Opinion Poll by InFact for Nettavisen, 4 April 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 25.4% | 23.8–27.1% | 23.3–27.6% | 22.9–28.0% | 22.2–28.9% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 18.4% | 17.0–20.0% | 16.6–20.4% | 16.2–20.8% | 15.6–21.5% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 15.3% | 14.0–16.8% | 13.6–17.2% | 13.3–17.5% | 12.7–18.2% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.1–11.4% | 8.8–11.8% | 8.5–12.1% | 8.0–12.7% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9–6.6% | 4.6–6.9% | 4.5–7.2% | 4.1–7.7% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9–6.6% | 4.6–6.9% | 4.5–7.2% | 4.1–7.7% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.4% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.4–6.6% | 4.2–6.9% | 3.9–7.4% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8–5.4% | 3.6–5.7% | 3.4–5.9% | 3.1–6.4% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.2% | 2.6–4.4% | 2.5–4.6% | 2.2–5.0% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.2% | 2.6–4.4% | 2.5–4.6% | 2.2–5.0% |
| Liberalistene | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.2% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.2% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.0–0.6% | 0.0–0.8% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 48 | 40–48 | 40–48 | 40–48 | 40–50 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 38 | 33–40 | 33–42 | 33–42 | 31–42 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 25 | 23–33 | 23–33 | 23–33 | 23–36 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 16 | 15–19 | 12–20 | 12–21 | 12–21 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 7–12 |
| Rødt | 8 | 10 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 7–12 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 8 | 8–11 | 1–11 | 1–11 | 1–14 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 8 | 6–9 | 3–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 7 | 2–7 | 2–7 | 1–7 | 1–8 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 2 | 2–7 | 2–8 | 1–8 | 0–8 |
| Liberalistene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 13% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 87% | |
| 42 | 4% | 86% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 82% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 81% | |
| 45 | 4% | 81% | |
| 46 | 15% | 77% | |
| 47 | 11% | 62% | |
| 48 | 49% | 51% | Median |
| 49 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 32 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 33 | 22% | 98% | |
| 34 | 5% | 76% | |
| 35 | 8% | 71% | |
| 36 | 8% | 63% | |
| 37 | 1.0% | 55% | |
| 38 | 40% | 54% | Median |
| 39 | 0.6% | 14% | |
| 40 | 5% | 13% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 8% | |
| 42 | 8% | 8% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 43% | 99.6% | |
| 24 | 4% | 56% | |
| 25 | 3% | 52% | Median |
| 26 | 0.7% | 49% | |
| 27 | 3% | 48% | |
| 28 | 8% | 46% | |
| 29 | 6% | 38% | |
| 30 | 3% | 32% | |
| 31 | 19% | 30% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 11% | |
| 33 | 8% | 10% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 36 | 2% | 2% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 5% | 100% | |
| 13 | 3% | 95% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 15 | 9% | 91% | |
| 16 | 61% | 82% | Median |
| 17 | 4% | 21% | |
| 18 | 5% | 18% | |
| 19 | 6% | 13% | |
| 20 | 3% | 7% | |
| 21 | 4% | 4% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 46% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 27% | 54% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 2% | 27% | |
| 10 | 9% | 26% | |
| 11 | 5% | 16% | |
| 12 | 11% | 12% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 13% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 6% | 87% | Last Result |
| 9 | 13% | 81% | |
| 10 | 56% | 68% | Median |
| 11 | 12% | 13% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 3 | 0% | 92% | |
| 4 | 0% | 92% | |
| 5 | 0% | 92% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 7 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 8 | 43% | 91% | Median |
| 9 | 14% | 48% | |
| 10 | 13% | 34% | |
| 11 | 20% | 22% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 95% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 95% | |
| 5 | 0% | 95% | |
| 6 | 5% | 95% | |
| 7 | 13% | 90% | |
| 8 | 31% | 77% | Median |
| 9 | 45% | 45% | |
| 10 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 15% | 96% | |
| 3 | 25% | 81% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 56% | |
