Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for ABC Nyheter and Altinget, 4 March 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre |
20.4% |
24.9% |
22.9–27.0% |
22.3–27.6% |
21.8–28.2% |
20.9–29.2% |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
18.8% |
17.0–20.7% |
16.5–21.3% |
16.1–21.8% |
15.3–22.7% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
16.2% |
14.6–18.1% |
14.1–18.7% |
13.7–19.1% |
13.0–20.1% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
10.8% |
9.5–12.5% |
9.1–12.9% |
8.8–13.3% |
8.2–14.1% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
5.8% |
4.8–7.1% |
4.6–7.5% |
4.3–7.8% |
3.9–8.5% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
5.8% |
4.8–7.1% |
4.6–7.5% |
4.3–7.8% |
3.9–8.5% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
5.4% |
4.5–6.7% |
4.2–7.0% |
4.0–7.3% |
3.6–8.0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
4.9% |
4.0–6.1% |
3.7–6.4% |
3.5–6.7% |
3.1–7.3% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
2.6% |
2.0–3.6% |
1.8–3.9% |
1.7–4.1% |
1.4–4.6% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet |
0.3% |
1.4% |
1.0–2.1% |
0.9–2.3% |
0.8–2.5% |
0.6–3.0% |
Pensjonistpartiet |
0.6% |
0.8% |
0.5–1.5% |
0.4–1.6% |
0.4–1.8% |
0.3–2.2% |
Norgesdemokratene |
1.1% |
0.6% |
0.3–1.1% |
0.3–1.3% |
0.2–1.4% |
0.1–1.7% |
Konservativt |
0.4% |
0.4% |
0.2–0.9% |
0.2–1.1% |
0.1–1.2% |
0.1–1.5% |
Folkets parti |
0.1% |
0.1% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.0–0.7% |
0.0–0.8% |
0.0–1.0% |
Liberalistene |
0.2% |
0.1% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.0–0.7% |
0.0–0.8% |
0.0–1.0% |
Kystpartiet |
0.0% |
0.1% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.0–0.7% |
0.0–0.8% |
0.0–1.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
4% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
96% |
|
35 |
0% |
96% |
|
36 |
17% |
96% |
Last Result |
37 |
44% |
79% |
Median |
38 |
0.1% |
35% |
|
39 |
3% |
35% |
|
40 |
1.1% |
32% |
|
41 |
1.4% |
31% |
|
42 |
1.2% |
29% |
|
43 |
2% |
28% |
|
44 |
4% |
26% |
|
45 |
6% |
22% |
|
46 |
12% |
16% |
|
47 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
49 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
50 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
52 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
32 |
44% |
96% |
|
33 |
3% |
52% |
Median |
34 |
1.0% |
49% |
|
35 |
9% |
48% |
|
36 |
5% |
39% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
34% |
|
38 |
5% |
33% |
|
39 |
10% |
29% |
|
40 |
2% |
19% |
|
41 |
1.0% |
17% |
|
42 |
16% |
16% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
1.2% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
0.3% |
98.7% |
|
25 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
26 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
27 |
1.5% |
98% |
|
28 |
0.8% |
96% |
|
29 |
10% |
96% |
|
30 |
8% |
86% |
|
31 |
0.7% |
78% |
|
32 |
1.3% |
77% |
|
33 |
20% |
76% |
|
34 |
45% |
56% |
Median |
35 |
0.2% |
10% |
|
36 |
9% |
10% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
1.5% |
|
38 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
39 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
14 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
15 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
16 |
19% |
97% |
|
17 |
11% |
78% |
|
18 |
2% |
67% |
|
19 |
2% |
66% |
|
20 |
4% |
64% |
|
21 |
47% |
60% |
Median |
22 |
9% |
13% |
|
23 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
24 |
2% |
3% |
|
25 |
0.2% |
1.5% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
|
27 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
2% |
99.1% |
Last Result |
9 |
67% |
97% |
Median |
10 |
9% |
30% |
|
11 |
4% |
20% |
|
12 |
3% |
17% |
|
13 |
13% |
13% |
|
14 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.0% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.0% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.0% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.0% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.0% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
|
8 |
6% |
98.9% |
Last Result |
9 |
20% |
93% |
|
10 |
6% |
73% |
|
11 |
45% |
68% |
Median |
12 |
21% |
23% |
|
13 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
14 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
15 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
