Opinion Poll by InFact for Nettavisen, 1 February 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 26.8% | 25.1–28.6% | 24.6–29.1% | 24.2–29.6% | 23.4–30.5% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 18.8% | 17.3–20.4% | 16.8–20.9% | 16.5–21.3% | 15.8–22.1% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 14.6% | 13.2–16.1% | 12.8–16.5% | 12.5–16.9% | 11.9–17.6% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.1–11.6% | 8.8–11.9% | 8.6–12.3% | 8.0–12.9% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.8–7.2% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.2–8.0% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.8% | 4.9–6.8% | 4.7–7.1% | 4.5–7.4% | 4.1–7.9% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8–6.7% | 4.6–7.0% | 4.4–7.3% | 4.0–7.8% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 2.3% | 1.8–3.1% | 1.7–3.3% | 1.6–3.5% | 1.4–3.9% |
| Liberalistene | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.2–1.1% | 0.1–1.4% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.2–1.1% | 0.1–1.4% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.0–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 47 | 40–52 | 40–55 | 40–55 | 40–55 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 38 | 32–39 | 32–39 | 32–39 | 32–43 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 29 | 25–31 | 23–31 | 23–31 | 19–32 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 18 | 13–19 | 13–19 | 13–20 | 13–21 |
| Venstre | 8 | 10 | 7–13 | 7–13 | 7–13 | 7–13 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 9 | 8–11 | 2–13 | 2–13 | 1–15 |
| Rødt | 8 | 10 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–13 | 1–14 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 7 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–10 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 3 | 2–8 | 1–8 | 1–11 | 1–11 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 2 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| Liberalistene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 14% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 86% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 85% | |
| 43 | 2% | 84% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 81% | |
| 45 | 3% | 81% | |
| 46 | 19% | 78% | |
| 47 | 28% | 60% | Median |
| 48 | 5% | 32% | |
| 49 | 13% | 27% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 14% | |
| 51 | 1.4% | 14% | |
| 52 | 6% | 12% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 6% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 55 | 5% | 5% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 24% | 99.7% | |
| 33 | 10% | 76% | |
| 34 | 3% | 65% | |
| 35 | 1.0% | 62% | |
| 36 | 0.9% | 62% | |
| 37 | 4% | 61% | |
| 38 | 31% | 56% | Median |
| 39 | 23% | 25% | |
| 40 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 21 | 1.1% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 23 | 4% | 98% | |
| 24 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 25 | 4% | 93% | |
| 26 | 17% | 89% | |
| 27 | 6% | 72% | |
| 28 | 2% | 66% | |
| 29 | 41% | 64% | Median |
| 30 | 2% | 23% | |
| 31 | 19% | 21% | |
| 32 | 2% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 13 | 26% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0.3% | 74% | |
| 15 | 7% | 73% | |
| 16 | 3% | 66% | |
| 17 | 6% | 64% | |
| 18 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 19 | 45% | 49% | |
| 20 | 4% | 4% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 22 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 26% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0.7% | 74% | Last Result |
| 9 | 15% | 73% | |
| 10 | 22% | 58% | Median |
| 11 | 10% | 36% | |
| 12 | 11% | 26% | |
| 13 | 15% | 15% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 2 | 5% | 99.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 94% | |
| 4 | 0% | 94% | |
| 5 | 0% | 94% | |
| 6 | 0% | 94% | |
| 7 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 8 | 10% | 93% | |
| 9 | 54% | 82% | Median |
| 10 | 18% | 28% | |
| 11 | 2% | 10% | |
| 12 | 2% | 9% | |
| 13 | 5% | 7% | |
| 14 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 15 | 2% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 7 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 8 | 11% | 98% | Last Result |
| 9 | 37% | 87% | |
| 10 | 12% | 50% | Median |
| 11 | 34% | 38% | |
| 12 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 13 | 2% | 3% | |
| 14 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 23% | 100% | |
| 3 | 14% | 77% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 63% | |
| 5 | 0% | 63% | |
| 6 | 0% | 63% | |
| 7 | 28% | 63% | Median |
| 8 | 28% | 35% | |
| 9 | 4% | 7% | |
| 10 | 3% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5% | 100% | |
| 2 | 39% | 95% | |
| 3 | 13% | 56% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 43% | |
| 5 | 0% | 43% | |
| 6 | 26% | 43% | |
| 7 | 5% | 17% | |
| 8 | 7% | 12% | |