| 5 | 0% | 56% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 56% | |
| 7 | 55% | 56% | Median |
| 8 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 2 | 70% | 97% | Median |
| 3 | 9% | 28% | |
| 4 | 0% | 19% | |
| 5 | 0% | 19% | |
| 6 | 7% | 19% | |
| 7 | 4% | 12% | |
| 8 | 7% | 8% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 95 | 100% | 94–104 | 94–104 | 94–104 | 89–107 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 94 | 99.7% | 92–96 | 89–97 | 88–98 | 85–105 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 87 | 97% | 87–93 | 86–93 | 84–96 | 81–98 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 80 | 26% | 78–85 | 78–86 | 78–88 | 76–92 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 74 | 0% | 69–78 | 69–80 | 67–80 | 63–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 78 | 0.2% | 70–79 | 69–79 | 68–79 | 68–83 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 71 | 0% | 71–77 | 69–77 | 68–78 | 66–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 72 | 0% | 67–72 | 67–76 | 66–76 | 61–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 67 | 0% | 62–69 | 60–72 | 60–72 | 58–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 68 | 0% | 61–71 | 60–72 | 59–72 | 59–72 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 64 | 0% | 56–65 | 55–68 | 55–68 | 55–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 62 | 0% | 58–65 | 58–65 | 58–65 | 52–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 57 | 0% | 54–62 | 51–62 | 48–62 | 46–62 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 54 | 0% | 49–56 | 48–58 | 48–58 | 45–59 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 54 | 0% | 50–55 | 48–55 | 46–55 | 42–57 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 46 | 0% | 43–46 | 43–49 | 41–49 | 35–53 |
| Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 24 | 0% | 22–29 | 19–29 | 19–30 | 18–32 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 93 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 94 | 9% | 98% | |
| 95 | 39% | 88% | |
| 96 | 0.8% | 49% | Last Result |
| 97 | 3% | 48% | Median |
| 98 | 13% | 45% | |
| 99 | 6% | 32% | |
| 100 | 2% | 25% | |
| 101 | 3% | 24% | |
| 102 | 4% | 21% | |
| 103 | 0.8% | 17% | |
| 104 | 13% | 16% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 106 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 107 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 109 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 85 | 1.4% | 99.7% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 88 | 2% | 98% | |
| 89 | 3% | 96% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 92% | |
| 92 | 5% | 91% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 86% | |
| 94 | 45% | 85% | |
| 95 | 14% | 41% | |
| 96 | 21% | 26% | Median |
| 97 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 98 | 3% | 4% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 105 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 82 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 97% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 97% | |
| 87 | 47% | 95% | |
| 88 | 9% | 48% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 39% | Median |
| 90 | 5% | 38% | |
| 91 | 2% | 33% | |
| 92 | 4% | 31% | |
| 93 | 23% | 27% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 95 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 96 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 97 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 98 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 78 | 40% | 98.8% | |
| 79 | 5% | 59% | |
| 80 | 5% | 54% | |
| 81 | 8% | 49% | Median |
| 82 | 2% | 41% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 39% | |
| 84 | 13% | 39% | |
| 85 | 20% | 26% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 88 | 2% | 4% | |
| 89 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 68 | 2% | 97% | |
| 69 | 10% | 95% | |
| 70 | 8% | 85% | |
| 71 | 13% | 78% | |
| 72 | 8% | 64% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 56% | |
| 74 | 7% | 56% | |
| 75 | 1.5% | 49% | |
| 76 | 2% | 48% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 46% | Median |
| 78 | 39% | 45% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 80 | 5% | 6% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 70 | 6% | 95% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 89% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 88% | |
| 73 | 23% | 87% | |
| 74 | 9% | 64% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 54% | |
| 76 | 2% | 54% | |
| 77 | 0.9% | 52% | |
