Opinion Poll by Norstat for Aftenposten and NRK, 2–6 April 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 25.4% | 23.7–27.3% | 23.2–27.8% | 22.8–28.2% | 22.0–29.1% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 17.6% | 16.1–19.2% | 15.7–19.7% | 15.3–20.1% | 14.6–20.9% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 17.1% | 15.6–18.7% | 15.2–19.1% | 14.8–19.5% | 14.2–20.3% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 10.4% | 9.2–11.7% | 8.9–12.1% | 8.6–12.5% | 8.1–13.1% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.9% | 5.9–8.0% | 5.7–8.3% | 5.4–8.6% | 5.0–9.2% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.8–7.2% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.2–8.0% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.2–6.6% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.1% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3–5.0% | 3.1–5.2% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–5.9% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.3% | 1.1–2.5% | 1.0–2.6% | 0.8–3.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 43 | 42–48 | 40–48 | 39–49 | 38–52 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 34 | 30–36 | 29–36 | 27–37 | 26–38 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 32 | 31–34 | 30–35 | 29–35 | 28–37 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 17 | 15–20 | 15–21 | 15–21 | 13–23 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 11 | 10–14 | 9–15 | 9–16 | 8–16 |
| Rødt | 8 | 9 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 7–14 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 7–9 | 3–10 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 7 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 7 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 1–10 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–2 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 40 | 3% | 96% | |
| 41 | 2% | 93% | |
| 42 | 29% | 91% | |
| 43 | 15% | 62% | Median |
| 44 | 4% | 47% | |
| 45 | 7% | 43% | |
| 46 | 14% | 36% | |
| 47 | 6% | 22% | |
| 48 | 11% | 16% | |
| 49 | 3% | 5% | |
| 50 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 28 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 29 | 3% | 95% | |
| 30 | 16% | 92% | |
| 31 | 10% | 75% | |
| 32 | 3% | 66% | |
| 33 | 7% | 62% | |
| 34 | 7% | 55% | Median |
| 35 | 14% | 49% | |
| 36 | 33% | 35% | |
| 37 | 2% | 3% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 29 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 30 | 6% | 96% | |
| 31 | 8% | 91% | |
| 32 | 55% | 83% | Median |
| 33 | 13% | 27% | |
| 34 | 9% | 15% | |
| 35 | 3% | 6% | |
| 36 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 37 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.9% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 14 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 15 | 9% | 98% | |
| 16 | 15% | 89% | |
| 17 | 33% | 74% | Median |
| 18 | 16% | 42% | |
| 19 | 6% | 26% | |
| 20 | 12% | 20% | |
| 21 | 6% | 8% | |
| 22 | 2% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 4% | 98.8% | |
| 10 | 34% | 95% | |
| 11 | 16% | 61% | Median |
| 12 | 10% | 45% | |
| 13 | 23% | 34% | |
| 14 | 6% | 12% | |
| 15 | 3% | 6% | |
| 16 | 2% | 3% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 13% | 98% | Last Result |
| 9 | 43% | 85% | Median |
| 10 | 12% | 42% | |
| 11 | 20% | 30% | |
| 12 | 6% | 10% | |
| 13 | 3% | 4% | |
| 14 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 4% | 96% | |
| 4 | 0% | 93% | |
| 5 | 0% | 93% | |
| 6 | 2% | 93% | |
| 7 | 33% | 91% | |
| 8 | 27% | 58% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 23% | 31% | |
| 10 | 7% | 9% | |
| 11 | 1.2% | 1.5% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 14% | 99.6% | |
| 3 | 21% | 85% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 64% | |
| 5 | 0% | 64% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 64% | |
| 7 | 45% | 64% | Median |
| 8 | 13% | 18% | |
| 9 | 4% | 5% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 20% | 99.0% | |
| 3 | 6% | 79% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 73% | |
| 5 | 0% | 73% | |
| 6 | 2% | 73% | |
| 7 | 29% | 71% | Median |
| 8 | 36% | 43% | |
| 9 | 6% | 7% | |