16 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
11% |
100% |
|
2 |
0.1% |
89% |
|
3 |
0% |
89% |
|
4 |
0% |
89% |
|
5 |
0% |
89% |
|
6 |
0% |
89% |
|
7 |
1.0% |
89% |
|
8 |
19% |
88% |
|
9 |
54% |
69% |
Median |
10 |
8% |
14% |
|
11 |
1.2% |
7% |
|
12 |
1.1% |
6% |
|
13 |
4% |
5% |
|
14 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
2 |
12% |
99.8% |
|
3 |
2% |
88% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
87% |
|
5 |
0% |
87% |
|
6 |
0% |
87% |
|
7 |
2% |
87% |
|
8 |
3% |
85% |
|
9 |
8% |
81% |
|
10 |
20% |
73% |
|
11 |
49% |
53% |
Median |
12 |
4% |
5% |
|
13 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
9% |
100% |
|
1 |
6% |
91% |
|
2 |
72% |
85% |
Median |
3 |
11% |
13% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
3% |
|
5 |
0% |
3% |
|
6 |
0% |
3% |
|
7 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
8 |
2% |
2% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
37% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
17% |
63% |
Median |
2 |
45% |
46% |
|
3 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Folkets parti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Folkets parti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kystpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kystpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
95% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
5% |
5% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
71 |
93 |
99.9% |
90–99 |
90–100 |
89–100 |
86–105 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
96 |
91 |
99.8% |
88–100 |
88–100 |
88–100 |
87–102 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
68 |
82 |
34% |
80–91 |
80–91 |
78–91 |
78–94 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
100 |
84 |
20% |
76–88 |
76–88 |
76–90 |
72–90 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
65 |
80 |
28% |
78–88 |
78–90 |
76–90 |
76–91 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
95 |
75 |
0.1% |
69–78 |
68–79 |
68–83 |
65–83 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
73 |
0% |
67–76 |
67–78 |
67–81 |
62–81 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
57 |
71 |
0.3% |
69–77 |
69–81 |
63–81 |
63–83 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
72 |
75 |
0% |
68–80 |
67–80 |
67–80 |
65–81 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet |
97 |
73 |
0.1% |
69–78 |
67–78 |
67–79 |
63–82 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet |
89 |
62 |
0% |
59–66 |
58–69 |
58–71 |
54–73 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
82 |
54 |
0% |
50–62 |
46–62 |
46–63 |
41–64 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
47 |
48 |
0% |
47–62 |
47–62 |
47–62 |
47–65 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
53 |
0% |
53–58 |
50–60 |
49–60 |
48–63 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
43 |
0% |
39–52 |
37–52 |
37–53 |
37–56 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
41 |
0% |
39–50 |
36–50 |
36–50 |
36–53 |
Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
39 |
20 |
0% |
13–25 |
11–27 |
11–28 |
11–29 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
84 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Majority |
86 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
88 |
0.5% |
99.1% |
|
89 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
90 |
20% |
97% |
|
91 |
0.6% |
77% |
|
92 |
2% |
77% |
|
93 |
53% |
75% |
Median |
94 |
2% |
23% |
|
95 |
4% |
21% |
|
96 |
3% |
17% |
|
97 |
4% |
14% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
10% |
|
99 |
3% |
10% |
|
100 |
6% |
7% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
103 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
104 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
105 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
106 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
107 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
108 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
84 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
99.8% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
87 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
88 |
16% |
99.2% |
|
89 |
3% |
83% |
|
90 |
0.3% |
80% |
|
91 |
47% |
80% |
Median |
92 |
6% |
32% |
|
93 |
0.9% |
26% |
|
94 |
3% |
25% |
|
95 |
5% |
22% |
|
96 |
0.6% |
16% |
Last Result |
97 |
2% |
16% |
|
98 |
1.0% |
14% |
|
99 |
3% |