| 78 | 5% | 51% | |
| 79 | 44% | 46% | Median |
| 80 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 1.5% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 68 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 69 | 2% | 95% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 71 | 44% | 93% | |
| 72 | 8% | 48% | |
| 73 | 7% | 40% | Median |
| 74 | 0.5% | 32% | |
| 75 | 9% | 32% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 23% | |
| 77 | 18% | 22% | |
| 78 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 66 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 67 | 8% | 95% | |
| 68 | 6% | 87% | |
| 69 | 3% | 82% | |
| 70 | 24% | 79% | |
| 71 | 1.5% | 55% | |
| 72 | 46% | 53% | Median |
| 73 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 6% | |
| 76 | 4% | 6% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 80 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 60 | 4% | 98% | |
| 61 | 2% | 95% | |
| 62 | 8% | 93% | |
| 63 | 18% | 85% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 67% | |
| 65 | 7% | 67% | |
| 66 | 6% | 59% | |
| 67 | 5% | 53% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 48% | |
| 69 | 40% | 47% | Median |
| 70 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 72 | 5% | 7% | |
| 73 | 2% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 61 | 5% | 94% | |
| 62 | 13% | 90% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 76% | |
| 64 | 11% | 75% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 64% | |
| 66 | 2% | 64% | |
| 67 | 3% | 62% | |
| 68 | 9% | 59% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 49% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 49% | |
| 71 | 40% | 48% | Median |
| 72 | 8% | 8% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 7% | 99.5% | |
| 56 | 7% | 92% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 85% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 84% | |
| 59 | 2% | 84% | |
| 60 | 2% | 82% | |
| 61 | 5% | 80% | |
| 62 | 14% | 74% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 60% | |
| 64 | 45% | 60% | Median |
| 65 | 7% | 15% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 68 | 6% | 7% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 58 | 11% | 98% | |
| 59 | 8% | 87% | |
| 60 | 17% | 80% | |
| 61 | 5% | 63% | |
| 62 | 40% | 57% | Median |
| 63 | 3% | 17% | |
| 64 | 3% | 14% | |
| 65 | 9% | 11% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 48 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 52 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 53 | 3% | 94% | |
| 54 | 9% | 91% | |
| 55 | 14% | 82% | |
| 56 | 6% | 68% | |
| 57 | 12% | 61% | |
| 58 | 1.4% | 49% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 48% | |
| 60 | 3% | 48% | |
| 61 | 5% | 44% | Median |
| 62 | 39% | 39% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 48 | 8% | 99.0% | |
| 49 | 17% | 91% | |
| 50 | 2% | 74% | |
| 51 | 2% | 72% | |
| 52 | 6% | 70% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 64% | |
| 54 | 47% | 63% | Median |
| 55 | 4% | 16% | |
| 56 | 3% | 12% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 58 | 7% | 9% | |
| 59 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 45 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 46 | 2% | 98% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 48 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 50 | 8% | 93% | |
| 51 | 10% | 86% | |
| 52 | 14% | 76% | |
| 53 | 7% | 61% | |
| 54 | 8% | 54% | Median |
| 55 | 45% | 46% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 42 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 43 | 15% | 96% | |
| 44 | 20% | 81% | |
| 45 | 9% | 61% | |
| 46 | 44% | 52% | Median |
| 47 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 49 | 5% | 6% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 53 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 17 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 18 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 19 | 7% | 98.9% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 92% | |
| 21 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 22 | 7% | 91% | |
| 23 | 0.7% | 84% | |
| 24 | 41% | 83% | Median |
| 25 | 9% | 42% | |
| 26 | 1.2% | 33% | |
| 27 | 18% | 32% | |
| 28 | 1.1% | 13% | |
| 29 | 8% | 12% | |
| 30 | 3% | 4% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: InFact
- Commissioner(s): Nettavisen
- Fieldwork period: 4 April 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1130
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.31%