Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 3–4 January 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre 20.4% 25.2% 23.4–27.3% 22.8–27.8% 22.4–28.3% 21.5–29.3%
Arbeiderpartiet 26.2% 19.0% 17.3–20.8% 16.8–21.4% 16.4–21.8% 15.6–22.7%
Fremskrittspartiet 11.6% 14.2% 12.7–15.9% 12.3–16.3% 11.9–16.7% 11.3–17.6%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.6% 10.6% 9.3–12.1% 9.0–12.5% 8.7–12.9% 8.1–13.7%
Senterpartiet 13.5% 6.7% 5.7–7.9% 5.4–8.3% 5.1–8.6% 4.7–9.2%
Venstre 4.6% 5.9% 5.0–7.1% 4.7–7.5% 4.5–7.8% 4.1–8.4%
Rødt 4.7% 4.3% 3.5–5.4% 3.3–5.7% 3.1–5.9% 2.8–6.5%
Kristelig Folkeparti 3.8% 4.1% 3.3–5.1% 3.1–5.4% 2.9–5.7% 2.6–6.2%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.9% 3.4% 2.7–4.4% 2.6–4.7% 2.4–5.0% 2.1–5.5%
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0.3% 3.4% 2.7–4.4% 2.6–4.7% 2.4–5.0% 2.1–5.5%
Pensjonistpartiet 0.6% 1.6% 1.2–2.3% 1.0–2.5% 0.9–2.7% 0.8–3.1%
Liberalistene 0.2% 0.6% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.7%
Konservativt 0.4% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.1% 0.1–1.4%
Folkets parti 0.1% 0.2% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.0–1.1%
Norgesdemokratene 1.1% 0.1% 0.1–0.5% 0.0–0.6% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre 36 45 40–50 40–50 40–51 38–54
Arbeiderpartiet 48 36 28–39 28–39 28–39 28–42
Fremskrittspartiet 21 29 22–34 22–34 22–34 21–34
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 13 18 15–22 15–22 14–22 14–22
Senterpartiet 28 13 8–15 8–16 8–17 7–19
Venstre 8 10 3–13 3–14 3–14 3–14
Rødt 8 8 1–9 1–10 1–12 1–12
Kristelig Folkeparti 3 8 2–9 2–9 2–9 0–11
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3 2 1–8 1–8 1–8 1–8
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0 2 2–3 2–8 1–9 0–9
Pensjonistpartiet 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Liberalistene 0 0 0 0 0 0
Konservativt 0 0 0 0 0 0
Folkets parti 0 0 0 0 0 0
Norgesdemokratene 0 0 0 0 0 0