13% |
|
100 |
9% |
10% |
|
101 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
102 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
103 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
104 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
105 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
106 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
107 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
108 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
109 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
78 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
79 |
0% |
96% |
|
80 |
16% |
96% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
80% |
|
82 |
44% |
80% |
Median |
83 |
1.3% |
36% |
|
84 |
0.7% |
34% |
|
85 |
4% |
34% |
Majority |
86 |
4% |
30% |
|
87 |
2% |
26% |
|
88 |
4% |
24% |
|
89 |
3% |
20% |
|
90 |
0% |
17% |
|
91 |
14% |
17% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
94 |
2% |
2% |
|
95 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
97 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
74 |
1.5% |
99.2% |
|
75 |
0% |
98% |
|
76 |
14% |
98% |
|
77 |
0.5% |
83% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
83% |
|
79 |
3% |
83% |
|
80 |
4% |
80% |
|
81 |
5% |
76% |
|
82 |
3% |
70% |
|
83 |
2% |
67% |
|
84 |
45% |
65% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
20% |
Median, Majority |
86 |
0% |
20% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
20% |
|
88 |
16% |
20% |
|
89 |
0% |
4% |
|
90 |
4% |
4% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
78 |
16% |
96% |
|
79 |
1.2% |
80% |
|
80 |
45% |
79% |
Median |
81 |
2% |
35% |
|
82 |
0.8% |
33% |
|
83 |
1.4% |
32% |
|
84 |
2% |
31% |
|
85 |
3% |
28% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
25% |
|
87 |
3% |
23% |
|
88 |
11% |
19% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
8% |
|
90 |
6% |
8% |
|
91 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
93 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
94 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
95 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
65 |
1.1% |
99.6% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
98.5% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
68 |
7% |
98% |
|
69 |
3% |
92% |
|
70 |
9% |
89% |
|
71 |
3% |
80% |
|
72 |
4% |
77% |
|
73 |
1.3% |
73% |
|
74 |
2% |
71% |
|
75 |
45% |
69% |
|
76 |
1.2% |
24% |
Median |
77 |
1.0% |
22% |
|
78 |
16% |
21% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
5% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
82 |
0.8% |
5% |
|
83 |
4% |
4% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
62 |
1.2% |
99.7% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
98.5% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
67 |
16% |
98% |
|
68 |
0.6% |
82% |
|
69 |
6% |
81% |
|
70 |
1.3% |
75% |
|
71 |
2% |
74% |
|
72 |
4% |
72% |
|
73 |
44% |
68% |
|
74 |
3% |
24% |
Median |
75 |
0.4% |
22% |
|
76 |
16% |
21% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
78 |
0.6% |
5% |
|
79 |
0% |
5% |
|
80 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
81 |
4% |
4% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
4% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
96% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
66 |
0% |
96% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
69 |
16% |
96% |
|
70 |
2% |
80% |
|
71 |
45% |
77% |
Median |
72 |
1.2% |
33% |
|
73 |
1.1% |
32% |
|
74 |
3% |
31% |
|
75 |
13% |
28% |
|
76 |
4% |
15% |
|
77 |
3% |
11% |
|
78 |
0.5% |
9% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
8% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
8% |
|
81 |
6% |
8% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
1.5% |
|
83 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
67 |
9% |
99.4% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
90% |
|
69 |
4% |
90% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
86% |
|
71 |
4% |
85% |
|
72 |
1.5% |
81% |
Last Result |
73 |
3% |
80% |
|
74 |
2% |
77% |
|
75 |
51% |
75% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
24% |
Median |
77 |
4% |
24% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
20% |
|
79 |
3% |
20% |
|
80 |
16% |
17% |
|
81 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
64 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
67 |
6% |
