Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for ABC Nyheter and Altinget, 27–4 February 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 24.9% | 22.9–27.0% | 22.3–27.6% | 21.8–28.2% | 20.9–29.2% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 18.8% | 17.0–20.7% | 16.5–21.3% | 16.1–21.8% | 15.3–22.7% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 16.2% | 14.6–18.1% | 14.1–18.7% | 13.7–19.1% | 13.0–20.1% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 10.8% | 9.5–12.5% | 9.1–12.9% | 8.8–13.3% | 8.2–14.1% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8–7.1% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.3–7.8% | 3.9–8.5% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8–7.1% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.3–7.8% | 3.9–8.5% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.4% | 4.5–6.7% | 4.2–7.0% | 4.0–7.3% | 3.6–8.0% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.0–6.1% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.5–6.7% | 3.1–7.3% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.0–3.6% | 1.8–3.9% | 1.7–4.1% | 1.4–4.6% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.0–2.1% | 0.9–2.3% | 0.8–2.5% | 0.6–3.0% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.5% | 0.4–1.6% | 0.4–1.8% | 0.3–2.2% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3–1.1% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.2–1.4% | 0.1–1.7% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.1% | 0.1–1.2% | 0.1–1.5% |
| Folkets parti | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.0–0.7% | 0.0–0.8% | 0.0–1.0% |
| Liberalistene | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.0–0.7% | 0.0–0.8% | 0.0–1.0% |
| Kystpartiet | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.0–0.7% | 0.0–0.8% | 0.0–1.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 37 | 36–46 | 36–46 | 33–48 | 33–52 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 33 | 32–42 | 32–42 | 30–42 | 30–42 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 34 | 29–36 | 29–36 | 27–36 | 23–39 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 21 | 16–22 | 16–22 | 15–24 | 15–27 |
| Venstre | 8 | 9 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–13 | 7–14 |
| Rødt | 8 | 11 | 9–12 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 1–14 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 9 | 1–10 | 1–12 | 1–13 | 1–14 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 11 | 2–11 | 2–11 | 2–12 | 2–12 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 1–3 | 0–3 | 0–6 | 0–8 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Folkets parti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liberalistene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kystpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 4% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 96% | |
| 35 | 0% | 96% | |
| 36 | 17% | 96% | Last Result |
| 37 | 44% | 79% | Median |
| 38 | 0.1% | 35% | |
| 39 | 3% | 35% | |
| 40 | 1.1% | 32% | |
| 41 | 1.4% | 31% | |
| 42 | 1.2% | 29% | |
| 43 | 2% | 28% | |
| 44 | 4% | 26% | |
| 45 | 6% | 22% | |
| 46 | 12% | 16% | |
| 47 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 50 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 32 | 44% | 96% | |
| 33 | 3% | 52% | Median |
| 34 | 1.0% | 49% | |
| 35 | 9% | 48% | |
| 36 | 5% | 39% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 34% | |
| 38 | 5% | 33% | |
| 39 | 10% | 29% | |
| 40 | 2% | 19% | |
| 41 | 1.0% | 17% | |
| 42 | 16% | 16% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 27 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 28 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 29 | 10% | 96% | |
| 30 | 8% | 86% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 78% | |
| 32 | 1.3% | 77% | |
| 33 | 20% | 76% | |
| 34 | 45% | 56% | Median |
| 35 | 0.2% | 10% | |
| 36 | 9% | 10% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 38 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 39 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 16 | 19% | 97% | |
| 17 | 11% | 78% | |
| 18 | 2% | 67% | |
| 19 | 2% | 66% | |
| 20 | 4% | 64% | |
| 21 | 47% | 60% | Median |
| 22 | 9% | 13% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 24 | 2% | 3% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 27 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 9 | 67% | 97% | Median |
| 10 | 9% | 30% | |
| 11 | 4% | 20% | |
| 12 | 3% | 17% | |
| 13 | 13% | 13% | |
| 14 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 8 | 6% | 98.9% | Last Result |
| 9 | 20% | 93% | |
| 10 | 6% | 73% | |
| 11 | 45% | 68% | Median |
| 12 | 21% | 23% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 14 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 89% | |
| 3 | 0% | 89% | |
| 4 | 0% | 89% | |
| 5 | 0% | 89% | |
| 6 | 0% | 89% | |
| 7 | 1.0% | 89% | |
| 8 | 19% | 88% | |
| 9 | 54% | 69% | Median |
| 10 | 8% | 14% | |
| 11 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 12 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 13 | 4% | 5% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 12% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 2% | 88% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 87% | |
| 5 | 0% | 87% | |
| 6 | 0% | 87% | |
| 7 | 2% | 87% | |
| 8 | 3% | 85% | |
| 9 | 8% | 81% | |
| 10 | 20% | 73% | |
| 11 | 49% | 53% | Median |
| 12 | 4% | 5% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9% | 100% | |
| 1 | 6% | 91% | |
| 2 | 72% | 85% | Median |
| 3 | 11% | 13% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 37% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 17% | 63% | Median |
| 2 | 45% | 46% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Folkets parti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Folkets parti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Kystpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kystpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 95% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 5% | 5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 93 | 99.9% | 90–99 | 90–100 | 89–100 | 86–105 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 91 | 99.8% | 88–100 | 88–100 | 88–100 | 87–102 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 82 | 34% | 80–91 | 80–91 | 78–91 | 78–94 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 84 | 20% | 76–88 | 76–88 | 76–90 | 72–90 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 80 | 28% | 78–88 | 78–90 | 76–90 | 76–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 75 | 0.1% | 69–78 | 68–79 | 68–83 | 65–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 73 | 0% | 67–76 | 67–78 | 67–81 | 62–81 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 71 | 0.3% | 69–77 | 69–81 | 63–81 | 63–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 75 | 0% | 68–80 | 67–80 | 67–80 | 65–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 73 | 0.1% | 69–78 | 67–78 | 67–79 | 63–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 62 | 0% | 59–66 | 58–69 | 58–71 | 54–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 54 | 0% | 50–62 | 46–62 | 46–63 | 41–64 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 48 | 0% | 47–62 | 47–62 | 47–62 | 47–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 53 | 0% | 53–58 | 50–60 | 49–60 | 48–63 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 43 | 0% | 39–52 | 37–52 | 37–53 | 37–56 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 41 | 0% | 39–50 | 36–50 | 36–50 | 36–53 |
| Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 20 | 0% | 13–25 | 11–27 | 11–28 | 11–29 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 89 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 90 | 20% | 97% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 77% | |
| 92 | 2% | 77% | |
| 93 | 53% | 75% | Median |
| 94 | 2% | 23% | |
| 95 | 4% | 21% | |
| 96 | 3% | 17% | |
| 97 | 4% | 14% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 10% | |
| 99 | 3% | 10% | |
| 100 | 6% | 7% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 105 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 84 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.8% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 88 | 16% | 99.2% | |
| 89 | 3% | 83% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 80% | |
| 91 | 47% | 80% | Median |
| 92 | 6% | 32% | |
| 93 | 0.9% | 26% | |
| 94 | 3% | 25% | |
| 95 | 5% | 22% | |
| 96 | 0.6% | 16% | Last Result |
| 97 | 2% | 16% | |
| 98 | 1.0% | 14% | |
| 99 | 3% | 13% | |
| 100 | 9% | 10% | |
| 101 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0% | 96% | |
| 80 | 16% | 96% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 80% | |
| 82 | 44% | 80% | Median |
| 83 | 1.3% | 36% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 34% | |
| 85 | 4% | 34% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 30% | |
| 87 | 2% | 26% | |
| 88 | 4% | 24% | |
| 89 | 3% | 20% | |
| 90 | 0% | 17% | |
| 91 | 14% | 17% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 94 | 2% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 74 | 1.5% | 99.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 98% | |
| 76 | 14% | 98% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 83% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 83% | |
| 79 | 3% | 83% | |
| 80 | 4% | 80% | |
| 81 | 5% | 76% | |
| 82 | 3% | 70% | |
| 83 | 2% | 67% | |
| 84 | 45% | 65% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 20% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 20% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 20% | |
| 88 | 16% | 20% | |
| 89 | 0% | 4% | |
| 90 | 4% | 4% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 78 | 16% | 96% | |
| 79 | 1.2% | 80% | |
| 80 | 45% | 79% | Median |
| 81 | 2% | 35% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 33% | |
| 83 | 1.4% | 32% | |
| 84 | 2% | 31% | |
| 85 | 3% | 28% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 25% | |
| 87 | 3% | 23% | |
| 88 | 11% | 19% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 8% | |
| 90 | 6% | 8% | |
| 91 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 98.5% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 68 | 7% | 98% | |
| 69 | 3% | 92% | |
| 70 | 9% | 89% | |
| 71 | 3% | 80% | |
| 72 | 4% | 77% | |
| 73 | 1.3% | 73% | |
| 74 | 2% | 71% | |
| 75 | 45% | 69% | |
| 76 | 1.2% | 24% | Median |
| 77 | 1.0% | 22% | |
| 78 | 16% | 21% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 83 | 4% | 4% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 62 | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 98.5% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 67 | 16% | 98% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 82% | |
| 69 | 6% | 81% | |
| 70 | 1.3% | 75% | |
| 71 | 2% | 74% | |
| 72 | 4% | 72% | |
| 73 | 44% | 68% | |
| 74 | 3% | 24% | Median |
| 75 | 0.4% | 22% | |
| 76 | 16% | 21% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 79 | 0% | 5% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 81 | 4% | 4% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 4% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 96% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 66 | 0% | 96% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 69 | 16% | 96% | |
| 70 | 2% | 80% | |
| 71 | 45% | 77% | Median |
| 72 | 1.2% | 33% | |
| 73 | 1.1% | 32% | |
| 74 | 3% | 31% | |
| 75 | 13% | 28% | |
| 76 | 4% | 15% | |
| 77 | 3% | 11% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 9% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 8% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 8% | |
| 81 | 6% | 8% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
| 83 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 67 | 9% | 99.4% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 90% | |
| 69 | 4% | 90% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 86% | |
| 71 | 4% | 85% | |
| 72 | 1.5% | 81% | Last Result |
| 73 | 3% | 80% | |
| 74 | 2% | 77% | |
| 75 | 51% | 75% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 24% | Median |
| 77 | 4% | 24% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 20% | |
| 79 | 3% | 20% | |
| 80 | 16% | 17% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 67 | 6% | 99.1% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 69 | 3% | 93% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 90% | |
| 71 | 6% | 89% | |
| 72 | 4% | 83% | |
| 73 | 44% | 79% | |
| 74 | 10% | 35% | Median |
| 75 | 1.3% | 25% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 24% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 23% | |
| 78 | 20% | 22% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 58 | 6% | 98.9% | |
| 59 | 3% | 93% | |
| 60 | 3% | 90% | |
| 61 | 7% | 86% | |
| 62 | 44% | 79% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 35% | Median |
| 64 | 1.5% | 35% | |
| 65 | 9% | 34% | |
| 66 | 16% | 24% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 69 | 4% | 7% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 71 | 2% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 46 | 6% | 98.8% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 49 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 50 | 5% | 91% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 85% | |
| 52 | 2% | 85% | |
| 53 | 12% | 83% | |
| 54 | 44% | 71% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 27% | Median |
| 56 | 0.7% | 26% | |
| 57 | 1.3% | 26% | |
| 58 | 2% | 24% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 23% | |
| 60 | 1.2% | 22% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 20% | |
| 62 | 16% | 20% | |
| 63 | 4% | 5% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 17% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 48% | 83% | Median |
| 49 | 3% | 35% | |
| 50 | 0.7% | 32% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 31% | |
| 52 | 1.2% | 31% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 30% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 30% | |
| 55 | 6% | 29% | |
| 56 | 5% | 23% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 18% | |
| 58 | 5% | 18% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 13% | |
| 61 | 1.2% | 12% | |
| 62 | 9% | 11% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 49 | 4% | 99.4% | |
| 50 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 51 | 3% | 94% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 92% | |
| 53 | 44% | 91% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 46% | Median |
| 55 | 2% | 45% | |
| 56 | 12% | 44% | |
| 57 | 7% | 31% | |
| 58 | 16% | 24% | |
| 59 | 3% | 8% | |
| 60 | 4% | 6% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 2% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 2% | |
| 63 | 2% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 37 | 6% | 99.6% | |
| 38 | 0% | 94% | |
| 39 | 4% | 94% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 42 | 3% | 89% | |
| 43 | 47% | 86% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 39% | Median |
| 45 | 1.5% | 39% | |
| 46 | 1.4% | 38% | |
| 47 | 3% | 36% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 33% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 33% | |
| 50 | 1.4% | 33% | |
| 51 | 13% | 31% | |
| 52 | 16% | 19% | |
| 53 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 7% | 99.7% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 38 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 39 | 3% | 92% | |
| 40 | 3% | 89% | |
| 41 | 44% | 86% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 42% | Median |
| 43 | 4% | 41% | |
| 44 | 1.3% | 37% | |
| 45 | 2% | 36% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 34% | |
| 47 | 2% | 34% | |
| 48 | 10% | 32% | |
| 49 | 4% | 22% | |
| 50 | 16% | 17% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 6% | 100% | |
| 12 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 13 | 3% | 93% | |
| 14 | 0.9% | 90% | |
| 15 | 0% | 89% | |
| 16 | 0% | 89% | |
| 17 | 0.7% | 89% | |
| 18 | 0% | 88% | |
| 19 | 16% | 88% | |
| 20 | 50% | 72% | Median |
| 21 | 1.0% | 22% | |
| 22 | 4% | 21% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 17% | |
| 24 | 2% | 17% | |
| 25 | 9% | 15% | |
| 26 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 27 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 28 | 4% | 4% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): ABC Nyheter and Altinget
- Fieldwork period: 27–4 February 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 720
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 4.18%