Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse, 2–8 January 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre 20.4% 25.9% 23.9–28.2% 23.3–28.8% 22.8–29.4% 21.8–30.4%
Arbeiderpartiet 26.2% 19.4% 17.6–21.5% 17.1–22.0% 16.6–22.5% 15.8–23.5%
Fremskrittspartiet 11.6% 12.8% 11.2–14.5% 10.8–15.0% 10.5–15.5% 9.8–16.3%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.6% 11.2% 9.8–12.8% 9.4–13.3% 9.0–13.7% 8.4–14.6%
Rødt 4.7% 6.2% 5.2–7.6% 4.9–8.0% 4.7–8.3% 4.2–9.0%
Senterpartiet 13.5% 6.2% 5.2–7.6% 4.9–8.0% 4.7–8.3% 4.2–9.0%
Venstre 4.6% 4.8% 3.9–6.0% 3.6–6.3% 3.4–6.6% 3.0–7.3%
Kristelig Folkeparti 3.8% 3.8% 3.0–4.9% 2.8–5.2% 2.6–5.5% 2.3–6.1%
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0.3% 3.8% 3.0–4.9% 2.8–5.2% 2.6–5.5% 2.3–6.1%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.9% 3.6% 2.9–4.7% 2.6–5.0% 2.5–5.3% 2.1–5.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre 36 47 42–50 41–51 40–52 39–56
Arbeiderpartiet 48 36 34–41 33–42 32–43 31–46
Fremskrittspartiet 21 24 20–25 19–28 18–28 17–30
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 13 20 17–22 16–22 15–24 14–25
Rødt 8 11 9–13 8–14 8–14 7–15
Senterpartiet 28 12 9–13 8–14 8–15 7–17
Venstre 8 8 3–11 3–11 2–11 2–13
Kristelig Folkeparti 3 3 2–8 2–8 2–9 0–10
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0 2 2–8 2–9 2–9 0–10
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3 3 2–8 1–9 1–9 1–10

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0% 100% Last Result
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.8% 99.8%  
40 3% 99.0%  
41 2% 96%  
42 6% 93%  
43 8% 88%  
44 7% 80%  
45 6% 73%  
46 11% 66%  
47 13% 56% Median
48 2% 43%  
49 10% 40%  
50 25% 30%  
51 3% 6%  
52 1.2% 3%  
53 0.6% 2%  
54 0.3% 1.0%  
55 0.1% 0.7%  
56 0.3% 0.6%  
57 0.2% 0.3%  
58 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.8%  
31 0.8% 99.7%  
32 3% 98.8%  
33 5% 96%  
34 11% 91%  
35 28% 80%  
36 8% 52% Median
37 10% 44%  
38 7% 33%  
39 6% 26%  
40 7% 20%  
41 6% 13%  
42 4% 8%  
43 1.4% 4%  
44 0.8% 2%  
45 1.0% 2%  
46 0.4% 0.6%  
47 0.2% 0.2%  
48 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.2% 100%  
17 0.4% 99.8%  
18 3% 99.4%  
19 3% 96%  
20 8% 93%  
21 14% 85% Last Result
22 15% 71%  
23 6% 56%  
24 30% 50% Median
25 12% 21%  
26 3% 9%  
27 1.3% 6%  
28 3% 5%  
29 2% 2%  
30 0.2% 0.7%  
31 0.2% 0.4%  
32 0.1% 0.3%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
14 1.4% 99.8%  
15 3% 98%  
16 4% 95%  
17 10% 91%  
18 17% 81%  
19 8% 65%  
20 29% 56% Median
21 12% 28%  
22 11% 16%  
23 2% 5%  
24 2% 3%  
25 0.7% 1.1%  
26 0.1% 0.4%  
27 0.2% 0.3%  
28 0% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.2% 100%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0.1% 99.8%  
7 0.7% 99.7%  
8 4% 98.9% Last Result
9 6% 94%  
10 37% 89%  
11 22% 52% Median
12 17% 30%  
13 8% 13%  
14 3% 5%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0.3% 0.4%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0.1% 99.8%  
7 1.1% 99.7%  