99.1% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
93% |
|
69 |
3% |
93% |
|
70 |
0.7% |
90% |
|
71 |
6% |
89% |
|
72 |
4% |
83% |
|
73 |
44% |
79% |
|
74 |
10% |
35% |
Median |
75 |
1.3% |
25% |
|
76 |
1.0% |
24% |
|
77 |
0.5% |
23% |
|
78 |
20% |
22% |
|
79 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
80 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
82 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
52 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
54 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
|
58 |
6% |
98.9% |
|
59 |
3% |
93% |
|
60 |
3% |
90% |
|
61 |
7% |
86% |
|
62 |
44% |
79% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
35% |
Median |
64 |
1.5% |
35% |
|
65 |
9% |
34% |
|
66 |
16% |
24% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
8% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
8% |
|
69 |
4% |
7% |
|
70 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
71 |
2% |
3% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
99.0% |
|
43 |
0% |
99.0% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
98.9% |
|
46 |
6% |
98.8% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
93% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
92% |
|
49 |
1.3% |
92% |
|
50 |
5% |
91% |
|
51 |
0.6% |
85% |
|
52 |
2% |
85% |
|
53 |
12% |
83% |
|
54 |
44% |
71% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
27% |
Median |
56 |
0.7% |
26% |
|
57 |
1.3% |
26% |
|
58 |
2% |
24% |
|
59 |
0.9% |
23% |
|
60 |
1.2% |
22% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
20% |
|
62 |
16% |
20% |
|
63 |
4% |
5% |
|
64 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
17% |
100% |
Last Result |
48 |
48% |
83% |
Median |
49 |
3% |
35% |
|
50 |
0.7% |
32% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
31% |
|
52 |
1.2% |
31% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
30% |
|
54 |
0.5% |
30% |
|
55 |
6% |
29% |
|
56 |
5% |
23% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
18% |
|
58 |
5% |
18% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
13% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
13% |
|
61 |
1.2% |
12% |
|
62 |
9% |
11% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
64 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
49 |
4% |
99.4% |
|
50 |
1.3% |
96% |
|
51 |
3% |
94% |
|
52 |
0.8% |
92% |
|
53 |
44% |
91% |
|
54 |
1.0% |
46% |
Median |
55 |
2% |
45% |
|
56 |
12% |
44% |
|
57 |
7% |
31% |
|
58 |
16% |
24% |
|
59 |
3% |
8% |
|
60 |
4% |
6% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
2% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
2% |
|
63 |
2% |
2% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
37 |
6% |
99.6% |
|
38 |
0% |
94% |
|
39 |
4% |
94% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
90% |
|
41 |
0.6% |
90% |
|
42 |
3% |
89% |
|
43 |
47% |
86% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
39% |
Median |
45 |
1.5% |
39% |
|
46 |
1.4% |
38% |
|
47 |
3% |
36% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
33% |
|
49 |
0.3% |
33% |
|
50 |
1.4% |
33% |
|
51 |
13% |
31% |
|
52 |
16% |
19% |
|
53 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
55 |
0.7% |
1.5% |
|
56 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
36 |
7% |
99.7% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
93% |
|
38 |
0.7% |
92% |
|
39 |
3% |
92% |
|
40 |
3% |
89% |
|
41 |
44% |
86% |
|
42 |
0.5% |
42% |
Median |
43 |
4% |
41% |
|
44 |
1.3% |
37% |
|
45 |
2% |
36% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
34% |
|
47 |
2% |
34% |
|
48 |
10% |
32% |
|
49 |
4% |
22% |
|
50 |
16% |
17% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
53 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
6% |
100% |
|
12 |
1.0% |
94% |
|
13 |
3% |
93% |
|
14 |
0.9% |
90% |
|
15 |
0% |
89% |
|
16 |
0% |
89% |
|
17 |
0.7% |
89% |
|
18 |
0% |
88% |
|
19 |
16% |
88% |
|
20 |
50% |
72% |
Median |
21 |
1.0% |
22% |
|
22 |
4% |
21% |
|
23 |
0.4% |
17% |
|
24 |
2% |
17% |
|
25 |
9% |
15% |
|
26 |
0.6% |
6% |
|
27 |
1.2% |
5% |
|
28 |
4% |
4% |
|
29 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
31 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
32 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): ABC Nyheter and Altinget
- Fieldwork period: 4 March 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 720
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 4.18%