| 10 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 102 | 100% | 99–106 | 97–108 | 97–109 | 95–111 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 97 | 99.8% | 92–102 | 90–103 | 89–103 | 87–106 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 91 | 96% | 86–96 | 85–96 | 84–97 | 81–99 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 85 | 62% | 82–90 | 80–92 | 78–93 | 74–94 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 77 | 2% | 72–82 | 72–83 | 71–84 | 69–87 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 78 | 1.0% | 73–82 | 73–83 | 71–84 | 68–85 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 74 | 0.1% | 68–78 | 66–78 | 65–80 | 65–84 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 71 | 0% | 66–75 | 65–77 | 65–79 | 62–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 67 | 0% | 63–71 | 62–72 | 61–73 | 59–76 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 66 | 0% | 62–69 | 60–70 | 59–71 | 57–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 62 | 0% | 57–65 | 56–67 | 55–68 | 54–70 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 57 | 0% | 53–62 | 52–63 | 50–65 | 48–66 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 56 | 0% | 50–60 | 49–60 | 47–62 | 46–64 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 49 | 0% | 46–53 | 45–54 | 43–56 | 43–58 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 50 | 0% | 47–53 | 46–54 | 45–55 | 43–57 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 43 | 0% | 42–47 | 40–47 | 40–48 | 39–51 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 24 | 0% | 22–29 | 21–30 | 19–31 | 17–33 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 96 | 1.1% | 99.0% | Last Result |
| 97 | 3% | 98% | |
| 98 | 2% | 95% | |
| 99 | 10% | 93% | |
| 100 | 12% | 83% | |
| 101 | 7% | 70% | |
| 102 | 27% | 64% | |
| 103 | 8% | 37% | Median |
| 104 | 5% | 29% | |
| 105 | 9% | 25% | |
| 106 | 7% | 16% | |
| 107 | 3% | 9% | |
| 108 | 3% | 5% | |
| 109 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 110 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 111 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 99.8% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 87 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 89 | 2% | 98% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 91 | 2% | 95% | |
| 92 | 2% | 92% | |
| 93 | 5% | 90% | |
| 94 | 9% | 85% | |
| 95 | 10% | 76% | |
| 96 | 9% | 66% | |
| 97 | 17% | 57% | |
| 98 | 5% | 40% | |
| 99 | 3% | 35% | Median |
| 100 | 19% | 32% | |
| 101 | 1.3% | 13% | |
| 102 | 5% | 12% | |
| 103 | 5% | 6% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 106 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 83 | 1.5% | 99.0% | |
| 84 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 85 | 2% | 96% | Majority |
| 86 | 8% | 94% | |
| 87 | 7% | 87% | |
| 88 | 7% | 80% | |
| 89 | 13% | 73% | |
| 90 | 5% | 59% | |
| 91 | 5% | 54% | |
| 92 | 21% | 49% | Median |
| 93 | 6% | 28% | |
| 94 | 2% | 21% | |
| 95 | 9% | 19% | |
| 96 | 5% | 10% | |
| 97 | 3% | 5% | |
| 98 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 76 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 79 | 2% | 97% | |
| 80 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 81 | 3% | 94% | |
| 82 | 13% | 91% | |
| 83 | 6% | 78% | |
| 84 | 10% | 72% | |
| 85 | 30% | 62% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 31% | |
| 87 | 4% | 27% | |
| 88 | 9% | 24% | |
| 89 | 3% | 14% | |
| 90 | 4% | 12% | |
| 91 | 2% | 8% | |
| 92 | 2% | 5% | |
| 93 | 3% | 4% | |
| 94 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 71 | 3% | 98% | |
| 72 | 5% | 95% | |
| 73 | 9% | 90% | |
| 74 | 2% | 80% | |
| 75 | 6% | 78% | |
| 76 | 21% | 72% | Median |
| 77 | 5% | 51% | |
| 78 | 6% | 46% | |
| 79 | 13% | 40% | |
| 80 | 7% | 27% | |
| 81 | 7% | 20% | |
| 82 | 8% | 13% | |
| 83 | 2% | 5% | |
| 84 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 85 | 1.4% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 72 | 2% | 97% | |
| 73 | 7% | 95% | |
| 74 | 8% | 88% | |
| 75 | 7% | 80% | |
| 76 | 11% | 73% | |
| 77 | 5% | 62% | Median |
| 78 | 30% | 57% | |
| 79 | 3% | 26% | |
| 80 | 4% | 23% | |
| 81 | 8% | 20% | |
| 82 | 4% | 12% | |
| 83 | 3% | 8% | |
| 84 | 4% | 5% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 1.0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 66 | 3% | 96% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 68 | 2% | 92% | |