8 5% 98.6%  
9 14% 94%  
10 10% 79%  
11 13% 69%  
12 11% 56% Median
13 36% 45%  
14 5% 9%  
15 3% 4%  
16 1.0% 2%  
17 0.6% 0.7%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 3% 100%  
3 8% 97%  
4 0% 89%  
5 0% 89%  
6 0.5% 89%  
7 14% 89%  
8 37% 75% Last Result, Median
9 22% 38%  
10 6% 16%  
11 9% 11%  
12 1.1% 2%  
13 0.9% 1.0%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.5% 100%  
1 0.6% 99.5%  
2 38% 98.9%  
3 26% 60% Last Result, Median
4 0% 34%  
5 0% 34%  
6 2% 34%  
7 18% 32%  
8 9% 14%  
9 3% 5%  
10 1.4% 2%  
11 0.1% 0.2%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Industri- og Næringspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.4% 100% Last Result
1 1.0% 98.6%  
2 56% 98% Median
3 14% 41%  
4 0% 27%  
5 0% 27%  
6 0.4% 27%  
7 13% 27%  
8 9% 14%  
9 3% 5%  
10 2% 2%  
11 0.2% 0.2%  
12 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 8% 100%  
2 35% 92%  
3 26% 58% Last Result, Median
4 0% 32%  
5 0% 32%  
6 2% 32%  
7 15% 30%  
8 10% 15%  
9 4% 5%  
10 0.8% 0.9%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 96 94 98% 88–98 86–98 85–100 81–102
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 71 86 67% 81–90 79–91 77–93 75–96
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 100 81 29% 78–88 76–91 75–91 72–93
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 68 83 31% 76–86 75–88 74–89 68–92
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet 97 78 6% 74–84 71–85 71–86 68–88
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 95 74 2% 70–83 69–83 69–84 66–87
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre 65 78 2% 72–82 71–82 69–84 65–86
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 92 71 0.1% 66–78 66–80 64–81 62–81
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 72 70 0.1% 67–77 66–78 64–79 62–82
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 57 70 0% 64–74 63–75 62–76 60–79
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet 89 68 0% 63–72 62–74 60–74 59–77
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 47 59 0% 54–64 53–67 51–67 48–69
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 82 54 0% 52–62 51–65 49–66 46–69
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 61 55 0% 53–61 51–62 50–63 49–66
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 79 51 0% 49–57 47–60 46–61 44–62
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 76 48 0% 44–53 43–54 42–54 40–57
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 39 24 0% 19–28 17–30 16–30 14–33

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 99.9%  
80 0.1% 99.7%  
81 0.7% 99.6%  
82 0.3% 98.9%  
83 0.3% 98.7%  
84 0.8% 98%  
85 2% 98% Majority
86 2% 96%  
87 2% 94%  
88 8% 92%  
89 6% 84%  
90 7% 78%  
91 4% 72%  
92 9% 68%  
93 8% 59%  
94 8% 52% Median
95 4% 44%  
96 8% 40% Last Result
97 6% 32%  
98 22% 26%  
99 1.1% 4%  
100 1.0% 3%  
101 0.7% 2%  
102 0.6% 0.9%  
103 0.1% 0.3%  
104 0.1% 0.2%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100% Last Result