| 9 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 11 | 3% | 3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 25% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 20% | 75% | |
| 2 | 34% | 55% | Median |
| 3 | 21% | 22% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 100 | 100% | 95–104 | 95–104 | 94–105 | 90–106 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 94 | 99.9% | 88–99 | 88–101 | 88–103 | 88–103 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 91 | 95% | 86–96 | 85–96 | 81–96 | 81–97 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 83 | 36% | 79–90 | 79–92 | 79–93 | 74–93 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 75 | 4% | 72–81 | 71–82 | 71–87 | 70–87 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 76 | 0% | 69–80 | 69–81 | 68–82 | 64–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 74 | 0.5% | 64–77 | 64–78 | 64–80 | 64–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 71 | 0% | 68–79 | 64–79 | 64–79 | 64–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 66 | 0% | 62–70 | 62–73 | 62–76 | 59–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 66 | 0% | 63–71 | 63–71 | 62–74 | 62–78 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 62 | 0% | 57–67 | 57–69 | 57–69 | 57–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 60 | 0% | 57–68 | 54–68 | 54–68 | 54–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 58 | 0% | 45–61 | 45–61 | 45–63 | 45–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 52 | 0% | 51–58 | 49–58 | 47–58 | 47–61 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 55 | 0% | 43–56 | 38–56 | 38–57 | 38–60 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 47 | 0% | 41–49 | 35–49 | 35–51 | 35–53 |
| Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 24 | 0% | 22–27 | 17–30 | 17–30 | 17–33 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 94 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 95 | 6% | 95% | |
| 96 | 14% | 90% | Last Result |
| 97 | 2% | 75% | |
| 98 | 3% | 73% | |
| 99 | 1.4% | 70% | |
| 100 | 34% | 68% | |
| 101 | 20% | 34% | |
| 102 | 2% | 14% | Median |
| 103 | 0.3% | 12% | |
| 104 | 7% | 12% | |
| 105 | 4% | 5% | |
| 106 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 88 | 17% | 99.5% | |
| 89 | 1.4% | 83% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 81% | |
| 91 | 0.8% | 81% | |
| 92 | 5% | 80% | |
| 93 | 2% | 75% | |
| 94 | 24% | 73% | |
| 95 | 2% | 49% | |
| 96 | 3% | 47% | Median |
| 97 | 28% | 44% | |
| 98 | 5% | 16% | |
| 99 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 10% | |
| 101 | 6% | 10% | |
| 102 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 103 | 4% | 4% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 85 | 0.6% | 95% | Majority |
| 86 | 15% | 95% | |
| 87 | 4% | 79% | |
| 88 | 1.2% | 76% | |
| 89 | 2% | 75% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 73% | |
| 91 | 35% | 72% | |
| 92 | 16% | 37% | |
| 93 | 8% | 21% | Median |
| 94 | 3% | 13% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 10% | |
| 96 | 10% | 10% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 99 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 79 | 17% | 98% | |
| 80 | 3% | 81% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 78% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 78% | |
| 83 | 30% | 77% | |
| 84 | 11% | 47% | |
| 85 | 1.4% | 36% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 34% | Median |
| 87 | 1.1% | 34% | |
| 88 | 2% | 33% | |
| 89 | 4% | 31% | |
| 90 | 20% | 27% | |
| 91 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 92 | 2% | 7% | |
| 93 | 5% | 5% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 71 | 5% | 99.4% | |
| 72 | 12% | 95% | |
| 73 | 17% | 83% | |
| 74 | 2% | 66% | |
| 75 | 26% | 64% | |
| 76 | 1.3% | 37% | |
| 77 | 9% | 36% | |
| 78 | 2% | 27% | Median |
| 79 | 1.5% | 25% | |
| 80 | 3% | 24% | |
| 81 | 16% | 21% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 4% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 4% | |
| 87 | 4% | 4% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 68 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 69 | 17% | 97% | |
| 70 | 1.5% | 80% | |
| 71 | 2% | 79% | |
| 72 | 4% | 76% | |
| 73 | 1.2% | 73% | |
| 74 | 3% | 72% | |
| 75 | 9% | 69% | |
| 76 | 26% | 60% | Median |
| 77 | 15% | 34% | |
| 78 | 7% | 18% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 12% | |
| 80 | 4% | 11% | |
| 81 | 2% | 7% | |
| 82 | 5% | 5% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 16% | 100% | |
| 65 | 10% | 84% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 74% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 74% | |
| 68 | 2% | 72% | |
| 69 | 1.2% | 70% | |
| 70 | 5% | 69% | |
| 71 | 2% | 64% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 63% | |
| 73 | 3% | 63% | |
| 74 | 26% | 60% | |
| 75 | 3% | 34% | Median |
| 76 | 8% | 30% | |
| 77 | 14% | 22% | |
| 78 | 5% | 8% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.5% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 6% | 100% | |