| 69 | 5% | 90% | |
| 70 | 4% | 85% | |
| 71 | 9% | 82% | |
| 72 | 7% | 72% | |
| 73 | 11% | 65% | |
| 74 | 26% | 53% | Median |
| 75 | 6% | 28% | |
| 76 | 4% | 22% | |
| 77 | 6% | 18% | |
| 78 | 8% | 12% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 80 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 65 | 5% | 98% | |
| 66 | 5% | 94% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 88% | |
| 68 | 19% | 87% | |
| 69 | 4% | 68% | Median |
| 70 | 4% | 64% | |
| 71 | 17% | 60% | |
| 72 | 9% | 43% | |
| 73 | 10% | 34% | |
| 74 | 9% | 24% | |
| 75 | 5% | 15% | |
| 76 | 2% | 10% | |
| 77 | 2% | 7% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 79 | 2% | 4% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 61 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 62 | 4% | 96% | |
| 63 | 6% | 93% | |
| 64 | 8% | 86% | |
| 65 | 4% | 78% | |
| 66 | 6% | 74% | |
| 67 | 24% | 69% | Median |
| 68 | 4% | 45% | |
| 69 | 9% | 41% | |
| 70 | 8% | 32% | |
| 71 | 15% | 24% | |
| 72 | 5% | 9% | |
| 73 | 2% | 4% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 60 | 3% | 97% | |
| 61 | 3% | 94% | |
| 62 | 7% | 91% | |
| 63 | 9% | 84% | |
| 64 | 4% | 75% | |
| 65 | 8% | 71% | Median |
| 66 | 26% | 63% | |
| 67 | 6% | 36% | |
| 68 | 12% | 30% | |
| 69 | 10% | 17% | |
| 70 | 2% | 7% | |
| 71 | 3% | 5% | |
| 72 | 1.1% | 2% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 55 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 56 | 3% | 97% | |
| 57 | 6% | 94% | |
| 58 | 2% | 88% | |
| 59 | 21% | 86% | |
| 60 | 7% | 65% | Median |
| 61 | 6% | 59% | |
| 62 | 10% | 53% | |
| 63 | 24% | 43% | |
| 64 | 6% | 18% | |
| 65 | 3% | 12% | |
| 66 | 3% | 9% | |
| 67 | 3% | 6% | |
| 68 | 2% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 50 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 52 | 6% | 97% | |
| 53 | 3% | 90% | |
| 54 | 3% | 87% | |
| 55 | 3% | 84% | |
| 56 | 26% | 81% | |
| 57 | 6% | 54% | |
| 58 | 12% | 48% | Median |
| 59 | 10% | 36% | |
| 60 | 8% | 26% | |
| 61 | 5% | 18% | |
| 62 | 4% | 13% | |
| 63 | 5% | 9% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 65 | 2% | 3% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 48 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 49 | 3% | 96% | |
| 50 | 3% | 92% | |
| 51 | 4% | 90% | |
| 52 | 6% | 86% | |
| 53 | 5% | 80% | |
| 54 | 4% | 75% | |
| 55 | 4% | 71% | |
| 56 | 21% | 67% | |
| 57 | 26% | 46% | Median |
| 58 | 3% | 20% | |
| 59 | 5% | 17% | |
| 60 | 8% | 12% | |
| 61 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 62 | 2% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 2% | 97% | |
| 45 | 4% | 96% | |
| 46 | 3% | 92% | |
| 47 | 11% | 89% | |
| 48 | 7% | 78% | |
| 49 | 32% | 72% | |
| 50 | 13% | 40% | Median |
| 51 | 4% | 26% | |
| 52 | 11% | 22% | |
| 53 | 4% | 11% | |
| 54 | 3% | 7% | |
| 55 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 56 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 57 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 45 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 46 | 4% | 97% | |
| 47 | 9% | 93% | |
| 48 | 7% | 84% | |
| 49 | 26% | 77% | Median |
| 50 | 22% | 51% | |
| 51 | 6% | 29% | |
| 52 | 9% | 23% | |
| 53 | 8% | 15% | |
| 54 | 4% | 6% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 56 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 5% | 98.6% | |
| 41 | 3% | 94% | |
| 42 | 32% | 91% | |
| 43 | 9% | 58% | Median |
| 44 | 10% | 50% | |
| 45 | 15% | 40% | |
| 46 | 14% | 25% | |
| 47 | 8% | 11% | |
| 48 | 2% | 4% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 17 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 18 | 0.6% | 98.5% | |
| 19 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 20 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 21 | 3% | 97% | |
| 22 | 12% | 94% | |
| 23 | 11% | 82% | |
| 24 | 31% | 71% | |
| 25 | 5% | 39% | |
| 26 | 4% | 35% | Median |
| 27 | 10% | 31% | |
| 28 | 10% | 20% | |
| 29 | 3% | 10% | |
| 30 | 3% | 7% | |
| 31 | 2% | 4% | |
| 32 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 33 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): Aftenposten and NRK
- Fieldwork period: 2–6 April 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 991
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.80%