Opinion Poll by Respons Analyse for VG, 6–11 March 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 28.5% | 26.7–30.4% | 26.2–30.9% | 25.8–31.4% | 25.0–32.3% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 17.9% | 16.4–19.5% | 16.0–20.0% | 15.6–20.4% | 15.0–21.2% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 14.4% | 13.1–15.9% | 12.7–16.3% | 12.4–16.7% | 11.7–17.5% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.1–11.5% | 8.7–11.9% | 8.5–12.2% | 8.0–12.9% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.1% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.4–8.3% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.7–7.2% | 4.5–7.4% | 4.1–8.0% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8–6.6% | 4.5–7.0% | 4.3–7.2% | 4.0–7.7% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.7–5.3% | 3.5–5.6% | 3.3–5.9% | 3.0–6.4% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.3–5.4% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.4–3.3% | 1.2–3.7% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.2–1.6% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.6% | 0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 48 | 48–50 | 48–51 | 48–51 | 47–53 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 33 | 33 | 31–33 | 31–33 | 31–37 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 25 | 25 | 25–27 | 24–27 | 23–30 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 19 | 18–19 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 15–20 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 13 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–14 |
| Venstre | 8 | 11 | 11 | 9–12 | 8–13 | 8–13 |
| Rødt | 8 | 10 | 9–10 | 8–10 | 8–12 | 8–12 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 7 | 7 | 3–7 | 3–7 | 2–9 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 2–7 | 2–7 | 2–8 | 1–8 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 48 | 83% | 99.4% | Median |
| 49 | 7% | 17% | |
| 50 | 4% | 10% | |
| 51 | 3% | 6% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 53 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 6% | 99.5% | |
| 32 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 33 | 90% | 92% | Median |
| 34 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 24 | 4% | 99.4% | |
| 25 | 89% | 95% | Median |
| 26 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 27 | 4% | 5% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 17 | 5% | 99.1% | |
| 18 | 7% | 94% | |
| 19 | 86% | 87% | Median |
| 20 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 5% | 99.2% | |
| 10 | 7% | 95% | |
| 11 | 4% | 88% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 84% | |
| 13 | 83% | 84% | Median |
| 14 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 4% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 10 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 11 | 84% | 94% | Median |
| 12 | 6% | 10% | |
| 13 | 3% | 4% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 5% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 9 | 7% | 95% | |
| 10 | 83% | 88% | Median |
| 11 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 12 | 3% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 4% | 98.8% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 95% | |
| 5 | 0% | 95% | |
| 6 | 4% | 95% | |
| 7 | 89% | 91% | Median |
| 8 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 2 | 87% | 99.1% | Median |
| 3 | 0.5% | 12% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 11% | |
| 5 | 0% | 11% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 7 | 7% | 11% | |
| 8 | 4% | 4% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 95% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 2 | 5% | 5% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 104 | 100% | 103–104 | 100–104 | 100–104 | 98–108 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 93 | 100% | 93–99 | 93–100 | 93–100 | 92–101 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 91 | 99.9% | 91 | 91–93 | 91–93 | 88–98 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 84 | 16% | 84–86 | 84–88 | 84–88 | 82–92 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 77 | 0% | 75–77 | 75–77 | 75–77 | 70–80 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 73 | 0.1% | 73–75 | 73–77 | 73–77 | 72–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 75 | 0% | 68–75 | 68–75 | 67–75 | 67–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 74 | 0% | 73–74 | 71–74 | 68–74 | 67–76 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 66 | 0% | 66–67 | 64–68 | 64–68 | 63–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 67 | 0% | 66–67 | 65–67 | 65–67 | 61–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 64 | 0% | 64–65 | 64–66 | 64–66 | 60–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 65 | 0% | 59–65 | 59–65 | 59–65 | 58–66 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 55 | 0% | 55 | 52–56 | 49–56 | 49–59 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 53 | 0% | 48–53 | 48–53 | 47–53 | 46–56 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 52 | 0% | 50–52 | 49–52 | 49–52 | 49–55 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 46 | 0% | 42–46 | 41–46 | 41–46 | 41–48 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 31 | 0% | 28–31 | 24–31 | 23–31 | 22–31 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 97 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 100 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 102 | 4% | 95% | |
| 103 | 6% | 91% | |
| 104 | 83% | 85% | Median |
| 105 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 108 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 90 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 93 | 86% | 99.3% | Median |
| 94 | 0.3% | 13% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 13% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 12% | |
| 97 | 0.5% | 12% | |
| 98 | 0.5% | 12% | |
| 99 | 4% | 11% | |
| 100 | 6% | 7% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 91 | 91% | 98.7% | Median |
| 92 | 0.2% | 8% | |
| 93 | 6% | 8% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 84 | 83% | 99.2% | Median |
| 85 | 4% | 16% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 12% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 88 | 4% | 6% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 75 | 10% | 98% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 88% | |
| 77 | 87% | 88% | Median |
| 78 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 73 | 83% | 99.3% | Median |
| 74 | 6% | 17% | |
| 75 | 3% | 10% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 77 | 5% | 7% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 68 | 6% | 95% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 89% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 89% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 88% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 88% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 87% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 87% | |
| 75 | 86% | 87% | Median |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 73 | 10% | 94% | |
| 74 | 83% | 84% | Median |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 5% | 99.3% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 66 | 83% | 94% | Median |
| 67 | 4% | 12% | |
| 68 | 6% | 7% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 65 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 66 | 7% | 95% | |
| 67 | 87% | 88% | Median |
| 68 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 64 | 83% | 98% | Median |
| 65 | 6% | 15% | |
| 66 | 8% | 9% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 59 | 10% | 99.4% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 89% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 89% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 89% | |
| 63 | 3% | 88% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 84% | |
| 65 | 83% | 84% | Median |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 55 | 89% | 94% | Median |
| 56 | 4% | 5% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 47 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 48 | 10% | 96% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 85% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 84% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 84% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 84% | |
| 53 | 83% | 84% | Median |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 7% | 99.5% | |
| 50 | 5% | 93% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 88% | |
| 52 | 86% | 88% | Median |
| 53 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 41 | 7% | 99.5% | |
| 42 | 4% | 93% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 89% | |
| 44 | 4% | 88% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 85% | |
| 46 | 83% | 84% | Median |
| 47 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 22 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 23 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 26 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 27 | 3% | 94% | |
| 28 | 1.2% | 91% | |
| 29 | 6% | 89% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 83% | |
| 31 | 83% | 83% | Median |
| 32 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Respons Analyse
- Commissioner(s): VG
- Fieldwork period: 6–11 March 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.27%