72 0.1% 99.8%  
73 0.1% 99.8%  
74 0.1% 99.7%  
75 0.5% 99.5%  
76 0.6% 99.0%  
77 1.0% 98%  
78 1.4% 97%  
79 1.2% 96%  
80 3% 95%  
81 4% 92%  
82 7% 88%  
83 7% 81%  
84 6% 74%  
85 12% 67% Median, Majority
86 7% 56%  
87 8% 49%  
88 24% 40%  
89 4% 16%  
90 6% 12%  
91 1.3% 6%  
92 2% 5%  
93 0.7% 3%  
94 0.6% 2%  
95 0.8% 2%  
96 0.6% 0.7%  
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.8%  
72 0.2% 99.6%  
73 0.9% 99.4%  
74 0.7% 98%  
75 2% 98%  
76 2% 96%  
77 3% 94%  
78 10% 92%  
79 7% 81%  
80 5% 75%  
81 20% 70%  
82 6% 49% Median
83 8% 44%  
84 6% 36%  
85 4% 29% Majority
86 6% 26%  
87 7% 20%  
88 4% 14%  
89 2% 10%  
90 2% 8%  
91 5% 6%  
92 0.5% 1.1%  
93 0.3% 0.5%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.5% 99.9% Last Result
69 0.1% 99.4%  
70 0.3% 99.3%  
71 0.1% 99.0%  
72 0.4% 98.9%  
73 0.6% 98%  
74 1.0% 98%  
75 5% 97%  
76 3% 92%  
77 5% 89%  
78 4% 84%  
79 9% 80%  
80 7% 71%  
81 6% 64%  
82 6% 57% Median
83 15% 51%  
84 5% 36%  
85 18% 31% Majority
86 4% 13%  
87 1.4% 9%  
88 5% 8%  
89 0.6% 3%  
90 1.1% 2%  
91 0.3% 1.1%  
92 0.5% 0.8%  
93 0.2% 0.3%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.8%  
68 0.3% 99.7%  
69 0.5% 99.4%  
70 1.3% 98.9%  
71 3% 98%  
72 2% 95%  
73 2% 93%  
74 3% 91%  
75 6% 88%  
76 8% 82%  
77 6% 74%  
78 27% 68%  
79 6% 41% Median
80 4% 35%  
81 12% 31%  
82 3% 19%  
83 4% 16%  
84 6% 11%  
85 3% 6% Majority
86 0.5% 3%  
87 0.7% 2%  
88 0.9% 1.3%  
89 0.2% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.5% 99.7%  
67 0.4% 99.3%  
68 0.9% 98.8%  
69 3% 98%  
70 6% 95%  
71 2% 88%  
72 4% 87%  
73 7% 83%  
74 27% 76% Median
75 9% 49%  
76 3% 40%  
77 7% 37%  
78 5% 31%  
79 4% 26%  
80 6% 21%  
81 1.1% 15%  
82 2% 14%  
83 9% 12%  
84 0.8% 3%  
85 0.7% 2% Majority
86 0.6% 1.2%  
87 0.4% 0.6%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.5% 99.8% Last Result
66 0.2% 99.3%  
67 0.3% 99.1%  
68 0.4% 98.8%  
69 0.9% 98%  
70 2% 97%  
71 2% 96%  
72 5% 93%  
73 9% 88%  
74 6% 80%  
75 8% 73%  
76 6% 65%  
77 7% 59%  
78 4% 52%  
79 3% 48% Median
80 5% 45%  
81 17% 41%  
82 19% 23%  
83 0.5% 5%  
84 2% 4%  
85 1.0% 2% Majority
86 0.2% 0.7%  
87 0.2% 0.5%  
88 0.2% 0.3%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.6% 99.7%  
63 0.6% 99.1%  
64 2% 98.5%  
65 1.2% 97%  
66 6% 96%  
67 6% 89%  
68 9% 83%  
69 3% 73%  
70 5% 70%  
71 20% 66% Median
72 10% 45%  
73 8% 35%  
74 3% 27%  
75 6% 24%  
76 6% 19%  
77 2% 13%  
78 4% 11%  
79 1.1% 7%  
80 1.4% 6%  
81 4% 4%  
82 0.2% 0.4%  
83 0.1% 0.3%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.2% 99.8%  
61 0.1% 99.7%  
62 0.7% 99.5%  
63 0.7% 98.9%  
64 1.1% 98%  
65 2% 97%  
66 1.2% 95%  
67 6% 94%  
68 29% 88%  
69 6% 59%  
70 11% 53% Median
71 3% 42%  
72 5% 39% Last Result
73 8% 34%  
74 5% 26%  
75 3% 21%  
76 6% 18%  
77 3% 12%  
78 6% 9%  
79 1.0% 3%  
80 0.5% 2%  
81 0.7% 2%  
82 0.5% 0.9%  
83 0.3% 0.4%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0.1% 0.1% Majority