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0% 100% Last Result
37 0% 100%  
38 1.0% 100%  
39 0.3% 98.9%  
40 10% 98.6%  
41 10% 88%  
42 2% 79%  
43 5% 76%  
44 17% 71%  
45 6% 55% Median
46 3% 49%  
47 4% 46%  
48 17% 42%  
49 5% 25%  
50 16% 20%  
51 2% 4%  
52 0.2% 2%  
53 0% 1.4%  
54 1.1% 1.4%  
55 0.1% 0.3%  
56 0% 0.2%  
57 0.2% 0.2%  
58 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 15% 100%  
29 0.1% 85%  
30 0.5% 85%  
31 18% 85%  
32 4% 67%  
33 5% 64%  
34 6% 59%  
35 2% 53%  
36 6% 50% Median
37 12% 45%  
38 21% 33%  
39 10% 12%  
40 1.0% 2%  
41 0.7% 1.3%  
42 0.3% 0.6%  
43 0.1% 0.2%  
44 0.1% 0.2%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.2% 100%  
20 0.1% 99.8%  
21 1.0% 99.7% Last Result
22 11% 98.7%  
23 2% 88%  
24 5% 85%  
25 0.7% 80%  
26 5% 79%  
27 18% 74%  
28 2% 56%  
29 6% 55% Median
30 7% 49%  
31 16% 42%  
32 2% 26%  
33 0% 24%  
34 24% 24%  
35 0% 0.1%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 99.9% Last Result
14 3% 99.9%  
15 14% 97%  
16 15% 83%  
17 18% 68%  
18 6% 50% Median
19 12% 44%  
20 9% 33%  
21 2% 24%  
22 21% 22%  
23 0% 0.4%  
24 0.1% 0.4%  
25 0.3% 0.3%  
26 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 1.0% 100%  
8 9% 99.0%  
9 1.0% 89%  
10 6% 88%  
11 19% 82%  
12 6% 64%  
13 26% 57% Median
14 19% 31%  
15 5% 12%  
16 2% 7%  
17 4% 5%  
18 0% 1.0%  
19 0.9% 1.0%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 17% 100%  
4 0% 83%  
5 0% 83%  
6 0% 83%  
7 0.1% 83%  
8 4% 83% Last Result
9 13% 79%  
10 21% 66% Median
11 2% 45%  
12 27% 42%  
13 6% 16%  
14 10% 10%  
15 0% 0.4%  
16 0.3% 0.4%  
17 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 24% 100%  
2 0% 76%  
3 0% 76%  
4 0% 76%  
5 0% 76%  
6 0% 76%  
7 2% 76%  
8 29% 73% Last Result, Median
9 37% 45%  
10 3% 7%  
11 0.1% 4%  
12 4% 4%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0.1% 98%  
2 14% 98%  
3 25% 84% Last Result
4 0% 59%  
5 0% 59%  
6 0.1% 59%  
7 7% 59%  
8 17% 52% Median
9 33% 35%  
10 0.2% 2%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 21% 100%  
2 39% 79% Median
3 20% 39% Last Result
4 0% 20%  
5 0% 20%  
6 0% 20%  
7 5% 20%  
8 15% 15%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Industri- og Næringspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.1% 100% Last Result
1 2% 98.9%  
2 68% 96% Median
3 20% 29%  
4 0% 9%  
5 0% 9%  
6 0% 9%  
7 1.4% 9%  
8 4% 8%  
9 4% 4%  
10 0.2% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  

Pensjonistpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Last Result, Median
1 8% 8%  
2 0% 0%  

Liberalistene

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Konservativt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Folkets parti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Folkets parti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Norgesdemokratene

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 96 101 100% 98–110 95–110 94–110 92–110
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 71 93 97% 86–104 85–104 82–104 77–104
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 68 90 89% 84–96 83–96 80–96 75–98
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre 65 85 64% 77–88 76–89 76–90 72–91
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 57 75 0.2% 63–84 63–84 63–84 60–84
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 100 74 0.4% 70–80 70–82 70–82 67–84
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 95 73 0.1% 71–80 68–80 67–80 67–83
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt 97 72 0.2% 62–78 62–80 62–80 62–82
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 92 68 0% 64–73 64–73 64–75 64–76
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet 89 65 0% 61–69 61–70 59–72 57–74
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 72 64 0% 56–67 56–67 56–70 56–74
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 47 62 0% 56–66 56–66 54–69 53–75
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 82 55 0% 50–62 50–62 47–62 47–66
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 79 52 0% 49–59 47–60 46–60 44–62
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 61 54 0% 47–56 47–57 47–58 46–59
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 76 47 0% 41–50 41–53 41–53 41–54
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 39 31 0% 17–36 17–36 17–36 17–36