| 65 | 4% | 94% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 91% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 69 | 31% | 90% | |
| 70 | 4% | 59% | |
| 71 | 18% | 55% | |
| 72 | 1.4% | 37% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 36% | |
| 74 | 9% | 35% | |
| 75 | 2% | 26% | Median |
| 76 | 6% | 24% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 18% | |
| 78 | 2% | 18% | |
| 79 | 15% | 16% | |
| 80 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 62 | 26% | 98.7% | |
| 63 | 4% | 73% | |
| 64 | 1.4% | 69% | |
| 65 | 6% | 67% | |
| 66 | 27% | 62% | |
| 67 | 2% | 35% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 33% | Median |
| 69 | 9% | 32% | |
| 70 | 16% | 23% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 6% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 76 | 3% | 4% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 9% | 97% | |
| 64 | 15% | 88% | |
| 65 | 4% | 73% | |
| 66 | 27% | 68% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 41% | |
| 68 | 9% | 40% | |
| 69 | 3% | 31% | Median |
| 70 | 9% | 28% | |
| 71 | 15% | 20% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 5% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 74 | 3% | 5% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 14% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 4% | 85% | |
| 59 | 1.1% | 81% | |
| 60 | 3% | 80% | |
| 61 | 15% | 78% | |
| 62 | 31% | 62% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 31% | |
| 64 | 3% | 31% | Median |
| 65 | 13% | 28% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 15% | |
| 67 | 8% | 15% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 69 | 5% | 7% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 71 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 5% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 95% | |
| 56 | 4% | 94% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 91% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 90% | |
| 60 | 45% | 89% | |
| 61 | 2% | 43% | |
| 62 | 5% | 41% | |
| 63 | 3% | 37% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 34% | |
| 65 | 5% | 33% | Median |
| 66 | 10% | 28% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 18% | |
| 68 | 15% | 17% | |
| 69 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 16% | 100% | |
| 46 | 10% | 84% | |
| 47 | 0% | 74% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 74% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 73% | |
| 50 | 0.9% | 72% | |
| 51 | 1.2% | 71% | |
| 52 | 1.5% | 70% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 69% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 68% | |
| 55 | 5% | 68% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 63% | |
| 57 | 1.5% | 62% | Median |
| 58 | 29% | 60% | |
| 59 | 1.3% | 31% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 30% | |
| 61 | 26% | 29% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 50 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 51 | 43% | 94% | |
| 52 | 14% | 51% | |
| 53 | 3% | 36% | |
| 54 | 5% | 34% | |
| 55 | 2% | 29% | |
| 56 | 2% | 27% | Median |
| 57 | 9% | 25% | |
| 58 | 14% | 16% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 5% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 95% | |
| 40 | 0% | 95% | |
| 41 | 0% | 95% | |
| 42 | 0% | 95% | |
| 43 | 15% | 95% | |
| 44 | 6% | 80% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 74% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 74% | |
| 47 | 4% | 73% | |
| 48 | 5% | 69% | |
| 49 | 1.1% | 64% | |
| 50 | 2% | 63% | |
| 51 | 2% | 61% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 59% | |
| 53 | 2% | 59% | |
| 54 | 2% | 57% | Median |
| 55 | 36% | 56% | |
| 56 | 17% | 19% | |
| 57 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 5% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 95% | |
| 37 | 0% | 95% | |
| 38 | 0% | 95% | |
| 39 | 0% | 94% | |
| 40 | 0.9% | 94% | |
| 41 | 23% | 94% | |
| 42 | 2% | 70% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 68% | |
| 44 | 0.8% | 68% | |
| 45 | 7% | 67% | |
| 46 | 4% | 60% | |
| 47 | 29% | 56% | Median |
| 48 | 9% | 28% | |
| 49 | 15% | 19% | |
| 50 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 53 | 2% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 5% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 95% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 21 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 22 | 5% | 93% | |
| 23 | 4% | 88% | |
| 24 | 42% | 84% | |
| 25 | 15% | 41% | |
| 26 | 0.8% | 26% | Median |
| 27 | 18% | 25% | |
| 28 | 2% | 7% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 30 | 3% | 5% | |
| 31 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: InFact
- Commissioner(s): Nettavisen
- Fieldwork period: 1 February 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1023
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.06%