86 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100% Last Result
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.2% 99.8%  
60 0.8% 99.6%  
61 1.1% 98.8%  
62 2% 98%  
63 2% 95%  
64 9% 94%  
65 3% 85%  
66 6% 82%  
67 10% 76%  
68 5% 66%  
69 7% 61%  
70 7% 54%  
71 5% 47% Median
72 9% 42%  
73 5% 34%  
74 23% 28%  
75 2% 5%  
76 0.5% 3%  
77 1.1% 2%  
78 0.4% 1.1%  
79 0.3% 0.8%  
80 0.3% 0.4%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.2% 99.8%  
59 0.8% 99.6%  
60 2% 98.7%  
61 1.2% 97%  
62 3% 96%  
63 4% 93%  
64 7% 89%  
65 10% 83%  
66 8% 72%  
67 8% 64%  
68 22% 56% Median
69 4% 34%  
70 10% 30%  
71 6% 20%  
72 4% 14%  
73 2% 9%  
74 5% 7%  
75 0.8% 2%  
76 0.7% 1.4%  
77 0.4% 0.6%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0.2% 99.9%  
47 0.1% 99.7% Last Result
48 0.5% 99.6%  
49 0.2% 99.2%  
50 0.4% 99.0%  
51 2% 98.6%  
52 1.4% 97%  
53 2% 95%  
54 8% 93%  
55 6% 85%  
56 7% 79%  
57 6% 73%  
58 11% 66% Median
59 11% 55%  
60 6% 44%  
61 22% 38%  
62 3% 16%  
63 2% 13%  
64 2% 11%  
65 2% 8%  
66 0.7% 6%  
67 4% 6%  
68 0.3% 1.4%  
69 0.7% 1.1%  
70 0.3% 0.4%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0% 100%  
45 0.2% 99.9%  
46 0.9% 99.7%  
47 0.2% 98.9%  
48 0.6% 98.7%  
49 0.6% 98%  
50 1.3% 97%  
51 3% 96%  
52 9% 93%  
53 12% 84%  
54 23% 72% Median
55 3% 49%  
56 5% 46%  
57 5% 40%  
58 6% 35%  
59 3% 30%  
60 5% 27%  
61 3% 22%  
62 11% 20%  
63 2% 9%  
64 2% 7%  
65 2% 6%  
66 1.3% 3%  
67 0.3% 2%  
68 0.9% 1.5%  
69 0.4% 0.6%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0.3% 99.9%  
49 0.7% 99.6%  
50 2% 98.9%  
51 3% 97%  
52 4% 95%  
53 6% 91%  
54 15% 85%  
55 24% 70%  
56 7% 46% Median
57 11% 38%  
58 5% 28%  
59 8% 22%  
60 3% 14%  
61 5% 11% Last Result
62 2% 6%  
63 2% 4%  
64 1.2% 2%  
65 0.5% 1.0%  
66 0.3% 0.5%  
67 0.2% 0.2%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0% 100%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0.2% 99.8%  
44 1.1% 99.6%  
45 0.8% 98.6%  
46 1.5% 98%  
47 2% 96%  
48 3% 94%  
49 5% 92%  
50 15% 87%  
51 26% 72% Median
52 7% 45%  
53 4% 38%  
54 5% 34%  
55 9% 28%  
56 6% 19%  
57 4% 13%  
58 3% 9%  
59 1.5% 7%  
60 2% 5%  
61 2% 3%  
62 0.3% 0.8%  
63 0.3% 0.5%  
64 0.1% 0.2%  
65 0.1% 0.2%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.1% 99.9%  
40 0.4% 99.8%  
41 0.8% 99.4%  
42 3% 98.6%  
43 2% 96%  
44 7% 94%  
45 5% 87%  
46 5% 82%  
47 8% 77%  
48 33% 68% Median
49 9% 35%  
50 5% 26%  
51 3% 21%  
52 2% 17%  
53 9% 15%  
54 4% 7%  
55 1.2% 2%  
56 0.3% 1.0%  
57 0.2% 0.7%  
58 0.2% 0.4%  
59 0.2% 0.2%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.2% 99.8%  
14 0.2% 99.6%  
15 0.7% 99.4%  
16 2% 98.7%  
17 4% 97%  
18 1.4% 93%  
19 3% 92%  
20 8% 89%  
21 5% 80%  
22 6% 76%  
23 7% 70% Median
24 32% 63%  
25 5% 31%  
26 6% 26%  
27 5% 20%  
28 5% 15%  
29 4% 10%  
30 4% 6%  
31 0.8% 2%  
32 0.5% 1.1%  
33 0.4% 0.6%  
34 0.1% 0.2%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations