Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 6–7 February 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 27.6% | 25.9–29.5% | 25.4–30.0% | 25.0–30.5% | 24.1–31.4% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 20.5% | 18.9–22.2% | 18.5–22.7% | 18.1–23.1% | 17.4–23.9% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 13.7% | 12.4–15.2% | 12.0–15.6% | 11.7–15.9% | 11.1–16.7% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.0–10.4% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.5–11.1% | 7.0–11.7% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.5% | 5.6–7.7% | 5.4–8.0% | 5.2–8.2% | 4.8–8.8% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9–6.8% | 4.7–7.1% | 4.5–7.4% | 4.1–7.9% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.3–5.5% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.9–6.2% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.2% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.8–4.6% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.1–3.4% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.8–3.9% | 1.6–4.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 51 | 47–55 | 47–56 | 46–56 | 44–58 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 39 | 36–43 | 35–44 | 34–44 | 33–47 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 25 | 23–28 | 22–29 | 20–29 | 19–31 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 17 | 14–19 | 14–21 | 13–21 | 12–22 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 12 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 9–15 | 8–16 |
| Venstre | 8 | 11 | 9–13 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 7–14 |
| Rødt | 8 | 8 | 1–9 | 1–10 | 1–10 | 1–11 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 2–7 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 0–9 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 2 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 0–7 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 46 | 2% | 98% | |
| 47 | 6% | 96% | |
| 48 | 5% | 90% | |
| 49 | 8% | 84% | |
| 50 | 12% | 77% | |
| 51 | 33% | 64% | Median |
| 52 | 9% | 31% | |
| 53 | 5% | 22% | |
| 54 | 6% | 17% | |
| 55 | 5% | 11% | |
| 56 | 4% | 6% | |
| 57 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 35 | 4% | 96% | |
| 36 | 9% | 92% | |
| 37 | 19% | 83% | |
| 38 | 10% | 64% | |
| 39 | 24% | 54% | Median |
| 40 | 9% | 30% | |
| 41 | 7% | 21% | |
| 42 | 2% | 14% | |
| 43 | 6% | 11% | |
| 44 | 3% | 5% | |
| 45 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 20 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 21 | 2% | 97% | Last Result |
| 22 | 4% | 96% | |
| 23 | 11% | 92% | |
| 24 | 25% | 81% | |
| 25 | 30% | 56% | Median |
| 26 | 11% | 26% | |
| 27 | 4% | 15% | |
| 28 | 3% | 10% | |
| 29 | 5% | 7% | |
| 30 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 13 | 2% | 99.0% | Last Result |
| 14 | 7% | 97% | |
| 15 | 15% | 90% | |
| 16 | 15% | 75% | |
| 17 | 16% | 60% | Median |
| 18 | 12% | 44% | |
| 19 | 24% | 32% | |
| 20 | 2% | 7% | |
| 21 | 3% | 6% | |
| 22 | 2% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 14% | 98.8% | |
| 10 | 12% | 84% | |
| 11 | 11% | 73% | |
| 12 | 26% | 62% | Median |
| 13 | 25% | 36% | |
| 14 | 6% | 10% | |
| 15 | 3% | 4% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 4% | 98.8% | Last Result |
| 9 | 12% | 95% | |
| 10 | 25% | 83% | |
| 11 | 35% | 58% | Median |
| 12 | 6% | 23% | |
| 13 | 15% | 17% | |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 73% | |
| 3 | 0% | 73% | |
| 4 | 0% | 73% | |
| 5 | 0% | 73% | |
| 6 | 0.5% | 73% | |
| 7 | 16% | 72% | |
| 8 | 30% | 56% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 18% | 27% | |
| 10 | 7% | 9% | |
| 11 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 2 | 41% | 98.8% | |
| 3 | 43% | 58% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 15% | |
| 5 | 0% | 15% | |
| 6 | 0.5% | 15% | |
| 7 | 7% | 14% | |
| 8 | 6% | 8% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 32% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 12% | 68% | |
| 2 | 39% | 56% | Median |
| 3 | 14% | 17% | |
| 4 | 0% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 7 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 8 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 1 | 74% | 99.4% | Median |
| 2 | 19% | 26% | |
| 3 | 5% | 7% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 7 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 101 | 100% | 97–107 | 95–108 | 93–108 | 90–111 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 91 | 97% | 87–96 | 85–97 | 84–98 | 82–101 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 90 | 92% | 85–95 | 84–96 | 83–97 | 81–99 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 87 | 79% | 82–91 | 80–93 | 79–94 | 77–95 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 76 | 0.2% | 72–80 | 70–81 | 69–83 | 67–84 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 75 | 0.3% | 71–80 | 69–81 | 68–82 | 66–84 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 74 | 0.2% | 70–78 | 68–79 | 67–80 | 64–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 73 | 0.1% | 67–77 | 67–79 | 65–80 | 64–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 70 | 0% | 64–74 | 64–75 | 63–76 | 60–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 68 | 0% | 63–72 | 62–73 | 61–74 | 59–75 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 65 | 0% | 61–69 | 59–71 | 58–72 | 56–74 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 64 | 0% | 60–68 | 58–69 | 56–71 | 54–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 54 | 0% | 51–60 | 51–62 | 49–64 | 49–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 56 | 0% | 52–61 | 51–62 | 50–62 | 49–63 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 53 | 0% | 50–58 | 49–60 | 48–62 | 47–64 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 50 | 0% | 48–54 | 47–55 | 46–57 | 45–59 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 26 | 0% | 22–30 | 21–30 | 21–32 | 19–34 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 93 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 94 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 95 | 2% | 95% | |
| 96 | 2% | 93% | Last Result |
| 97 | 13% | 91% | |
| 98 | 3% | 78% | |
| 99 | 3% | 74% | |
| 100 | 3% | 71% | |
| 101 | 19% | 68% | |
| 102 | 3% | 49% | Median |
| 103 | 21% | 46% | |
| 104 | 3% | 25% | |
| 105 | 5% | 22% | |
| 106 | 4% | 17% | |
| 107 | 4% | 12% | |
| 108 | 6% | 8% | |
| 109 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 110 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 83 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 84 | 2% | 98% | |
| 85 | 3% | 97% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 93% | |
| 87 | 3% | 91% | |
| 88 | 4% | 88% | |
| 89 | 11% | 83% | |
| 90 | 15% | 72% | |
| 91 | 18% | 58% | Median |
| 92 | 7% | 39% | |
| 93 | 7% | 32% | |
| 94 | 7% | 25% | |
| 95 | 6% | 17% | |
| 96 | 3% | 12% | |
| 97 | 5% | 9% | |
| 98 | 2% | 4% | |
| 99 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 101 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 82 | 1.2% | 98.8% | |
| 83 | 2% | 98% | |
| 84 | 3% | 95% | |
| 85 | 3% | 92% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 89% | |
| 87 | 5% | 85% | |
| 88 | 15% | 81% | |
| 89 | 13% | 66% | |
| 90 | 17% | 53% | Median |
| 91 | 9% | 35% | |
| 92 | 5% | 26% | |
| 93 | 5% | 22% | |
| 94 | 5% | 16% | |
| 95 | 3% | 11% | |
| 96 | 5% | 8% | |
| 97 | 2% | 3% | |
| 98 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 79 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 80 | 2% | 97% | |
| 81 | 3% | 95% | |
| 82 | 3% | 92% | |
| 83 | 5% | 88% | |
| 84 | 4% | 83% | |
| 85 | 15% | 79% | Majority |
| 86 | 11% | 64% | |
| 87 | 24% | 54% | Median |
| 88 | 4% | 30% | |
| 89 | 8% | 26% | |
| 90 | 4% | 18% | |
| 91 | 6% | 14% | |
| 92 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 93 | 4% | 7% | |
| 94 | 2% | 3% | |
| 95 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 69 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 70 | 3% | 97% | |
| 71 | 4% | 94% | |
| 72 | 3% | 90% | |
| 73 | 10% | 87% | |
| 74 | 4% | 77% | |
| 75 | 16% | 73% | |
| 76 | 23% | 57% | Median |
| 77 | 8% | 33% | |
| 78 | 7% | 25% | |
| 79 | 3% | 18% | |
| 80 | 10% | 15% | |
| 81 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 82 | 2% | 5% | |
| 83 | 2% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 69 | 2% | 97% | |
| 70 | 2% | 95% | |
| 71 | 16% | 93% | |
| 72 | 6% | 77% | |
| 73 | 3% | 71% | |
| 74 | 8% | 67% | |
| 75 | 10% | 59% | |
| 76 | 7% | 49% | |
| 77 | 4% | 42% | Median |
| 78 | 22% | 38% | |
| 79 | 4% | 16% | |
| 80 | 5% | 11% | |
| 81 | 3% | 6% | |
| 82 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 83 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 66 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 67 | 2% | 98% | |
| 68 | 2% | 95% | |
| 69 | 2% | 93% | |
| 70 | 16% | 92% | |
| 71 | 7% | 76% | |
| 72 | 5% | 69% | |
| 73 | 10% | 64% | |
| 74 | 10% | 55% | |
| 75 | 8% | 45% | |
| 76 | 4% | 37% | Median |
| 77 | 19% | 33% | |
| 78 | 6% | 13% | |
| 79 | 3% | 8% | |
| 80 | 2% | 5% | |
| 81 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 66 | 2% | 97% | |
| 67 | 12% | 95% | |
| 68 | 7% | 84% | |
| 69 | 6% | 77% | |
| 70 | 3% | 71% | |
| 71 | 4% | 69% | |
| 72 | 10% | 65% | Median |
| 73 | 26% | 55% | |
| 74 | 4% | 28% | |
| 75 | 4% | 24% | |
| 76 | 7% | 21% | |
| 77 | 5% | 13% | |
| 78 | 4% | 9% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 80 | 2% | 4% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 82 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 63 | 3% | 98% | |
| 64 | 11% | 95% | |
| 65 | 6% | 84% | |
| 66 | 7% | 77% | |
| 67 | 6% | 70% | |
| 68 | 3% | 65% | |
| 69 | 10% | 61% | Median |
| 70 | 20% | 52% | |
| 71 | 10% | 31% | |
| 72 | 4% | 21% | |
| 73 | 4% | 17% | |
| 74 | 6% | 12% | |
| 75 | 2% | 6% | |
| 76 | 3% | 4% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 61 | 1.3% | 98.6% | |
| 62 | 3% | 97% | |
| 63 | 12% | 95% | |
| 64 | 8% | 83% | |
| 65 | 7% | 75% | |
| 66 | 8% | 68% | |
| 67 | 4% | 60% | |
| 68 | 8% | 56% | Median |
| 69 | 22% | 48% | |
| 70 | 7% | 26% | |
| 71 | 4% | 19% | |
| 72 | 7% | 15% | |
| 73 | 3% | 8% | |
| 74 | 3% | 5% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 58 | 1.4% | 98.6% | |
| 59 | 3% | 97% | |
| 60 | 4% | 94% | |
| 61 | 3% | 91% | |
| 62 | 5% | 88% | |
| 63 | 4% | 82% | |
| 64 | 20% | 78% | |
| 65 | 23% | 58% | Median |
| 66 | 10% | 35% | |
| 67 | 4% | 25% | |
| 68 | 6% | 20% | |
| 69 | 7% | 14% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 72 | 3% | 5% | |
| 73 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 56 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 57 | 2% | 97% | |
| 58 | 2% | 95% | |
| 59 | 3% | 94% | |
| 60 | 12% | 90% | |
| 61 | 3% | 78% | |
| 62 | 15% | 75% | |
| 63 | 7% | 60% | |
| 64 | 7% | 53% | |
| 65 | 22% | 46% | Median |
| 66 | 7% | 24% | |
| 67 | 6% | 17% | |
| 68 | 5% | 11% | |
| 69 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 70 | 2% | 5% | |
| 71 | 2% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 1.4% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 50 | 2% | 97% | |
| 51 | 10% | 95% | |
| 52 | 12% | 85% | |
| 53 | 3% | 73% | |
| 54 | 22% | 70% | |
| 55 | 8% | 48% | Median |
| 56 | 9% | 40% | |
| 57 | 8% | 31% | |
| 58 | 8% | 22% | |
| 59 | 4% | 15% | |
| 60 | 3% | 11% | |
| 61 | 2% | 8% | |
| 62 | 2% | 6% | |
| 63 | 2% | 4% | |
| 64 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 50 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 51 | 3% | 95% | |
| 52 | 4% | 92% | |
| 53 | 7% | 88% | |
| 54 | 20% | 81% | |
| 55 | 4% | 62% | |
| 56 | 26% | 58% | Median |
| 57 | 3% | 32% | |
| 58 | 11% | 29% | |
| 59 | 4% | 17% | |
| 60 | 3% | 13% | |
| 61 | 3% | 10% | Last Result |
| 62 | 5% | 7% | |
| 63 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 49 | 3% | 97% | |
| 50 | 10% | 94% | |
| 51 | 13% | 84% | |
| 52 | 5% | 71% | |
| 53 | 21% | 66% | |
| 54 | 11% | 45% | Median |
| 55 | 8% | 34% | |
| 56 | 9% | 26% | |
| 57 | 6% | 16% | |
| 58 | 2% | 11% | |
| 59 | 3% | 9% | |
| 60 | 2% | 6% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 62 | 3% | 4% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 47 | 4% | 96% | |
| 48 | 23% | 92% | |
| 49 | 5% | 69% | |
| 50 | 20% | 64% | |
| 51 | 14% | 44% | Median |
| 52 | 9% | 30% | |
| 53 | 9% | 21% | |
| 54 | 5% | 12% | |
| 55 | 3% | 7% | |
| 56 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 57 | 2% | 3% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 20 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 21 | 3% | 98% | |
| 22 | 12% | 95% | |
| 23 | 8% | 83% | |
| 24 | 10% | 75% | |
| 25 | 10% | 65% | |
| 26 | 7% | 55% | Median |
| 27 | 26% | 48% | |
| 28 | 8% | 21% | |
| 29 | 3% | 13% | |
| 30 | 6% | 10% | |
| 31 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 32 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norfakta
- Commissioner(s): Klassekampen and Nationen
- Fieldwork period: 6–7 February 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1010
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.39%