
| 102 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 103 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 105 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 80 | 2% | 98% | |
| 81 | 5% | 95% | |
| 82 | 6% | 90% | |
| 83 | 8% | 84% | |
| 84 | 6% | 76% | |
| 85 | 15% | 71% | Majority |
| 86 | 13% | 56% | Median |
| 87 | 16% | 43% | |
| 88 | 13% | 27% | |
| 89 | 8% | 14% | |
| 90 | 2% | 6% | |
| 91 | 2% | 4% | |
| 92 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 94 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 76 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 77 | 2% | 97% | |
| 78 | 4% | 95% | |
| 79 | 12% | 90% | |
| 80 | 6% | 79% | |
| 81 | 11% | 73% | |
| 82 | 11% | 62% | |
| 83 | 16% | 51% | Median |
| 84 | 12% | 35% | |
| 85 | 9% | 23% | Majority |
| 86 | 9% | 15% | |
| 87 | 2% | 5% | |
| 88 | 2% | 3% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 71 | 2% | 97% | |
| 72 | 8% | 95% | |
| 73 | 12% | 87% | |
| 74 | 12% | 75% | |
| 75 | 10% | 64% | Median |
| 76 | 13% | 54% | |
| 77 | 12% | 40% | |
| 78 | 6% | 28% | |
| 79 | 8% | 22% | |
| 80 | 6% | 15% | |
| 81 | 6% | 9% | |
| 82 | 2% | 3% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 70 | 2% | 97% | |
| 71 | 4% | 95% | |
| 72 | 8% | 91% | |
| 73 | 8% | 83% | |
| 74 | 17% | 75% | |
| 75 | 12% | 59% | Median |
| 76 | 15% | 47% | |
| 77 | 9% | 32% | |
| 78 | 14% | 23% | |
| 79 | 3% | 9% | |
| 80 | 3% | 6% | |
| 81 | 2% | 4% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 68 | 2% | 98% | |
| 69 | 4% | 95% | |
| 70 | 5% | 92% | |
| 71 | 12% | 87% | |
| 72 | 10% | 75% | |
| 73 | 15% | 65% | |
| 74 | 7% | 50% | Median |
| 75 | 12% | 43% | |
| 76 | 5% | 32% | |
| 77 | 8% | 26% | |
| 78 | 10% | 18% | |
| 79 | 3% | 8% | |
| 80 | 4% | 5% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 68 | 3% | 97% | |
| 69 | 5% | 94% | |
| 70 | 14% | 88% | |
| 71 | 12% | 74% | |
| 72 | 14% | 62% | Median |
| 73 | 14% | 48% | |
| 74 | 12% | 35% | |
| 75 | 8% | 22% | |
| 76 | 4% | 14% | |
| 77 | 6% | 10% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 79 | 2% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 62 | 3% | 98% | |
| 63 | 6% | 96% | |
| 64 | 17% | 89% | |
| 65 | 9% | 72% | |
| 66 | 12% | 63% | Median |
| 67 | 10% | 51% | |
| 68 | 8% | 41% | |
| 69 | 11% | 33% | |
| 70 | 11% | 23% | |
| 71 | 4% | 12% | |
| 72 | 3% | 8% | |
| 73 | 4% | 5% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 62 | 3% | 96% | |
| 63 | 4% | 93% | |
| 64 | 13% | 89% | |
| 65 | 8% | 76% | |
| 66 | 20% | 68% | Median |
| 67 | 17% | 48% | |
| 68 | 9% | 31% | |
| 69 | 11% | 23% | |
| 70 | 6% | 12% | |
| 71 | 2% | 6% | |
| 72 | 3% | 4% | |
| 73 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 59 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 60 | 5% | 96% | |
| 61 | 13% | 91% | |
| 62 | 17% | 78% | |
| 63 | 13% | 61% | Median |
| 64 | 16% | 49% | |
| 65 | 7% | 32% | |
| 66 | 9% | 25% | |
| 67 | 13% | 16% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 69 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 57 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 58 | 6% | 96% | |
| 59 | 7% | 90% | |
| 60 | 13% | 83% | |
| 61 | 11% | 70% | |
| 62 | 11% | 59% | Median |
| 63 | 12% | 48% | |
| 64 | 15% | 36% | |
| 65 | 8% | 22% | |
| 66 | 4% | 14% | |
| 67 | 3% | 11% | |
| 68 | 6% | 8% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 53 | 3% | 98% | |
| 54 | 2% | 95% | |
| 55 | 7% | 93% | |
| 56 | 6% | 86% | |
| 57 | 16% | 80% | |
| 58 | 6% | 65% | |
| 59 | 14% | 59% | Median |
| 60 | 11% | 45% | |
| 61 | 6% | 34% | |
| 62 | 11% | 29% | |
| 63 | 8% | 18% | |
| 64 | 5% | 10% | |
| 65 | 2% | 4% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 50 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 51 | 3% | 98% | |
| 52 | 4% | 94% | |
| 53 | 5% | 91% | |
| 54 | 4% | 85% | |
| 55 | 13% | 81% | |
| 56 | 8% | 68% | |
| 57 | 10% | 61% | |
| 58 | 8% | 50% | Median |
| 59 | 22% | 43% | |
| 60 | 11% | 21% | |
| 61 | 7% | 10% | |
| 62 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 63 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 48 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 50 | 3% | 97% | |
| 51 | 2% | 94% | |
| 52 | 2% | 93% | |
| 53 | 9% | 90% | |
| 54 | 11% | 81% | |
| 55 | 15% | 70% | |
| 56 | 17% | 55% | Median |
| 57 | 11% | 38% | |
| 58 | 12% | 28% | |
| 59 | 7% | 16% | |
| 60 | 4% | 9% | |
| 61 | 3% | 5% | |
| 62 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 45 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 46 | 4% | 97% | |
| 47 | 12% | 92% | |
| 48 | 8% | 80% | |
| 49 | 13% | 72% | |
| 50 | 15% | 59% | Median |
| 51 | 16% | 44% | |
| 52 | 9% | 28% | |
| 53 | 12% | 19% | |
| 54 | 5% | 7% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 45 | 4% | 98% | |
| 46 | 11% | 94% | |
| 47 | 8% | 83% | |
| 48 | 24% | 75% | Median |
| 49 | 21% | 51% | |
| 50 | 9% | 30% | |
| 51 | 11% | 21% | |
| 52 | 3% | 10% | |
| 53 | 4% | 7% | |
| 54 | 2% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 23 | 1.5% | 99.4% | |
| 24 | 3% | 98% | |
| 25 | 4% | 95% | |
| 26 | 6% | 90% | |
| 27 | 4% | 85% | |
| 28 | 15% | 80% | |
| 29 | 13% | 65% | |
| 30 | 11% | 52% | Median |
| 31 | 20% | 41% | |
| 32 | 15% | 21% | |
| 33 | 4% | 6% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: InFact
- Commissioner(s): Nettavisen
- Fieldwork period: 3 January 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1087
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.03%