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0.4% 100%  
90 0% 99.6%  
91 0.1% 99.6%  
92 0.1% 99.5%  
93 2% 99.5%  
94 1.1% 98%  
95 5% 96%  
96 0.1% 92% Last Result
97 0.8% 91%  
98 7% 91%  
99 11% 84%  
100 11% 73%  
101 18% 63%  
102 5% 44%  
103 0.5% 40%  
104 2% 39%  
105 2% 37% Median
106 15% 35%  
107 2% 21%  
108 0.2% 19%  
109 4% 19%  
110 15% 15%  
111 0.2% 0.3%  
112 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100% Last Result
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0.9% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.1%  
79 0.1% 99.0%  
80 0% 98.9%  
81 0% 98.9%  
82 2% 98.8%  
83 0.1% 97%  
84 0.1% 97%  
85 5% 97% Majority
86 5% 92%  
87 0.6% 87%  
88 11% 87%  
89 2% 76%  
90 1.0% 73%  
91 0.7% 72%  
92 18% 72%  
93 5% 54%  
94 15% 48% Median
95 12% 34%  
96 2% 22%  
97 2% 20%  
98 0.3% 18%  
99 0.7% 18%  
100 2% 17%  
101 0.7% 15%  
102 0.1% 14%  
103 0% 14%  
104 14% 14%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0.1% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0.9% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.1%  
77 0% 99.0%  
78 0.2% 98.9%  
79 0.1% 98.8%  
80 2% 98.7%  
81 0.1% 97%  
82 0.5% 97%  
83 5% 96%  
84 2% 92%  
85 4% 89% Majority
86 10% 86%  
87 4% 76%  
88 0.3% 72%  
89 2% 72%  
90 21% 70%  
91 1.1% 48%  
92 13% 47% Median
93 18% 34%  
94 0.8% 16%  
95 0.3% 15%  
96 14% 15%  
97 0% 1.1%  
98 0.8% 1.1%  
99 0.4% 0.4%  
100 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100% Last Result
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0.9% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.0%  
74 0.4% 98.8%  
75 0.1% 98%  
76 5% 98%  
77 10% 94%  
78 3% 84%  
79 0.8% 81%  
80 0.6% 80%  
81 0.8% 80%  
82 0.8% 79%  
83 12% 78%  
84 2% 66% Median
85 17% 64% Majority
86 4% 46%  
87 32% 42%  
88 3% 10%  
89 4% 7%  
90 0.9% 3%  
91 1.5% 2%  
92 0.1% 0.3%  
93 0% 0.3%  
94 0% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.2%  
96 0% 0.2%  
97 0.2% 0.2%  
98 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100% Last Result
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0.9% 100%  
61 0% 99.0%  
62 0% 99.0%  
63 9% 99.0%  
64 0.2% 90%  
65 0.3% 89%  
66 2% 89%  
67 5% 87%  
68 0.4% 82%  
69 1.1% 81%  
70 2% 80%  
71 6% 78%  
72 0.2% 72%  
73 2% 72%  
74 10% 70% Median
75 29% 59%  
76 0.1% 31%  
77 5% 31%  
78 7% 25%  
79 0% 18%  
80 0.1% 18%  
81 1.4% 18%  
82 0% 16%  
83 0% 16%  
84 16% 16%  
85 0% 0.2% Majority
86 0% 0.2%  
87 0.2% 0.2%  
88 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.3% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.6%  
68 1.0% 99.5%  
69 0.5% 98%  
70 14% 98%  
71 0.1% 84%  
72 2% 84%  
73 25% 82%  
74 8% 57%  
75 4% 49%  
76 21% 44%  
77 0.3% 23% Median
78 1.5% 23%  
79 2% 21%  
80 11% 20%  
81 2% 8%  
82 4% 6%  
83 0.6% 2%  
84 1.0% 1.4%  
85 0.1% 0.4% Majority
86 0.1% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.4% 99.9%  
67 3% 99.6%  
68 3% 96%  
69 1.2% 93%  
70 0% 91%  
71 20% 91%  
72 17% 71%  
73 5% 54%  
74 9% 49%  
75 0.8% 40%  
76 4% 39%  
77 5% 35% Median
78 16% 30%  
79 2% 14%  
80 10% 12%  
81 1.0% 2%  
82 0.6% 1.5%  
83 0.7% 0.9%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0% 0.1% Majority
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0% 99.8%  
62 14% 99.8%  
63 0.1% 86%  
64 0.3% 86%  
65 1.0% 86%  
66 3% 85%  
67 0.9% 82%  
68 0.2% 81%  
69 3% 81%  
70 8% 78%  
71 5% 69%  
72 19% 65%  
73 5% 46%  
74 17% 41%  
75 1.1% 24% Median
76 1.0% 23%  
77 2% 21%  
78 11% 19%  
79 2% 8%  
80 4% 6%  
81 0.3% 2%  
82 1.1% 1.3%  
83 0.1% 0.3%  
84 0% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.2% Majority
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.3% 99.9%  
62 0% 99.7%  
63 0.1% 99.7%  
64 17% 99.5%  
65 12% 82%  
66 4% 70%  
67 3% 67%  
68 18% 64%  
69 17% 47% Median
70 5% 29%  
71 13% 24%  
72 0.3% 11%  
73 7% 11%  
74 0.7% 4%  
75 2% 3%  
76 1.1% 2%  
77 0.1% 0.5%  
78 0.1% 0.3%  
79 0% 0.2%  
80 0.1% 0.2%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 2% 100%  
58 0% 98%  
59 0.3% 98%  
60 0.3% 97%  
61 14% 97%  
62 10% 83%  
63 19% 74%  
64 5% 55%  
65 2% 50%  
66 18% 48%  
67 2% 30% Median
68 6% 28%  
69 13% 22%  
70 5% 10%  
71 2% 5%  
72 2% 3%  
73 0% 1.4%  
74 1.0% 1.4%  
75 0.1% 0.4%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0.3% 99.9%  
55 0% 99.6%  
56 15% 99.5%  
57 4% 85%  
58 2% 80%  
59 0.1% 78%  
60 17% 78%  
61 0.1% 62%  
62 4% 62%  
63 4% 58%  
64 5% 54% Median
65 25% 50%  
66 4% 25%  
67 18% 21%  
68 0.2% 3%  
69 0.3% 3%  
70 0.2% 3%  
71 2% 2%  
72 0.1% 0.7% Last Result
73 0% 0.6%  
74 0.2% 0.6%  
75 0% 0.4%  
76 0.4% 0.4%  
77 0% 0%  

Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100% Last Result
48 0% 100%  
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0% 99.9%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0% 99.9%  
53 1.1% 99.9%  
54 2% 98.8%  
55 0% 97%  
56 18% 97%  
57 2% 79%  
58 8% 77%  
59 10% 68%  
60 0.1% 59%  
61 8% 58%  
62 4% 50%  
63 2% 46% Median
64 12% 44%  
65 14% 32%  
66 15% 18%  
67 0.2% 3%  
68 0.3% 3%  
69 0.4% 3%  
70 1.2% 2%  
71 0.2% 0.9%  
72 0% 0.8%  
73 0% 0.8%  
74 0% 0.8%  
75 0.7% 0.7%  
76 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.3% 100%  
45 0% 99.7%  
46 0.1% 99.7%  
47 4% 99.6%  
48 0.1% 96%  
49 0.1% 95%  
50 18% 95%  
51 3% 77%  
52 2% 74%  
53 1.0% 72%  
54 20% 71%  
55 2% 50%  
56 0.2% 49%  
57 6% 49%  
58 2% 43%  
59 10% 41% Median
60 0.2% 31%  
61 10% 31%  
62 19% 20%  
63 0.1% 2%  
64 0.8% 2%  
65 0.1% 0.8%  
66 0.6% 0.7%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.4% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.6%  
45 0% 99.5%  
46 4% 99.5%  
47 3% 95%  
48 0.2% 92%  
49 18% 92%  
50 6% 74%  
51 4% 67%  
52 19% 63%  
53 0.3% 45%  
54 14% 44%  
55 2% 30%  
56 9% 27%  
57 2% 18% Median
58 1.4% 16%  
59 10% 15%  
60 4% 5%  
61 0.2% 1.0%  
62 0.6% 0.8%  
63 0.2% 0.3%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0% 99.9%  
46 2% 99.9%  
47 14% 98%  
48 0.4% 84%  
49 0.3% 84%  
50 15% 83%  
51 5% 69%  
52 4% 64%  
53 9% 60%  
54 12% 51% Median
55 18% 39%  
56 14% 20%  
57 3% 7%  
58 1.0% 3%  
59 2% 2%  
60 0.1% 0.4%  
61 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
62 0.1% 0.3%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 15% 99.8%  
42 0.1% 85%  
43 2% 85%  
44 4% 82%  
45 18% 78%  
46 1.5% 60%  
47 13% 58%  
48 5% 45%  
49 17% 40% Median
50 14% 22%  
51 0.8% 8%  
52 2% 8%  
53 4% 6%  
54 1.0% 1.4%  
55 0.1% 0.4%  
56 0.2% 0.4%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 16% 100%  
18 0% 84%  
19 0.4% 84%  
20 0% 83%  
21 0% 83%  
22 2% 83%  
23 0.4% 82%  
24 7% 81%  
25 1.0% 74%  
26 13% 73%  
27 6% 60%  
28 0.9% 54%  
29 1.2% 53%  
30 1.2% 52%  
31 19% 51% Median
32 5% 32%  
33 1.3% 27%  
34 1.2% 25%  
35 14% 24%  
36 10% 10%  
37 0.1% 0.5%  
38 0% 0.4%  
39 0% 0.4% Last Result
40 0.4% 0.4%  
41 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations